big dog
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Everything posted by big dog
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Why the Twins are Betting on Homer Bailey in 2020
big dog replied to Andrew Thares's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I just hope that he fools people for six weeks or so, and if the league starts nailing him it's after Pineda is ready to return. That would be an acceptable, though far from ideal, outcome to me. -
Twins' Corner Infield Duo Chasing History
big dog replied to Nash Walker's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
OK...I just gotta say...this recent spate of articles makes me worry that the Jinx Train is just pulling out of the station. Maybe an article on how this team will never win without a payroll of at least $160 million would be warranted to try and slow that train down. -
Comparing Kenta Maeda to the Free Agent Starters
big dog replied to Cooper Carlson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I liked Luke Raley, but realistically he was a trade candidate from Day 1, sitting behind too many other outfielders. He certainly has a chance to be a major leaguer, though. -
Twins 2020 Position Analysis: First Base
big dog replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sano is going to have to dive for the ball more often at first than he did at third. I hope that isn't true, but I think I would bet the over rather than the under. The good news is he only has to catch the ball now, not catch it, get up, and make an accurate throw. -
Read the news and you can find plenty of things to be angry about. Life is full of joy and despair. Seek the joy, avoid the despair. If this really made me angry I would find something else to do. Life is too short to have things like this eat away at me all the time. If you enjoy following a team that makes you angry, good luck and enjoy the ride. I still get chills thinking about moments in the two WS championship years, absolutely. Hrbek's slam, Kirby's catch, Reardon throwing his glove, Larkin trotting home- that's enough to get me teared up. I'd love to see it happen again, but just thinking we have a shot is enough for now. Baseball is uncertain, life is uncertain, seek joy where you can and try to avoid despair. That's the best I can do, personally. I can't make the Pohlads spend more money, I can't make the Vikings win a Super Bowl. I sure as heck can't understand why pass interference is or isn't called. I can enjoy the ride, or I can do something else. We all can do whatever we want. If you can't figure out why I am not angry (a little disappointed, sure, but in no way angry), maybe this helped. Peace, sisters and brothers.
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Front Page: Twins Front Office Testing Fate in Waiting
big dog replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
"We can discuss value forever, and there's inherent risk any time you sign a big-dollar free agent. The reality though, is that injury concerns don't subside simply because you end negotiations at $100 million. Also, after pivoting to this plan, are you really interested in going to Plan C because the cost of what amounts to a relief arm ($5 million AAV over the four years) is too much?" According to this logic, we should sign him no matter what- is that right? Maybe they already pushed to get it to $100 million. If the Braves matched $120 and he came back, would you then argue "what's another $5 million per year"? Doesn't there have to be a stopping place? And I don't understand your injury comment. No, they don't go away if you end negotiations at $100; they just get even more expensive as you move north from there. It's the same physical risk, but a guaranteed higher cost when he breaks down over the next four years. I'm not saying don't sign him, but I certainly don't think just because you are willing to go 4/$100 you are an idiot if you don't increase the offer by 20%. I would love to be an auctioneer selling things to Twins fans, I guess, although if we had to use our own money things would probably be a lot different.- 87 replies
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Not my post, but Sanchez won a Gold Glove this year, so that's the GG. Agreed, an OPS of 80 would be either really good or mindnumbingly bad, depending on where the missing decimal point should be, but the 80 refers to OPS+, which is basically the OPS, adjusted for the ballpark and for the league so that 100 should be the average. His career OPS+ is 80, and last year it was 73. His OPS+ was 97 two years ago, and 87 last year, so the 73 now suggests that they thought they had a player and now realize they were wrong. 73 was the second-lowest OPS in the majors among players who qualified for the batting title (#134 out of 135). I took a quick look at the OPS+ for players who appeared in at least 81 games. There were 315 players, and a score of 73 got him in a tie for 278th place. Tied with Logan Forsythe, in fact.
