Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

chpettit19

Community Moderator
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    8,094

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    167

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. chpettit19
    Payrolls aren't driving ticket prices. The Oakland As host the Diamondbacks Monday May 15th. Their available ticket prices for that game range from $10-$365. The Twins host the Giants Monday May 22nd. Their available ticket prices for that game range from $15-$116. The key numbers there being the 10 and 15. It costs $5 more for the cheapest ticket at Target field and the Twins payroll is $100 million more than the As.
  2. chpettit19
    Dang, I thought people were going to think I was high on the Royals!
  3. chpettit19
    Twins- 87 wins Guardians- 85 wins White Sox- 83 wins Royals- 72 wins Tigers 65 wins
  4. chpettit19
    Are you suggesting Mahle might be next for being "toast?" Feels awfully extreme.
  5. chpettit19
    He was also traded because Ober has topped 100 innings once in his professional career. The recent results show he's nowhere near throwing 80+ pitches in a start. I'd say that's at least a decent reason for why he doesn't break camp as the fifth, let alone fourth, starter. Ober has looked great in very short stints this spring. He's too talented for AAA. But we can't act like he's shown any ability to simply be plugged into a rotation and be counted on to provide consistent innings. We were all mad about the short starts last year wearing down the pen so I'm not sure why we'd want them to put a guy out there that we known can't go deep into a game yet. Ober as a piggyback on Maeda early? Now that's a different story. But handing Ober a spot in the rotation when you can't expect him to go more than 4 innings in a start early doesn't seem like a great option to me.
  6. chpettit19
    If it makes anyone feel better about a possible slow start, the Twins were the only team in the AL Central over .500 on April 30th and May 31st last year. Cleveland didn't get to .500 until June 8th last year. They won 8 out of 10 and briefly took over first at that time. So, yes, the games all count the same, but any talk of bad April and Mays ending a season is overstated. And don't forget the well documented Braves team in 2021 roaring back after a brutal April through July. They didn't reach .500 until August 5th. A good start is definitely better than a bad start. But bad starts can be overcome. Bad finishes can't be. Just ask the 2021 Mets or 2022 Twins.
  7. chpettit19
    I don't believe he's injured. But he was at the WBC so he wasn't with the team if you're questioning him not pitching for the Twins in a while.
  8. chpettit19
    This is provably false. He didn't manage that way with either Ryan or Gray last year. Didn't even do it with Paddack in his handful of starts. He did it with Bundy and Archer. Before injuries to Gray, and Covid wiping Ryan out, they were both going 6 or 7 innings regularly. The 3rd time through the order stuff was for bad pitchers. Unfortunately the Twins had way too many starts from bad pitchers last year. Rocco didn't take good, healthy pitchers out because they were coming around the order the 3rd time.
  9. chpettit19
    I wouldn't be surprised by Castro being their 13th hitter. His ability to play everywhere is something they'll love. And he's still young, with an option left. The option is important if they're expecting Kirilloff and/or Polanco back within 10-15 days of opening day. Garlick or White being added means they're fine possibly losing them in April. If you're ok losing a player in April he probably shouldn't be on your opening day roster. Hoffman probably comes down to their Ober decision. But is also tied to the position player situation somewhat. They only have 1 40-man spot open. I doubt they want to DFA anyone before the season after carrying them all offseason. But maybe. Maybe they are considering putting Celestino on the 60-day? It all gets a little more complicated if they're trying to add 2 of these guys. But if they decide to carry Ober in some role on the opening day roster there's no spot for Hoffman, or any other pitcher outside the 13 we've been expecting all offseason.
  10. chpettit19
    Fangraph's grades on him in 2019 were 45 current/60 future. Proved to be too low on both. He wasn't really a top 30 system prospect for many people so not a ton of public scouting reports (at least not on the sites I subscribe to).
  11. chpettit19
    FYI, those MLB.com grades are not their current grades, they're their future grades. That's where my confusion came from. Acuna and De Andrade are current 25-30s. Maybe a 35 if a scout is feeling generous that day.
