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Minny505

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Everything posted by Minny505

  1. Minny505
    + Agreed. I'd DFA Gallo, call up Larnach, hand him a 1B mitt and tell him "This is yours until Kirilloff returns. Go get after it kid!" Does anyone know if Larnach has been taking 1B reps in St Paul?
  2. Minny505
    Back-to-back days of using a long reliever? Is Baldelli still the manager?
  3. Minny505
    I'd give him an offseason to work on LF. He's got decent speed. Ground balls and thort throws are his kryptonite. Playing OF pretty much avoids that kryptonite.
  4. Minny505
    Spencer Steer was a much higher rated prospect than they would have needed to trade away for the role players needed. Tyler Wells was lost in the Rule 5 draft, which is an argument to MAKE a trade so you don't lose a talented player for literally nothing. Yannier Cano is one of the most shocking improvements in MLB in 2023. Maybe the most surprise improvement I recall ever seeing. He's essentially hitting his 99th percentile outcome. If you don't trade that kind of minor league player away then you are in favor of never, ever making a trade.
  5. Minny505
  6. Minny505
    No offense to Cody Lewis, but I hardly consider him a valuable prospect.
  7. Minny505
    But we all know, based on the comments here on TD, getting Brooks Raley at the deadline would have cost Brooks Lee & Jordy Blaze. That's too high of an asking price. It was smart of the team to pass on those type of deals 🙄
  8. Minny505
    "So far, the Twins Dior-level investment has brought them Axe Chocolate Body Spray level returns (gross)." Well played!
  9. Minny505
    Agreed, but seeing what players like Scott Barlow, Kenyon Middleton, Tommy Pham, Garrett Cooper, and so many other players in the range of what the Twins could use to sufficiently plug holes, the team never would have had to give up the players like the one you list. Prospects like Cory Lewis, Ricardo Olivar, or maybe Danny De Andrade, would have gotten it done. That's hardly too high.
  10. Minny505
    I do think this is likely and not in a "cheap Polads" sort of way. Revenues are coming in below projection and I wouldn't be surprised if the team is actually close to break even this season with next season looking like a loss at the moment. The "cost of prospects" argument is impossible to believe. Trading away Travis Adams or Francis Peguero for a RP and RHH COF on expiring contracts to plug holes could hardly be construed as a "cost of prospects". Even dealing Larnach for Lane Thomas would be acceptable...except for that pesky arb raise that comes with him for 2024. And even if you don't love this team, trading away minor league filler lottery tickets for useful players on the market is worth the effort.
  11. Minny505
    With their current lineup busting at the seams with All-Stars, there is just no way the Twins can justify bumping any of the current players from the roster. Add in all that top talent depth on the 40 man roster and seeing Lee in the Show in 2023 is a pipe dream.
  12. Minny505
    The Guardians got Kahlil Watson, a 20 year old 5-tool SS that has had injury issues in his first few years in pro ball. He has a FV 45 according to Fangraphs, with the tools to be in the top 100. He once was a top 20 prospect. A comp in the Twins system might be Austin Martin. I'd trade Gallo for an aging veteran to cut and Austin Martin in a heartbeat. The Dolans suck, but Chernoff might be the best in the biz to pull off a trade like that.
  13. Minny505
    Trading away Bell and Rosario is improvement by subtraction. Essentially swapping Civale for Syndergard is a loss, but I think it is a net improvement with who will take the places of Bell and Rosario. Seeing what the Guards got for Josh Bell makes me wonder why the Twins couldn't do the same with Gallo, who likely has more value with (1)positional flexibility, (2)a better OPS, (3)a lower $$ contract, and (4)is only signed through 2023. I don't want my favorite team to be run like the Guardians in all aspects, but the ability to pivot when their original plan went south, is admirable. To make a bad analogy: Falvey plays GM like the guy at the poker table that gets pocket Ace and King of spades. Raises the blind, then flops numbered red cards...and goes all in.
  14. Minny505
    The rule 5 point is well made, but other moves, like trading Coulumbe for cash, or Lamont Wade (offseason, not deadline) were done because or a 40 man squeeze. My point is not the specific players the Padres got, but the low wattage, fill holes in the roster for minor league filler, that they accomplished. Choi is a solid 1B and a solid strong-side platoon bat with vRHP splits that Kepler/Gallo could only dream on. Cooper is his new caddy, the 1B version of what we could use in the COF. Scott Barlow is a 30 year old RP with 250 innings of very effective relief pitching coming into the season that, despite having an inflated walk rate, still has excellent peripherals and would be the #4 or #5 RP out of the Twins pen, which is exactly what the team was allegedly looking for. Rich Hill is the ceiling of what I expect from Dallas Keuchal. It's not much, but neither are the needs for the Twins to plug some massive holes. Like the Padres, the Twins are hoping for progression to the mean from some of their multi-year contract players, but the Padres at least supplemented the areas of need outside of those players. Padres get a solid B+ for their deadline with multiple small moves, while the Twins get a D- for one small move.
