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big dog

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Everything posted by big dog

  1. big dog
    Trust the process...grrr...trust the process...argh...trust the process...don't say bad things...trust the process...*#$&$%^ Sorry, just couldn't hold it in any longer.
  2. big dog
    In related news, Anderson needs ligament surgery and will be out half the season. Bad break. Great news for both parties here, I think. Let's hope Dobnak gets some good financial advice. He's only set for life if he plans for it. My guess is he's got that under control. I hope it's true, for him and all the other players who sign good multi-year deals. I have a friend who worked as a financial planner for a sports agency. She said that it was an incredible chore keeping players from investing in whatever their friends thought was a good idea (Burger King franchises were very popular ideas for a while). She also said that of all the athletes, baseball players were the hardest to manage because a lot of them had not only never been to college but sometimes hadn't finished high school and the amounts of money just seemed unlimited to them. Not much life experience or trying to manage money independently. Fortunately for Randy he's got a ton of life experience. It would be interesting to know what kind of help agents give, or don't give, their clients and how it varies.
  3. big dog
    Sorry that a quote from a radio announcer has you so perturbed. They must be working on their deliveries as well. Haven't we heard about pitchers using spring training games to work on location many times before? It was his second appearance. The way it was worded was kind of strange, but that's what I took it to mean. Anyway, I have no idea if Happ is going to be a decent #4 or not, but I hope (and expect) that the Dobber gets a chance and does well.
  4. big dog
    Eno Sarris has his fantasy rankings for starters published at The Athletic. Fun read. #10 Giolito #14 Maeda #19 Berrios #23 Lynn He has Keuchel 12 spots ahead of Pineda Happ 14 ahead of Cease Shoemaker 64 ahead of Rodon Kopech and Dobnak rank about even Thorpe is listed about even with Rodon. So only one major difference, and that's at the fifth starter spot. Should be an interesting season!
  5. big dog
    in a spring training game???
  6. big dog
    All I know is what I hear on the radio. It sounded like kind of a weird thing to say. It sounded to me like the announcer thought Happ was throwing the pitches that were called and the Orioles were getting batting practice.
  7. big dog
    I listened to the Baltimore game last week when he got roughed up a bit. The Oriole announcers said he was pretty clearly just working on hitting specific spots. They made it sound like he wasn't getting hammered, he was just doing what he thought he needed to work on and if the Orioles hit him, so be it. Hopefully he's getting ready. And I wouldn't be disappointed to see the Dobber get a chance either.
  8. big dog
    Dare we say...he's in the best shape of his life? Haven't heard that too much this spring.
  9. big dog
    Agreed to the above sentiments. It's not like Rooker is a replacement-level vet the team is using to hold the spot for a month. He's a (somewhat) young guy with a chance to really help the team going forward, and he deserves a shot. This is a reasonable choice.
  10. big dog
    If Buck can stay on the field he's the choice, but I don't know how much I would bet on that. Jiminez in LF reminds me of Canseco back when I used to sit in the outfield in Oakland. You wonder if he's just that bad or if he's not even trying. He's ahead of Rooker, but there will be some cheap hits and extra bases at his expense. I keep waiting for Anderson to quit hitting but it isn't happening so far. His defense is suprisingly uneven- this might be a good year to compare what's better, the great-field (we hope) and adequate-hitting shortstop vs. the polar opposite. Great discussion of bench strength. I hadn't realized the difference, which I agree strongly favors the Twins. Then there's the LaRussa factor...at best I think he will be an average manager overall. We'll see.
  11. big dog
    Carew was a great, great hitter of course, but no one ever watched him in the field to see what magical play he would make next. He was fun on the bases, too. He and Kirby are in the conversation, but man, speed is magical and he's way ahead of them. OK, to be fair, he's way ahead of everyone.
  12. big dog
    No matter what I'm doing while the game is on, I stop when Byron is at bat. Anything hit to center field I look up to see what's going to happen. He's certainly the most exciting Twin I've watched in 50 years of serious fandom. I hope he can finally play a full season. Man do I hope that.
  13. big dog
    That highlight reel was incredible. Even flashes of that would be an enormous upgrade. Very excited to see him take the field.
  14. big dog
    Yes, Ashbury is correct- I should have said highly predictable outcomes for individual cases in the short term are expensive to insure. The problem of adverse selection is huge here (insurance companies wouldn't play on a level field with respect to information about risks specific to that individual), and you couldn't really build a representative pool of "players with calf injuries" or "twenty-three-year-old MLB pitchers with a good slider and Tommy John surgery" or whatever. Insurance companies can also offload some of the risk through re-insurance, effectively sharing the policy with other firms (laying off some bets, as it were). That also works better (or only really works) when the risks are predictable for the insurance companies, and diversified across multiple policies. It might be better for the Twins to make some side bets on lines like the over/under that Donaldson spends X days on the injured list (or whatever it's called now).
  15. big dog
    Insurance for highly predictable outcomes tends to be either very expensive or impossible to purchase. Highly predictable outcomes are a hard way for insurers to make money otherwise. Yes, I recognize that "death" is highly predictable and lots of insurers make lots of money with life insurance. However, "date of death" is not highly predictable, except as an average for large groups of people.
  16. big dog
    Thanks, that was very fun.
  17. big dog
    We need more catcher-cam. Wow.
  18. big dog
    So...who do we have in camp whose name is a version of Ryan? That's where my money goes. Should have been Royce. What about Gryfan Jax?
  19. big dog
    Hopefully Astudillo is with the Saints.
  20. big dog
    True, although Dozier might wish he'd signed one like that a couple years ago. I guess he got a ring, though.
  21. big dog
    I wonder if the players have been thinking about what they got in the last negotiation in exchange for allowing the change to service time rules. They opened the door to this, it shouldn't have been too hard to predict what the owners would do. What are they going to give up to help out future generations whose service time could be manipulated?
  22. big dog
    Wow, I just had a flashback to Calvin Griffith at the Waseca Lions Club!
  23. big dog
    It will be interesting to see how much time Goodrum gets with Gardy now retired. He certainly did better in Detroit than I expected. Agreed on Anderson- doesn't look that good but somehow it all works, at least so far. Not a very strong group overall, that's for sure. Should be a solid edge for the Twins, especially if our guy can lay off those bad pitches a little more.
  24. big dog
    Donaldson has a chance to be a B+. He also has a chance to spend a hundred games unable to play in the field. Then what- Arreaz? Not sure he has the arm for the position, at least not as a long-term fill-in. Blankenhorn? Astudillo? If Donaldson stays reasonably healthy, we're in great shape. I think that for the division as a whole, catcher is stronger than 3B, but who knows. Grandal actually scares me more than Moncada, in part because he seems like that really solid veteran presence (and he's a much better fielder at his position, at least so far). Very worried about the Sox...
  25. big dog
    This certainly has the potential to be a much-improved division over the one the Twins won the last couple of years. Should be an exciting season. It will be interesting to see the LaRussa/youngsters combination in action. I know some people are saying LaRussa won't adjust to new ways to play the game, but he invented the new closer role with Eckersley and somehow was able to not notice Canseco's advocacy of new training regimes in the clubhouse, so he ought to be able to adapt to bat flips.
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