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beckmt

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Everything posted by beckmt

  1. beckmt
    Saw article on Mlbtraderumors https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/01/al-notes-tigers-castellanos-twins-rangers.html Interesting note on the Twins trying to lock up long term pieces, if this is true, at least it seem like they have a plan to see what they have long term and then start to fill the holes or plan to fill the holes. Most of the the players in saw I would sign, though would like to see Gibson signed for only at most 3 years. Do not expect the Boris reped players to sign, so it will be interesting to see if any of them sign
  2. beckmt
    More worried about the mental state if Twins blow a bunch of saves early. Stat says you were ahead, something the White Sox and Orioles were not. Dodgers stat was because of Jansen struggles and missing early, Brewiers also until they got their bullpen sorted out and used more of Hader.
  3. beckmt
    I also have a hard time with the 80 - 82 win projection. Bullpen is the key and I like a lot of the rest are concerned here. Twins I believe blew somewhere in the neighborhood of 25 saves last year. 4 - 5 blown saves in April could set this team a long way back with more a of 'here we go again' type of mentaility. I would take great pains to avoid this line. I understand the relievers could be good or bad, but this division is up for grabs and Twins should be making more moves. I like the new coaching staff, but it should be given an incomplete until we see how in works in game situations. Resource allocation seems to be light, but would wait until middle spring training to see how it works out. Just no more after spring training is 2 weeks old signing players and bringing them in, they just do not seem to be ready by the season opener.
  4. beckmt
    I am hoping the Kirloff makes enough noise in camp to at least force the FO to start him in Pensacola. Most of the invites are just to bring them in early to work with them and let the better prospects get their feet wet in a major league spring training regime. I expect most of the prospects will be sent out when minor league training camps open, which is the first or second week of March. Any of them that do not would be a sign they have opened some eyes of the major league staff.
  5. beckmt
    Do not like the Twins approach, but can understand it. If Sano and Buxton flounder this year , you are looking at a 2 year reset until the next wave arrives. And this would also be after the work stopage that I presume will happen after 2021. That could be an issue if the players file a lawsuit to force the owners to pay at people under old agreement long term contracts. Maybe the Twins FO has been told to avoid this at this time. Other factor here is with the end of the steroid era, players have tended to decline in their early to low middle thirthes, so unless the talent level is very great, it is hard for the owners to pay very good player money to a player who could decline quckly in the next contract.
  6. beckmt
    Price of FA pitching keeps going up, especially starters. If Gibson, Pineda, and/or Ordorizzi have good years, you have some options. My feelings 1. If Gibson has a year like or better than last year you can QO him. This would not tie up money for more than 1 year and give you something if he walked, at 31 would not give him more than a 2 year contract after this year. 2. If Pineda has a good year, see if you can sign him to a 3 year contract. I have issues with his injury history, but would like a 2 - 3 year contract with an option. 3. Ordorizzi. He is the toughest of the three. Seemed to come on last year and if that was for real (big question mark here), I would offer him a 3 - 4 year contract. If turned down I would QO him. I consider this unlikely, but certainly would keep the communication lines open. Might be OK with a 3 year contract now at around 10 - 11 million a year. That would be way high if he has a bad year, but would be a bargain if he has a good year.
  7. beckmt
    Seems fair considering that none of them have played AA. Next year should tell a lot more.
  8. beckmt
    Yes, but I would not put my faith in pitchers 30 and older that are not already pitchers rather than throwers who will lose velocity in the near future.
  9. beckmt
    Twins are going to need starters in 2020, that requires some of their prospects to stay starters. Some of the higher velocity low stamina pitchers need to be converted to relievers and moved very fast this year. some of the prior relievers, may still have a chance, this year will be defining for them.
  10. beckmt
    Am hoping Twins start Javier one level below where they start Lewis. That will probably be Cedar Rapids, but would like to see Javier in Ft. Myers this year.
  11. beckmt
    problem here is the players and the agents. Owners keep asking for a hard salary cap as a bargining tool for concessions elsewhere. Players need to force a minimum spend on the owners to force owners who are just raking in profits to make their teams more competitive by spending money. Say 100,000,000 is the minimum (new TV contracts will make this amount seem small) (and this may include taxes and benefits). Maybe reduce FA to 5 years (even though this will hurt small market teams) or end the manipulation of service time. Biggest issue is there are three types of players, stars and superstars, who want big money without caring what it does to the team, midlevel who make good money, but a lot of them are paid more than they are worth, and the fillin-ins, your basic replacement level players who seldom make much (in relative terms), and the minute they make more that a couple of million are usually the first cuts if a younger player is close to as good. I do not know how to handle this, but the owners can easly play groups off against one another, plus the new statistical data which is traceing player decline to the 31 - 33 age range instead of older. This is not counting the minor leaguers who at the lower level get a raw deal or many who want to go forward having to play in independent leagues for peanuts. Maybe you have to get a higher luxury tax factor to prevent teams with large markets from just ignoring the tax and buying the better players. Otherwise maybe go back to 16 teams, force all teams to spend like 250,000,000 a year and end this charade.
