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TheLeviathan

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Everything posted by TheLeviathan

  1. TheLeviathan
    The fact that it's impossible without it in no way weakens my point. The problem is the nature of the adjustment itself.
  2. TheLeviathan
    Yup, that's sorta my point. Despite the fact that the positional adjustment sorta makes it apples and oranges (or, at the very least, weakens the comparison considerably) - the stat is still widely used that way. I understand people want it to be a good comparison tool, but really what it can be used for is a very rough approximation of value. And in the cases of WAR totals driven by defensive calculations, it becomes pretty sketchy altogether. When I said the vast majority of people use it more forcefully than it is warranted, I'm speaking about just about every time it's used on Fangraphs. MVP arguments are rarely made with the very nuances argued in that link. For example, rarely when there is a large disparity (say, 6.0 vs. 3.0) is any mention made of how much the defensive component makes up each player's total. Certainly, here on this forum with Byron Buxton, this is true but you also see it on Fangraphs. I appreciate how they try and caution the use of the stat and they do a nice job laying out the limits of it, I wish they followed those outlines more frequently to set a better example.
  3. TheLeviathan
    Except, it goes beyond just being a hardliner about 3.5 vs. 3.1. It's also about people comparing a 3.5 WAR in CF to a 3.5 WAR at 2B. That isn't a particularly responsible use of the stat either. Frankly, WAR is a fairly limited stat for accurate comparisons used too broadly IMO. There are better stats for assessing value (on offense and defense separately) and it may be best if we stop pretending we have a good measurement for both offense and defense that can be compared across positions or too rigidly.
  4. TheLeviathan
    I wish people understood this, but I think the vast majority of people do not employ the stat appropriately.
  5. TheLeviathan
    Things change quickly in baseball though. I agree with much of what you say, but I bet there are trade targets out there more appealing than this. And if there aren't....then I'm ok holding off. I don't want the team to make moves for the sake of it either. Kiriloff and Graterol are pretty valuable chips. If I'm pushing them into the middle of the table, I want to feel really good about what I'm getting back. And, frankly, I'm pretty ok with Castro/Garver/Austidillo. That's not where I'm pushing all-in to help. There are other places we can gain more from making a splash.
  6. TheLeviathan
    If the price tag is Kiriloff and Graterol, I think I'd prefer to look elsewhere. I feel like that kind of package could land a pretty damn good pitcher and I'm more interested in that anyway.
  7. TheLeviathan
    I dig this SD Buhr. This post was on fire.
  8. TheLeviathan
    Citing the Oakland A's as a bullpen strategy is curious. A quick glance at how those players were acquired indicates the Twins don't actually understand it. Trienen was a buy-low trade acquisition who had a lot of hype in the past. The Twins have no such player. Also, the Yasmani Grandal offer indicates this team has money it could spend, but is choosing not to.
  9. TheLeviathan
    Let's hope he has 500+ ABs. That should be the best sign of all.
  10. TheLeviathan
    http://www.reactiongifs.com/lol/illK6U.gif
  11. TheLeviathan
    Extensions do nothing for me. By and large, I'm not a fan. Maybe they'll shock me with one, but I doubt it. Long term retention does nothing for me if the team isn't willing to buy-in.
  12. TheLeviathan
    This. Wait and see only tells me that you don't have much confidence and you're too reactive. I don't want a reactive front office. I guess it's better than the Ryan approach of "Bet you wondered if I still had a pulse?" GMing, but it's still a bad way to operate. Be forward-thinking and a move ahead of the results.
  13. TheLeviathan
    There is an even more direct quote I believe. It's floated around here many times in the past. They do not use excess profits in future seasons. They've said so themselves.
  14. TheLeviathan
    You can also "bet on the core" but supplementing them with more talent. As I'm typing this, I can't see how you think this strategy is betting on them. This is playing the middle - it's giving them a little bit of help but not over-committing because you still don't trust them. You could further help this core without replacing them. No one is suggesting you bump any of those guys out of their spot. I'm ok with Cruz and Schoop as buy low options. But Cron at 1st? He's literally the closest thing to discarded you can get for an MLB player. They could have seriously upgraded that spot. They could've added a serious starting pitcher. Or several relievers. They didn't invest in the core. They waded in halfway and decided to play it safe.
  15. TheLeviathan
    The FA signings have been (justifiably) hammered a lot, but little mention has been made of this: Why not make freaking trade? There are guys available for a song (like Sonny Gray, Zack Grienke, etc.) that could help this team and you'd get tremendous value. The lack of spending exists in several aspects. Ultimately, I'm just disappointed they haven't added more to this core with the resources and options available. As the data shows, good teams build through a variety of avenues. It'd be nice if we were exploring more of them than the "Who will sign a one year deal with us at a below market price?"
  16. TheLeviathan
    The key to an upside signing is that you are banking on them turning things around from a rough patch, so Pomeranz fits that. Perez hasn't done anything to show there is upside to be had in a long, long time.
  17. TheLeviathan
    If your immediate response to any signing is "Well...how easy will it be to cut him?" That sorta ends the conversation. If we're making this kind of move, I'd prefer the first question be "How can we find the upside?" We'd be asking that if this was Sonny Gray. Or Dallas Kuechel. Martin Perez would seem to need to transform into an entirely new pitcher to have upside. It's happened before, but dammit....there are guys out there much more likely to be upside acquisitions.
  18. TheLeviathan
    Would've rather beat Cincy's offer for Gray.
  19. TheLeviathan
    At this point he's behind Moya and Rogers as lefties in the bullpen right? I know he was once a top prospect, but this is too much guaranteed.
  20. TheLeviathan
    Yes, there is talent, the problem is that it's inferior to the talent that was previously available. None of whom have signed insanely high deals either. This has been a missed opportunity if we settle for Parker and one of these guys.
  21. TheLeviathan
    I would like to read what Tom wrote but all I see is a giant video of a Twin striking out over the top of it. I think it's hilariously apt...but still I'd like to read what Tom wrote. Anyone else having this issue?
  22. TheLeviathan
    Addison Reed had red flags too. We are angling to guarantee Magill a roster spot at this point. That's just unacceptable.
  23. TheLeviathan
    Yes, overcome with money. At the end of the day, money solves this.. The "ugh, you used to live there!!!" happens to everyone. I hear it from Minnesotans about the heat in Phoenix. All rational people should say that about Florida. Minnesotans would say that about Iowa or Wisconsin. People from Illinois sneer when they say "Indiana" What you experienced is just a thing humans do, it's like talking about the weather. And when you talk about your Florida experience, I can't help but think of the first time I heard that same, bogus rationale in Phoenix. Phoenix is a big city with (supposedly) great weather and do you know what fans and talk radio people say? "Nobody wants to come here..." I laughed out loud the first time I heard it and thought of Twinsdaily. "They won't come here because of the weather" is more like the rationalization you make when you get rejected by a love interest. It's more about patting yourself on the back than anything grounded in reality.
  24. TheLeviathan
    Excellent final paragraph. We the fans are getting soaked by professional sports, but at least the other leagues have salary caps and floors that force certain amounts of efforts towards spending and competition.
  25. TheLeviathan
    Are all these Yankees free agent signings just totally ignorant of the climate in the northeast? That's one hell of an effort if they've pulled off that feat of magic...... I live in Phoenix. They literally whine about the "No one wants to come here" thing too. It's what's made me realize how ridiculous that excuse is.
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