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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Who are the top LHP in the WBC? I'm guessing there aren't many. I haven't seen Framber Valdez, Jesus Luzardo or Ranger Suarez announced for the Dominican Republic, Peru or Venezuela.
  2. DJL44
    I still wouldn't count on players who were bad in AAA or weren't even at AAA for bullpen help. Bad at AAA is usually a good indicator that the pitcher will be bad in MLB.
  3. DJL44
    I think you're counting at least two chickens before they've hatched.
  4. DJL44
    MLB said the same city teams will not be in the same division. That's a really good decision if you want to maximize baseball interest in large markets (which they absolutely want to do). I wouldn't be surprised to see San Antonio get an expansion team. I would make that division Astros, Rangers, SA, Royals. So much of this depends on which cities bid for expansion teams. I expect bids from San Antonio, Nashville, Charlotte, Portland and Salt Lake City.
  5. DJL44
    Buxton is a bench player on that team, though I'm sure they will rotate players frequently.
  6. DJL44
    Quade turns 69 years old this March.
  7. DJL44
    Castro plays mainly 2B/LF/RF with some 3B mixed in. The Twins have plenty of options for 2B/LF/RF on the roster. They need someone who has plus defense in the infield to back up at SS/3B and that isn't Willi Castro. With most moves, the question isn't yes/no but at what cost. I wouldn't give Castro more than $3M to return.
  8. DJL44
    About 1/3 of MLB players are international free agent signings (including Japanese players). The Dodgers, Yankees and Astros have been more successful than other organizations. Spending matters to get kids into your academy instead of a rival's academy.
  9. DJL44
    Neither Abel nor Matthews have anything left to learn in AAA. They need to open a spot in the MLB rotation or both of them will end up in AAA to start the season. I'd say with the younger, cheaper Wallner on the team, there is no room for Josh Bell on this roster. What do I know, though. I think MLB teams should be able to play defense. The Twins front office gets paid a lot more than me and they're convinced you can play anyone anywhere and defense doesn't matter.
  10. DJL44
    Mickey Gasper is on the 40-man roster.
  11. DJL44
    Won't happen. The Twins won't even call up players already on the 40-man roster. They're not going to add Tait to give him a cup of coffee. The earliest you might see him is September 2027.
  12. DJL44
    Jonathan Schoop
  13. DJL44
    I will take "waiver wire" over Gasper, Olivar, Cardenas, Winkel, Baez, Cosetti and Ruiz. BTW - where's Pereda?
  14. DJL44
    The Twins defense looks pretty bad. I started looking through the Steamer predictions for good defenders. The top free agent defender, by a large margin, is JT Realmuto with a 10.3. He's the #5 ranked defender in the entire set of projections and the #1 catcher. He would make every pitcher on the roster look better. The next highest free agent defender is also a catcher - Reese McGuire. If the Twins signed McGuire and traded Jeffers to the Phillies it would improve their defense but not much as it hurts their offense. Alex Bregman is the highest ranked non-catcher with a 1.8 Def ranking. Next on the list is Isaiah Kiner-Falefa with a 1.1 Def rating. Bo Bichette is next with a 1.0 Def, then Jorge Mateo with a 0.7. Harrison Bader is the top ranked free agent outfielder by DEF with a 0.7 rating. Byron Buxton gets a -1.4 for comparison. Josh Bell is ranked 4168 out of 4193 when you sort for defense with a -11.3 rating. DEF is a combined positional and defensive ability metric which means time at DH will hurt your rating. Nevertheless, that's terrible. Trevor Larnach gets a -8.4 rating. Matt Wallner -7.0. Alan Roden -3.6. Kody Clemens -3.5 (good for a 1B), Miguel Andujar -3.8. Eric Wagaman -2.2 (but only 117 PA of projected playing time). Austin Martin -2.8 which is average for a LF.
  15. DJL44
    1) Culpepper or Tait. 2) Joe Ryan. Ryan, Pablo Lopez and Buxton are all declining assets, but Ryan loses the most trade value after this incredibly cheap season. 3) The 2026 #1 draft pick. If not him, I will pick Dasan Hill.
  16. DJL44
    If the Twins trade Jeffers to the Phillies, who else would be in the market for Realmuto? It looks like the Padres and Red Sox are the only known suitors. The Twins could jump in. They have the cash.
  17. DJL44
    Sad that Bill Smith reigns supreme in acquiring international free agent talent.
  18. DJL44
    This is when I miss Bob Casey.
  19. DJL44
    Pitchers are more difficult to assess but the Twins are especially bad at acquiring pitching through international free agency.
  20. DJL44
    Yippee
  21. DJL44
    Looks like they also avoided arbitration with Jeffers ($6.7M). Too bad they couldn't get him to sign an extension.
  22. DJL44
    Only Kreidler offers more on defense than what they already had on the roster.
  23. DJL44
    Brusdar Graterol
  24. DJL44
    It's worse than being #34 in the draft. About 2/3 of MLB players come through the draft and 1/3 are international free agents. That means it's more like the 68th ranked player in the draft. It is really difficult to guess at which 15- and 16-year-olds will be future MLB players. I wish international free agency started at age 18.
  25. DJL44
    All predictions are wrong. Some are useful.
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