  15. Minny505
    No. He opted out. He's not gone. There is a difference. The Twins retain his rights for another 36ish hours and could work out an MLB deal. No other team has any right to discuss a contract with him until that 36ish hours is up.
  16. Minny505
    The most likely reason for the team standing pat will never be stated publicly. Ownership, due to the TV contract, gave the FO the red light on adding any payroll. All trades would have to be essentially payroll neutral at minimum. Lopez for Floro was essentially this. The FO tried their hardest to make another payroll neutral trade like this, but no takers. Occam's Razor would deem this the most likely explanation due to the logical & factual fallacies in the reasons given by Falvey...and no person who wants to continue to work in MLB would share that honest explanation with the public. Ever. We'll find out in the 2047 memoir that Falvey publishes😜
  17. Minny505
    As I read the article, the one that I call bull$&!# on most is #3. The Padres basically did what we wanted the Twins to do and they made no "investment" whatsoever in the players they traded away. A bunch of 15-30 system ranked prospects. That's essentially nothing. At a minimum the Twins should have traded guys away to avoid Rule 5 cuts. Get something for the replacement level excess in the org that are still viewed as lottery tickets. The only reason to not trade our #16 prospect (who needs to be added to the 40 man this offseason, which means the team loses the #24 prospect anyway) for a RH OF bat is that they plan to have Buxton get back out there in the next week. Do you see that happening?
  18. Minny505
    I'm still surprised the Twins didn't swing a deal for Thomas. He's the perfect short-side platoon OFer. Unless Larnach + two 9-20 prespects wasn't enough?
  19. Minny505
    You're right. It is the D-backs, per Jeff Passan.
  20. Minny505
    He's head to the Padres.
  21. Minny505
    Let's avoid using 2023 splits in this discussion. It's relatively useless. Duvall is an even splits guy. Hard pass. What was not mentioned in the Lane Thomas section is that he has a career 144 wRC+ vs LHP. It's just 85 vs RHP. He's the perfect platoon OFers, able to handle all three OF positions. There are not any bat first RH hitting OFers coming up thru the system anytime soon. With 2.5 years of control, the Twins can fix this multi-year problem they have had against LHP for the next few seasons. Use him primarily as a platoon player, which is how to optimize his value based on his career numbers, and his arb rates stay manageable. Offer Larnach and another prospect outside of the top 8.
  22. Minny505
    This is the kind of article that needs a poll attached. I am genuinely curious how the multitude feels on this subject. I would absolutely trade one of them. The haul for Grey needs to be more than Maeda as Gray is already bringing back a likely Top 150 prospect in the QO. It all depends on the return. A Top 100 prospect, on any public list, would absolutely cement the decision as a firm YES for either, and even a Top 150 for Maeda.
  23. Minny505
    So much like Kepler in other ways. If Kepler is a platoon/4th OFer batting in the lower 3rd of a lineup, he's perfectly acceptable and likely a valuable part of a contending team. Likewise, if Pagan is the 5th or 6th RP that rarely pitches later than the 7th inning of a slim lead/tied game, he's perfectly acceptable and likely a valuable part of a contending team. The value is all in how they are used. They are perfectly serviceable role players, but you don't want to rely on them too often in high leverage situations or you will be disappointed.
  24. Minny505
  25. Minny505
    I love this move by the Twins for everything that has nothing to do with winning baseball games. A serious class move. Go take a look at the career of Adam Dunn. I promise I'm going somewhere with this. He has an atrocious season in 2011 that does not make any sense when you look at it now. A career .854 OPS hitter, he finishes under .600, with a SLG that is more than .200 points below his career numbers. A story starts going around late that season that sounded an awful lot like what Lopez is going thru. If you are not a parent, I wouldn't expect you to completely understand. I could only fake it at that stage in life. But if you are a parent, you can empathize with how debilitating it would be to have a child with a grave illness. It would be nearly impossible to function in life in any way that was not spending time either (1)with my child or (2)to help get them better. That Lopez has even been serviceable as a low-leverage RP speaks to the underlying talent the Twins were hoping to be benefitting from when they made that trade. I hope Lopez gets the opportunity to spend more time with his son and comfort him as they wait for a donor. It's got to be heartbreaking to be so far from the most important people in your life when they need you most.
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