  12. chpettit19
    @Cody Christie Can you explain where you're getting these grades from and what you're trying to show with the current grades? I'm really struggling to understand how Bryan Acuna and Danny De Andrade have a current hit grade of 55. I'm quite positive neither of those guys could hit .270+ in the majors today (a general cutoff for what a 55 grade hit tool would mean). What is their current grade supposed to be showing?
  13. chpettit19
    Yeah, you're missing a lot of context. Lopez was at the WBC so his inning total isn't telling at all. In fact, he did really well at the WBC. It's really hard to follow what you're asking for. Not just in this comment, but them all combined. It's about injuries, but you're worried about the performance of Fried allowing him to start the 7th. So is it about injury or number of innings or performance? Sounds like you're asking for a combination of all that, and I just think that's not the right way to look at spring training outings. Spring Training stats are not something that carries a lot of weight with MLB teams. It's better to have good stats than bad stats, but it's not what they're looking at. The Twins pitchers are stretched out. Mahle threw over 70 pitches his last outing. Ryan was at 62 (compared to Fried's 68). So I don't think there's anything to worry about there. Lopez threw 1 major league inning, and 6 more on the AAA field yesterday. I think you may just be trying to read into things more than I'd say should be done at this point. I'll guess Lopez as the first to get into the 7th this season, though. Or maybe Gray. Who's setup to pitch opening day I believe.
  14. chpettit19
    Cleveland is an interesting/hard team to predict this year. Obviously have to expect the top of their rotation, and back of their bullpen, will be elite. They have been for years and there's no reason to expect them not to be. That gives you a very nice floor. The question is what they get out of the back of their rotation, and from their offense. The guys at the back of their rotation aren't great. They're not Bundy and Archer, but they're nothing like Bieber and McKenzie. Quantrill is kind of in the middle ground. They have what I'd describe as much more of a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 type rotation than the 2, 2, 3, 3, 3 type rotation the Twins are trying to build (I said "trying" so don't yell at me about if the Twins guys are really #2s and 3s). The lineup is wildly variable. Ramirez will be an MVP candidate if he's healthy (not predicting he won't be, just putting in the caveat). I think he's a top 5 player in baseball. I think Kwan can maintain close to what he was last year. Their defense should be really good. And Rosario will be good at the top of their lineup as well. But the rest are anything but established. Baseball is all about adjustments. The league has notes on that lineup now and it'll be up to them to adjust to the adjustments and score runs again. Josh Bell is a nice signing, and I think he's probably the key to their season offensively. Last note, if I remember correctly, the Guardians were the healthiest team in baseball last year. Not predicting they won't be again, but it'd be awfully impressive. Decent chance they lose some guys for chunks of the season this year and that just adds to their variableness. I think it's a 3 way battle for the division. The pitching and defense (I think their defense is the answer to the difference in Quantrill's FIP and ERA) will keep Cleveland in almost all of their games. Can their offense do enough again this year? Guessing decent health for all 3 division contenders teams puts them all between 80 and 87 wins. I just hope the Twins are the ones at 87ish.
  15. chpettit19
    Yeah, I'm confused by the idea. You pointed out that Fried started the 7th yesterday because the Braves are "getting ready for the season" while pointing out the Twins are "worried about protecting players." I pointed out that the Twins let Maeda throw more pitches than Fried did yesterday. The Twins are also "getting ready for the season." Yes, they have some players who are being managed a little different (Buxton, Polanco, Kirilloff), but overall they're doing the same thing as the other teams with all the rest of their guys. So, sure, the only reason they haven't thrown more innings is because they've been bad. I don't know what you're looking for here. As for letting someone go into the 7th in the regular season. Ryan threw a full 7 innings last April coming off a shortened spring so I'm not too concerned about them being willing to do that if a pitcher is pitching well that day and has a reasonable pitch count.
