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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. I wish I shared that optimism. The offense taking off kinda begins and ends with the young position players, and depending on what happens with Correa and Buxton they might have to bear more of that burden. Positive regression becomes less of a certainty when we're talking about guys with limited run at the major league level. Then there's the pitching. If we expect the offense to trend upwards, it's fair to point out we're also operating with a bullpen where Brock Stewart is one of the top arms. The SP has been great, but we tend to ignore regression when that group is brought up.
  2. Sure, Dozier's value had cratered by the time he was moved, but he did have actual value that the team opted not to cash in on. Garcia and Kintzler were certainly more valuable in the moment. Ditto for Pressly. Dyson was a bust. Mahle was/is a bust on an even larger scale. Does anybody feel good about Jorge Lopez right now? Yeah, Ryan and Duran are clear W's, no doubt, but they've swung and missed their fare share as well.
  3. Gray wasn't a deadline deal. Zack Littell, Tyler Watson, Jorge Alcala, Devin Smeltzer, and Sam Dyson wave hello in addition to the disaster last year.
  4. Are they really a league average offense though? They're still scoring three or fewer runs in half their games, they're pulling away with the league lead in Ks, and despite being top 5 in BBs + top 10 in HRs they're 21st in runs created per game and as you already mentioned 20th in OPS. Maybe these same issues plague all the the middle to lower tier offensive teams, Idk I'm not nearly as locked in on those clubs, but I don't think the eye test is necessarily misleading us here.
  5. This Cleveland series has been a microcosm of the season to date; tough to watch for large parts with ample opportunity squandered. We can look at the standings and try to find solace in the fact that there isn't a single team in the ALC that looks like a real threat to race by the Twins, but man this club makes it so difficult to feel good about them.
  6. "Didn't show up," doesn't necessarily mean they quit or weren't trying. McKenzie had 10 Ks in 5 innings his first start back after a shoulder issue. 16 total Ks, 1 run scored, and a god awful AB to end the game with a runner on 3B. Yeah Idk, I don't think they really showed up today either but YMMV.
  7. 6 pitches, none were strikes. Maybe Clase gets Garlick (more likely than not) but he didn't exactly look comfortable out there, and this is the same guy that leads MLB in blown saves.
  8. Wow. Cleveland was just begging the Twins to take that game. Awful AB by Castro. Awful.
  9. All I'm pointing out is that right now he isn't too far off of where he was for the final 4 months of last season, i.e. for a team that has probably underperformed as a whole, I don't think Lopez is one of the biggest disappointments. That doesn't mean he has met expectations, rather, others have come up far shorter.
  10. June - September last year (22 games) he posted a 4.69 ERA with a 4.10 FIP.
  11. Yet they've continued to be noncommittal about Buxton as the full time DH or spending any amount of time in CF. Actions do, hence my belief we won't see him in CF at any point, but if that decision has been reached Idk why you'd carry on with the pretense he'll be anything other than a DH this year. Idk if voicing displeasure is grounds for having your fan card revoked, YMMV on that.
  12. If the team (or Buxton) came out and confirmed he wasn't physically able to handle playing CF I think a decent amount of the hang wringing goes away. I'm doubtful we see him in the OF at any point this season. I know the goalposts have already shifted to the postseason but even that seems like a pipe dream; Idk why we'd expect to see him playing CF 100 games later in October when he hasn't been able to come close in May. Right now the vagueness surrounding his role kinda feels like a long setup for disappointment. I can understand some of the frustration; I feel it myself.
  13. That prediction also included Cleveland and Chicago being competitive. They haven't been. At all.
  14. What is that certainty actually providing though, and why can't they pivot back to it if an attempt at improvement implodes? It's odd that a team this starved for offense is so willing to lock themselves into subpar output in RF when a viable option for improvement is playing across the river. So they'd need to find a hopeful playoff team willing to move pitching for a weak hitting LH corner OF'er in a market that's saturated with LH corner OF'ers, or a tanking team that's more interested in 2+ months of Kepler than prospects. Yeesh, good luck.
  15. They kind of are holding Wallner down if they're prioritizing Kepler right now. I'd stop short of saying that penciling in his 700ish OPS next to MAT in CF is the right play at this point. What (positive) change occurs with Kepler in a few months, and if they're not moving him because the LH corner OF market is down, why are the Twins entertaining the idea of selling low on Larnach or Wallner?
  16. I think the plan is to be noncommittal/vague about what's going on with CF, and pretend that Buxton as a DH only isn't a problem.
  17. The Hicks extension has nothing to do with the swap. Hicks was a player the Twins couldn't use? Zach Granite, Danny Santana, Ryan Lamarre, and Robbie Grossman all got serious run in the OF between 2016 and 2018. I mean.... The Twins got one negative WAR season from Murphy. Hicks put up over 8 WAR pre-extension and that's with a rough 2016. It was an atrocious swap, not just some blip on the radar.
  18. Solano is a negative defender and overall he has been the definition of replacement level. The Twins are relieved he has appeared in 40 games before June? I hope not....
  19. The Twins were right to sign Donaldson, and right to move him when they did. The guy slashed .247/.352/.475 over 135 games 2021. If you want to complain that he was injured in 2020, go for it, but that was a 60 game season. Poor performance absolutely did not taint his time in MN. Whether it's blind faith or a lack of options, the rationale for sticking with some of these guys doesn't really matter to me. They're two versions of the same thing, poor decision making.
  20. Yeah I remember him being pissed about the arbitration process, and I also doubt he's extended, but at the moment Milwaukee is sitting in 1st place in a pretty meh division. I'd be surprised if (at minimum) a WC berth was out of their reach by the trade deadline. The optics of moving your best arm for prospects while in contention, especially after a poor deadline last year, would be horrible.
  21. "Toronto enters play Tuesday in last place in a surging American League East." Yeah, at 26-23 and only 2.5 games back of a WC spot. Why would they even remotely entertain the idea of trading their starting 3B? Also, the Brewers are contemplating moving 1.5 years of Burnes because we're not sure they're WS bound? Like what?
  22. KC is a dumpster fire. Good luck Royals fan(s) you've got a long haul ahead. I honestly don't understand why people continue to count the Sox in. They're more inconsistent than our beloved Twins, and they're absolutely atrocious defensively. They've proven that they can't put it together. I didn't think Cleveland was as good as their record said last year, Idk if they're as bad as their record indicates this year, but somebody needs to explain where their offense is going to come from. Seriously, who in that lineup is even a semi lock to start picking it up? I can't imagine being a Cleveland fan, they're sitting bottom five in payroll in the most winnable division in baseball, and they're 1 or 2 bats away from at minimum pushing for 1st place. If there was ever an argument for a payroll floor/ceiling.... If Detroit totally buys into a youth movement, and those guys hit or exceed expectations, maybe we're talking about a race come late July. What are the odds that happens? They're as bad offensively as Cleveland right now. The author is right, this is the Twins division to win/lose. Who knows whether that'll happen, but this division is straight up terrible, and anything less than an AL Central crown would be catastrophic.
  23. Fair, I guess. I did say the same thing last year. The Twins played sub .500 ball for three months and still held onto first place a week into September, before a total collapse, which is kinda my point. I can definitely see some of the same old warts, but Memorial Day week is way too early to be worrying about this putrid division.
  24. They went 2-4 last week and extended their lead over Cleveland. Detroit isn't a real threat and KC & Chi are already done for the year. This division is f***ing awful. I wouldn't be too worried about anybody blowing by the Twins right now.
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