chpettit19
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Everything posted by chpettit19
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Yes, teams play their stars everyday. Just like the Twins do.
- 67 replies
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- kenta maeda
- michael a taylor
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Our *star requires a mandatory sit day every 4-5 games, yes. Correa, Larnach, and Miranda were playing everyday before Correa got hurt. Larnach and Miranda have played every game. Byron Buxton is never going to be an everyday player. If you expected that coming into the year that's on you. I don't have any idea why anyone thinks Buxton would, or should, be treated like a guy who's going to play everyday. How many more years do they need to try that and watch him play fewer than 100 games before people just accept that his body can't do it? Not liking that Buxton can't play as much as we want isn't the same as the Twins doing something crazy.
- 67 replies
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- kenta maeda
- michael a taylor
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Number of players who've played every game this season by team: LAA- 4 Astros- 4 A's- 2 (1 guy who was at 8 straight before getting hurt) Tor- 3 Atl- 5 Mil- 3 StL- 4 Cubs- 5 Ari- 1 LAD- 4 SF- 0 (2 guys who missed 1 game with Inj designation) Cle- 3 Sea- 5 Marlins- 1 Mets- 4 Nats- 3 O's- 4 Pads- 5 Phils- 4 Pit- 3 (Cruz was at 9 before getting hurt) Tex- 4 Rays- 2 Bos- 3 Reds- 5 Rockies- 1 (Cron missed 2 with injury) KC- 0 Tigers- 2 Twins- 3 (Correa was at 100% until he got hurt) CHW- 1 Yanks- 3 Yeah, I can see what you're saying. Twins way off here. Everybody out there just running the same 9 guys out there everyday. Twins were 1 short of the league leaders before Correa got hurt. And every team has cycled regulars through the DH spot to give them a partial off day. It's almost like modern day FOs utilize athletes different in pretty much every major sport now and it's time to quit pretending they don't.
- 67 replies
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- kenta maeda
- michael a taylor
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My question when it comes to the small ball, "manufacture runs" stuff is who do you want them doing these things with? Especially the steals. Who in the lineup yesterday should've been stealing bases? Gordon was 0-4, Taylor 0-4, Castro 0-3. Those are the only guys you have that would have any chance of being successful stealing a base. Then when it comes to bunting, I assume the idea is to bunt guys from first to second since they had no extra base hits. So now you're giving up a an out to get a guy who isn't fast enough to score from second on a single to second base where you still need 2 hits to just get him in in a game where you had 4 total hits. You have to have the guys to do those things. They have very few people who can steal bases. They have a lot of swing and miss in the lineup so doing a hit and run is quite risky because if they swing and miss with these runners it's an automatic out. Bunting a guy over is just giving up an out and still needing 2 hits from a team that's struggling to collect hits regularly. The Guardians and Yankees have significantly different rosters than the Twins. There's some context that needs to be taken into account when it comes to these strategies actually being useful for a team.
- 67 replies
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- kenta maeda
- michael a taylor
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Probably not the first time someone's done that on these boards...😉
- 86 replies
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- byron buxton
- michael a taylor
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1/3 is a bit of an exaggeration, but I believe the point the other poster was trying to make was that he'd be getting $35+ million a year if he were someone who could stay healthy and perform as expected for a full season. 15 a year is less than half of what he'd have gotten on the open market if he were a healthy version of himself.
- 86 replies
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- byron buxton
- michael a taylor
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He's not exactly a "physical specimen," though, is he? He may look good with his shirt off, but he's been anything but a physical specimen. His body clearly doesn't hold up under physical stress and punishment. He's athletically gifted, but we have nearly a decade worth of proof that he's no physical specimen. His body just can't do what we all wish it could do in terms of staying healthy and performing. I think that's the disconnect on some of this. The idea that Buxton should be treated like any other player doesn't make sense to me. We've done that. He very clearly can't hold up to 100+ games in CF. Just throwing him out there and expecting him to randomly stay healthy this time seems like it'd be a terrible idea to me.
