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TheLeviathan

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Everything posted by TheLeviathan

  1. TheLeviathan
    I thought Pressly credited the Twins for turning him around? The Astros simply doubled down on it to make him elite. I wonder if we'll end up being more content with the bullpen than many of us thought and it will be the rotation that will be our bane. Just a nagging concern I can't shake.
  2. TheLeviathan
    Clearly we should trade for Peter Bourjos.
  3. TheLeviathan
    Well, maybe....we always knew our second baseman would be right behind him for protection!
  4. TheLeviathan
    This is Baldelli getting off on the right foot. Nice lineup construction.
  5. TheLeviathan
    There is a large difference downside (and upside) between us and, say, the Astros. Or Indians.
  6. TheLeviathan
    If I had to bet on what position group is most likely to be the culprit for a Twins rough showing in 2019....it's this one. Too much downside.
  7. TheLeviathan
    All of that can be true and it can still be obnoxious to pay $6 for a hot dog.
  8. TheLeviathan
    I choose not to attend big league games in part because of price gouging, but one thing I haven't seen mentioned yet is that sometimes the prices on concessions are just a big middle finger to fans. Yeah, the clubs can get away with it. Doesn't make it any less obnoxious.
  9. TheLeviathan
    From Fangraphs: The individual weights for home runs, walks/HBP, and strikeouts are based on the relative values of those actions with respect to run prevention. The constant is what puts it on scale with ERA. The multipliers are value driven. And that is different than calculating ERA or OBP. There are no multipliers or value adjustments. (And, before some new tangent arrives, I'm not saying that makes the stat lesser. It just makes it some degree more subjective)
  10. TheLeviathan
    FIP has more subjectivity than, say, OBP. It's about the levels, stats like WAR and a few others certainly have a higher component than many others. Basically, any "value" stats are going to be more subjective than others.
  11. TheLeviathan
    Jorgenwest already tried to help you on this. And the original posters point was on the same thing. I'm not sure how you got on this tangent, but it's a strawman. No one doubts that if you are given 5 x 2 you'll get 10. Of course that's objective. But it isn't whether 5 x 2 is objective or subjective, it's the question of whether it should be 5 or should be 2 and the decisions made in that regard. What's subjective is deciding it should be 5 or should be 2. What you decide to incorporate and how you weigh it is an act of choosing what is most important. That is, by definition, subjective. Now, you can have strong reasons for doing so. You can test it and find the results in line with what you are trying to measure, but nonetheless there are elements that are subjective. Hell, on WAR alone we have multiple ways to calculate it based on what different places choose to weigh. That doesn't eliminate them from being useful, but it pretty much squashes the "objective" argument.
  12. TheLeviathan
    The conversation is not about whether people can read a formula and put it in a calculator, the question is whether the formula itself is too subjective. I don't think that was unclear from the discussion. Your point seems to be an unnecessary quibble given that.
  13. TheLeviathan
    The problem is that OF cannot be elite. What Buxton can provide, if he becomes what we hope, is elite. And it elevates Rosario and Kepler. I hope people don't take too much from Buxton crushing fastballs the first two weeks of spring. April is our true test, anything before that is just nice to hear, but mostly meaningless.
  14. TheLeviathan
    I hope he keeps the K's in check and uses last season as the motivation to put it all together this year.
  15. TheLeviathan
    Correct. I hear the proponents proclaim loudly how they understand that one year samples are not necessarily great use of the metrics, but then think nothing of citing WAR in a one year sample. I look at defensive metrics, I'm not as skeptical as Chief, but the blinders go on REAL fast for a lot of people. It's not purposeful, I think people just like having the quick and dirty stats and frequently forget how dirty they really are.
  16. TheLeviathan
    I also think, should things not go well for the team, that he has more value as a trade target.
  17. TheLeviathan
    I'm not defending anyone, other than against the torches. I too, would like to see Sano stay a little safer in his choices to avoid injuries, but this sounds like dumb luck.
  18. TheLeviathan
    Buxton's spring training performance was brutal last year but you dismissed that (and the equally putrid start to 2018) with injuries. Buxton struck out in one third of his plate appearances in the minors in 2018but yet, he "tore it up" and Sano was bad. (Despite, you know, better numbers). Buxton continues to have similar, reoccurring injury problems. Buxton has had long, crippling stretches of awful hitting. I hope all of those facts are included in that position breakdown as well. I dislike it when someone professes to be analyzing when they are actually doing something more like proselytizing. You are entitled to your opinion that Buxton is more likely to bust out for the Twins. But the amount of Ks he piled up in AAA, the amount of time he missed with injuries, and the putrid start he had last year should be parts of the analysis. I hope they are and it's not all rose-colored glasses and duckies and bunnies. Sano deserved criticism and optimism. Buxton deserves both too.
  19. TheLeviathan
    So the first page it's all Sano and the Twins fault? As Parker has told us more, those posts look apology-worthy. Sano had an accident happen and went to the doctor. Doctor took care of him. Twins check doctor's work and OK it. (So much so that plugged-in Reusse dismisses injury as irrelevant) A few weeks later the Twins re-check and healing isn't going as hoped. Que some of you losing your minds. You know what that scenario is? Bad luck. It happens in treating injuries all the time. No one is at fault. Should probably rethink how quick some of you grabbed the torches.
  20. TheLeviathan
    I'll be eager to see if this particular line stays the same for our other centerpiece player. Because it matches 100% for him as well. Also, no one is saying not to worry about Sano. I'm bullish on him but I'm still worried. Same for Buxton. Same for Kepler. Pointing out that there are positives with Sano is not saying there is nothing to worry about, that's a strawman you're creating.
  21. TheLeviathan
    It's not about focus, it's about how the numbers are interpreted. You called Byron Buxton's 2018 minor league stint with terms like "tearing it up" and then described Sano as "struggling". Which isn't born out by the numbers at all. (Especially if you want to look at strikeouts, because Buxton struck out at a higher rate than Sano did!) You have a personal perspective of optimism about Buxton and more skepticism about Sano. That's ok to say. But the analysis of their flaws/strengths need not involve that and it is clearly coloring this particular article.
  22. TheLeviathan
    I look forward to Byron Buxton,.600 OPS CFer, racking up WAR for us I suppose. World Series of WAR here we come! I would just prefer if your analysis on their offensive performances was more consistent. It's like watching someone taste test two glasses of the same pop and calling it Pepsi once and Whiskey the second time. We need significant offensive improvement from both players. And there are plenty of concerns and hopes to go around depending on what you cherry pick. I hope more analysis here weighs those pros and cons without the cherry picking or personal feelings is all.
  23. TheLeviathan
    Great post, while I agree that he was partially down to work on pitch recognition, there is definitely a glass half-full slant on Sano's concerns. I'm going to go out on a limb and guess the exact opposite slant from Nick when it's Buxtons turn, with similar issues to face.
  24. TheLeviathan
    Nice, hard to be unhappy with this.
  25. TheLeviathan
    Many owners threaten politicians into tax levies. The building they are overcharging you to enter was also paid by taxpayers. And they are lowering player salaries while upping your costs as a consumer. Why you fall on the sword for them is beyond me, but I know the thanks you'll get for your loyalty. They'll raise your prices, blame the players, and laugh to the bank about suckers.
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