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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. From fangraphs ARM (outfield arm runs): Outfielder’s get credit (plus or minus) depending on what the runners do on a hit or a fly ball out. A runner can stay put, advance, or get thrown out. A fielder will get credit not only if he throws out more than his share of runners, but also if he keeps more than his share of runners from advancing extra bases. Wallner for his career is 1.0
  2. I did not say to trade him for Festa. Look at what Boston was trying to get and the people suggestions for trades. Festa at this point is a back of the rotation starter. Will he get better? Maybe. Maybe not. It doesn’t hurt Breslow to try for better.
  3. They are trying to set a new record for how many different way they can say the same thing. They still have a few more bloggers to go.
  4. Boston once signed a left handed first baseman with injury issues and ad defense. It worked out pretty well for them. I would guess that they are hoping someone will overpay with a frontline starter. I wouldn’t think that is going to happen without a top prospect thrown in. Pitching is and always has een in hort supply. A back of the rotation starter is more likely to e what they could get. I wouldn’t think someone like Festa might be a good as they get. The Sox need to find a team that doesn’t consider injury history.
  5. Santana turned down a 4 year 80 million contract with the Twins The narrative was not that he was too expensive. He kind of made it clear he wasn’t going to sign here
  6. Bill Smith was a capable person of many things. Unfortunately being a baseball GM was not one of them. His talent though did lead the Twins to be able to draft Buxton.
  7. Soto is promising. Wait a couple more levels before hyping. In 2011 there was a hs pitcher taken 4th overall. A top 10 prospect in 2012. By 2022 he was the scourge of many fans here. He wasn’t the first nor the last hyped hs pitcher that was hyped and fizzled
  8. Look at the trajectory of Ober. They higher out a way to increase the workload while still developing the pitcher at the major league level. The pitchers are no longer finished products when they hit the major leagues. Look at the paths of. Ryan, Oer and Skubal
  9. There were 29 relief pitchers that pitched at least 5 innings that had a fWAR over 1.3. There were 34 pitchers that had a FIP under 3.0, 75 who were under 3.51. There’s more decent relief pitchers than the projection states there are
  10. Grichuck was a 2 war player last year as a part time platoon player, rh pinch hitter. If he could have maintained that while getting Margot’s playing time he would have come out as the Twin’s best player. How would have that been counter productive?
  11. That is because you are not looking at the players who have not produced with the large contracts
  12. The local revenue is what drives the valuations of these teams. Drastic, even if it gradual, will decrease the value of those franchises. Somebody would have to pay for that. The current rule of 150% of shared revenue must go to payer contracts might to go down slightly. It needs to e in place as the Asro’s made 96 million one year in their tank to rebuild years. NBA style 4 year graduated increase type contracts, and super max with the current team being able offer more would clean up a few things The George Steinbrenner idea of limiting free agent contracts to one year would be even better, but that is even more unlikely than a 4 year limit
  13. Sorry I don’t keep a bibliography and detailed notes of where I read things at.. try looking up the old owners of the Mets as to why MLB would not want the owners hanging on to differed money
  14. BABIP goes higher with higher strikeout % Keirsey was around 20&. His speed is rated much better than Stevenson so that does not make him a comparable player. Speed allows you to beat out more infield hits. Defense can take that away but his doubles and triples totals would suggest that he is not just beating out infield hits like Celestino was when he came up. Keirsey had BABIP around .370 for both years in AAA. It gets less flukey with larger sample sizes. A spray chart might give an indication of actual talent. Whether or not he can come close to a .300 BA in the majors depends more on where the hole in his swing is. The SO% would suggest one. Probably what has held him back last year from a real shot is he is not a home run hitter. What he will be in the majors is like many prospect is a question mark. He could e like Larnach and become better with experience, or he could just be another not quite good enough player.
  15. The supposition that the Dodgers are controlling the funds of an escrow account are made without the least bit of proof.
  16. San Diego is still in debt ratio limbo. It would have took valuable prospect capital to get them to take Vasquez as well as a lot more capital to match a salary for the player coming back.
  17. All very nice except for one small detail. MLB handles the escrow accounts. The CBA would state where any of the profits off an escrow account goes. Teams are also required to escrow the year’s payroll .
  18. Those 6 runs were by home runs. Your complaint was Arraez not scoring when on base Castro is no better than Arraez at scoring when on base
  19. The average for a batter who did not hit a HR but got on base was 32%. The average for Arraez 37%. He was above average in that regards. You could point to the stat that the percent chance of scoring from 1b with no outs is 38%. That would make Arraez as the leadoff hitter below average. The flaw is that out of his 4-5 AB, he leads off an inning for sure only once a game. Their 9th alters were the catchers who had sub .300 OBP. The likelihood would e high that there was at least one out when Arraez came to bat. The likelihood of scoring goes down to below 20%. As I said earlier Castro last year had similar OBP to Arraez and similar numbers to Arraez in runs scored. If Arraez is a player not worth having for his batting and below average defense then why would they e keeping Castro to answer the question why does it seam like Arraez is LOB more often than others would be because he is on base more
  20. Should the Twins e getting rid of Castro? Similar numbers to Arraez last year.
  21. When you tout the difference in runs scored you have to be pretty blind not to consider runs scored. Castro and Arraez had the about the same OPB and AB as Castro. Compare and contrast those two and see that there is not that much of a difference in runs scored
  22. As a leadoff hitter he had the weakest hitters in front of him in the later innings Did he have the same opportunities as someone in the 3-4 spot did?
  23. When a team trades prospects it is generally the ones that the trading team thinks wont make a difference if they make the major leagues. Look at how little the White Sox got out of the trades of Eaton, Sale and Quintana. 2 great years out of Giolito, and 2 great and one K out of Cease with the return of 2 maye prospects. Miami traded for a lot of players with their stars through the years. Alcantara is about all they have to show for it
  24. Arraez was top of the order so he would have less opportunity to drive in runs whereas Buxton was in the heart of the order. If Arraez did not score as many runs that in part was on the players behind him. Keep in ind that 18 of those runs Buxton scored was by him driving in himself versus 4 for Arraez
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