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Hawkeye Bean Counter

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Everything posted by Hawkeye Bean Counter

  1. The article assumes the Twins thought they could rebuild a bullpen immediately. I think they fully anticipated it would take a year or two. The team played better than they expected in 2027. Tom wasn’t realistic this spring saying he expected they would win, he now says the team has outplayed their ability in the 1st half. They have 3-5 decent longterm pieces. Morris, Nance, Banda, Gomez and Sands. Rojas is a wildcard. Honestly the rebuild has gone better than anyone would have expected with minimal free agent signings. As to what the Twins received - Bradley alone would make it worth it. Add it that helped us get Vahn Lackey, anything we get from anything else will be gravy. Abel showed potential, Rojas is a live arm and we have have some athletic catchers we will see if they can hit. Other than Varland everyone else would have been gone by 2028. The issue is ripping the bandaid all off at once especially for a team that had high expectations killed fan morale.
  2. Vahn Lackey is incredibly polished, he destroyed ACC pitching - which is superior to B1G pitching. I could argue Lackey's 2025 season was better than Chowolsky's 2025 and the 2026 version Lackey was clearly the best - and arguably one of the top hitting season in college this century at an extremely difficult defensive position. As long as Lackey's power can show up he should be an elite offensive catcher for the Twins.
  3. It is silly that 3 games are going to determine if we are buyers or sellers but if we go 1-2 the remainder of this series we will have gone 2-5 and our odds have decreased significantly for the playoffs. You aren't going to spend when your odds are significantly lower.
  4. You have a handful of clients that have taken extensions at various points. The most reason and really only one in the last 7 years is Pratt. Otherwise its been almost exclusively wait until free agency. This article is we need to sign him to an extension in the next 2 weeks before the deadline. I see the odds of this being 0% and would gladly make a bet with anyone thinking he will sign an extension in the next two weeks with Boras's aversion. Boras only signs an extension if his client says thats what they want.
  5. This is a simple no. Jenkins is a Scott Boras client so an extension is dead at arrival. We have 6 years of Jenkins and unless Jenkins is willing to take a discounted offer he will be traded or sign elsewhere.
  6. The sad thing is what we do will be highly dependent on the next 3 games. I really think we should trade Jeffers. Ryan only if there is a godfather offer. We can trade him in the offseason or run with him next year. Call me stupid but if someone wanted to pay closer value for Gomez I would consider trading him as well. As of now, our supply on hitters looks pretty good, moving forward we still need to work on the bullpen for next year as that is the year I really think we can start competing.
  7. The odds he gets traded are increasing with each game.
  8. We saved 240k on Lackey maybe a little on Tinney and some senior wings. We sign him no issues. He isn’t picked that high without verbal agreement.
  9. I personally thought they would have given cash considerations to get him. Does 500k-1 million in additional compensation make it a game changer for the Twins to sign. Most likely not.
  10. Coulombe appears to be low hanging fruit. Pick him off then figure it out from there. With sands and Roger’s we have 6 bullpen arms. I want 2 more to bump Roger’s to 8.
  11. @Mike Sixel a person claiming mental health issues is fine. Not controlling his emotions is another. Threatening to calling out another as a fat F and that he would kick his ass- means he doesn’t understand the concept of bullying ect. He wants to be a victim and an attacker at the same time. It’s more apparent he just got caught flipping someone off- was mad he got caught then made up a story. He’s been up and down for a while.
  12. Keashall is finding himself and allowing his natural athleticism to be aggressive I. The outfield. Suddenly the confidence allows his bat to take again. You have 5 high fielding players Lackey, Jenkins Rodriguez, Culpepper and Houston. All of those at their development or skill level are fairly projectable. After that you have guys with one or more question marks- Mendez good bat what’s his defensive position- Tait, Winokur, Young and Tinney- can the hit tools be good enough. There is also defensive questions on these 4 as well and what their ultimate position is. in either case we appear to have a core to build around offensively. Continuing to find elite to good starters will continue to be the question mark. We can supplement this team with minimal investment. Tait and Rodriguez have enough questions I would be fine flipping for more long term help to the team. Beyond that- it’s trying to get pitching healthy- and get the pitchers at the correct levels to continue to develop. We have minimal hits for pitching in the 23/24 classes so 25 and 26 will have to hit on some.
  13. Duran is a bit of a head case. had someone said something as bad as he claimed even with minimal fans in the stands, they track the guy down.
  14. If we can win 2 out of 3 from our #3-#5 pitchers I expect us to do pretty well down the stretch.
  15. He should be up soon. Will definitely start to have a little more confidence in the bullpen.
  16. If we want to tank for a draft pick. Biggest difference is we have coaching that is connecting with players right now and we don’t have players that have checked out. I’m expecting to have a winning record not a losing record in the 2 weeks after the all star break.
  17. So is Nance our 3rd best reliever right now? Honestly not bad. Rough 1st pitch but 4 outs. I’ll take it.
  18. Do we give Ober 1 more inning and who do we bring out of the bullpen 1st?
  19. Jeffers increasing trade value or as I’ve stated, odds he gets Qualifying Offer. 2nd observation, we are doing well with risp for the second half. Ober has definitely been flirting with danger.
  20. I tend to agree and you make a valid point. Atlanta won with 2. Good starters, 3 bullpen arms and a rebuilt outfield. It shouldn’t have worked but it did. You are also not acknowledging that the twins could get as much or more for Jeffers by holding him through the season if things break right. Ryan I would think trading now or in the offseason is fairly close in similar value.
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