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Everything posted by stringer bell
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Two notes on mlbtraderumors.com have the Tigers interested in Seth Lugo and Kenta Maeda. I think this is the same neighborhood the Twins are likely to be shopping. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/11/tigers-interested-in-seth-lugo.html https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/11/tigers-rumors-serious-interest-kenta-maeda-free-agent.html
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That one or two players could have/should have been Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton. Correa, in his age 28 year put up a disappointing 1.4 WAR and Buxton, in his age 29 year, had a WAR of 0.8. Expecting near peak from each due to their prime ages would have netted something like 7 WAR and made a decent lineup near elite. No team can expect all key players to be healthy, but besides the disappointments of Correa and Buxton, Lewis missed over 100 games, Kirilloff more than 70 and Polanco only played in 80 games, but if Buxton and Correa could have contributed average production for peak years, they probably get a #2 seed and maybe a trip to the World Series. I would say that the way Texas played in the postseason, they would have been a tough out for any team, but the Twins did handle them just weeks earlier.
- 125 replies
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- jorge polanco
- trade rumor
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Agree, but I do think the theme here is that with the right trade, value can be derived by trading minor leaguers for major league players.
- 13 replies
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- sonny gray
- jake odorizzi
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Kyle Gibson is going to St. Louis (1 year deal). I believe Kyle has Missouri connections. Kind of surprised he only got a one-year contract.
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Lopez will make more than the entire Twins bullpen (if they don’t add anyone).
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Best wishes to him. I'm convinced he will not be missed.
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Isn't the projection that the Twins will have large increases (López, player entering arb years) in 2025? They will still have the Buxton and Correa contracts, which take up about 40% of payroll right now. I'm not sure if they can do a contract for either Woodruff or Mahle as they did for Pineda and Paddack.
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18 months difference in age. Not exactly "2-3 years". I have argued that Willi's 2023 was significantly better than Gordon's 2022.
- 73 replies
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- kyle farmer
- caleb thielbar
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I think they will try to leave a spot for a Rule V guy. Last year they could have carried a pitcher instead of the the Sands/Winder/Headrick triumvirate.
- 73 replies
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- kyle farmer
- caleb thielbar
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Well, they might sign three players before the Rule V draft and then they'd only have one space to claim a Rule V player.
- 73 replies
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- kyle farmer
- caleb thielbar
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Well, I'm surprised. I wasn't aware that Moran would require TJ surgery, so it then becomes an easy decision to not offer him a contract, Pulling the plug on Henriquez is a bit surprising given his age, but I guess the front office doesn't see a way for him to contribute.
- 73 replies
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- kyle farmer
- caleb thielbar
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A comment about the bullpen--I don't think there is any other team (Athletics and Rockies included) that is projected to spend less money on their bullpen. The Twins have spent very little on free agent bullpen help and when they've acquired someone (Colomé, Addison Reed, Dyson, López, year one of Pagán) the results have been less that stellar.
- 73 replies
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- kyle farmer
- caleb thielbar
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What Can the Twins Get For Nick Gordon?
stringer bell replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Newman was a capable shortstop. Gordon is not.- 62 replies
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- nick gordon
- willi castro
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Wallner’s sprint speed is 67th percentile, faster than two thirds of mlb players. Royce is a little faster than that. Speed (or lack of it) would not eliminate Lewis from playing center field. Lewis has played precious little on the grass. We don’t really know what kind of jumps he would get, if he has an outfield arm or the right instincts. He’s a great athlete, so I would expect he could adapt to the OF, but he is unproven, for sure BTW, it isn’t pure leg speed. Acuña of the Braves is measured as slower than Wallner, but he stole 73 bases last year.
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For the right price, adding Meyers makes sense. Low salary, excellent defense and some hope of being okay offensively.
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Farmer’s role in 2024 would be diminished because of Lewis being able to slide over and play short if Correa suffered a disabling injury (or Lee coming up to fill that void). He does hit left handed pitching well and is versatile, but so are Castro, Miranda and Martin. Speed and range were never pluses for him, but he’d be another year older (34 in August), so I doubt his range will increase.
- 73 replies
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- kyle farmer
- caleb thielbar
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Not really trying to rip on Gordon, but he isn’t fast. He is a 50 percentile runner (Sprint speed of 27.3).
- 73 replies
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- kyle farmer
- caleb thielbar
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Seth Stohs wrote: Biggest Question Marks: Gordon has had several injuries in his career. And while his 2022 season was just as good as Willi Castro’s 2023 season, Castro is the better defensive player at each spot on the field. Gordon is also out of options, so he couldn’t be sent to the minor leagues by the Twins without going through waivers. Rather than quoting the entire article, I want to disagree with this statement that I bolded. Castro and Gordon hit similarly in the years Seth mentioned, but there is no comparison in their overall seasons--Castro was the superior defender and capably plays more positions and Willi also provided much more value due to his base running ability.
- 73 replies
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- kyle farmer
- caleb thielbar
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Part of the reason for protecting players is the probability that they would be lost in the Rule V draft. Pitchers and (IMHO) catchers are more likely to be claimed. It is difficult to keep a position player on a roster for an entire season unless the club isn't really interested in winning. The four guys the Twins put on the 40-man would have been near-certain claims by other teams. I don't know if any of the players they didn't protect will be claimed. Looking at the 40-man as of now, there isn't much depth or upside in the pitching and they have no player who profiles as a healthy center fielder.
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I have three artificial joints due to arthritic degeneration and that is what I suspect is at play here. Buxton has suffered multiple injuries in his career, but the problem that sidetracked both 2022 and 2023 is his knee. Pain and swelling despite the efforts of Buxton and the training staff seem to indicate a chronic injury, maybe arthritic. Maybe excising the plica takes care of his problem, but somehow I doubt that. I wish Byron nothing but the best, but I have moved on from expecting/hoping that he can play great center field and get 600 plate appearances. I agree that the Twins have to plan as though he won't be available, but still leave a place for him, a tough needle to thread. I don't think first base is a realistic option.
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Hernandez will probably get a lot more than the money that Kepler is making in '24, but the key thing is the years. The top free agents always get multiple years and just about every team has somebody in the minors they think can replace a Kepler, Polanco or Hernandez for minimum salary. I think to a lot of teams getting a Kepler or Polanco (solid MLB regulars) for a single season at fair market rate is worth it, even with losing pitching or prospects.
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mlbtraderumors.com is out with their Top 25 Trade Candidates. The Twins have three players listed (Kepler, Polanco, Vázquez). Vázquez at #23 was a mild surprise to me given his remaining contract and poor offensive season last year, but his defense was sound. Here's that link: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/11/top-25-offseason-trade-candidates.html

