theBOMisthebomb
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Everything posted by theBOMisthebomb
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The Twins' Road to Nowhere
theBOMisthebomb replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Bark at the moon and you will feel better.- 59 replies
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- joey gallo
- max kepler
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The Twins' Road to Nowhere
theBOMisthebomb replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm not surprised since this franchise hasn't been relevant in the playoffs for 20+ years and has only sniffed the World Series once in 30+ years. The 2019 Twins taught me that the championship hopes of this Twins franchise are on par with the Vikings franchise - highly unlikely and don't ever get your hopes inflated. I've learned to stay detached from the results and just enjoy the process, the atmosphere, and the games.- 59 replies
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- joey gallo
- max kepler
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I'm glad to see Joe Ryan get his due. I can't help but feel we are mining fool's gold with two unproven at the MLB level shortstops in the top 5.
- 25 replies
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- royce lewis
- jorge polanco
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I hinted at this before and must state it again now. Why such a hard line approach on Luis while (presumably) Buxton gets a pass as I'm assuming Buxton will be #1? Injuries are held over Arraez's head while the more often injured Buxton doesn't seem to get penalized as much for health. Arraez wins the batting title in 2022 and is at his max? Buxton wasn't at his max (when he was on the field) in 2022? It seems quite a double standard. Arraez hit .316 in 2022. He eclipsed that BA in both 2019 and 2020. I believe he can hit .330 in a full season. 2023 will be his age 26 season, he has room to improve and put up better numbers the next 5 seasons. His home runs have slowly increased to 8 in 2022. I'm not bold enough to predict a 20 HR season for Luis - I will state he will achieve double digits in home runs. I'm placing my money on Arraez's numbers improving for the next 5 years.
- 43 replies
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- luis arraez
- jose miranda
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It's interesting how Arraez is dinged for a "tough aging curve" while I'm assuming in the 1-5 rankings Buxton will be #1. As for Miranda, only 15 home runs in 2022 surprised me. I would have guessed 20+. Memories fade and I was there for the Hader walk off and other nice Miranda games so I was influenced. Emmanuel Rodriguez wasn't on my radar, so that is a name I will now track closer. I am a huge Ober fan and like his ranking.
- 43 replies
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- luis arraez
- jose miranda
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Believe in Buxton for 2023
theBOMisthebomb replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The best ability is availability. Buxton is not available (or full strength) a great amount of games. I am as big of a Buxton fan as anyone. I just cannot count on Buxton to be there in the field for the Twins. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me nine times (estimated number of Buxton injuries, I can't find an exact count), shame on me for believing.- 64 replies
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- byron buxton
- nick paparesta
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Slim to none... and Slim and Buxton just went on the Injured List.
- 9 replies
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- byron buxton
- kenta maeda
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Wow, 57 games is impressive. I agree with your list, especially number 11. The best way to spend a night is at Target Field. The complaints about baseball being too boring, the cost, and time spent are tiresome and always somewhat surprising to me for some reason. Anyway, I made it to 22 Twins games in 2022, 19 at Target Field, 2 at Dodger Stadium, and one at Angels Stadium. I also attended non-Twins MLB games at Wrigley Field and Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago. The Twins were 9-13 when I attended. I saw the Kershaw truncated no hitter, walk offs by Buxton, Miranda against the hated Brewers, and so much more. The only addition I have to your list was the all you can eat Friday nights were quite fun. I was convinced to go by my buddy and begrudgingly went along. I enjoyed the variety and was able to keep the consumption in check. So, I took my dad a few weeks later and he also enjoyed. I just fasted the day of the all you can eat games so I could enjoy the unlimited ballpark favorites guilt free.
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5 Reasons the Minnesota Twins Will Win in 2023
theBOMisthebomb replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yes, very pessimistic yet realistic. They had a chance this offseason to spend and improve, mission failed. There's still time, maybe they can pull off a trade that is a difference maker. So far, it's just been Joey Freakin' Gallo - yuck.- 51 replies
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- royce lewis
- jose miranda
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That's an interesting and unique take on switching the teams around in Santana's career and I agree. As for the not getting three Cy Youngs, I believe it dearly cost him. Voters not very familiar with his career would have seen the 3 awards and maybe given Santana some consideration. There is a clear line of distinction between two and three Cy Young awards: Clemens 7 - we all know why he's not HOF yet; Randy Johnson 5 - HOF; Greg Maddux 4 - HOF; Steve Carlton 4 - HOF; Justin Verlander 3 - future HOF; Max Scherzer 3 - most likely future HOF; Clayton Kershaw 3 - most likely future HOF; Pedro Martinez - HOF; Jim Palmer -HOF; Tom Seaver 3 - HOF; Sandy Koufax 3 - HOF. Pitchers with 2 Cy Young Awards Jacob deGrom (NL 2018-19) probably not having an HOF career as of now Corey Kluber (AL 2014, '17) probably not having an HOF career as of now Roy Halladay (AL 2003, NL 2010) HOF Tim Lincecum (NL 2008-09) off HOF ballot after one year Johan Santana (AL 2004, '06) Tom Glavine (NL 1991, '98) HOF Bret Saberhagen (AL 1985, '89) off HOF ballot after one year Gaylord Perry (AL 1972, NL 1978) HOF Bob Gibson (NL 1968, '70) HOF Denny McLain (AL 1968-69) not in the HOF Who knows, maybe Johan didn't get that third Cy Young for a reason. That would have likely been difficult for some voters to vote yes on Santana considering he was a one and done case with only 2.4 percent voting yes.