- 86 replies
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- byron buxton
- michael a taylor
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I've never understood the "obviously us fans who have no actual health info on Buxton know best how to use him!" argument. Bunting, stealing bases, lineup construction, pitcher usage, etc. make sense to me for us to debate since we have information and can make educated arguments. This idea that the Twins are mismanaging Buxton sure looks like it's just fans frustrated and turning that into the Twins being wrong. And I get it. It sucks to have him DHing. But this isn't just Rocco or Falvine saying "I'm no Dr, but I'm pretty sure this is how we'll save Buxton from getting hurt." The Drs and trainers are giving them their best, well educated, advice on how to manage him to get the most games/ABs out of him. Crazy to me that fans with no real info think they know for sure that they're doing it wrong. It's ok to just say "this sucks, and I wish he was in CF everyday and this freaking team could stay even a little healthy" without having to say the team is screwing it all up.
- 86 replies
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- byron buxton
- michael a taylor
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Why do you think this is a Rocco driven decision? I'd put a large sum of money that the FO has more input on Buxton's usage than Rocco, and the FO is making their decisions from advice from the training staff and Drs. I find it hard to believe Rocco is deciding he knows best how to manage Buxton's usage as it relates to his health and is just deciding to sit him because he thinks that'll save Buxton while the Drs and trainers are telling him he can play Buxton full bore with no issues.
- 86 replies
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- byron buxton
- michael a taylor
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That is baseballsavant.mlb.com. If you're into data that's a great resource.
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Make it through April a game or 3 above .500 and you're doing just fine. Actually, be a game or 2 above .500 in every month and you're doing just fine. Baseball is 6 months long. 2 games above .500 each month means you're 12 games above .500 at the end of the year. 93 wins gets you into the playoffs every year. If the Twins can take 5 of 7 from the Nats and Royals later in the month they're at 9 wins. If they can end the month 16-13 they're in great shape. That means they need to go (assuming the 5-2 record against Nats and Royals) 7-9 against the Astros, Yanks, and both Sox. Even 6-10 against those guys leaves them above .500 for the month and in fine shape. 7-9 should be more than doable. Shoot, 8-8 should be more than doable. Just have to play .500ish ball against the big boys.
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Strong Twins Bench Pressed Into Early Duty
chpettit19 replied to Greggory Masterson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
16 days is the number they need to be off the ML roster to gain an extra year. Doesn't have to be the first 16 days, just any 16 days over the course of the season. Like @Greggory Masterson said, though, I'm not sure they're overly worried about that with soon-to-be 24 year old Julien. I think their bigger concern with him is simply getting him everyday ABs (and reps in the field), and there's no room for that in Minneapolis, especially if Buxton is DHing a bunch. If Kepler is going to be out for a week it'd be a reasonable move, though. I think he's expected back today, though.- 24 replies
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- kyle farmer
- willi castro
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Area Bozo Troubled by Quicker Games
chpettit19 replied to RandBalls Stu's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I feel personally attacked! I love my in depth tours of golf courses. How am I supposed to get ticks, and poison ivy, if I'm not trudging through the woods every other hole? -
Maybe because Miller is 20 and Sabato is 23 🤷♂️
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Not suggesting Castro is some great player or anything, but he's played 735 major league innings in the OF before this year. That's about 20 less than Garlick and Wallner combined. Castro is an OFer.
- 72 replies
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- pablo lopez
- trevor larnach
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A lefty got the righty out. The idea behind "a lefty facing a righty" is the "percentages." The reason you look for platoon splits is literally the percentages. So when someone doesn't have platoon splits you stop caring about the percentages as it's no longer an advantage. You being, apparently, unaware that Cooper was the better hitter doesn't make it the wrong decision, or "not smart." Walking the bases loaded to get the better hitter to the plate with 2 outs (because a double play doesn't matter) is never the smarter move. They attacked the right hitter, just lost this time. And guess what...it's going to happen again! Welcome to sports.