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The White Sox put Yolmer on waivers and he's now a free agent. Good glove, horrible bat, and his baserunning decisions were dreadful. There was a Sox game last summer, I believe against the Twins, where he got on base. Steve Stone, who I think is brilliant, said "Yolmer needs to stay at first here, this would be a terrible time to try and steal a base." Sanchez immediately broke for second and was thrown out. It's like Stone knew exactly what Sanchez was thinking. 30 bases stolen, 23 caught stealings, and numerous bad decisions at other times.
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Which version is not a plan? I think even if we add a better pitcher, and I certainly hope we do, we're going to need these guys at some level for part of the season, especially with Pineda out. A team that's serious about winning in the playoffs needs a strong bullpen more than they need a strong fifith starter.
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I think Graterol starts in AAA (both begins and pitches as a starter). At some point they will have to decide whether to keep him there as a starter or to promote him and use him as a reliever for this year. In either case, I hope they are still thinking he could be a starter the following year, if his stuff and durability allows. Thorpe...I don't know what to think. He seems to have a chance to be a major league pitcher either way, and I'm always reluctant to give up on a starter, but he could stay in the bullpen for the year. Dobnak- agreed, not a bad choice as a fifth starter, and he could improve. Smeltzer- begins in AAA, will definitely be up (and probably down) during the year.
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I will be surprised if Ynoa even becomes the next Nick Anderson, though he's certainly got a chance. He may well have a shot at being the next Littell. I don't think the Twins adding $4 million to the trade should do anything but astonish TD readers- don't we always complain about the owners not being willing to spend and just using it to buy vacation homes or whatever? I think that's a great feature of this trade- Hey look everyone! We spent money! On the Twins!
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More info on that deal- Viola was having a non-ACE year (8-12, ERA of 3.79 after 2.90/2.64 the previous years) but he still had a few good years left. Tapani was in the minors, with only 3 appearances in the majors, but he worked out. Aguilera was a stud reliever, but was not really a "shut-down" closer with the Mets- he had mainly been a starter for the Mets until that year. When he was traded he had 19 appearances in relief, with 7 saves and a record of 6-6. He told the Twins he wanted to start, which he did for the rest of the year. Then he agreed to close in 1990 and he became Aggie. As someone mentioned earlier, I don't think anyone thought Morris was an ace in the spring of 1991. He hadn't received any votes for the Cy Young Award since 1987, when he finished 9th, which was also the last time he'd been an All-Star. He had a great year in '91, but I think it was far above what the Twins had hoped for. That was a really good trade, no question. I'm not sure how this relates to what the team might be able to do today, though. I do like the idea of trades, but I think it would have to work the other way, with four or five young players going for an established star.
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Fun article. I thought Littell sounded like one of the Twins farmhands in past years who is untouchable in the low minors but never develops major league stuff. I was really pleased that he's been able to show pitches that play in the majors and hope that he can really develop into a long-term asset. Ynoa might turn out to be special, but the odds are tough.
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Back to Eddie- when Sammy Sosa was with the White Sox he had an OPS+ of 92 in his age 21 season. 150 Ks in 579 PAs, and OBP of .282. I told my friends that if he could ever layoff a two-strike curve ball that was a foot outside, he'd be an all-star. Two years later with the Cubs he was still the same guy. Then he figured it out. He seems to have had some other help later in his career, but plate disciipline was key for him. Strikeouts didn't get enormously better, but the rate improved a bit and the OBP improved a lot. When Eddie came up, I though if he could just quit swinging at crap, and trying to throw out runners he had no chance at while allowing others to advance, he'd be a really good player for a long time. The problem for me is that Sosa made the leap between ages 24-26. Eddie's OBP and OPS+ have decline each of the last two years, and he's 27. If he's gonna leap, it better be quick. And if he doesn't leap, I don't think we have any reason to hold on to him for much longer.
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Wow, I didn't know Bubber Jonnard had a twin!
- 35 replies
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Chief, as you are the only one on the forum likely to have watched him play I will concede.
- 86 replies
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