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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    I'm becoming less of a fan of the Twins and more of a fan of watching MLB in general. I haven't attended a Twins game at all this year. There were a couple times I thought about going but they actually put the Twins on TV that weekend and I watched at home instead. The only baseball game I attended in person was seeing a Cubs game at Wrigley Field on vacation.
  2. DJL44
    Topa has struggled with injuries his entire career. Last year was probably his healthiest season. If you want to have a bullpen with 6 healthy, performing pitchers you need to start with 12 high potential arms.
  3. DJL44
    So many Twins fans are allergic to fun.
  4. DJL44
    Here are the best pitching prospects in the AFL according to this article: Luinder Avila (Royals #26) Eric Silva (Tigers #27) Grant Taylor (White Sox #6) Peyton Pallette (White Sox #27) Jose Fleury (Astros #10) Jimmy Joyce (Mariners #23) Josh Stephan (Rangers #25) Skylar Hayes (Rangers #28) Adam Maier (Braves #17) Hayden Harris (Braves #27) Jun-Seok Shim (Marlins #27) Wen-Hui Pan (Phillies #20) Griff McGarry (Phillies #21) Christian McGowan (Phillies #22) Coleman Crow (Brewers #30) Mike Burrows (Pirates #16) Khristian Curtis (Pirates #27) Connor Phillips (Reds #15) Yu-Min Lin (Diamondbacks #7) Dylan Ray (Diamondbacks #16) Ryan Bergert (Padres #25) David Morgan (Padres #29) Michael Prosecky (Rockies #17) Gabriel Hughes (Rockies #22) That's just 3 pitchers who are in their team's top 10 prospects and 9 in their team's top 20.
  5. DJL44
    Pitchers are going to pitch year-round either in bullpen sessions or in games. There is no magic reset button that happens to innings when the calendar hits January 1. There is plenty of time between the end of the AFL and the beginning of the next season to recover. They already know that Eeles can hit bad A-ball pitching. He has nothing to prove in the AFL.
  6. DJL44
    Everyone's bat should take a step up. There are several top 100 prospect position players but absolutely none among pitchers. Expect high scoring games as good hitters tee off on mediocre to poor pitching.
  7. DJL44
    Santana hasn't really done much since June. .218/.316/.396 since the All-Star break. .661 OPS vs RHP.
  8. DJL44
    AFL rosters announced. I'm guessing this will get a new thread. 2024 Arizona Fall League rosters (mlb.com) No big prospects for the Twins
  9. DJL44
    I have been watching baseball on TV but it's usually the MLB.tv free game of the day, Apple game on Friday or the nationally broadcast games on the weekend. I don't mind substituting any MLB game for the Twins game.
  10. DJL44
    I'm actually impressed by how much productivity Baldelli and Maki have been able to squeeze out of the 3 rookies in the rotation. That has been the silver lining of September.
  11. DJL44
    I believe they call this "counting your chickens before they have hatched". Jax is an elite reliever.
  12. DJL44
    They really want to have a spot locked up before the final game so they can bump Ober to Game 1. Then you would see Ober / Lopez / rookie.
  13. DJL44
    Which I hope means Matthews / Festa / Woods-Richardson instead of the actual bullpen.
  14. DJL44
    It is really weird to go from "Let's give the kid a save chance" to "Let's dump him for Brent Headrick" in a week.
  15. DJL44
    If I'm re-doing Saturday with hindsight I use Irvin in Game 1, which was already lost, and save Headrick for the situation where they used Irvin in Game 2. Irvin is best used soaking up innings when the game is already over but they decided to use Headrick in that situation instead. This means Baldelli trusts Headrick even less than he trusts Cole Irvin. The big problem is it's hard to win games with 6 "low leverage" relievers in your bullpen and only 3 guys you can trust when you have a lead. That's a recipe for a .333 winning percentage.
  16. DJL44
    Yes, by some miracle the coaching staff coaxed 4-2/3 scoreless innings out of Zebby Matthews. How long do you want them to press their luck?
  17. DJL44
    Sands was terrible on Sunday. In theory Sands was a decent choice. In practice he was bad.
  18. DJL44
    Austin Martin rates as one of the worst fielding CF used in the major leagues this season.
  19. DJL44
    Either Jax or Duran would have to get MORE than 6 outs to finish that game. There were 13 outs to get. We have already seen it blow up trying to get multiple innings out of Jax and Duran this September.
  20. DJL44
    If you don't have a large enough sample size for an individual pitcher then you assume the base rate (use the data from all pitchers). The base rate says pitchers get worse the 3rd time through the order.
  21. DJL44
    Those 3 pitchers usually get 9 outs. It is quite unlikely they can each go more than one inning and keep the game scoreless. In fact, Sands was terrible in his chance to keep the game close, so with the benefit of seeing what happened in the game he was an awful choice. Do you think Jax and Duran could get 13 outs and keep the Red Sox off the board? Are you prepared to do ask Jax and Duran to do that every game from here on out? What happens if either one gets injured because you're suddenly asking them to pitch multiple innings at the end of the season? Would you defend Rocco's decision to throw away an entire future season due to injury rehab in a desperate move to try to win this one game against the Red Sox?
  22. DJL44
    5 wins is the maximum. That is a pretty big deal and I'm fine with trying someone else but let's not get delusional and pretend that Rocco mismanaged the clear World Series favorite into fighting for a wild card berth. Also, ask yourself this question. Could this front office correctly identify and hire a truly great manager? The Twins have never really had one in the history of the franchise. TK was good, but he's not Bochy.
  23. DJL44
    It is frowned upon (for good reason) to walk a guy to bring the go-ahead run to the plate. That's what Irvin did and it went poorly for him.
  24. DJL44
    This is perfect hindsight. Zebby Matthews has almost no track record of success in the majors. Irvin has managed to stay in the majors for six seasons. Every option Rocco had was a bad option - Leave in the struggling rookie - Go with one of the players cut by another team (Irvin, Tonkin) - Go with your own struggling reliever (Thielbar, Varland) - Go with someone who has already pitched earlier that day (Headrick, Blewett) - Go to your late inning pitcher in the 4th inning (Sands, Jax, Duran) which will force you to use one of your other crappy options in the late innings if the move is successful
  25. DJL44
    The manager does not have nearly as much impact on wins and losses as some people think. Based on the complaints here about Rocco I would conclude that those posters believe this is a 110 win team that Rocco mismanaged into being an 81+ win team. I don't think this is a 110 win team. I don't even think this is a 90 win team. Based on talent they're an 80-85 win team. Maybe a great manager could coax another 5 wins out of the team but a truly bad manager could have cost them at least 5 more losses.
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