Me too, but from what I've gathered by glancing at a few pitchers coming off of a second Tommy John, pitchers can be expected to lose one and a half to three miles per hour off their heaters. Paddack was at 93.0 mph in 2022 according to his Baseball Savant page, so what we can hope for later in 2023 is about 91.0mph. I saw a small increase in whiff rate on that page, but I don't know if that accounts for small sample size or platoon splits evening out. Depends on what kind of data you like to look at, how deep you want to go, and how deep your pockets are...
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Me personally, this feels more like Dobnak than Pineda (yay?), but I reserve the right to be wrong, and maybe Parker has other ideas in his article.
By the way, the good news is that surgeons are getting better and better and pitchers are more likely to recover from this second surgery than in the past. (Walker Buehler is having his second Tommy John too). I'm confident Paddack will come back and like others have said, he's going to need to learn the art of pitching more than relying on raw ability. That could be a good thing.