KirbyDome89
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Everything posted by KirbyDome89
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Is Chris Archer Starting to Become a Liability?
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think the Twins just want to win games and leaving Archer in longer that 3-4 innings puts that goal in jeopardy. Of course rookie pitchers are going to be given the benefit of the doubt over a vet trying to prove there's something left in the tank after dealing with injuries and ineffectiveness. FIP is not Archer's friend. It's clear he fades after the 3rd or 4th inning, the Twins aren't holding him back. Also, it's June, the issue definitely isn't him not being stretched out at this point. -
You lumped Royce Lewis playing a different position to get back as quickly as possible in with "cut Nick Gordon." No idea why you'd do that, particularly if you agree his injury is simply unfortunate timing. FWIW, the points I made previously are quite the opposite of myopic, they all take into account a view that stretches beyond the last 2 weeks or so.
- 27 replies
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- gary sanchez
- dylan bundy
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So the Twins were wrong for wanting one of their best offensive players back in the lineup? Positional versatility is now a negative? We know Lewis wasn't an injury risk at a physically demanding position like SS? Oh and they had to know Correa was going to test positive within days of recalling Lewis? Speaking of myopic takes...
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- gary sanchez
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It's not even close. He struggles to get through a lineup the second time. It's basically June; he can't go at least 5 innings because he isn't good enough to get there.
- 20 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- chris archer
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His season WHIP now sits at 1.47, a career-worst for him, despite the excellent 2.30 season ERA thus far, a career-best. Should we be at all worried about him? We should've started worrying a while back. The guy has a FIP 3x his ERA and is getting hit almost as hard as he was last season. Tick tick tick.....
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- dylan bundy
- trevor larnach
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Josh Donaldson Trade Paying Dividends
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
So Donaldson, by himself, has been worth 3x the amount of WAR as what the Twins received, but at this moment we're calling it a win for the Twins.... If we're convinced Donaldson is going to fall off a cliff to make this trade palatable, maybe we could, ya know, let that actually happen before proclaiming this a W. It's also heartwarming to see TD turning into Twitter, where garbage tier hot takes rule the day and substantiating any of the claims is an afterthought.- 67 replies
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- josh donaldson
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An Early Look Back on the Chris Paddack Trade
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think in the excitement of flipping a reliever for a SP with 3 years of control, the question of "what are you really getting?" kind of fell by the wayside. I agree with the general rule that says you make that move nearly every time, but context matters, as we've unfortunately found out.- 44 replies
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- chris paddack
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The Twins' 3 Biggest Weaknesses
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't see this rotation as being built for October success. Both FA signings have been largely unimpressive. I'm pretty much done with Archer at this point, and Bundy has basically been his '21 self, not the reclamation project we were sold. Paddack is gone. Right now it's Ryan (who I'm probably higher on than most,) cross your fingers on Gray and Ober being more durable for the remainder of the season, hope Winder's recent rough patch is just that, and try to get solid major league innings out of at least one more prospect.- 56 replies
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- miguel sano
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Then I have no idea why you're arguing.
- 185 replies
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- royce lewis
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It's already been pointed out this FO has been fine with lesser players learning other positions at the major league level. Even if it's only a week, those games matter just as much as any other. Idc if it's KC and Detroit, handicapping yourself misses the mark.
- 185 replies
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- royce lewis
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You don't think he can find enough PT between 3B, 1B, and the OF, or just become a starter at 3B? Yes Mike, people are on board with this move.
- 185 replies
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- royce lewis
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It's baffling that a team struggling to consistently score runs would decide to send down a high profile prospect who's easily one of their best current players. To boot, we're concerned about PT for Garlick, Urshela, Gordon, or one of a handful of bullpen dart throws had Lewis stayed? "He'll be back up soon enough," isn't a rationale for the decision, it's just blurting out a nonspecific fact that ignores all context. I'd love to see a Venn diagram of those that favored this season as a "development year," and those defending the decision to send Lewis down. The future seems to be now, it'd be nice if the Twins got the memo.
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- royce lewis
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Yes. Yes. I'll add this article to that list of meaningless things as well. The irony of calling out a media group that manufactures ridiculous takes, in an article that will undoubtedly do the same thing seems to be lost here. Don't feed them people. Easier said than done at times, I get it, but we're circling the drain with this one. If this is a user submitted thread it's instalocked.
