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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    I agree that he's young, and that could mostly be what's at play here. I think his lack of a plus secondary pitch is hurting him though. Opponents seem to be grinding out more ABs recently, and I doubt that's accidental. Houston kinda laid that blueprint earlier in the year.
  2. KirbyDome89
    "But the reality is, even for a below-average reliever, once you remove the ugliest parts of a season, the rest tends to look okay." We're 2 years removed from the last time this guy was a reliable relief arm. Cherry picking spurts of acceptable performance and by your own admission, hoping for another "lucky," stretch doesn't address any of the actual issues going on with Pagan.
  3. KirbyDome89
    Chicago is just the gift that keeps on giving. For all the warts the Twins do or don't have have, the Sox offer a healthy amount of perspective.
  4. KirbyDome89
  5. KirbyDome89
    Concur on being proactive rather than reactive. Winder looks more than capable of giving the Twins what Bundy has to this point, plus Bundy to the pen might be an improvement on two fronts.
  6. KirbyDome89
    Strength in numbers baby
  7. KirbyDome89
    Cleveland probably gripes about their own pen blowing leads in 2 of those 3 games as well if we're being fair. Today though, that Guardians lineup was anemic, and honestly they were all series against anyone not named Pagan or Thornburg. Am I crazy for continuing to think the Twins are the superior team, but for some reason piss away opportunities when playing Cleveland?
  8. KirbyDome89
    Revisit the Berrios trade. Trade deadline proposals with little to zero chance of acceptance. Trade/extend Correa. Rocco hate/defense threads. This place is the f****** ground hogs day of tiresome takes at times....
  9. KirbyDome89
    FIP and xFIP say he's pretty much where he should be. The total body is probably what you'd expect from a 5th starter, but that's a bar I think we all hoped one of the young starters would clear. I think Winder is at that point.
  10. KirbyDome89
    Fingers crossed
  11. KirbyDome89
    Sure, if this is the real Bundy then he stays, but I kinda doubt that. I don't even mind if they ride him a bit while he's not terrible but I'd like to see Winder take his spot sooner rather than later. On IP alone, Winder being able to go 5-6 is more valuable than Archer with the disaster that is this bullpen. If they want to stack Bundy & Archer and readdress the logjam whenever Ober shows up I'm all for that too.
  12. KirbyDome89
    Do they need to implode and be amongst the worst pitchers in the league, a la Happ and Shoemaker, for the Twins to move them though? I think Winder gives MN a better shot than Bundy to every fifth day, despite Dylan's last two outings. Almost of equal importance, it gives the Twins an actual look at a starting prospect this year. Obviously they still have half a season, and injuries/ineffectiveness blah blah blah are all in play too.
  13. KirbyDome89
    This. For a multitude of reasons.
  14. KirbyDome89
    DRS and UZR have Urshela right at average with OAA a tick below. I'll cede that it's possible he's undervalued a little but this season isn't a a stark departure from his career numbers. Correa is another story. I think he's better than the numbers he has posted this year, but these same metrics loved him while he ascended towards the top of the SS mountain.
  15. KirbyDome89
    I think he's average. If DRS, UZR, and OAA told varying stories to one degree or another I'd be more inclined to rethink my stance.
  16. KirbyDome89
    They're certainly not gospel, but I find DRS or OAA helpful at least as far as dispelling the "Gio Urshela is a defensive stud," narrative that won't seem to die.
  17. KirbyDome89
    Better defenders make the "WOW," plays look routine. It's that simple.
  18. KirbyDome89
    -5 OAA and a DRS of 0 but we're giving him a Gold Glove...
  19. KirbyDome89
    Counting tonight he's played in 6 of 7 games since Kirilloff's return, but I guess I'm seeing things... Are they currently investing in Miranda or not? That was what I asked. Don't shift the goalposts to hypothetical future usage. The Twins don't need to lock in an inferior defender at 3B to get Miranda ABs.
  20. KirbyDome89
    You're not wrong about Urshela's value/contributions to the team moving forward, but Miranda hasn't exactly lit it up at 3B this year. Gio is probably at best an average defensive third basemen; Miranda is worse. I don't understand why the Twins need to downgrade defensively at 3B when they can keep Miranda's bat in the lineup without having to do so.
  21. KirbyDome89
    Martin? No clue. Based on the 5 mins I spent checking out his BR game logs, that SWR guy has though.
  22. KirbyDome89
    He has played 17 out of a possible 20 games so far this month but the Twins aren't investing in their future unless he's at 3B every single game? The Twins have a safety net, albeit a meh one, in place if Miranda regresses, and they have a real shot at the postseason, but let's put that in jeopardy for essentially no reason? The beautiful part about the stars aligning is that it's always next year...
  23. KirbyDome89
    To be clear, I'm not throwing in the towel on either of these guys. The slugging is, and looks to always be a concern for Martin if he's not to stick at a middle IF position. Recently he's looked a lot more like the guy in Toronto during his '21 season. He's gonna be 22 in a couple months, which is average for AA, and this is his second season at that level. Some inconsistency is absolutely to be expected. Sure, if I'm a Jays fan I wouldn't be thrilled with Berrios' performance to date, but I'd also be looking at Martin and SWR and think Toronto sold high, and if I'm betting on a rebound it's more likely to come from the guy with a solid major league track record.
  24. KirbyDome89
    He had a terrible first and last start. In between, including some clunkers, his numbers aren't all that far off from what we'd expect. He also, ya know, mowed this Twins team down in Toronto couple weeks ago. SSS stamp and move on, at least for right now. Martin's value is at an all time low, after a handful of great games to start the year SWR has been pretty bad, and the Twins' pitching staff as a whole is unsurprisingly struggling. If I'm a Jays fan I'm certainly not bemoaning the trade.
  25. KirbyDome89
    I don't think the answer is necessarily to throw cash at multiple high end guys either, but I've lost a lot of confidence in the "spin gold out of straw," approach. It wasn't just Colome that tanked last season, and even though the pen stabilized a bit, it wasn't enough. History is slowly repeating itself. I totally agree that having a solid 3-4 arms like you named would go a long way and make it possible to hide guys like Pagan & Thielbar, though if Canterino is now strictly a relief arm (not saying you're wrong) the SP pipeline is taking some early Ls. The Twins had success with the front heavy strategy in '19. Duffey, May, and Rogers all had career years and threw 50ish innings. People forget how meh the rest of that bullpen was (they DFA'd their closer at the deadline ffs.) Another issue that gets less attention, but has already been mentioned, is SPs going deeper into games. Even with a solid 3-4 arms, you can't have a rotation turning in short starts 2-3 times per turn.
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