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Minny505

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Everything posted by Minny505

  1. Minny505
    Agreed. He seems destined to be a LF. He has good sprint speed. His arm strength is poor, but not horrible. Accuracy is more his issue. And picking grounders cleanly.
  2. Minny505
    The retirement quote should have nothing to go with any decision regarding Sonny. Many good players say such things in their early-to-mid 30's, and other than John Jaso, none of them have voluntarily followed thru. A modern parallel example is Charlie Morton. He said almost the exact same thing during his age 34 season and here he is, five years later, taking the pill every five days.
  3. Minny505
    I understand platoons, but they are all left handed hitters. They could simply line it up as: Kepler/Gallo RF Kirilloff LF Julien 2B Solano 1B Farmer 3B But they didn't. Not once. They chose to have Kepler in RF in every game. and Julien at 2B in ZERO games.
  4. Minny505
    I feel an ugly storyline was missed in this recap Julien started ZERO games. Kirilloff started 2 games, batting 6th and 9th(9th! WTF!?) Kepler started all 3 games, batting 4th, 5th, and 9th Gallo started 1 game, batting 9th Maybe I missed something. Is Julien hurt? Was Kirilloff sick? If not, I'm confused. The best hitter of that group did not start a game while the worst hitter started 3 of them. That doesn't sound like the decisions of a team with a struggling offense putting their players in the best position to win games.
  5. Minny505
    This is my preferred route as well if he stays on the team. Having Kepler split time in CF and backing up the rest of the OF as the strong-side of a platoon, is the only way I would keep him on the roster. In that situation, he had until Gordon returns to prove his value.
  6. Minny505
    Me too
  7. Minny505
  8. Minny505
    I am curious how you see the Twins keeping Julien in the lineup if he doesn't go to LF once Polanco returns. Not what you would do, but what you expect the Twins to do. For the last 10 years or so around MLB, LF has been the position infielders with a good bat but bad defense typically go.
  9. Minny505
    They are probably too good of pieces to trade for a RP and there really is no need to get a 5 starter. One could be part of a package for Pham...the Mets need MLB ready prospects. I do think they should be traded if the FO is not planning on adding them to the active roster before August. They can both likely be flipped for younger prospects to restock the farm. They should at least flip one of them regardless. Julien looks more and more like the future LF for this team, and sooner rather than later.
  10. Minny505
    I'm of the belief that Julien is the plan in LF when Polanco returns. On a team with a lot of young IF depth, Julien is the worst defender of them...and probably the best hitter. He's got good speed, enough to be an average LF. He has experience playing LF in college. It will be ugly at first, but by the playoffs he should be fine. It's obvious that 2B is not his long-term home.
  11. Minny505
    At least until he cools off, I think I'd bat him second, between Kirilloff(1) and Julien(3)...but that's splitting hairs. And let him take over 3B on defense until Lewis is fully back.
  12. Minny505
    This is not entirely true. The team does not have any 120+ hitters that qualify for the batting title, in fact only Correa and Buxton clear that requisit. But they do have 3 regulars that clear that number: Edouard Julien, Alex Kirilloff, and Ryan Jeffers. Your overarching point is valid still. Hoping that those three can maintain and/or Polanco, Buxton, Correa turn it around, is a lot of hope.
  13. Minny505
    Fair point. I think I'd give Tim Anderson and his -1.1 fWAR the award if it based strictly off performance and expectations are not taken into account. Enrique Hernandez of the BoSox, with -1.3 fWAR, would be my runner up. I give Anderson the leg up (or is it down?) due to the AL Central being very winnable, meanwhile the BoSox are chasing comparable titans in the AL East.
  14. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    All so, so, so very true. Correa can be the best hitter on a good team, but you need 2-3 comparable hitters like him, meaning and OPS+ over 120. For example, the Rangers best qualified hitter only has a 131 OPS+, but they have 3 other guys right on his tail. That's 4 hitters that are essentially producing around Correa's career OPS+. The Twins are so far from that. It's a shooting star, but if Julien and Kirilloff can keep up what they are doing, and Buxton, Correa, and Polanco can get back to hitting their projections, then this offense will be fine. That's a lot that needs to go right.
  15. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    A year ago, when Gallo was performing much worse than he is now, he was traded for the #15 prospect in the Dodgers system. That's a decent piece and I suspect he could bring back roughly the same this year. As much as we hate it, the team probably rides Kepler and Gallo to the deadline so they can trade each of them for a prospect in the teens like the Yanks did with Gallo last year. And that prospect the Yanks got is looking pretty decent, with the floor of a solid RP. I don't agree with that approach, but I understand the reasoning.