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Yankees Giving Twins Fits
KirbyDome89 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
No, it wasn't. TX and NY were acquiring players with the expectation they continued to produce similarly to '21.- 45 replies
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- gary sanchez
- gio urshela
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Yankees Giving Twins Fits
KirbyDome89 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Playing the results game by game is a roller coaster. There was plenty of fluff when the Twins were coming off that 9-1 stretch too. In general, analysis would ideally split the middle and be more objective. In fairness though, I don't think there's any other way to spin the Sanchez/Urshela start as awful.- 45 replies
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- gary sanchez
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Yankees Giving Twins Fits
KirbyDome89 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sure, the swap reaches beyond just this year, but the bulk of it affects '22. I don't think it was a chose A or B situation in regard to Correa and Donaldson. The trade was sold as the Twins buying low on Sanchez and Urshela. To date, each has been even worse than their low points in NY. It's hard to say the Twins have gained much other than money off the books in '23, and quick math says there should be plenty of that with or without Donaldson. The Twins have maybe broken even at C, though I'd note that Garver had a similarly rough start last year and still ended up posting pretty good numbers, and they've seemingly downgraded at 3B. It's hard to say the they've gained much other than money off the books next year (which there could/should be plenty of with or without Donaldson,) and that's assuming it's being spent wisely, if it's even spent at all.- 45 replies
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- gary sanchez
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Yankees Giving Twins Fits
KirbyDome89 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
"It was a fine move to swap out Josh Donaldson. His place in the clubhouse may not have been ideal." Anything to support the bolded @Ted Schwerzler? Player statements, staff interviews, anecdotal interactions, whatever? This is the second time, on a front page article, that you've implied he was a clubhouse malcontent.- 45 replies
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- gary sanchez
- gio urshela
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Yankees Giving Twins Fits
KirbyDome89 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
To be clear, the Twins saved something like $10-12M in the swap with NY. So, roughly the difference in payroll between this season and last. That trade didn't suddenly unlock the ability to sign Correa to what's essentially a 1 year $35M deal. Can that notion please die now? Correa and Sano are almost certainly gone next year, there's $45M. This FO isn't spending on pitching, and they've made that clear. Every defensive position has either a vet locked into a team friendly deal, or a talented young player pushing through. Paying an aging Donaldson isn't the albatross it's being painted as.- 45 replies
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- gary sanchez
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Nope, I'm just not putting as much stock into the first 50 games which happen to be the softest part of the schedule. Grain of salt =/= dismiss.
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I'm not, I've said I expect them to be better, but I also don't think good teams puke all over themselves as often as Chicago has recently. Perhaps this is their upswing.
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Do you think Detroit, KC, and Oakland are anything other than terrible and pose any threat to sending the Twins into a tailspin? It's as simple as that. Weak division, lots of games against the 2 worst teams in said division + playing bottom feeders from other divisions = a soft start. I don't think we need more than surface level analysis here.
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Not dismissed, rather, taken with a grain of salt. Maybe that's the disconnect. Again, I've always counted the upcoming weeks as part of the start. Can you point out other teams that have matched up this frequently in the first 45ish games with teams barreling towards 100 losses? Honestly Levi, they play a ton of games against the two worst teams in their own division (and all of baseball) and then they get another helping of the dregs of the AL West. The only other teams that could maybe claim something similar to that are STL and Milwaukee. We openly acknowledge the Central is a weak division but now that's suddenly irrelevant?
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It's all being lumped together. The whole lot. All those games. Hopefully that part is settled. We come here of our own accord to do just that, draw conclusions. Hey, if you want to stamp SSS on every argument and invalidate it, be my guest, but unless we're drawing arbitrary lines, there's not gonna be much to talk about if that's the road we're traveling down.
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Agreed. I think perception is driven largely by record though, and schedule, particularly for the Twins, plays a role. You and I might agree that a 88-90 win Twins team might be out of their league come postseason play, but it's certainly going to draw ire from the "real," crowd.
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We're 30 games in, everything (positive or negative) is a SSS Levi. I too expect Chicago to be better than this version, but that doesn't mean they haven't played like s*** the last few weeks, or that it's entirely irrelevant when talking about a favorable schedule to start the year. Over a 162 game schedule am I going to take the time or effort to look up things like that? No, but again, 30 games is all we've got so SSS reigns supreme, and that cuts both ways. Hell, there was an article about Ryan Jeffers being a top 5 catcher in baseball on the front page. I understand all teams bulk up by beating inferior opponents. I get that the AL looks to be more unbalanced than usual. I think the Twins got the softest part of their schedule out of the gate. You seem to disagree.

