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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    Sano - Kepler - Escobar - Garver - Rosario - Miranda - Gordon are all below average players if we look at their careers. 2-3 had really good season or two. Kirilloff - Larnach - Correa - Lee - Lewis will be 5 number 1 picks in the line-up in ‘24!
  2. JD-TWINS
    Pretty big deal having four guys with these numbers on a staff! Gray wasn’t bad he just wasn’t excellent - as these other 4 certainly were. Jorge with Pablo not far behind, were at the other end of the Spectrum.
  3. JD-TWINS
    To hit .265 for the year he’ll need to hit .295 the balance of the season - seems reasonable. I see a career BA of .279 and a traditionally slow starter. Seems to make sense.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Come on……seriously? He’ll hit .265 plus by year end & will be a threat in the middle of a good line-up come September/October. Lewis - CC - Polanco/Farmer - Kirilloff/Gallo is maybe the best all-around offensive infield in the game! Not every game or even to this point in May. But ultimately they are very good!
  5. JD-TWINS
    Lopez had 75 good days in Baltimore & they were ready to trade him. Not a great testimonial for his future! He’s a disappointment. Need Gordon to heal and play at least 50% of the games in CF flanked by Gallo - Larnach - Kirilloff - Walner v. RH pitching. Lewis - CC - Polanco - Kirilloff/Gallo & we have plenty of offense v. RH pitching. Need health & most of all we need to lose Kepler. He’s brutal at the plate - his defense can’t make-up for his feeble offense! He’s had two months w/o the shift and has maybe 4 extra hits because of that new rule. He contributes very little at the plate!
  6. JD-TWINS
    Taylor was never intended to start more than 50 games in ‘23. 35-40 of them v. LH pitching & then plugging some holes another 10-15 starts. Pinch hitter - pinch runner - late inning Defense. Polanco was hurt - Gordon had to play 2B for most of a month. He had a terrible start but was coming around & starting many games in CF v. RH starters. ’24 Outfield: Larnach - Gordon - Walner v. RH pitching Castro - Taylor - Kirilloff v. LH pitching ’24 Infield: Lewis - CC - Polanco - Kirilloff v. RH pitching Lewis - CC - Lee - Farmer v. LH pitching Buxton primarily at DH Catchers: Vazquez & Jeffers
  7. JD-TWINS
    That’s never happening.
  8. JD-TWINS
    Not sure how bad the defense might be? Anyway, Kepler, unless he goes crazy with the bat, is done after ‘23. Potentially, a trade piece with a prospect in July. Walner will have a chance with this organization in the next 8 weeks or from the beginning next season. Larnach still leads the team in RBI & he’s not on the roster either.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Same as Odorizzi, as well Mahle! Too many pitches in an attempt to strike guys out. Jax needs to throw (start) his slider over inside 1/3 of the plate to break off outside edge. He wastes too many good pitches that are never competitive in the zone. Starts a slider 2” off plate & it breaks 18” more left. Often there’s two of those in an at bat - used energy & walks.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Gallo is more likely an everyday CF to relieve Taylor. Taylor is back to his norm and it’s glaring now because he plays so often. Gallo has a hamstring problem and may not be able to play OF for a few weeks? Kiriloff - Walner are in the corners for the short term with Garlick playing v. LH pitching. Makes sense Castro may play between Kirilloff - Walner/Kepler in the short-term. He’s actually shown that there’s some merit to treat him like a switch hitter - not just on paper. Encouraging! Can bunt to move runners, not always perfect but capable. Can steal a base. He brings value! 3 weeks ago I wouldn’t have considered promoting his abilities. it he’s earned some respect.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Exactly - Lee will play when they think he’s ready for AAA pitching & no reason to move him up swiftly…….needs confidence. Polanco - Julien & Castro (if the latter keep hitting) are all in front of him & Farmer would be as well at all 3 infield spots. Lewis at 3B & CC at Short.
  12. JD-TWINS
    So for all the metrics guys out there that think walks are just as good as base hits, take a hard look at last night & realize BA really matters when trying to score runs - hits matter!! Blue Jays had 7 hits & zero walks - 3 runs. Twins had 4 hits & 9 walks - 1 run…….OBP doesn’t win games - moving runners forward scores runs and that’s done by putting the ball in play & getting base hits. We could have signed Eovaldi or Bassitt in free agency & paid Luis $12M a season for a while. Should have - could have - would have……….hope Pablo gets going today!!!
