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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    The Twins won 78 games last year. They've added Pablo Lopez, Joey Gallo, and Michael Taylor while subtracting Luis Arraez. Take a peak at just how insane the numbers are for so many members of that 2019 team before arguing that pitching health/effectiveness and defense is going to make up a gap of 20+ games.
  2. KirbyDome89
    Not a huge fan of this move. Buxton played 57 games in CF last year. Even if Taylor is going to start 80ish games in CF assuming a healthier Buxton (a massive assumption) he's not really an insurance policy, he's a part of a platoon. Taylor being in the OF that frequently puts a lot of pressure on Gallo. The floor is low, and pretty fragile from an offensive standpoint.
  3. KirbyDome89
    Amen. I wouldn't be in a hurry to move anybody to the pen at this point. If Balazovic ends up there with the guys you've already mentioned that leaves SWR and maybe Varland as far as the "pipeline," goes? Possibly Prielipp in a few years if everything breaks right for him? Gray, Mahle, and Maeda (admittedly not banking on much from him) are all gone after this year. Lopez follows them the following year barring an extension. That's 3-4 rotation spots with 2-3 prospects and a post TJ Chris Paddack to cover. I don't like that....
  4. KirbyDome89
    Reduced, not gone. The Twins still have a massive advantage playing in the AL Central.
  5. KirbyDome89
    Zero mention of Sano on the IF. Zero mention of Luis Arraez on the IF. Zero mention of Nelson Cruz. 2023 Kepler is the same as 2019 Kepler? Gallo is an upgrade? We're using Garver's 2018 season as the benchmark but talking comparisons regarding the 2019 and 2023 squad? Zero mention of Tyler Duffey in the pen. Rogers, Duffey, and May were better than anybody in this current pen not named Duran. Off the top of my head, those are just the most egregious takes. "As a whole, it’s almost a sweep when it comes to groupings that look better in 2023 than in 2019." This article is so shockingly awful it has to be trolling. Those who frequent TD deserve better content than this. Pull it down....
  6. KirbyDome89
    And how much of that is buoyed by time missed in 2021? The meh stretch I pointed out last year is as long, or longer, than his entire year in 2020 or 2021. Why are those partial seasons not considered poor projectors as well?
  7. KirbyDome89
    It's not much of a truncation; he pitched like a fringe back end guy for 2/3 of last year. He spent large chunks of 2019 and 2021 either injured or ineffective as well. Lopez is probably a better health bet than Archer or Bundy and his upside is clearly higher, but neither of the aforementioned guys cost Luis Arraez; that's going to color how this upgrade is viewed.
  8. KirbyDome89
    Lopez June - October last year essentially was Dylan Bundy.
  9. KirbyDome89
    Because the Mets have zero fear of spending and they were engaged with Correa over a previous offer. Why would they not be the benchmark? I'm not arguing that it isn't. I'm curious why a team that has no limitations wouldn't front load the deal and give themselves and out down the line if Correa was agreeable to such terms.
  10. KirbyDome89
    Sure, but it seems Correa was willing to do a shorter term deal, so why not best MN's AAV? That's what I don't get. You've protected yourself from the long term concerns and we know the luxury tax is an afterthought for NY.
  11. KirbyDome89
    I really want to know what went down with the Mets where they weren't willing to beat this offer from MN. Medical concern? Pride? Spite?
  12. KirbyDome89
    The Twins might've been serious about signing him for $285M, but before he failed 2 physicals we all knew that number wasn't going to get it done. Unless we want to believe this team can tell the future, I don't think that offer was seriously entertained at any point. I'm glad Correa is back. I think the FO stumbled into this opportunity, but they took advantage, so credit where it's due.
  13. KirbyDome89
    So the Twins need to trade from a bottom tier farm for more short term pitching? Hard pass. Same goes for Machado. Good luck coming up with the kind of package SD would command for Tatis, it's not even worth thinking about. SD is looking to compete, and they control Kim essentially through his prime. At worst, he's a solid utility option and Bogaerts insurance at SS. Idk why they'd be in a hurry to move him this year, i.e. it's likely they'll need to be blown away to let him go. Is that the type of asking price MN should meet for a solid but unspectacular SS?
  14. KirbyDome89
    Holy cope, are you actually arguing that the Twins knew SF and NY would balk after verbally agreeing to deals? The Twins were $65M, then $30M short, and never once got to $300M, a number nearly everybody thought was the starting point for acquiring Correa, but they didn't misread the market? The FO had, and by some accounts still does have, full control; they just have to spend the actual $$ it'll take to secure Correa's services.
  15. KirbyDome89
    Correa's earning potential at 38 won't be remotely close to what it currently is at 28, and that gap between what type of AAV he can command now vs. down the road is much more important than the value of the dollar 10 years vs. 12-13 years from now. It's not even close to a wash.
  16. KirbyDome89
    Agreed, which to me disqualifies their initial offer as "good," when they came up well short 2x. If Correa does end up signing for something close to what MN offered, it'll be due to circumstances well outside of the Twins' control and understanding.
  17. KirbyDome89
    It did prior to the physical. Again, you either have to believe the Twins could forecast the future, and knew multiple deals would fall through, or they missed twice and might back their way into a signing. One scenario is much more likely than the other.
  18. KirbyDome89
    The years don't matter. Why people refuse to acknowledge this Idk. A 40 year old Correa isn't signing a deal for anywhere close to $30M AAV, even though the value of that amount won't be equivalent to today. It's not about optics, it's about maximizing the money while he's at the peak of his earning potential.
  19. KirbyDome89
    It absolutely does if you're going to argue that their initial offer was a good one. If they didn't know SF would back out, then no, coming up $65M short wasn't a proper valuation.
  20. KirbyDome89
    You honestly believe the Twins knew SF and then NY would outbid them and then renege? I mean c'mon....
  21. KirbyDome89
    It was $30M less. Pretty big difference no?
  22. KirbyDome89
    Ryan doesn't belong on this list. I agree that people don't seem to realize how bad he was against playoff caliber teams, or that nearly 1/3 of his starts came against Detroit and KC, but I think we're forgetting the questions about his ability to stick as a SP due to his lack of a secondary pitch and his low velocity. Barring some massive regression there shouldn't be any doubt about him as a back end guy at this point. That's a W, and obviously one of the better scenarios. There's a weird push to force him into the middle or upper echelon of the rotation. Idk if that stems from his Opening Day start or just general fan hype, but I don't think that was ever a realistic goal. Maybe he exceeds expectations, and that'd be great, but right now he's basically what we could've hoped for when the trade was made so I don't think there's anything for him to prove. Conversely, we've got guy like Emilio Pagan who needs to prove that gambling on his "stuff," isn't another massive waste of a roster spot. Tyler Mahle, Kenta Maeda, and Josh Winder need to prove they can stay healthy and be productive.
  23. KirbyDome89
    The entire point of the article is that relying on "fliers everyone knew were lotto tix or make good deals," year over year hasn't worked out. Do you have an actual counterpoint, or are you just upset that people are talking about the issue?
  24. KirbyDome89
    I was wondering how far down I'd have to scroll to see "former...." and "leadership," mentioned. As it turns out, not very far.
  25. KirbyDome89
    If the Twins view Gallo as a better upside version of Gordon from the left side of the plate (a very real possibility) with better defensive prowess in CF, i.e. Buxton insurance, they definitely could make a case for keeping Kepler. I'm not saying it's a move I love, but I don't think Kepler is a lock to be traded. I also doubt the Twins want to lock Larnach (or anybody really) into the DH role for nearly half the season.
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