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Hawkeye Bean Counter

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Everything posted by Hawkeye Bean Counter

  1. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Bradley has pitched a gem so far.
  2. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    ZZZZZZZ did nothing after that single.
  3. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Alright Keaschall or nothing this inning. Get us a run on the board.
  4. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Clems stole 2nd. This is looking promising.
  5. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    The last time in cleveland they knocked Williams around it was in the 5th inning. Can we have a redux?
  6. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Say what you will still 0-0.
  7. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Eh, 17 pitches for 1 inning that didn't do a whole lot. I am ok with that. Make him work. 100 pitches in 5 innings or less is the goal.
  8. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Lee vs Lee isn't that a toss up? LOL
  9. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Lee with the SO. At least 6 pitches. Buxton with infield hit. Decent start.
  10. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Well I am calling a win. You have Bradley on the bump, a team that knows they need a win - I think they pull it out. I think we a see the difference in a team fighting together vs the 2025 Twins after the deadline.
  11. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    They signed all 21 drafted prospects.
  12. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    So we are both right. He is swinging a bit more - but pretty much similar. He is hitting more line drives from the left side. The biggest thing is from the right side he is letting more balls go by - balls and strikes for what he doesn't think he can do damage on. This has increased his walk rate from 3.6 to 7.2. The biggest difference, is as a left handed hitter he is becoming a legit mlb hitter. .270/.322/.484. That will play anywhere.
  13. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    From me watching games to me it appears he is more discerning. I guess its not showing up. Even still then it doesn't logically fit that he is swing more but has a higher walk rate. I can't rationalize that. Having a higher BB is an adjustment. There is obviously something going on that is improving.
  14. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    1 month in the big leagues is not better than not getting any coaching from November to potentially June of 2027 or maybe 2028. Once it hits December 1st there is no more coaching for major league players. Period.
  15. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    I fundamentally struggle with what to do with this team. Logically and what best for the team is to either trade Jeffers now, or run a bit of risk on giving the QO and hope he signs elsewhere. With Caratini and Jackson as long as Caratini has no major injuries from last night the odds he gets traded increase. We should trade Joe Ryan at the deadline. The potential work stoppage may decrease the value. We may not get the offers that make it worthwhile to trade him. However - for what the actions the front office took last year, I am absolutely amazed at how good the clubhouse is. Bell stating this is the best and closest clubhouse he has ever been in. Granted that can change on the dime, but there is value in having a team fight day in and day out. This is also likely not a team that will give up even after a 4 game losing streak. My biggest concern last year was that it would bring in losing mentality. That we have avoided that risk is huge. Have 2 big trade sell offs would increase the risk. Even though this would be a true rebuild and the first time we have done it in decades. So if they meander and end with around a .500 winning percentage at the deadline what do they do? Likely light buying is my guess.
  16. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Fair enough - I was off 2 weeks, still doesn't negate the issues of the potential work stoppage. Funny how you ignored that part. I will give you credit that you are invested, but beyond that you really don't look at the big picture.
  17. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Jenkins is less than 2 weeks back from an injury. Rodriguez is still injured. The collective bargaining issue will likely keep all the Twins prospects down the remainder of the year. It is just what it is. If they are brought up and there is a work stoppage they can't play in the minors next year. This is prospect suicide for young players.
  18. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Even still his walk rate is increasing. His stats with RISP are incredibly good.
  19. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    He is already at 3. He would need 7 more and play till his age 32 year. I could see him having a 15-20 WAR career possibly higher- but just being an everyday solid player. A much more refined Kyle Farmer (He has had a 10 year career).
  20. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Duran was going to be a closer for what the 26 and 27 years - the what. Varland was not a closer for us or Toronto last year. He was showing improvement but no one in baseball expected this year. Relievers can be fickle, even still it would surprise me little if he had a Joe Nathan like career. Finding his spot at 29/30 and taking off as a closer in his late 20's. Varland was disappointing to lose - but I continue to say what this article is about - We don't have Lackey if we didn't trade Varland. Trading Varland was worth 20 million of expected value between Lackey and the next group of hitters below him. It could very will end up being larger than that. Yes he hasn't stepped foot on a major league field, but even more than someone like Jenkins, he has pedigree and he has proven it in the 2nd best baseball conference with numbers that rival Rutschman and Posey. As to the others we received- Bradley looks like a major win and possibly a #1. Abel has talent and will need to see if he can maintain durability and control next year. After that its Tait who is still a bit of a wildcard, Rojas who has an elite arm needs control, Roden who could be a solid outfielder, Mendez who has an MLB bat no defensive position, - and the rest who have shown flashes Gallagher, Horn, Jimenez, and Villoria. As a fan and watching - even with losing all that talent in the bullpen - I can legitimately say the bullpen is improving and if they can get 1 -2 more arms they may have similar production to the Twins elite bullpen of 2025 prior to the firesale (fyi they were good but not great).
  21. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    On that walkoff he was also 2 ft shy of a grandslam. Alas - Roden comes down to 1 thing in my opinion - his confidence and can he show he can do it at this level. Under the hood looks good, the effort is good, the defense is good. You can say he got lucky getting on errors or otherwise. For me I would have him down for 2 hits - 1 BB and got on 2 more times with errors. He scored 2 runs. That is a really good night. When talking about small sample sizes, with 1 more hit his batting average is .240- OBP .340 and if he hit the home run - Slugging .360. Thats a .700 OPS. He may still be a 4th outfielder, or he could be a better Larnach.
  22. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Players can continue to improve. Lee is one who will outwork anyone. He has improved a significant amount this year - has a 1.7 WAR and is only 25. This is one of the easiest ones to know he will get better. Now his body may tap out his ceiling specifically range, but everything else he can improve on. Last year I don't think you thought much of Ryan either - stating definitely not a #1 type pitcher. Players can continue to evolve. He needed to improve 2 specific things - 1 increase his walk rate - he has. 2 - related to the first be more discerning on the pitches to hit - hit your pitch that you can do damage on rather than one out of the zone that you can hit but do little with. This shows he can adjust. BA, OBP, and OPS all up. I'll take a bet that neither of us will remember. I bet he has a 10 year career.
  23. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Well a lot of the signing bonuses are coming in and are much different than what I expected. Lackey -240,000 Tinny -436,000 Renfrow ?????? Signed but unknown - likely need to see some savings Wachsman +1,200,000 Lapour 0 Murdock -30,000 Lay 0 (wow I thought this was a senior sign discount - it was not) Bayles -45,000 Waiting on Burns, Raab and Klecker. The savings for Wachsmann came on the early picks it appears. Tinney still has immense upside even with the discount. The most surpising was Murdock, Lay and Bayles with minimal savings and zero on Lay who was a 4 year senior. I think they like this pitching group better than I expected. There is a possiblity the Twins go over for the 1st time ever. Thats not my base case. As of now the Twins are still $524k short Renfrow has to be a decent amount and then maybe Raab and Klecker. Will be curious to see how this comes out. Just interesting the players I thought we would see the savings on specifically Lay we say little.
  24. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Hopefully Caratini just needs a day or two off. Jackson is showing how valuable he is. Multiple days off and still performs. That win was necessary if the Twins do go into buyers mode. We will see if they can go on a hot streak. Lee has had some wierd anomalies in his splits the last couple of years. He continued to get better. I really think he will be the Twins super utility player down the road.
  25. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Doesn’t even get you 1/4 of an acre.
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