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TheLeviathan

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Everything posted by TheLeviathan

  1. TheLeviathan
    I did as well and I agree with your first paragraph. Unfortunately, we have very little way of knowing how good he is at that. I do also want to say to Mike's point, that managerial experience is a major factor. Even in a changing baseball world with a de-emphasis on the old-school thinking, managing people is a skill precious few people are really good at. Some level of experience at it in lower levels should be a prerequisite.
  2. TheLeviathan
    No, the stats guy won't do those things, but as you say there are other guys who might be able to do that. I don't know how the changes will ultimately look, but I do think they're coming. And part of that is the realization that managers aren't as significant as we've thought. (They were probably always less significant than we thought, but the gap is growing IMO)
  3. TheLeviathan
    How many decisions do you think Molitor, or some other analytics manager, makes during the course of any game that couldn't just easily be handled by a statistician? Or someone who can read a flow-chart for decision making? I think there will still be a "manager" but it will look nothing like it does now. If this was the year 2000 and I told you nearly every FO in baseball was going to be constituted as it is today, I'd have been laughed off as a heretic. It's coming to the dugout, it already is.
  4. TheLeviathan
    Well, I also consider NHL coaches in the same boat. Sports are becoming more and more about data and talent. If you have the best data and some of the best talent - you'll win. Pretty much regardless of your manager. If you don't, you won't. And since baseball is so driven by individual player matchups (unlike the NFL, NBA, and NHL) it reduces the impact of coaching in the moment. Comparing that to your average office building seems to have any number of major flaws.
  5. TheLeviathan
    I would assume it's not all that different than how things are worked out regarding the hitting, pitching, bench, bullpen, and whatever other coaching titles there are. I do think you still need a point man, but I think the skill set for that person has changed a lot. Not unlike the change we've seen in FOs by the way. The idea that every FO in baseball would be packed with Stanford stat nerds and not old Terry Ryan-type scouts would've been foreign to baseball even 10-15 years ago. I think the manager position meets the same fate eventually.
  6. TheLeviathan
    Wouldn't we be better off eliminating the manager position and just hiring 3-4 people who are experts at all of those jobs instead? It seems to me we still hire "baseball people" for a job that really has very little anymore to do with what happens no the field.
  7. TheLeviathan
    I will take the manager job. You can pay me 150k and I can promise to be +/- 3 wins from anyone else you hire. I'll also stay true to the time honored traditions of sitting around in my pajamas all day, I know how to use a rotary phone, and I will promise to use snazzy analytics terms while also saying things like "fundamentals", "that's how we played back in my day", and "eye for an eye" if that makes you old-timers feel warm and fuzzy. Oh, and if I don't already have the job, I promise anyone related to Nick Punto will never make our team.
  8. TheLeviathan
    Here is the goal for selling: Trade your human who plays baseball and you won't have for more than a few months for another human that plays baseball and you might be able to keep longer. That's it, that's the bar to meet for me. Don't sit on your hands. Don't trade them for cash. Get young baseball playing people - any really, I won't be picky - and I'll call the deadline a win.
  9. TheLeviathan
    You don't know any of this. This is the kind of post about Sano that really bothers me. Buxton too. You know nothing about them as young men, what they think, what they care about, and how they work. Criticizing them as people like that is quite reprehensible IMO.
  10. TheLeviathan
    We're efficient at blundering opportunities though!
  11. TheLeviathan
    I feel like we have a wave of TV writing that is trying too hard to be clever. The time jumping back and forth really hurt Westworld IMO. A more straight line narrative this season would've been far better for all involved.
  12. TheLeviathan
    The best thing to happen to Kohl Stewart was the firing of Terry Ryan and his organizational approach. Hopefully these guys can salvage this kid.
  13. TheLeviathan
    Yeah, I'd skip season 2. Terrible pacing, plotting, and an absolute mess of a narrative in the finale.
  14. TheLeviathan
    My wife and I are considering The Expanse as our next show to binge/get into. Anyone have a thought on it? (Westworld and Legion were both drop-offs, so we need something good)
  15. TheLeviathan
    It's over. Time to start rooting for trade value.
  16. TheLeviathan
    That lineup....good lord.
  17. TheLeviathan
    Yeah the BoSox announcers suggested Gibson threw up and in on JD because he owns Gibby. So they retaliated.
  18. TheLeviathan
    I'm ready to talk extension with him. Worst case scenario you have a versatile player that is very valuable to a team. What would he take? 4 years and 40M? 4/60? The more I think about it the less confident I am in my guesses.
  19. TheLeviathan
    Damn that Thorpe start is nice. I think by this time next year we look at Thorpe and Graterol as our best future rotation pieces. Or at least the ones with the most upside.
  20. TheLeviathan
    Parker had a good article on the pitching moves and how Molitor isn't all that out of step as some think. Poor baseball might just be the result of how many poor baseball players Molitor is forced to march out there right now. And no, I think he's much lower than the COO. I think a baseball manager is much more like a secretary/office manager. Or a figurehead. They simply don't have enough pull in FO decisions and their in-game decisions have been largely neutered as well.
  21. TheLeviathan
    I don't think the manager in baseball is the manager of the organization. He's more like a "team lead". If even that. Probably closer to an office manager who organizes things, sets schedules, answers questions, etc. Are those people valuable? Sure, absolutely. Do I think firing one is going to make Steve in Accounting any better at accounting? Probably not. I do put stock into the value of a good clubhouse, but I think the coaching staff as a group can set that tone. (Which is why I could see an organization switching away from a single manager to a specialized group of guys to manage) Or the owner. Or the Front Office. Or all of them together. And whatever clubhouse culture they set up is completely beyond our ability to judge because we see next to none of it. I don't see any signs that Twins players are miserable and not having fun and that they hate Molitor. Do you?
  22. TheLeviathan
    Just in time to trade him!
  23. TheLeviathan
    He's human, willing to work 162 nights a year (including weekends), knows how to use antiquated phone system, good at slapping people on the back, can copy names accurately. So, like the other 29 guys.
  24. TheLeviathan
    I personally like manager with bad record - “not enough talent, not his fault” I personally don’t like manager with poor record - “everything is his fault, talent is irrelevant” I hope we give Molitor a lifetime deal or fire him just to save some of you from your own posts.
  25. TheLeviathan
    Rogers and Hildy getting back to what we expected would do a world of good for this team.
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