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Everything posted by lake_guy
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White Sox 3, Twins 2: Walked-Off in Chi-Town
lake_guy replied to Steven Trefz's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
When you're the visiting team I think you have to play small ball and get that one run in because if you don't, the home team is gonna do exactly what the Chisox did and play small ball to get that run in. The other thing it does with that one run is put some added pressure on the home team to get two so maybe they don't play small ball and do what the Twins just did to lose that game. The 10th inning rule requires at least some skill at bunting from all your guys, they just need to be able to put it in play. Twins need to start putting at least a little emphasis on this and stop giving guys a pass.- 45 replies
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- joe ryan
- nick gordon
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exactly this.."Wish one of the writers would ask him why he made that move." I keep wondering about that myself. Maybe the writers should start thinking of it as not challenging him but helping him by making him think through why he does what he does. For a team that seemingly prides itself on the use of analytics stuff like this just doesn't compute.
- 41 replies
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- jorge polanco
- byron buxton
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Twins 6, Yankees 1: Gray Freezes Yankees Lineup
lake_guy replied to Theodore Tollefson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yes they won but anybody else yelling at the TV for Taylor to steal second after they threw over their twice? Smalley basically said something like you almost have to go. I don't get what Rocco is doing, it was early enough in the game you go for it. ugh,- 79 replies
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- sonny gray
- griffin jax
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Caught this live on KFAN the other day, Gleeman does a nice job of highlighting just how complicated this all really is. Go to the 10:30 mark - https://www.iheart.com/podcast/139-the-dan-barreiro-show-26981004/episode/bally-bubble-burst-astros-preview--112349708/ In summary - for years clubs were getting those large multi million dollar payments because the cable companies where charging every customer for the RSN regardless if you watched it or not. That cable customer base is a much larger number than the Twins fanbase which translates into having to charge a high price to the Twins fans willing to pay for the streaming service to get to that 40 million mark for the Twins. How many fans are going to pay for that streaming service? And of the portion of Twins fans how many are going to go to the trouble of fussing with streaming services? Gotta say I love league revenue sharing as part of the answer Bonnes talks about.
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Also, the club faced three right-handed pitchers, but the left-handed hitter went 0-for-13 with a walk. However, there have been some positive signs among those numbers. Four of his nine batted balls have had an exit velocity over 95 mph, which might indicate more hits falling in upcoming games. ugh...whenever I see this exit velocity used to counter an awlful batting line I just don't get it. Yes it's early but the dude is 0-13. He doesn't belong anywhere near the top of the order. I can see why Rocco wanted to try him there but the experiment should be over. Put him where his actual hitting performance deserves.
- 90 replies
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- luis arraez
- max kepler
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Just saw the reply of the triple, gasped when I saw the foot hit and overall kind of an awkward slide. At least we're not seeing today that there is any issue. whew!
- 94 replies
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- trevor larnach
- byron buxton
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the owners should see what Major League Ready is proposing as a win-win for them. they reduce the risk of over paying for a draft bust. same as what the nfl did when those first round QB bonuses got ridiculous. minor leaguers are paid much better and it gives owners the deepest possible depth to leverage because little to no players are quitting from economic hardship and they can hang in there a few more years. competition increases because players see that at least they won't live in poverty so more will take a chance and it may pan out for them. Think Caleb Theilbar type players.
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The impact to the cable companies revenue could be high if they can't find a way to bundle it in like they do today. If I'm a cable company exec I would try to find anyway I can to offer MLB.com as an add on service or bundle it into a package tier so i don't give my subscriber base any more reasons to cut the cord. And the teams win in this scenario too because it makes it easier to watch. Yes it's not difficult to click an app and stream it but there is a very large demographic of older consumers who will not want to deal with it and just want to go to channel xx and watch their Twins.
- 29 replies
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- bally sports
- opening day 2023
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Is Now the Right Time for a Royce Lewis Extension?
lake_guy replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The Paddack extension I can see taking the risk because it's pitching. While Royce has shown flashes at the MLB level I think we need to see if his knees can hold up. Doesn't seem like there is any rush to get it done this year. -
Where is Joe Mauer’s Benefit of Perception?
lake_guy replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
ugh, just reading that again with three stars on our team all with concussion issues. What might have been...- 38 replies
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- joe mauer
- yadier molina
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As I was reading those rankings the question pops up again. How can Falvey, who was supposed to be in the know and contributing to that Cleveland pipeline, at 6 years in with the Twins not even come close to what Cleveland has?
- 30 replies
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- sonny gray
- joe ryan
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Exactly this. It's not expected they are going to get it all right but in particular with the continues signings of veterans with little to nothing left in the tank such as Shoemaker, Happ, Archer, Bundy and then sticking with them is a real problem. Hopefully the Gallo signing won't turn out the same but at this point it fits their pattern.
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- christian vazquez
- jason castro
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I've always thought this international signing of kids less than 18 years old is bizarre. MLB does it because they can and the money is a great thing for them and their families, just has always felt off to me this is occurring.