- 51 replies
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- joe mauer
- buster posey
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Yes, the Gold Glove at 1B would have been quite a feather in the cap. My worst fear is that not getting that GG will lead Joe to have a Johan Santana type HOF case that gets dismissed too quickly. Johan lost a Cy Young to Bartolo Colon when he shouldn't have and it presumably cost his HOF case a lot of votes.
- 51 replies
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- joe mauer
- buster posey
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Oddly enough, it seems Mauer has a more positive profile nationally. Possibly they weren't burdened with the ultra high expectations so they have a more reasonable summary of Joe's accomplishments post career.
- 51 replies
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- joe mauer
- buster posey
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I'd rather take a risk on a multi-year contract rather than a one year contract with Joey Freakin' Gallo. It's about a 99.9999 percent chance Gallo is gone after one year. So, even if Joey brings back the glory years, takes a liking to the short right field porch in Target Field, and hits 40 bombs in 2023, he's most likely gone. I'm just not sure what that gets the franchise since they aren't a championship contender in 2023 (at least not yet).
- 32 replies
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- dansby swanson
- carlos rodon
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Let's talk baseball on Christmas morning?!? Yes, I love it. I don't believe Mauer will be first ballot Hall of Fame. I do believe he has a better than not chance of getting in within the first five years. Then, I plan to make my first trip to Cooperstown to celebrate watching a guy from playing in high school to the HOF.
- 51 replies
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- joe mauer
- buster posey
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Where are you getting those WAR numbers? Baseball Reference has Kepler ahead on career WAR 16.9 to 14.7 and Kepler ahead on career WAA 5.5 to 5.2. Fangraphs career WAR has Kepler at 16.0 and 15.1 for Gallo . For fielding, OAA favors Kepler for 2022 and overall career. I want to believe the Gallo defenders, I don't know where these numbers are to justify that Gallo is much more valuable than Kepler and a better fielder.
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I asked on the main Gallo thread for justification for Gallo being a plus defender because he was 95th with -3 OAA amongst 125 qualified outfielders. I received one response pulling some defensive metrics that showed Gallo as a fielder in a more positive light than OAA. Does Gallo possibly get "tall guy bonus points" for being 6' 5" by those not using defensive metrics? It will be interesting what my (admittedly unreliable) eye test says about Gallo's defense.
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Minnesota Twins Sign Joey Gallo
theBOMisthebomb replied to Theodore Tollefson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
With the chatter about Gallo's defense being a plus, I thought I'd check it. MLB.com has his OAA for the 2022 season as -3, 95th place out of 125 outfielders. Kepler is sixth place at 11 OAA. Expanding the search back to 2016 (when this stat started), Max holds steady in sixth place with 60 OAA, tied with Mookie Betts. Gallo is 55th place with 6 OAA. I can't say that I have any memories of Gallo in the field. Could someone enlighten me as to how he gets categorized as a plus defender. Does he get "bonus points" for being a 6' 5" guy who can move a little bit? -
Minnesota Twins Sign Joey Gallo
theBOMisthebomb replied to Theodore Tollefson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I hope you are correct and Gallo works out and produces in 2023. I'm doubtful, hope I'm wrong. -
Minnesota Twins Sign Joey Gallo
theBOMisthebomb replied to Theodore Tollefson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He was bloody terrible in 2022. I'd love to have egg on my face and the Twins see nearly 5.0 WAR 2021 Joey Gallo in 2023. I'm not holding my breath. This is a head scratcher to me. Maybe if we needed to fill in Gallo to an otherwise complete roster and hope that lightning in a bottle and a short right field porch lead to 40 Gallo HRs in 2023. Not with the current roster as constructed, I'd pass on Gallo. I'm hoping the front office flips Gallo, IKF style. -
Minnesota Twins Sign Joey Gallo
theBOMisthebomb replied to Theodore Tollefson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not a fan of this move. The career .199 BA and 262 strikeouts on average per 162 games are not pleasing stats. He's actually had 2 seasons of 200+ Ks. Most recently in 2021. ? ? Yuck. Supposedly he plays defense, though I'd rather have Kepler out there than Gallo. I also think I'd rather have just kept Sano, who at least has a flicker of a flame to change his destiny and become a well rounded ball player. Hopefully the FO are just going to flip Gallo, though who'd want him? -
The complaining about cost is a topic that interests me. The $127 inclusive for a night out for you and your wife for an MLB game, parking and food seems rather reasonable from my perspective. You could have spent $20- $30 just going to the cheapest of cheap fast food restaurants. Your ticket cost seems reasonable, though there are decent upper decks seats for probably $10-$15 per ticket less. The food purchases seem a bit excessive if you are so focused on cost and so cost sensitive. You could eat before leaving for the game and then not eat there. You could go to the family concession stands where the food cost is a fraction of what you quote. Buying an overpriced beer and a costly sandwich seems out of character and unnecessary if you are so cost sensitive. You do know you can bring your own food into Target Field, including your own sealed water bottle? It just seems contradictory to me to stomp your feet about cost then splurge on beer and expensive sandwiches. If you think those purchases are part of the ballpark experience, then ok. Why then complain about cost? The $15 parking is okay. You could shave a few dollars possibly, though not worth that effort. Again, the costs you quote seem reasonable to me for a full night of entertainment provided by the best baseball players in the world. What did you want the costs to be? I don't know if you're noticed the cost of everything has skyrocketed. You've seen inflation numbers the last couple of years?
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Yes, I offer free Twins tickets to casual friends, co-workers, and family all season long. The success rate when I ask someone new is not sterling. I have a group of diehards that I know will go to the game and normally stay with asking them. Now, amazingly in 2019, people wanted tickets once the Bomba Squad started rolling. Everyone loves a winner and it's difficult to get people off the couch. As someone said earlier, the casual fan will go to watch winning and home runs.

