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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Good post. I don't think they're going to spend $4M each on relievers and I think there is a starting pitcher trade that will happen to shake up this roster. They aren't going to leave Matthews and Abel in AAA next year. What they need after that trade will determine how much they spend on free agents.
  2. DJL44
    Who is the backup SS? Every team needs a utility player who can handle SS. That isn't Royce or Keaschall.
  3. DJL44
    Use the whole field. Easier said, than done.
  4. DJL44
    1B options by age Munetaka Murakami (26) Triston Casas (26) Ryan Mountcastle (29) Josh Naylor (29) Luis Arraez (29) Kazuma Okamoto (30) Pete Alonso (31) Yoan Moncada (31) Miguel Andujar (31) Ty France (31) Ryan O’Hearn (32) Rhys Hoskins (33) Josh Bell (33) Yandy Diaz (34) Wilmer Flores (34) Paul Goldschmidt (38) Carlos Santana (40) Justin Turner (41)
  5. DJL44
    If the Twins had Diaz under contract I would be trying to sell. Another Andrew Morris would be more valuable in the long run. I do think it is valuable to have someone to fill in at 1B so they can avoid playing Edouard Julien there. It's also useful for a bad team to stash a few veterans for the deadline.
  6. DJL44
    What this really highlights is how pathetic the Twins have been at SS, especially compared to other franchises. Does any other franchise have a "best SS" as bad as Roy Smalley? Smalley couldn't make the top 5 for some franchises. If you include the Senators for this franchise, you can add Joe Cronin and Cecil Travis. That makes it less embarrassing. Pittsburgh - Honus Wagner, Arky Vaughan, Jay Bell Seattle - Alex Rodriguez Baltimore - Cal Ripken Jr White Sox - Luke Appling Cubs - Ernie Banks, Bill Dahlen, Joe Tinker Cardinals - Ozzie Smith Reds - Barry Larkin, Dave Concepcion Giants - George Davis, Dave Bancroft, Art Fletcher Tigers - Alan Trammell Brewers - Robin Yount Guardians - Lou Boudreau, Joe Sewell, Omar Vizquel Yankees - Derek Jeter, Phil Rizzuto Athletics - Bert Campaneris, Miguel Tejada Red Sox - Johnny Pesky, Nomar Garciaparra, Vern Stephens Angels - Jim Fregosi Braves - Rabbit Maranville Rockies - Troy Tulowitzki Phillies - Dick Bartell, Jimmy Rollins Blue Jays - Tony Fernandez
  7. DJL44
    I would bet on Andujar, especially with Clemens around as a caddy. I would be comfortable giving Andujar a 2-year $10-12M contract. He's only 30. He's also only made $10M in career earnings so a second guaranteed season might be all it takes. He doesn't walk enough or have huge power, but he hits .280 and can play the position. I don't think Goldschmidt is going to get a choice to stay with the Yankees, but he might have a better fallback option than the Twins. He doesn't even need much of a resurrection - he was a 1.2 WAR player in 2025 because he can still field.
  8. DJL44
    Naylor is going to get paid this offseason, possibly 5 years. In fact, I'd swap his estimate (3 years $45M) with Arraez (5 years $70M). I don't think he's the guy to lock up for 5 seasons. He's having a great year with Seattle but was basically average (1.5-2 WAR) for the previous 3 seasons playing for Cleveland and Arizona. The Twins can't afford to win that bidding war. I like Diaz but I don't like the idea of giving up talent to acquire him. The other free agents just cost money. O'Hearn is another lefty bat on a team with a bunch of lefty DH options. if he is non-tendered, I think Mountcastle might sign for the same 2 years $14M they predict for Hoskins. I'd rather have Mountcastle than Hoskins just due to age. Moncada is a really interesting bounce-back candidate. He has the glove to play 1B and has had two consecutive seasons of 116 OPS+. That seems to be easily worth $2M. They're as accurate as everyone else's inaccurate estimates.
  9. DJL44
    I disagree with this. Here are all the options and their estimated contracts from Spotrac and news sources. Alonso 6 years $176M Murakami 8 years - $200M (could be longer and more money but $25M AAV looks right) Arraez 5 years $70M (no thanks) Okamoto 4 years - $55M Naylor 3 years $45M (this is low, add a 4th season) Diaz 2 years $34M (actual contract is 2 years - $22-24M so $10M excess value) O'Hearn 2 years $22M Hoskins 2 years $14M Mountcastle ($10M arbitration estimate) Bell 1 year $11M (more than double what I expected) Goldschmidt 1 year $7M Santana 1 year $6M Andujar 1 year $6M Moncada 1 year $2M Flores 1 year $2M France 1 year $1.6M The Twins should be interested in any of the guys in bold. At those prices, I'd rank them Andujar, Goldschmidt, Hoskins, Moncada.
  10. DJL44
    Kirilloff was their internal development option. He had a career ending injury.
  11. DJL44
    And a shortstop.
  12. DJL44

    An Observation

    DJL44 commented on Doctor Gast's blog entry in Doctor Gast's Blog

    The Twins have traded away a lot of Latino players because they've had a lot of Latino players. I don't think they've been traded away at a higher rate than any other country of origin and you haven't provided any data to back up your claim.
  13. DJL44
    I don't think it will take that much to sign him. 2 years, yes but $12-14M is more likely.
  14. DJL44
    Kody Clemens is probably their best choice at 2B on defense.
  15. DJL44
    North St. Paul's Louie Varland to pitch in World Series “It’s been just crazy, fun, extremely exciting,” Varland said. “We’re still playing baseball. It’s Oct. 22 now. I’m not used to it, that’s for sure.”
  16. DJL44
    Maybe when Terry Ryan was still running the team but not since.
  17. DJL44
    If the CBA rumors come true, there won't be another 162-game season. We will likely see 154 or 156-game seasons going forward. I'm sure Minnesotans won't mind 3 fewer home games in April.
  18. DJL44
    The current comp for an elite glove, bad bat SS is Taylor Walls. He might get non-tendered by the Rays and I'd actually advocate for the Twins to try to acquire him even with his career OPS of .584.
  19. DJL44
    That's not who he is right now. A walk rate of 8 in 110 PA is not going to lead to an OBP of .380. He added 60 points to his batting average and he's not going to hit .320 in the majors. In college he was walking as much as he struck out. BTW - a batting average of .280 is way above MLB average (.245). Only 26 qualified players had a batting average of .280 or higher. That's fewer than one per team. Only 19 had an OBP above .360. Most of us would be thrilled if he is able to post an elite AVG\OBP but that's really unlikely. It's also clearly not who he is right now. He needs to improve A LOT to hit that well in the majors. I think he's a .200/.250/.350 hitter if they "let him be who he is" and don't try to help him improve. If he can improve his offense to Brooks Lee levels (.235/.285/.370), he should be able to play in the majors.
  20. DJL44
    If Wallner can stay off the injured list next season he'll be fine.
  21. DJL44
    If you think his bat is ready now, then he should be the starting SS on Opening Day because he's the best defender they have. I think he still has some development left on offense.
  22. DJL44
    $20 says you're wrong
  23. DJL44
    He just put up a .459 OPS in High-A. They obviously can't "leave his bat alone". That's unplayable.
  24. DJL44
    Varland has been tagged a few times in the postseason. Will he give up another bomb in the World Series?
  25. DJL44
    Louie has been giving up epic HR in the postseason. Which Dodger will take him deep in the World Series?
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