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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    Am I concerned about the farm ranking? No Am I concerned about the continued inability to develop pitching? Absolutely.
  2. KirbyDome89
    Whoosh. Hard to tell around here sometimes. Compared to them the Twins kinda are, but 25 other franchises could probably make the same claim.
  3. KirbyDome89
    They've also made the postseason twice in the 28 years the AL Central has existed, but yeah, exemplary franchise. I mean, c'mon...
  4. KirbyDome89
    If internal options weren't an absolute disaster Bundy would've been in serious jeopardy of losing his job in June. The Twins being forced to roll with him in the rotation isn't credit worthy.
  5. KirbyDome89
    I think we're stretching the definition of value. Archer's short starts are torching an already overtaxed pen, and even with the short leash his meltdowns are so sudden it's nearly impossible to prevent damage. He's already made something like $5.5M based on appearance incentives, and 6 more starts will put him over $7M. There's no value there; the Twins are going to end up paying back end starter money to a guy that's a long relief arm at best. Bundy....eh. It took his last start against a hapless Angels team to sneak his ERA under 5. No, he hasn't been one of the worst starters in baseball, but the fact that we're even considering a bar that low kinda says it all. They're getting bargain bin production at a bargain bin price. If he's your worst starter on an otherwise solid staff, ok, fine. Unfortunately that isn't the case.
  6. KirbyDome89
    2 runs in 3 games, both coming in the same inning, against a Twins staff that isn't exactly lighting the world on fire. A perpetual loser like KC throwing in the towel at the deadline and trotting out an even worse team for the last 2 months is great for the Twins, but terrible for baseball.
  7. KirbyDome89
    Let's hope not, although it'd be entertaining to see the gaslighting necessary to convince a fanbase that next season won't be his 4th trash year in a row. Similar to Colome last season, there's literally no amount of production that'll justify bringing him back. The damage has already been done.
  8. KirbyDome89
    "Both Pagan’s xFIP and xERA are far better than the results have bore out thus far, but the caveat to expected stats is that they don’t matter until they’re actualized." Unless we're operating under the delusion Pagan has been "unlucky," with HRs for nearly 2 seasons now, his xFIP isn't all that relevant. Disagree as far as expected stats are concerned. Fix the pipe while it's dripping; don't wait for it to burst...
  9. KirbyDome89
    First it was get fat during that 2 week stretch against KC and DET in late May & early June, then it was 8 games against Cleveland in 10 days to provide separation in late June, next it was get to the AS break and rest, and finally it settled on the trade deadline a few weeks back. Now we're moving the goalposts into September?
  10. KirbyDome89
    FA isn't a value play, so complaining about value, particularly in an apples to oranges comparison, is pointless. What seems misguided is how you're defining failure. Would the Twins be better with Jermaine Palacios and his sub .500 OPS starting? Would spending more prospect capital at the deadline for a SS, assuming the Twins were still in the race and one was available, have been the better solution? Even if Correa is a "failure," and ends up costing more than $8.5M per WAR, he's better than the alternative. Correa is third on the team in WAR, but we're bemoaning the guy's AAV while team payroll is down $10M from last season, and a vast majority of the core players are some combination of young/cheap/on team friendly deals? The Twins are winning games this year, Correa is obviously a big part of that, seems far from a "recipe for failure," to me.
  11. KirbyDome89
    Correa was a FA signing; that's an automatic overpay. Using a contract Polanco negotiated to buy out arbitration years as a baseline for 3-4 WAR production isn't remotely fair. Fangraphs also has the cost per WAR in FA this year at $8.5M, so if Correa gets to that 4 WAR mark the Twins are essentially getting what they paid for. I also expected more from Correa to this point, but I wouldn't call him a big disappointment.
  12. KirbyDome89
    Me too, and it's because the second part of that sentence doesn't seem to be happening. Maybe (hopefully) this is the absolute low point, but is there any young pitcher that could be up this year or next that you feel great about right now? Maybe the kid they just drafted, a few tearing up A ball, but the group that was supposed to be breaking through this year has largely fallen apart. They've certainly done better in trades, mostly because they seem to target higher end arms that way. I'd stop short of calling Maeda a very good acquisition; he was great for 11 starts in a short '20, pretty bad last year and then injured, he'll miss most if not all of this season, and he'll be a 35 year old starter trying to bounce back from TJ next year. Maybe he kills it next year; it's not like Graterol has been a monster for LA either, so I'd certainly make a Kenta-esque trade again. There has to be a balance, and the FO needs to adapt in order to maintain that equilibrium. I think that's laregely been a failure on the pitching front.