- 72 replies
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- pablo lopez
- trevor larnach
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Fine, use 3 relievers. But Cooper is the better hitter. What is the logic in loading the bases to face the better hitter? And, fine, bring in a righty reliever. Cooper has an .805 OPS against lefties. But his OPS against righties is .784. The pitcher being a righty makes negligible difference with him. So now you've loaded the bases to face the superior hitter and are bringing in a 3rd reliever who has to be on top of his game with no wiggle room. Failing to see why they'd walk Soler in this situation. Unless we're just using hindsight because of what happened. Pitching to Soler was a pretty defensible decision.
- 72 replies
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- pablo lopez
- trevor larnach
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Because it's the 6th game of the season and burning through 3 relievers an inning is probably a bit aggressive at this point of the year. And I'm pretty sure their 3 hole hitter is also one of the best hitters in their lineup. Soler hit .223 in 2021, .207 last year, and is at .217 so far this year. Let's not make him about to be something he's not. Cooper hit .284 in 2021, .261 last year, and is at .316 this year.
- 72 replies
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- pablo lopez
- trevor larnach
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They Are Who We Thought They Were!
chpettit19 replied to Alex Boxwell's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Twins are hitting .353 with runners in scoring position. 3rd in baseball. Problem is they're just a super slow team and don't score on those hits.- 31 replies
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- joey gallo
- pablo lopez
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Reviewing the Tyler Mahle Trade
chpettit19 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The people who were singing their praises while they were in the system and the people now saying they weren't that good and not likely to make the Twins aren't necessarily the same people.- 57 replies
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- tyler mahle
- spencer steer
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Reviewing the Tyler Mahle Trade
chpettit19 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Strongly disagree. The reason he wasn't protected was because he wasn't good enough to be on the 40-man. That's played out since, as you said, he hasn't been very good. It's past time where it could be a blunder at all, let alone a MAJOR blunder. Your argument for it being a blunder is basically that they should've stashed him on their 40-man for 3 years despite him not being worthy of a 40-man spot. That would be absolutely awful roster management.- 57 replies
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Reviewing the Tyler Mahle Trade
chpettit19 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Is the Baddoo part of this sarcasm? He was unplayable last year in the majors (65 OPS+), and didn't make the Tigers opening day roster this year. A Tigers team that everyone thinks is going to be terrible, and is looking for any infusion of talent they can find decided he wasn't good enough to be on the team. As for this trade, the chances of Steer and Strand being studs is incredibly small. Could they both be major leaguers? Of course. Could they both be major league regulars? Totally possible. But the chances they're both studs is miniscule. This is just the cost of doing business in baseball. You pay possible future value for current value. Especially when that possible future value isn't even your top possible future value. Steer wasn't taking the 3B job in Minneapolis over Miranda. Or the 2B job over Polanco, Julien, or Lee/Lewis. Strand doesn't belong anywhere near the field defensively at this point, and wasn't taking the DH job in Minneapolis over Buxton, Kirilloff, Larnach, et al. For Strand to be a stud he has to be Nelson Cruz. I'll take the under on that bet. Hajjar has the possibility to be the one who hurts losing depending how things play out with him in Cleveland and the arms the Twins still have. But the 2 bats they traded likely wouldn't even make the 26-man roster on any of the next 3 opening days. Trading guys who weren't going to be amongst your 13 opening day bats for a guy who can be an above average pitcher is a good trade 100% of the time.- 57 replies
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- tyler mahle
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Week in Review: Back with a Vengeance
chpettit19 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The interesting thing is the Twins hit .333 with runners in scoring position. Good for 5th in baseball after the first weekend.- 15 replies
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- pablo lopez
- sonny gray
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I think the analytics leading to increases in three true outcome results played a large role in the pitch clock. Yes, all the walking around the mound, or adjusting batting gloves, or whatever have grown as well, but the games were starting to last longer and longer as teams began building teams based around hitters working counts (also a strategy to get starters out earlier), and pitchers striking people out. It all kind of piled on and created a game that was lengthening. To your point about changing the number of bases or balls and strikes, it wasn't going to be easy to stop hitters from working counts or convince guys striking out wasn't that big of a deal so they had to go with the clock. So I think there was some analytics driven game length stuff on top of the just super slow pace of some guys.