  13. JD-TWINS
    Kirilloff started hot and is now down to a normal .275 BA……pinch hitting was a little odd but he’s not Mickey Mantle - need to give Castro a chance from the right side. Solano got a hit the other night when he pinch hit. No complaint there.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Reasons why we try to keep performers like Polanco for as long as we can. There’s always a shiny new guy with some success and “he just needs a chance to show what he can do……..” nothing new. Players come & some that are touted as sure things, are going to wash out OR take 4-5 years to get to the right consistency level.
  15. JD-TWINS
    Looking forward to Lewis just like everybody else. He’s going through what is essentially his Spring Training this month. I assume he will be up by mid-June to July 1 at latest. 3B is not a problem since Miranda went down. Farmer is sufficient defensively & our 2nd/3rd best hitter per statistics. Polanco comes back we’re solid at 2B. CC is at SS. Kirilloff is playing great. Catchers are doing a decent job on both sides of the plate. Infield is set, near-term. I see Lewis at 3B by July 1 with Farmer back into resting guys around the infield & playing 60-70% of the time. Current Line-up v. RH starters: OPS+ Gallo - 139 CF Buxton - 124 DH Correa - 92 SS Kirilloff - 184 1B Polanco - 122 2B Farmer - 119 3B Larnach - 96 LF Jeffers - 109 C Kepler - 103 RF If 100 is essentially a baseline for reasonable production we aren’t as in terrible need for help as we all think. TIMELY hitting helps……..we all expect Larnach & Correa to hit at least 40 points higher BA by end of July……..decent line-up. With Gordon out I’d opt for Gallo or Kepler in CF v. Castro. Castro doesn’t have the bat to start & provides nice flexibility off the bench in various roles. HELP is needed in the Pen!! Maeda - Headrick - Balazovic are all worth looks in the Pen….IMO.
  16. JD-TWINS
    It seems the They we are referring to is principally Jorge Lopez. First 10 plus innings of the season dominant/perfection! Since then, still looks to have good stuff but not getting outs in tough situations. Discouraging. Need bullpen depth with trying a AAA reliever or two. New guys. Funderburk - Balazovic - somebody. Sands is never used so why have him take up a roster spot?……..really hopeful Maeda may help in Pen soon - in June! Maybe Headrick - why not, he’s effective?………..can’t worry about keeping him stretched out in case of injury to someone else. Need to utilize him!
  17. JD-TWINS
    Balazovic to Twins to pick up that middle-leverage type of role. Replacing Alcala in his role. A parallel to Stewart. Duran - Lopez Thielbar - Jax - Stewart - Balazovic - Maeda - Moran by June 5th. ……………………………………. Headrick should be first up to help by July 1st. Henriquez - Sands - Winder - Funderburk as/if needed. Anybody the TWINS don’t have at AAA isn’t worth commenting on as a fan! Who knows.
  18. JD-TWINS
    I do not get the burning need to see Buxton in CF other than just as an “exciting visual possibility.” We have had a Gold Glove CF start 70% of the games. Buxton has been in the line-up 41 of 45 games. ………..he’s averaged playing in 46% of the games in 7 of 8 years in big leagues………He has an OPS of .835 & has helped carry us to 6-7 of our 25 wins. Things seem to be working. I see fans here clamoring for Kiriloff as the DH. Seems we just create a hitting deficiency at 1B then? Again, since he’s been up he’s doing well, including 2 spot uses as a pinch hitter in the last 2 games with great success! As of this morning, Buxton was pinch hit for last night due to “upper leg stiffness”. He’s going to play CF maybe 30 games this year when it’s nice & warm in the evenings. Maybe. In the meantime, Taylor looks fine on defense even though his back may be bothering him. He was robbed of a straightaway centerfield HR on Friday night. V. RH pitching, Gallo or Castro or Taylor in CF until Gordon re-habs in 5-6 weeks. Typically Larnach in LF & Kepler in RF. Kepler is back this week apparently. IF Buxton needs some time off, Julien can DH v. RH pitching while Castro fills in for Polanco. How about Kyle Farmer!!! 10 games since he took over for Miranda & he’s got 9 RBI & hit .395 over those games. The Garlick - Solano - Farmer RH bats v. LH pitching went 6 for 11 last night in 6-2 win. FO has done a nice job building depth in ‘23! Who would have thought that on May 21st Gordon - Polanco - Miranda - Kepler - Buxton may all be out of the line-up and nobody is freaking out? We are taking FO for granted with the guys we have available & their level of ability to step up & perform. Hoping Gordon is back by July 1 !!!