  13. KirbyDome89
    I wouldn't call it weak, I still expect them to win the division when it's all said and done. In fairness that has a lot to do with how little faith I have in CHI or CLE getting their s*** together, but yeah, perspective is important. Agreed, I see the low tier posts creeping into threads too, but there's some of the aforementioned perspective being lost if we're calling out a lack of positivity in single game threads right now.
  14. KirbyDome89
    They have the 2nd worst pitching staff in baseball over the last month and they've been a sub .500 club struggling to tread water in an awful division since late May. How much good will are you expecting to find in some of these threads?
  15. KirbyDome89
    The final score doesn't really show it, but the bullpen was pretty awful again tonight. Megill was bailed out by that dead ball play, Pagan once again allowed multiple base runners during a single inning of work, and Duffey did his best to give up a 6 run lead.
  16. KirbyDome89
    A high end number to illustrate his lack of iron man status.
  17. KirbyDome89
    Did it? "I don't view Ober as a 2/3 at all, regardless, he's a near lock to miss time with injuries." This year will his third time in four professional seasons he'll finish with an innings total in the 70s or lower. That's part time even by today's standard but let's argue semantics.
  18. KirbyDome89
    I guess we'll just ignore the fact he's frequently unavailable, i.e. the point being made.
  19. KirbyDome89
    The bargain bin SP signings (Archer and Bundy) haven't worked out. Pagan and Paddack were rebound candidates; Pagan hasn't and we know the Paddack story. I don't view Ober as a 2/3 at all, regardless, he's a near lock to miss time with injuries. Did they expect 150ish innings from him? The rest of that pen...woof. Staff construction was shaky from the jump. Then there's the pipeline, i.e. the reinforcements that were supposed to be pushing some of the projects aside. That's been a disaster. Hope, misplaced confidence, oversight, call it what you want, the reality is they gambled on 3/5 of the rotation + a contingency plan revolving around prospects, and neither have really shown up. Lucky for them they play in the AL Central because there's a decent chance they'd be selling if they were in any other division.
  20. KirbyDome89
    I'm suggesting this team desperately needs established major league pitching for this season and beyond. You need to give in order to receive; only parting with potential 40 man casualties and clinging to depreciating assets isn't the remedy. They decided to cross their fingers and hope this year, that can't be the approach again, especially with what's going on with the pitching prospects. Failing to recognize and/or capitalize on opportunities is another great way to show yourself out.
  21. KirbyDome89
    Thats the beauty of playing in the AL Central in 2022; you can be incredibly flawed and still lead the division...
  22. KirbyDome89
    So count on Ober to suddenly shake the injuries and give you 150 innings? Paddack is available for half the year at best, Maeda turns 35, and we're banking on both immediately post TJ? Which version of Alcala are they getting? Winder was just shut down again with a shoulder issue that has persisted for a year now. Sure, we can call Dobnak and Smeltzer depth, but the reality is they're AAAA guys, at least as starters. Ideally the depth would come from the much hyped pipeline, but ahhh yeah, we've seen how that has looked to this point. Essentially you have them shuffling the deck chairs + the FO committing big money/years to a front line SP. It just feels like asking for disappointment on both fronts. "Not horrible," shouldn't be the bar to clear for a starting SS on a team that's looking to compete. The Twins need to sign an actual SS, at least for the year. The plan can't be to hold water and hope Lewis can take over midseason after recovering from his 2nd torn ACL. The off chance that 6+ players hit their absolute best case scenario next year doesn't seem like a viable reason to stand pat and not improve an obviously flawed, but division leading team this year.
  23. KirbyDome89
    Or effective. This is the 3rd time in less than a year Winder has been shut down with a shoulder issue. It seems unlikely to resolve itself without intervention. Maeda is going to be 35 next season post TJ, and he wasn't exactly lighting it up before getting injured in August. Paddack was a reclamation project of sorts prior to TJ. We're holding onto 20ish innings to close last season as the "real," Alcala vs. his erratic 40ish innings to start the year.
  24. KirbyDome89
    Why are we assuming the FO is currently willing to pay market rate and not hunting value? The Reds could certainly be overplaying their hand, but this FO isn't exactly aggressive when it comes to paying for arms.
  25. KirbyDome89
    These same Twins were also 11 games over .500 at one point. Yeah, they've been treading water for the last 2 months but Cleveland and Chicago have been 2-4, 3-4, and 4-3 all year. What about either of those two teams suggests they'll pull off a run like MN did to start the year? Don't get me wrong, the Twins have plenty of warts and I have my own reservations, but I just don't understand the faith some seem to have in either CLE or especially CHI suddenly getting their s*** together enough to take over the division.
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