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Twins GFP

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  1. As a Duke fan I stand by my statement!👍
  2. Lets see... Skilled player relies on natural ability early in career, has some success, but generally does not care about improving himself or his team. Skilled player eventually gets released and is looked upon so poorly no other team is willing to sign him. Skilled player gets older, matures, finally realizes he failed to live up to his god given talent. Skilled player looses extensive weight, gets back into shape, and is able to finagle a second chance. Skilled player sees success... The thing that irritates me about this narrative is the amount of time and money the Twins poured into this guy. Shameful...
  3. There is really nothing to wonder about. Ownership has been upfront that money drives 98% of their decisions. That is why you are seeing hand-wringing over $500k decisions right now. They are not willing to make necessary moves to make the team better. One thing I wonder about: When someone smarter than me runs a cost analysis on this team, what do the ratios of wins vs. payroll vs. attendance show? Does winning the division increase income enough to offset a 10-15% increase in payroll? How does that effect attendance? My guess is there is a sweet spot where the Twins are competitive (but not great) with a mid-level payroll that generates enough attendance to make money. Which means we as fans accept high-mediocre teams at an acceptable rate by ownership.
  4. Backups are backups for a reason. Expecting Margot to be the second coming is unfair. These types of signings always carry risk... Farmer and Santana, not just struggling but being horrific on offensive, are two of the biggest let-downs so far this year. They continue to be thrust out there because of lack of institutional choices at the moment.
  5. From least to most I think you hit the order on the head perfectly. Players gotta play!
  6. I only wish Hawk Harrelson was still announcing. The joy of listening to him complain about how bad the Sox are would warm my heart.
  7. The only real answer here is SWR. He will get every opportunity to hold that spot. The real question is who is next? There is no reasonable expectation that the other 4 starters will stay 100% healthy all year. We know the Twins will not spend a dime on increasing payroll. Who is next? Will they rush Festa? There is literally no other options in the minors... I continue to be amazed there is not a mass riot outside Twins Field every day for the way ownership has destroyed this team and alienated the fanbase this past offseason.
  8. The other factor in the Taylor discussion was that his asking price was higher than $4m before the Twins acquired Margot. Once the Twins got Margot and were out of the bidding, Taylor had to "settle" for the $4m contract. MAT was playing chicken with the market and lost.
  9. I think they were hedging their bets, especially in the public eye. If Santana performs well, they can move Kiriloff to the outfield with little fanfare and move on from Kepler at any point.. If Santana is bad, they can play him at first "as was always their intention". What the FO says to the public always needs to be taken with a grain of salt. Dishonesty and misdirection are part of the game. Who knows what the actual intention was behind the scenes.
  10. Yep. Games played this year: 9 - OF 6 - DH 4 - 1B Kiriloff is a decent OF. 1B is fairly easy to replace. Unless they pull the plug on Santana (very possible), I would expect those game's played ratios to stay about the same
  11. 100% this. You can add the complete meltdown of Santana to this unexpected mix as well. (IMO Santana was brought in with the intention to have Kiriloff play more outfield) All of the Twins fandom that has been screaming to give <insert Twins prospect here> an opportunity on the big team, be careful what you wish for. Watching them play for a sub .450 team is just about here.
  12. Should we be surprised at how this season has started? Lopez, Ryan, and Ober have been as expected. Paddack was a wild card that blew up. The Twins lack of faith in Varland was strong enough bring in DaSclafani in the offseason. That lack of faith is showing in spades... While the amount of injuries is worrisome, they are really not the primary blame for the poor start. Correa, Kiriloff, Jeffers have been good or better. Everyone else has been exceedingly poor. I find it hard to blame the coaching staff for a majority of offensive issues. The lack of player moves in the offseason has severely handcuffed them. You currently have 12 players with 33+ PA, six of them are batting under .200, three of them are batting under .100. This is a player issue. They have to perform on the field. This isn't just a bad start, but a historically bad offensive start. I do expect some regression to the mean (i.e. improvement), but the hole they have dug is almost insurmountable at this point. The one issue that I have not seen addressed so far is the clubhouse morale. To go from the highs of last season and the initial optimism of the offseason to having ownership basically say we are gutting the team and do not care about winning. Moving Polanco, possibly the strongest clubhouse presence outside of Correa, for nothing. It is easy to see a very negative clubhouse environment to start the season. You can compound that with the high number of injuries. Yes, they are professionals, but they are human. Confidence and morale are very, very real when it comes to success...
  13. Not ready to totally dismiss him yet, but considering the Twins offense has no ability to pick him up, he probably needs a reset in AAA. As for who replaces him, it really doesn't matter any more. The Twins playoff chances are hanging by the slimmest of margins right now, and a 9+ ERA shouldn't be that difficult to replace.
  14. And now that the season has started we are beginning to see the destination that that horse has brought the team and the fans...
  15. With 100% blame on the Front Office and coaching staff and no accountability to the Ownership group that hamstrung the organization this winter... Don't forget blaming the culture/approach for the lack of offense instead of the players who can't hit the ball.
  16. Blame everybody but the players... Sorry you gotta be the "we have to do something" sacrifice TC!
  17. You were expecting 5 Justin Verlanders in the rotation? Define pipeline. Shrewd trades for quality SP or prospects has to be in there... Up until this year, the pitching has improved steadily basically every year. After last year, there was some expectation that there would be a step back.
  18. I am not seeing this as a Falvey issue... yet. Other teams with lower payrolls have had years to work their way through that process. Falvey has basically had 6 months to deal with a 20% payroll cut for a team that had high expectations. The ST question is real. Over the years, it seems many players have had offensive issues at the beginning of the season. This probably needs a deeper inspections.
  19. This. 100% this. Rolling with Varland and Paddack without any reliable depth was highly questionable at the start of the season and looks disastrous now. The Santana signing wasn't terrible at the time, but is now looking to be a failure. The same statement can be said with the Farmer pickup... Correa, Kiriloff, and Jeffers have played to expectations, everyone else has been bad to brutal, with no reliable help in the wings. The writing is on the wall. They are already 5.5 games back with no reason to believe the ship will right itself. Those 85-87 wins everybody was expecting at the beginning of the year? 75 wins would be a godsend at this point...
  20. It isn't snark, it is the current reality. The Twins decided to move away from keeping/signing established players this past offseason and roll with a number of relatively unproven players with potential. You have to accept the results. The Twins obviously do not have as much faith in the youth movement as the fans. Why else did they go out and sign DeSclafani, Margot, Santana, keep Farmer instead of rolling with the "prospects" in AAA?
  21. The decisions weren't questionable. They made basically zero effort to improve while cutting payroll.
  22. Keep throwing things against the wall, hopefully something sticks.
  23. The Division can't be won in April, but it can be lost. The Twins face the Tigers 7 times in the next 10 games. They are already 4 games out with three teams ahead of them. The next 10 days could very well make or break the season. Before you all scream "it's only April", do the math: Say after 20ish games, the standings look like this (it is not unreasonable to see this): CLE 15-6 KRC 14-7 DET 13-8 MIN 7-14 If all three teams ahead of them only play .500 ball the rest of the way, the Twins would need to play at a .560 clip (90 win pace) the rest of the season to win the division. If the division winner ends the season with 89 wins, the Twins need to play at .590 (95 win pace) to win. Everyone better hope the Twins fix this right now.
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