  12. beckmt
    Sonny Gray in another band box, ugh!
  13. beckmt
    Maybe we are looking at some trade options. That could be why we are stocking up on mediocre pitchers.
  14. beckmt
    Twins have a lot of marginal players at the bottom of the 40 man, probably not an issue. Hoping the Twins brass saw something. Seems a little expensive if he will be released at the end of spring training. We shall see. Maybe a different pitch mix, that has been discussed where I have looked.
  15. beckmt
    Until you have a hard salary cap, you will have these issues. This is the essence of big market vs small market teams. In this world to help you have to make the luxury tax penalties much higher to keep teams from going over unless they are going all in for one year. Since it is unlikely baseball will have a hard cap, you need to have both a minimum salary spend and a luxury tax level that is closer to the minimum salary spend, with an over penalty of at least 50% of the overage. This might not work, but is would lower the difference between the haves and the have nots, and prevent teams like Miami from just pocketing money, because they can and then get rebates to help the profits.
  16. beckmt
    I am not so worried about blocking Gordon, but I am worried about blocking Lewis and Javier along with Polonco. Do not see it happening and would rather have Harper and move Kepler to 1st.
  17. beckmt
    Last I saw we are the thirteenth market area in the United States. This seems more midmarket than low end. Maybe on revenue we are in the bottom 10, this would be more due to the Twins TV contract than any other factor. However putting 500,000 more fans in the seats will certainly raise the revenue to at least add on decent contract (assuming $40 a seat, not counting concession sales, etc).
  18. beckmt
    in the competitive years, after other competitive years Twins should average around or over 2.5 million fans, that should be plenty of incentive to get it done. Plus they should get a new TV contract in a few years.
  19. beckmt
    With the weak QB draft this year, my guess is that Murray goes in the top 20. That is a lot of money, and if he makes his 5th year contract and second contract, he will make more than he ever could at baseball. If he busts he will know by 23 - 24 and maybe goes back to baseball. Let most baseball prospects he is raw and a lot of them never make it. Better trying football, what Boris tried was just extorsion, just from the wrong club.
  20. beckmt
    You will not get Joe Fan back without putting a winning product on the field. This is not hockey or football which has a big natural base to draw from. Please give the fans some hope and at least put some more money into this franchise. It is possible some money is being reserved for extensions of key young players, if that is the case, let's get it done.
  21. beckmt
    Cleveland bullpen was one of the worst in the league last year (along with the Twins). If you want to monitor Allen's market and move when you feel the value is good I can live with it. This team lead the majors in blown saves last year and is young. The last thing I want to see happen is to start the year, blow 3 - 4 saves in April and have this team collapse into a here we go again mentality when you go to the pen. This is too important a position to just hope things work out if you intend to compete this year. If you do not it is a different story, but at that point you encourage other organizations (White Sox) to overspend this year, hit the jackpot and be looking at the same area other teams in this area are at. Good enough to be decent, not good enough to win or win divisions.
  22. beckmt
    Allen could well be toast from Cleveland's overuse. He might rebound, but do not think Twins should take the chance, except on a very team friendly one year deal.
  23. beckmt
    The above quote is not to cast shade on the current FO, who seem to have found another 6 - 10 players, some of whom have the chance to be really special over the next few years. The only issue I have is that the top players in this group are represented by Boris, which means that without an overpay, at least the top 2 will be here 6 - 7 years and then gone. Disclaimer: This is without knowledge of how the next CBA will change things.
  24. beckmt
    I believe that Rosario, Buxton, Kepler, Polanco, Adrianza, Sano, Garver, Berrios, Gibson, May, Duffey, Mejia, Hildenberger, Rodgers, and possibly Moya and Vasquez were all acquired by the old regime. This is still the bulk of the team, so starting from ground zero in 2011, (Bad team, bad farm system), the rebuild went far slower than we hoped, but this group is not a bad foundation.
  25. beckmt
    I feel they need to sign another reliever as the bottom end looks weak. I also favor Vasquez over Moya. Maybe a better utility player than Moya and one less pitcher and have Astudillo up. Would like to have seen what Austin can bring for a full season, but the front office does not seem very sold on him, so I guess barring Cron having a very bad spring, he is gone. Worried about the lack of OBP type players, as this club looks like it could have problems scoring if the ball does not leave the park. Pitching rates to be better, but would like one more stabilizer in the pen. At least this club has hope if at least one of Buxton and Sano rebound to be upper 80's to low 90's in the win column.
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