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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    Possibly yeah, obviously more goes into it than just K%, I was singling out one factor. Agreed, I'm not going down the rabbit hole of chase rates, swinging strikes, ect. I don't necessarily think all strikes are created equal, and I certainly wouldn't put a Sanchez AB in the same category with Arraez. That was part of my nitpick. Same. Yeah, I saw they were middle of the pack in team K rate. I'm too lazy to look up what kind of impact extremes like Arraez or maybe Polanco have on the pitches seen per appearance, i.e. are the Twins the 6th most patient lineup in baseball, or is their current position buoyed by a couple guys while the rest of the lineup is more or less in line with the K% - average. It looked like moving 1% in either direction has them in the top or bottom third of the league as far as K% goes.
  2. KirbyDome89
    Polanco and Arraez absolutely have an approach that forces a pitcher to "work," but Buxton and Sanchez strike out a ton. I'm curious how much of an impact K% has on pitches seen per plate appearance.
  3. KirbyDome89
    Give it time.
  4. KirbyDome89
    Who aren't the Twins trading according to TD?
  5. KirbyDome89
    I was an Arcia truther; weird times. I still wouldn't count cash considerations as a W for the Twins. Ever. Jepsen was so bad during that TSF season that I almost think his negative contributions outweigh the positive, but it's not a hill to die on.
  6. KirbyDome89
    Is it? Is giving the Twins bullpen an extra inning of work "much worse," than 6 innings of 3 runs or less from your SP? The runs he has given up his last 6 (now 7) starts? The number of barrels he's catching or his hard hit percentage you seemed to gloss over? 3/4 of the 5 IP with fewer than 2 ER starts came in his first three games, which conveniently sidesteps my point about him being terrible lately, but yeah, I'm the one cherry picking....
  7. KirbyDome89
    0 quality starts in 9 chances. His ERA is north of 8 in his last six starts and it's because he's giving up tons of hard contact. It's been more down than up recently. The relationship always had an expiration date.
  8. KirbyDome89
    Yep. Smeltzer's good run continues and he slides into a solid setup role when Ryan and Gray are back? The FO is proactive rather than reactive with the 40 man and we see Canterino sooner rather than later?
  9. KirbyDome89
    Over, but only because it's the Twins...
  10. KirbyDome89
    How could I not be when trying to match such wit.
  11. KirbyDome89
    Yet entering today he had a FIP still north of 5.00. You can pick a game here or there, I'm sure today will be one of them, but the overall underlying numbers don't paint the picture of a guy that's being held back by his own team. Yikes at that Lance Lynn comp. If you told me that's what the Twins were getting I'd have have said run away. Because the Twins want to win those games. Do they need to leave him in the get absolutely blown up before we'll admit that Archer has worn down quickly and often found himself in trouble? Has the bullpen also not bailed him out at times?
  12. KirbyDome89
    I think the Twins just want to win games and leaving Archer in longer that 3-4 innings puts that goal in jeopardy. Of course rookie pitchers are going to be given the benefit of the doubt over a vet trying to prove there's something left in the tank after dealing with injuries and ineffectiveness. FIP is not Archer's friend. It's clear he fades after the 3rd or 4th inning, the Twins aren't holding him back. Also, it's June, the issue definitely isn't him not being stretched out at this point.
  13. KirbyDome89
    You lumped Royce Lewis playing a different position to get back as quickly as possible in with "cut Nick Gordon." No idea why you'd do that, particularly if you agree his injury is simply unfortunate timing. FWIW, the points I made previously are quite the opposite of myopic, they all take into account a view that stretches beyond the last 2 weeks or so.
  14. KirbyDome89
    So the Twins were wrong for wanting one of their best offensive players back in the lineup? Positional versatility is now a negative? We know Lewis wasn't an injury risk at a physically demanding position like SS? Oh and they had to know Correa was going to test positive within days of recalling Lewis? Speaking of myopic takes...
  15. KirbyDome89
    It's not even close. He struggles to get through a lineup the second time. It's basically June; he can't go at least 5 innings because he isn't good enough to get there.
  16. KirbyDome89
    His season WHIP now sits at 1.47, a career-worst for him, despite the excellent 2.30 season ERA thus far, a career-best. Should we be at all worried about him? We should've started worrying a while back. The guy has a FIP 3x his ERA and is getting hit almost as hard as he was last season. Tick tick tick.....
  17. KirbyDome89
    So Donaldson, by himself, has been worth 3x the amount of WAR as what the Twins received, but at this moment we're calling it a win for the Twins.... If we're convinced Donaldson is going to fall off a cliff to make this trade palatable, maybe we could, ya know, let that actually happen before proclaiming this a W. It's also heartwarming to see TD turning into Twitter, where garbage tier hot takes rule the day and substantiating any of the claims is an afterthought.
  18. KirbyDome89
    I think in the excitement of flipping a reliever for a SP with 3 years of control, the question of "what are you really getting?" kind of fell by the wayside. I agree with the general rule that says you make that move nearly every time, but context matters, as we've unfortunately found out.
  19. KirbyDome89
    I don't see this rotation as being built for October success. Both FA signings have been largely unimpressive. I'm pretty much done with Archer at this point, and Bundy has basically been his '21 self, not the reclamation project we were sold. Paddack is gone. Right now it's Ryan (who I'm probably higher on than most,) cross your fingers on Gray and Ober being more durable for the remainder of the season, hope Winder's recent rough patch is just that, and try to get solid major league innings out of at least one more prospect.
  20. KirbyDome89
    Then I have no idea why you're arguing.
  21. KirbyDome89
    It's already been pointed out this FO has been fine with lesser players learning other positions at the major league level. Even if it's only a week, those games matter just as much as any other. Idc if it's KC and Detroit, handicapping yourself misses the mark.
  22. KirbyDome89
    You don't think he can find enough PT between 3B, 1B, and the OF, or just become a starter at 3B? Yes Mike, people are on board with this move.
  23. KirbyDome89
    It's baffling that a team struggling to consistently score runs would decide to send down a high profile prospect who's easily one of their best current players. To boot, we're concerned about PT for Garlick, Urshela, Gordon, or one of a handful of bullpen dart throws had Lewis stayed? "He'll be back up soon enough," isn't a rationale for the decision, it's just blurting out a nonspecific fact that ignores all context. I'd love to see a Venn diagram of those that favored this season as a "development year," and those defending the decision to send Lewis down. The future seems to be now, it'd be nice if the Twins got the memo.
  24. KirbyDome89
    Yes. Yes. I'll add this article to that list of meaningless things as well. The irony of calling out a media group that manufactures ridiculous takes, in an article that will undoubtedly do the same thing seems to be lost here. Don't feed them people. Easier said than done at times, I get it, but we're circling the drain with this one. If this is a user submitted thread it's instalocked.
  25. KirbyDome89
    No, it wasn't. TX and NY were acquiring players with the expectation they continued to produce similarly to '21.
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