DJL44
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Everything posted by DJL44
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Pete Alonso to the Orioles. They should be looking to dump Ryan Mountcastle.
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Good news. They didn't want to play McCusker when he was on the MLB roster.
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I would gladly trade Gasper, McCusker, Kreidler, Outman or Julien to another team to acquire a pitcher with the same prospect rating as CJ Culpepper.
- 48 replies
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- 2
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- cj culpepper
- kyler fedko
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Then Buxton should insist on a trade. Why is it important that he give up the WBC (where he isn't even a starter) to play for the 4th place Twins in 2026?
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This is true. If the Tigers trade Skubal, I expect 84 wins would be enough to win the Central.
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They do have 4 good players on the roster. They only need to add about 12 more in free agency and they'll be ready for the World Series. That $20M budget they have for free agency should get them up to 5 good players on the roster.
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How did the debt grow from $350M before the season started to $500M now? That would imply that they would have lost money even with a roster full of players making the MLB minimum salary. $350M revenue, $130M payroll and a $150M operating loss doesn't math.
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Prove it wasn't. I have no idea how they would accrue that much operating debt unless they're paying Joe Pohlad $50M a year salary.
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The value is never going to drop below the value of an expansion franchise.
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To me this sounds like "I'll pay off your debt in exchange for equity, but I want a guaranteed return on my equity". In 10 years we'll be remembering the Pohlads with fondness for their generosity.
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The Twins average ticket price is $35, so that's the absolute floor. A dog and a beer is $15. It's hard to believe $52 is right. $15M is little less than 5% of their yearly revenue.
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It would mean they keep $150M of the $300M they make off their current 1.4M attendance which is obviously too high. $200M revenue from 1.4M fans ($140/fan) seems more reasonable. That means losing 300,000 fans costs the team $21M.
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Good example of an underwater contract, but the Nationals are in the same situation as the Twins. They don't need to move salary to get under a payroll limit.
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That's about 350,000 tickets. How much is each fan worth? Let's go with $200 (which seems like a high estimate, I've never spent $200 per person at a game). The Twins keep 52% of that money and the other 48% goes to the league. That means dropping 350,000 in attendance = losing $36.4M in revenue. That is a bottom 5 attendance level, below even the Pirates.
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It can't be operational losses. That would mean the Twins would have to run a payroll below $80M to break even and a payroll below $50M to handle the debt service.
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Which makes it hard to lower the team's value below what they're paying right now. Suck cash out until you get your ROI and flip it for what you paid for it. Has a venture capital firm every dreamed about winning the World Series? No - only billionaire owners who grew up as a fan have that dream. A VC firm will spend the bare minimum.
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Not really. Jeffers is going to get $6M in arbitration so it's really a 2 year $24M extension. That's 20% more than Vazquez received.
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Jeffers would have to be a braindead idiot to turn down the qualifying offer. It would be roughly 1 year $23M making him the highest paid catcher in baseball.
- 105 replies
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- 4
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- ryan jeffers
- jt realmuto
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Outman and Julien would be the first players I cut off this 40-man roster. If you need another guy like that during the season, check the waiver wire.
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Expect Varde Partners to act like any private equity group: extreme cost cuts while you drain every last dollar out of the organization and then sell the brand (which is all that is left) to some other company.
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What is the point of keeping Buxton, Ryan and Lopez if you're going to trade away your only other above average position player for prospects?
- 105 replies
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- 7
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- ryan jeffers
- jt realmuto
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I agree, but that is probably going to put him in Cooperstown.
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I'm not convinced that Derek Shelton is a better manager than Rocco Baldelli. He could be worse.
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No, he's more like past his prime Salvador Perez, who just signed for 2 years $25M with $9.5M of that deferred past his retirement.