  16. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    With a OPS+ of 127 for his career he has the highest of any non-rookie on the roster except for Solano. He was almost certainly projected to be the best hitter on the team in 2023.
  17. Minny505
    They have a podcast and have mentioned that they do major charnges in values after the all-star break, to prep for the trade dealine, then again in October, in preparation for the offseason. As such, Miranda is essentially valued on the site as if this disappointing season hasn't happened yet.
  18. Minny505
    It might not take prospects. See the Sam Dyson trade, in which the Twins traded away a couple of minor league depth players. Sam story with the Sergio Romo trade. A minor league depth player. Trading minor leaguers does not equal trading prospects.
  19. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    This is such a rad comment!!! Thank you. I guess I am more interested in watching how the art is made, good or bad, than I am in the final result of that art, because I don't really care if it's good or bad. That's where I get my enjoyment. Don't get me wrong, I prefer good, but it only raises my level of enjoyment in watching the Twins from an 6 (in those 100 loss seasons) to a 10 (90+ win teams). Right now, as a .500 team, I'm sitting at an 8.
  20. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    Your right. It is a failure, just not a Total System Failure. The failure is primarily of Buxton, Correa, and Falvey. Those three individuals have completely failed the offense. With Falvey, we could see it coming in the offseason, primarily with the handling of Gallo and Kepler. If it was Larnach and Wallner in the corners providing the same production, I suspect many fans would be much more forgiving of Falvey. With Buxton, we all had concerns when it was announced he would only DH. It turned out those concerns were warranted. Correa was a complete sucker punch.
  21. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    Escellent comment. To "yes, and" you... That's how projections work. They take the 50% outcome for everyone and mash them together. It so happens that the pitching is performing at its 90% outcome thus far and the hitting its 10% outcome. Together, they are exactly what projections systems said they would be. For the rest of the season, I expect both sides to regress to that 50% mark and they likely have a higher Win% due to their strength of schedule, but their BaseRuns Win% stays essentially the same.
  22. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    That's an offseason issue, not an in-season issue. In 2023, they are who we thought they were (meaning their record). They do have a top 5 pitching staff in MLB. I hardly equate that to a Total System Failure. The 2023 Royals are a Total System Failure. The 2021 Nationals were as well. Same with the 2011 to 2016 Twins. I'm not willing to throw that term around loosely. I reserve that for when a team severely underperforms expectations and loses 100ish games. This team, and org, is far from that. That said, the FO made a decisions in the offseason regarding Gallo and Kepler that were very questionable at the time and have backfired is poorly as we all feared. (plus Pagan, though that one has been surprisingly fine) But not one analyst, local or national, had nothing but glowing prognostications for Buxton, Correa, and to a lesser extent Vazquez, in 2023, as long as they played. The failure is partially on Falvey for their poor roster management of the outfield in the offseason, but it is more on Buxton and Correa for having the worst season of their respective careers. No matter what Falvey did, nothing would be able to paper over their complete failure as players thus far. If they had played up to projections, or even close to them, the team would likey have 3-4 more wins right now. So let's call it what it is....a Total Buxton-Correa Failure.
  23. Minny505
    I know.
  24. Minny505
    There is no way I sell if I am this front office. This is probably the best team the Twins have constructed for a playoff run since 2006. Outside of just getting hot at the right time, elite pitching and hitting homeruns is how teams win in the playoffs. While this team struggles in most other areas on the whole, these are the two areas of production that they have succeeded, ranking 3rd in team ERA and 8th in HRs. Not selling does not mean holding onto Gallo and Kepler, or moving the latter to a strong-side platoon role in CF if they want to keep him.
  25. Minny505

    2nd half moves

    Minny505 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    .500 ball and basically on course to hit their preseason win projection is a "Total System Failure"? The shape of how the team got here is quite different than anyone expected, but here (meaning wins and losses) is exactly what was expected.
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