  16. chpettit19
    I didn't say I don't think of Lewis as having power. I said I don't see him graded with 60 grade FV power. Clearly missed, or forgot about, the Fangraphs grades, but 40/60 is WAY different than 55/60. We'll see what their grades are for him this year. They also have Lee at 30/50 game power which is most certainly not 55/60. I was just curious as to where Cody was getting these grades. There's a reason baseball savant doesn't have his average exit velos on his main percentile card. 35 batted balls is an awfully small sample size. I was calling for Lewis to start last year in the bigs because I think he's a star. I'd put him in RF for the Twins the second he's healthy this season. I love Lee and hope he earns his debut this season. That doesn't mean they're top 5 in the system strictly when it comes to power. I'm just curious where Cody is coming up with these 5 guys all having 55 or better current power grades. I think that's an extreme level of grading. Emmanuel Rodriguez could not step into a major league lineup and hit 20+ homeruns, I'm sorry. I don't think Lee could either. Sobato would be lucky to put 25 balls in play let alone hit 25+ homers. Maybe Lewis could so I'll take back my questioning of his grade. The rest are pretty extreme.
  17. chpettit19
    Fried started the 7th because he needed to get more pitches. He only threw 68 yesterday. Maeda threw 75. So which team let their guy do more yesterday?
  18. chpettit19
    The problem is the same thing can be said about their center fielder. You can't DH both Polanco and Buxton and only play them in the field in the occasional emergency case.
  19. chpettit19
    Because Duran needs to get his work in, too. The live BP stuff is done between all the guys, and is for both the hitter and the pitcher. It wasn't just for Kirilloff's benefit, it was Duran needing to get in his set number of pitches against a hitter and working on things. These are things that have been done in spring training for decades. 1 ball off a leg doesn't make it some crazy thing. This is just how spring training works. For every team.
  20. chpettit19
    I don't know for sure their reasoning, but I can tell you that throwing with a screen in front of you is not comfortable. If you're out there really trying to work on things and make them as close to game like as you can on the back fields the pitcher likely wouldn't want the screen. My guess is they don't use one because they want the pitcher thinking about nothing but executing their pitches in game like fashion. But I can't tell you for sure that's the reason they don't use one.
  21. chpettit19
    87-75, 1st place. And win 2 playoff games!
  22. chpettit19
    Curious where these grades came from. Are they Cody's grades or did he pull them from some scouting sites? I don't remember any scouting reports I've seen on either Lewis or Lee that had them at 60 FV grades for their power, but I don't check all the sites. I think that's a little high for both of them, but would certainly be nice if they develop that kind of power!
  23. chpettit19
    No worries, just wanted to give you the info. Yeah, it definitely would've showed their willingness to spend! Also would've allowed them to keep Arraez since they wouldn't have needed to trade for Lopez. I'd like to see them boost the payroll another 20 mil, but I can't be too hard on them for not giving any 1 player 40+ mil a year. Unless it's Ohtani. They should give him 50 a year and really show they'll spend!
  24. chpettit19
    FYI, Verlander signed a 2 year/$86.6 million deal this offseason.
  25. chpettit19
    Dennis Santana was with the Dodgers before they traded him. Don't think the Dodgers have had World Series aspirations recently? Then he was with the Rangers before they moved him to Atlanta. Don't think the Rangers have WS aspirations after signing Seager, Semien, and deGrom the last 2 offseasons to massive deals? Then the Braves waived him (that's how he ended up in MN). Don't think the Braves have WS aspirations? He's a borderline 40-man guy, but clearly not someone WS teams feel is worthy of a 26-man spot. This stuff happens constantly in MLB. Teams claim a guy and then waive him. Next team claims him and waives him. And so on until every team that was interested has had a shot at him and finally the last team standing gets to put him in the minors and work with him. You're upset they keep Pagan because of stuff over results (for the record I also want Pagan gone), but you want them to keep Santana despite his results? I don't quite follow the logic here.
×
×
  • Create New...