Hawkeye Bean Counter
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Everything posted by Hawkeye Bean Counter
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We have beat up on 2 poor teams, lost to a few decent teams early while still trying to find a footing with all the injuries. I understand the consternation or elation of the fanbase over a few wins or losses is meaningless. That is essentially my point, it is the absurdity of getting in a tizzy over an extremely small sample size of what is a very long season. the 25% mark of games is where I think you can begin to make some decent observations of the team. As to what if games, are we 10 games over .500 if we don't have the injuries early. Also the white sox are a decent team, the issue is their bullpen. If they can find 2-3 decent arms to add to the bullpen they will actually put up a fight in most games. I am glad we faced them when we did.
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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Things are actually pretty good. There is a very strong contingent of posters, and article writers that seem to love it when the Twins are struggling to come bash ownership, management, the team or players. Its not just this websites issue it just seems many enjoy to be negative. There were multiple articles on what was going wrong. We have gotten a sausage article on what has gone right 😉. Negativity sells I guess.
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bunt every ball, and he will get on a base a hell of a lot more 😉
- 36 replies
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- byron buxton
- miguel sano
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I am patiently waiting for the OP's article on how the front office management has led to this 9 game winning streak and brought us within 3 games of the lead. SSS are SSS. Making significant claims based off of 20 games is silly. Let alone when having several with injuries that were short term. Now we will see how we do against better teams, which is Chpettit argument.
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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What is weird is how much worse our bullpens have been this year vs last year. Not sure why they just fell apart. Even still as stated before this is not an area I am concerned about. Wish it were better for team success at each level, but matters little to the organization. 2 big observations on players - 1st Festa is dealing, and looking to be an option for the #5 spot. 2nd Winokur now with his BA up to .270 and it continuing to rise. OPS and power not quite there (slightly below .800) but as long as getting the hits sooner or later the power will translate. I have been very impressed with him so far. He was a bit of a lottery ticket in the 3rd round and so far is looking like an excellent pick. Add in his steals, and that he tends to be clutch in big moments (isn't afraid of the bright light) is very promising. If he continues to knock the ball around look for a promotion some time this year to A+ ball if there is an opening.
- 19 replies
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- david festa
- andrew morris
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The bullpen is beginning to round into form, and looks like you will have ample reliable arms to count on in games. Disappointing we will likely lose Bowman, but he is literally just an arm. A ground ball pitcher that will struggle if teams get the ball in the air. For the dog days of summer we look set in the bullpen. Personal opinion is looks like we will be rotating arms at the #5 slot unless SWR grabs hold and never lets go. Need some time for the AA starters to round into form and give more options at AAA. So far, the plan for the season looks good, possibly trading for an arm later in the year, but looking good.
- 15 replies
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- jhoan duran
- justin topa
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When you look at the underlying stats very similar to last year. Personally not worried at all. Needs to get into a groove. Still our #1 pitcher and its not even a question.
- 17 replies
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- pablo lopez
- joe ryan
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A down turn is one thing, but both of those stocks are up significantly over the last several years. NVDA if you have been invested since the beginning of 2023 is up 400% LOL. Having a pullback was guaranteed. No different than my MSTR pulling back nearly 50%. As I stated earlier, I knew the stock was overvalued almost 200%. I wasn't going to chase it. You can still make massive returns in the market. Just need to be patient, not chase stocks,
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Lots of the premium starting to come out of the stock market. My stock MSTR has dropped from nearly $2000 to a low of around $1070 today. I had June $750 calls, so the drop allowed me to roll out to January 2025 $1300. I had to add some cash to the transaction, but very happy with the increase in the strike. Before it looked like $1150 to $1200 was going to be where I rolled to with a higher price on the stock. Will have to wait and see if this plays out in my favor but I am fairly confident. Short interest is increasing and the price is getting much closer to the 100 and 200 day moving averages. I am not calling a bottom but today was a good opportunity for me to take advantage of lower prices. Good Luck.
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Leaving Miranda at 3rd is a good spot for him. Correa likes him as well, not that it is a difference maker, but I do think those 2 will communicate well on that side while we wait for Lewis.
- 57 replies
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- carlos correa
- austin martin
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As I stated last week, I still think injuries was our biggest issue in the lopsided record last week, along with some poor early season performances. We seem to be rounding into form. I think we have a solid 4 man starting rotation, hopefully SWR or Varland can lock down that #5 position. The hitters, some of our forgotten prospects or bottom of the MLB teams players are starting off well, including Kiriloff, Larnach and Miranda. If we have those 3 and Julien doing well, we are set up really well this year and for the future if they can keep it up. Really looking forward to the bullpen getting Duran and Topa back. Our best arm and another top 4 arm will really deepen the bullpen.
- 15 replies
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- chris paddack
- austin martin
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Langenberg, is one I was optimistic about. Obviously being a Hawkeye I'm rooting for his success. I do think he is a little further down on the 2023 draft prospects with the best chance to succeed, but he has enough talent to continue to improve and be a back end of the rotations starter. He seemed a little off to start the season. This is a good bounce back start after taking a week or two off and working in the development complex. So far Soto, Pasqualotto, Dunn and Langenberg Lee have done well or appear to be improving. Hall has struggled a bit, but I still have high expectations for him. Either due to injury or continue to wok on stuff, Stoffal, Dougherty, and Questad have not pitched yet this year.
