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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Too bad. Their chances look a lot better with the projections.
  2. DJL44
    Why are all the Pohlad heirs male? Is it through selective abortions or are they drowning all the female heirs in the river?
  3. DJL44
    If that pitcher is 19 years old and throwing in the upper 80s, maybe. If he's 30, probably not. Do you really think Brooks Lee's problem is bad footwork? He grew up with a college baseball coach as a parent and has been coached on proper footwork his entire life. His problem is he's less athletic than every other MLB SS - he runs slower and he throws the ball slower than all of them. I think Brooks Lee has been maxed out on defense and he doesn't have the range to play middle infield. Defense peaks early - ages 22-25. Do you think the Twins can gain an advantage in coaching footwork and arm slot over all the other major league baseball teams? Is this some special secret sauce that the Dodgers and Yankees don't know about? When the Twins grab rejects from other systems off the waiver wire, can they be confident that the player was coached poorly by another organization and when the Twins coaches are finally able to work their secret magic, they will unlock the potential that was overlooked by everyone else? Was Josh Bell coached poorly by the Nationals, Diamondbacks, Marlins, Guardians and Pirates or is he less athletic than other first basemen and declining athletically as he ages?
  4. DJL44
    Would you also turn down all the money ESPN is paying to air the games?
  5. DJL44
    Good for Ryan and Buxton. Hope they get some chances to make memories.
  6. DJL44
    I looked up Tom. He was running PaR systems in Shoreview. Are there any current or former employees who have opinions on his leadership?
  7. DJL44
    One other way the defensive metrics get fooled by a first baseman standing that close to the base is they tend to take the ball to first base on their own instead of flipping to the pitcher. That means fewer assists and more putouts, which can fool some defensive calculators.
  8. DJL44
    Teams usually pay a premium for less risky players, not more risky players. Bell has averaged -0.1 WAR over the last 3 seasons so I was giving the benefit of the doubt that he can produce 0.5 WAR. Plus, it makes the math easier if I'm not using 0 WAR as the divisor. His defensive value is non-existent so he's going to have to do it all with his bat. His 80% projection is what he did in Arizona: a 120 OPS+, 1.5 WAR season. The Twins are paying him like that performance is a lock. Nobody has found Bell attractive in the trade market. The Nationals weren't able to trade him last season. Arizona gave up nothing to Miami the previous season to obtain him. He returned a grade C utility outfielder prospect the season before that. This isn't surprising. Contenders are looking for good players to improve their chances of winning, not stopgaps who are barely worth a roster spot. Pushing a big chunk of his salary into the option buyout will make him more difficult to trade since the cost is backloaded. Do you think he'll be more or less attractive than he was last season with an extra $1M commitment?
  9. DJL44
    The Twins can't afford to pay players $14M per WAR.
  10. DJL44
    This is where a LH throwing 1B has an advantage. They'll naturally be better going to their right - where their glove is. Stand on the line and you never have to worry about fielding a ball with your backhand.
  11. DJL44
    Partly because balls down the line turn into doubles and triples while balls between 1B and 2B turn into singles, especially with the shallow RF in Target Field. They are maximizing the run value of their defense.
  12. DJL44
    I will take the under on the projections of 1.3 WAR for Outman, 1.2 WAR for Julien, 1.1 WAR for Keirsey and 1.0 WAR for Gasper. For reference, Royce Lewis has a 1.4 WAR projection. It is interesting that ZIPS thinks Emmanuel Rodriguez is a better player on offense and defense than Outman. Kody Clemens projects as the best glove on the entire team. I think they're too pessimistic on Austin Martin (0.3 WAR).
  13. DJL44
    The minor league free agent SS are coming off the board. They need to grab one.
  14. DJL44
    The Twins are already on record that they believe Luke Keaschall is a "future star". If they believe that, they need to put their money where their mouth is. If they won't extend him, then they don't really believe in him.
  15. DJL44
    If this team is going to trade someone, they should trade the oldest and most expensive player and keep the youngest and cheapest player. That means they should solve the DH conflict by trading Josh Bell.
  16. DJL44
    None of these are as good of candidates for an extension as Jeffers was last season.
  17. DJL44
    Correa is the highest paid player who isn't actually on the Twins. Bell is the 3rd highest paid Twin.
  18. DJL44
    The arbitration projections for each of them is less than the $7M they gave Josh Bell.
  19. DJL44
    Lewis is clearly the most talented player in the infield, but he gets ignored in all of these articles.
  20. DJL44
    Much more often the opportunity is a runner is on 1st with two outs. Arraez can't drive that runner in, but Bell can.
  21. DJL44
    Brooks Lee was "versatile" if you mean equally bad at every infield position. They don't need players to move between the infield and the outfield. They need someone who can actually play shortstop.
  22. DJL44
    Cool, then we'll just move Josh Bell to shortstop and coach him up since, according to you, he's athletic enough to do it.
  23. DJL44
    I think it's a bad bet, but at least it's a bet with a future payoff if it succeeds. Better than betting on retread 30-year-olds with no future.
  24. DJL44
    Yuck
  25. DJL44
    More articles about how the 3rd highest paid player on the team isn't so bad if you hide him in the lineup and in the field.
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