  19. JD-TWINS
    Maeda has to be a reliever when back. Period. Duran - Lopez - Thielbar -Jax - Stewart….that’s 6 These guys can all perform 3 out of 4 times…….up to 6 or 7 times w/o a hick-up. Last 2 spots are up in the air: Moran is about 60% effective, a maybe??…….I think Balazovic would be worth a try to be a potential shot in the arm. My favorite choice is to ignore starter depth and to bring Headrick into the Pen! Henriquez can get guys out in short bursts. If we’re giving Alcala multiple looks & Moran multiple looks it seems the 2,guys at AAA should get a shot (one at a time) to see how they hold up in 2 outings…….Laweryson & Funderburk. All these guys have options so let’s not go crazy, but try a couple. We know what Sands & Winder are all about…..mediocre & hurt.
  20. JD-TWINS
    I liked Chafin or Hand (either) as well as Fulmer, so it’s not easy to get it right. Alcala & Moran pitch the way we expected & all is good……(ERA of around 4.00 with a few less walks)……. even take away 2 bad outings by Jax & everybody would be satisfied. Pagan has to go just to make one feel like organization is at least trying to do the right thing. Week of June 5th: Twins Pen Stewart - Jax - Balazovic - Thielbar - Maeda - Lopez - Duran - Headrick (next up, Moran - Alcala - Sands) I get Headrick is stretching out to back up the current remaining 5 starters but we need him in Pen now. He gets outs. Will have to flex if another starter goes down. Hoping Winder gets right in another 30-45 days!
  21. JD-TWINS
    So, I agree on Cano & premature timing for crown judgement ….,..also hope he does well. Same for López. Although, after 20 innings for Twins last year I had him ranked right next to Pagán. I wanted him released. Even with great start this year, he scares me. He’s had a couple outings where he came in for Jax & let the guys on base score……Jax ERA up ….Lopez, unscathed. He doesn’t seem to throw strikes in high leverage situations, with base runners. He looks fantastic starting an inning fresh but once he allows runners his command seems to drift, regularly! I get nobody is perfect but his stuff (velocity plus pitch array) is really good but he, like Pagan, throws too many middle/middle pitches in tight spots. Have seen him give up 0-2 hits more than once. Whoever is calling the game may have some responsibility but my assumption is it’s ultimately the pitcher’s end call on what’s thrown. He just doesn’t seem to have the right stuff between his ears. Anyway, my question all along, particularly late last season when he really struggled, is why would a team around .500 trade an All-Star reliever? He was under contract for 2 1/2 more years and not expensive………I think they knew he had/has some weakness between the ears & it was too soon to judge him for the long term.
  22. JD-TWINS
    So, I think Miranda’s only shot is to assume a role that Solano has now. Back-up 3B - RH 1B - RH pinch hitter - occasional DH. Julien only gets reps at 2B. Almost seems he’s being groomed for a trade. With Lee & Lewis, I don’t see him getting any innings especially with the real possibility we hang in to Polanco. With reps at 3B for Lewis at AA & AAA & Lee only playing SS at AA, it seems Lewis would be the 2nd option at 3B this year from mid-June on, along with Farmer. Either can rest CC. Farmer can rest Polanco. Right now, Farmer is probably the 3rd best hitter on the team since coming back from injury! Julien - Martin - Lee are all behind Miranda & way behind Kiriloff at 1B. Don’t see any of them having a real opportunity there without big time injury.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Headrick - Balazovic - Deleon - (Maeda 3 weeks away) - Duran - Lopez - Thielbar (2 weeks away) - Stewart - Jax
  24. JD-TWINS
    Exactly!! That’s his major problem, he’s clueless or has nearly zero command. Cannot tube a fastball after 2 straight walks. Throw a middle/middle fastball to Heyward, 2 batters prior so you don’t walk him. Came into game with TWO OUTS. He gets behind in pressure situations and then caves & instead of throwing a strike to a spot he goes middle/middle and it gets rocked. Happens repeatedly. Some are comparing him to Jax. Jax has had some terrible breaks - he’s walked some guys in bad spots - but he’ll give up a run or not get a hold when needed but he doesn’t give up 2,3,or 4 runs & takes us out of a game.
  25. JD-TWINS
    Farmer has been under appreciated with his positional flexibility and clutch offensive performances from the start of the season. Since he’s taken Miranda’s spot, we’re 5-2 and he’s hitting around .400 with 2 homers. Agreed - FO brought in some guys that are essentially all contributing - Vazquez had 5 hits & a walk in his last 2 starts - Solano, like a lot of guys, is up & down but gives us a chance with experience in his role. Taylor has been steady & done everything we could expect!
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