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Minny505

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Everything posted by Minny505

  1. Minny505
    Color me skeptical that after 3500 MLB PAs, Kepler finally turned the corner we have been waiting for him to turn for 4 years. Sell high. It's likely the Twins can replace his league average production with some combination of Wallner, Larnach, Castro, Gordon, Buxton, and/or a RH COF trade acquisition.
  2. Minny505
    I think they get a RH COF bat for a short side platoon, or a LH CF bat, to split time with Taylor. That's probably it on offense.
  3. Minny505
    I heard Eno Sarris mention on Rates & Barrels a few weeks ago that, across MLB, the sweeper has been getting hit harder and harder every month in 2023. His theory is that the pitch has started to be thrown this season by so many pitchers that hitters have picked it up now and are crushing it on a more frequent basis every day. It is quickly losing its effectiveness around the league and many pitchers are starting to reduce usage with some dropping the pitch altogether.
  4. Minny505
  5. Minny505
    Agreed. He seems destined to be a LF. He has good sprint speed. His arm strength is poor, but not horrible. Accuracy is more his issue. And picking grounders cleanly.
  6. Minny505
    The retirement quote should have nothing to go with any decision regarding Sonny. Many good players say such things in their early-to-mid 30's, and other than John Jaso, none of them have voluntarily followed thru. A modern parallel example is Charlie Morton. He said almost the exact same thing during his age 34 season and here he is, five years later, taking the pill every five days.
  7. Minny505
    I understand platoons, but they are all left handed hitters. They could simply line it up as: Kepler/Gallo RF Kirilloff LF Julien 2B Solano 1B Farmer 3B But they didn't. Not once. They chose to have Kepler in RF in every game. and Julien at 2B in ZERO games.
  8. Minny505
    I feel an ugly storyline was missed in this recap Julien started ZERO games. Kirilloff started 2 games, batting 6th and 9th(9th! WTF!?) Kepler started all 3 games, batting 4th, 5th, and 9th Gallo started 1 game, batting 9th Maybe I missed something. Is Julien hurt? Was Kirilloff sick? If not, I'm confused. The best hitter of that group did not start a game while the worst hitter started 3 of them. That doesn't sound like the decisions of a team with a struggling offense putting their players in the best position to win games.
  9. Minny505
    This is my preferred route as well if he stays on the team. Having Kepler split time in CF and backing up the rest of the OF as the strong-side of a platoon, is the only way I would keep him on the roster. In that situation, he had until Gordon returns to prove his value.
  10. Minny505
    Me too
  11. Minny505
  12. Minny505
    I am curious how you see the Twins keeping Julien in the lineup if he doesn't go to LF once Polanco returns. Not what you would do, but what you expect the Twins to do. For the last 10 years or so around MLB, LF has been the position infielders with a good bat but bad defense typically go.
  13. Minny505
    They are probably too good of pieces to trade for a RP and there really is no need to get a 5 starter. One could be part of a package for Pham...the Mets need MLB ready prospects. I do think they should be traded if the FO is not planning on adding them to the active roster before August. They can both likely be flipped for younger prospects to restock the farm. They should at least flip one of them regardless. Julien looks more and more like the future LF for this team, and sooner rather than later.
  14. Minny505
    I'm of the belief that Julien is the plan in LF when Polanco returns. On a team with a lot of young IF depth, Julien is the worst defender of them...and probably the best hitter. He's got good speed, enough to be an average LF. He has experience playing LF in college. It will be ugly at first, but by the playoffs he should be fine. It's obvious that 2B is not his long-term home.
  15. Minny505
    At least until he cools off, I think I'd bat him second, between Kirilloff(1) and Julien(3)...but that's splitting hairs. And let him take over 3B on defense until Lewis is fully back.
  16. Minny505
    There is so much more running when playing the OF. Every inning in fact. And much more sprinting as well. Playing in the OF is draining. He only has to run once or twice a game, on average, as a DH. He would be increasing his running by 10x playing the OF. Plus OF requires a lot more sudden stops than running the bases. Sudden stops put a lot of pressure on your knee joints. Running in a straight line with no urgency to stop, or stopping by leaving your feet, are much easier on those knees. I do think when he is ready to play OF again it might be wise to move him to RF as a precaution because COF is 30%-40% less wear and tear than CF. Every bit can help keep a player like Buxton on the field and productive.
  17. Minny505
    This is not entirely true. The team does not have any 120+ hitters that qualify for the batting title, in fact only Correa and Buxton clear that requisit. But they do have 3 regulars that clear that number: Edouard Julien, Alex Kirilloff, and Ryan Jeffers. Your overarching point is valid still. Hoping that those three can maintain and/or Polanco, Buxton, Correa turn it around, is a lot of hope.
  18. Minny505
    Fair point. I think I'd give Tim Anderson and his -1.1 fWAR the award if it based strictly off performance and expectations are not taken into account. Enrique Hernandez of the BoSox, with -1.3 fWAR, would be my runner up. I give Anderson the leg up (or is it down?) due to the AL Central being very winnable, meanwhile the BoSox are chasing comparable titans in the AL East.
  19. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    All so, so, so very true. Correa can be the best hitter on a good team, but you need 2-3 comparable hitters like him, meaning and OPS+ over 120. For example, the Rangers best qualified hitter only has a 131 OPS+, but they have 3 other guys right on his tail. That's 4 hitters that are essentially producing around Correa's career OPS+. The Twins are so far from that. It's a shooting star, but if Julien and Kirilloff can keep up what they are doing, and Buxton, Correa, and Polanco can get back to hitting their projections, then this offense will be fine. That's a lot that needs to go right.
  20. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    A year ago, when Gallo was performing much worse than he is now, he was traded for the #15 prospect in the Dodgers system. That's a decent piece and I suspect he could bring back roughly the same this year. As much as we hate it, the team probably rides Kepler and Gallo to the deadline so they can trade each of them for a prospect in the teens like the Yanks did with Gallo last year. And that prospect the Yanks got is looking pretty decent, with the floor of a solid RP. I don't agree with that approach, but I understand the reasoning.
  21. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    With a OPS+ of 127 for his career he has the highest of any non-rookie on the roster except for Solano. He was almost certainly projected to be the best hitter on the team in 2023.
  22. Minny505
    They have a podcast and have mentioned that they do major charnges in values after the all-star break, to prep for the trade dealine, then again in October, in preparation for the offseason. As such, Miranda is essentially valued on the site as if this disappointing season hasn't happened yet.
  23. Minny505
    It might not take prospects. See the Sam Dyson trade, in which the Twins traded away a couple of minor league depth players. Sam story with the Sergio Romo trade. A minor league depth player. Trading minor leaguers does not equal trading prospects.
  24. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    This is such a rad comment!!! Thank you. I guess I am more interested in watching how the art is made, good or bad, than I am in the final result of that art, because I don't really care if it's good or bad. That's where I get my enjoyment. Don't get me wrong, I prefer good, but it only raises my level of enjoyment in watching the Twins from an 6 (in those 100 loss seasons) to a 10 (90+ win teams). Right now, as a .500 team, I'm sitting at an 8.
  25. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    Your right. It is a failure, just not a Total System Failure. The failure is primarily of Buxton, Correa, and Falvey. Those three individuals have completely failed the offense. With Falvey, we could see it coming in the offseason, primarily with the handling of Gallo and Kepler. If it was Larnach and Wallner in the corners providing the same production, I suspect many fans would be much more forgiving of Falvey. With Buxton, we all had concerns when it was announced he would only DH. It turned out those concerns were warranted. Correa was a complete sucker punch.
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