- 10 replies
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- ty langenberg
- ben ross
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Look at how we have drafted over the years, in reality have we spent any decent draft capital on pitching . . . the answer is no. Since 2017 here our draft picks in the 1st 3 rounds used on pitching through 2021 (Leach, Enlow, Canterino, Petty, Hajjar, Povich). We used a 1st round pick on a pitcher in 2021 and turned it into 2 great years of pitching from Sonny Gray and an additional 1st round pick this year. We are just now starting to see the team using more early round picks on pitchers. We have a few options that can be #1 or #2 pitchers but we are building up a pretty good group of arms that can be back end of the rotation starters. When you look at the total picture what they are doing is really amazing. I will let the players continue to perform. I anticipate strong finishes at all levels in the minor leagues this year and the players performances and rankings should go up accordingly.
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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Small sample sizes are small sample sizes especially when several of your best players are injured. Duran will immediately solidify the bullpen, which hasn't been bad but can put everyone else in their correct roles. Miranda, Larnach and Kiriloff all doing well. Making up for Wallner going MIA. Martin has held his own, Kepler and Santana are beginning to warm up. This team is still set up to do very well this year, just need to keep hitting well, and continue to get good pitching performances. I thought it was silly coming out with this article last week, thought we should wait until at least this week to see if we can hold our own against poorer competition and then see how we do against better competition when at full strength. Chpettit, you have great baseball knowledge, but like many on the board focus too much on past mistakes, issues beyond this managements control and in general like to jump on the team when performing poorly. After this winning streak, other than the week in review how many positive articles are out . . . none. How many negative articles came out last week . . . It seems like some enjoy when the team is doing poorly rather than doing well.
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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With what money, or what trade? Varland up to this point hasn't worked out. I think Paddack had a good outing. Lets see if he can get on track. SWR is being given an opportunity, will see what happens.
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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This isn't just a Twins issue, that there are major issues with their revenue model will continue to be an issue. I still think Desclafani was a mandatory add in by Seattle, I think the elbow was shot and everyone knew it. Its just the Twins were willing to gamble and see how long the rubber bands would last (as shown not long).
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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Show me a team not plagued by injuries?? Massive injuries specifically of pitchers. I think this is part of the reason, Twins are really cutting back on starter innings especially early on. Easy them into it. As to overall strategy, what the front office is doing leads to ultimate results on whether the team is successful. As to where our farm ranks, personal as of right now I think ours is slightly above average, would rank in the 13 to 14 range. I fully expect it to continue to improve and have a fully stocked cupboard within a year. Fully expect in the 5-10 range unless we are trade players away.
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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Look at the players we have traded away, let alone in the reds system. Yes Orioles are #1 because how many early draft picks have they had?? I didn't say #1, I said #3 or #5 especially when you considered where they were drafting. 19 - Steer, Julien, Wallner, Varland, Canterino 21 - Petty (top 100 prospect), CES MLB player, Povich, Festa 22- Lee, (several pitching prospects) 23 - potentially franchise altering draft with Walker leading the charge. Other than Orioles show me another team that has drafted that well, especially drafting later because you know they have won their division 3 out of those 8 years geesh you have high standards. You need to succeed but also draft in the top 5.
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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Lee and Walker look like legit MLB players with potential all star potential. Soto is young but early returns look good. Winokur in SSS looks pretty good. Rodriguez and Gonzalez continue to excel at the things they do well, but still have things to improve. Festa looks like could be a solid mlb pitcher, Raya is too hard for me to tell. The quantity of solid arms in the minors is really starting to grow. Lewis, Festa (Canterino and Priellip we will see if can pitch and how well) , Morris, Soto, Raya, Culpepper, Morris - then your 2023 non headliner picks (Hall, Questad, Stoffal, Dougherty, Dunn (looking very good) Langenberg, Paqualotto, and Lee). We only need 1 to really become that #1 pitcher. If you compiled the 19, 21, 22, 23 drafts, the Twins have to have a top 3 record of drafting, at worst top 5. We have used a lot of draft capital to support the mlb team through trades. You keep drafting well year after year after year, the results will show up at the big league level.
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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Then you better change your fandom to the Dodgers. They are the only team that I see in the foreseeable future that is guaranteed to effectively win every year. Other organizations are trying to win too.
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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As I have said before if you are that upset with management or performance this isn't likely going to change for the Twins in the near term. Their success in the last 8 years is something that can't be taken away even if you think it was poor competition. It does look like the Central is becoming a tougher division for the foreseeable future. 4 decent teams. 1 non contender. When did they exactly lose 18 straight games . . . all during this managements tenure . . . where are you going with this it. It looks like you have 20 year so pent up frustration. If I remember correctly me and you had this exact same discussion last year. I've come to the conclusion you are a glass half empty I am a glass half full type of person. If you followed baseball, divisions are not won in April but they can be lost, and like I said being close to .500 is not losing the division. I look at the entire organization. The talent in the minors is really becoming interesting. There are potentially some foundational pieces that may be coming up the pipeline. So yes, looking at the big picture, what the Twins management is doing and has done, I am very happy with. I am also not willing to throw in the towel after 20 games. Ultimately better just leave it here. You can continue to be upset with the direction, I will continue to cheer on my team.
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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Show me another team other than the dodgers that have starting caliber players on the bench??? It just isn't reasonable.
- 95 replies
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- derek falvey
- carlos santana
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