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- ariel castro
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Rumor: A new team is talking with Boras about Correa…
lake_guy replied to AlwaysinModeration's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
It's along the lines of #2. In the world of guaranteed contracts and the ever present risk of injury it's a simple equation of taking the most money you can get. These guys bet on themselves only to position themselves for a better long term deal, when that comes in unless it's so off mark they take it. -
So what is it about the Cleveland franchise that is so different from the Twins that they seemingly keep finding these pitchers? And what part of that continued Cleveland success was Falvey really part of? We keep hearing from him it's all about the process, so what is the process then? What is Falvey either not duplicating for process or maybe he can't because at the heart of that process is evaluating and drafting/trading the right guys. And who is doing that job in Cleveland cause it doesn't seem to show signs of slowing down. Lots of questions and he's had 6 years to show something for his process, if he was supposed to be an expert at it this isn't how it's supposed to turn out.
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5 Reasons the Minnesota Twins Will Win in 2023
lake_guy replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Been pondering this also since it was first announced. I'm all for it, I would even take it a step further and reduce even more division games. 1) This helps MLB market the game and begin the transition desperately needed to break up this regional mindset that has only favored the large market teams and IMO reduced fan interest. 2) Baseball fans get to see more of the league stars and finally get some variety. The owners will hopefully see this translated into higher attendance and TV ratings. 3) The competition gets better and there is a truer picture of teams. The more the Twins play the large payroll teams the better the players will get. Nothing like a higher level of competition to push players. 4) Enough of the owners will finally start to recognize the benefits of acting like a league and start asking the right questions which center on what's good for the league and for fans.- 51 replies
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- royce lewis
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Looking Toward the Bullpen Market
lake_guy replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Whatever they do if the short starts are again the plan or required by what we have for SPs they have got to find or develop bullpen guys that can fit this system. Can't say I have much confidence in this FO doing this based on the last couple of years and Baldelli has to find some medium ground on his approach or we are in for another long summer.- 26 replies
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Twins Need a Minnesota Miracle
lake_guy replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Exactly this. They had to game plan for the 300mill+ offer and the second the Turner contract was announced act on that plan B. And when the Giants lost out on Judge they must have known who was gonna target CC. I mean, even the medai figured that one out right? They also had to know after all the talking they did with Boros they were looking to be in the neighborhood or beat that Lindor contract. This isn't all clear only in hindsight either. Given what inside info they have and supposedly now an army of analysts Falvey has hired none of this can be surprising to them and if they are surprised, well...it's time for a change.- 81 replies
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- derek falvey
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The Minnesota Twins' Front Office Played Themselves
lake_guy replied to Matthew Taylor's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Just read Gleeman's article in the Athletic and I'm even more disgruntled with this FO than I was before. ...it’s noteworthy the Twins apparently offered a slightly higher average annual salary ($28.5 million) than the Giants ($27 million), but were willing to do so for 10 seasons and not 13. At some point there needs to be a line drawn, and doing so with an offer that goes through Correa’s age-37 season is logical. But is it really a big enough difference to lose him over? What will the sport even look like in 13 years? How high will league revenues and payrolls have soared? And where will $28.5 million rank among the largest salaries?- 76 replies
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- carlos correa
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The Minnesota Twins' Front Office Played Themselves
lake_guy replied to Matthew Taylor's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't think the Giants will regret the back end years of this contract because: 1) By the time this contract is over the AAV will look pretty typical. 2) Big payroll teams don't care about the dead money, it matters little to them. And now we are watching a strategy play out with the extended years so it really makes it all the more a non-issue to those teams.- 76 replies
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- carlos correa
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Minnesota Adds Farmer to Infield Mix
lake_guy replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm in the camp that this is a solid move. Frees up budget to spend elsewhere which I think they will do Puts Miranda where they think he will play long term He can play all the IF positions, the Twins can play him where it's most needed. Polanco and Arraez both have injury histories, the move lets you mix and match as needed. -
Exactly this. Pohlad and his advisors must be completely out of touch to not see this for the damning evidence it is that St Peter needs to go. It boggles the mind how complacent Pohlad seems to be with this team.
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Twins Front Office Doubles Down On Process for 2023
lake_guy replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Exactly this. What was it Dave St. Peter said about being shocked no one was coming to games? Their plan as we have seen it play out for a few years now is in trouble and it sure looks like no one in the Twins mgmt organization is going to hold anyone accountable.- 49 replies
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- derek falvey
- thad levine
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The Minnesota Twins' 2023 Payroll Preview
lake_guy replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
One look at the Guardians again indicates that success starts and ends with quality pitching. Just like the last how many years in a row we need higher quality starters and a deeper bullpen. I prefer they spend on FA rather than trade unless they can swing something from a surplus. And organizationally the FO needs to commit to playing small ball and find the personnel to do so. I'll take 9 Arraez type hitters every game. Doesn't mean we won't get the dingers but this team is feast or famine and with a payroll our size it's hard to have so many guys going for the fences. This approach also lines up with how MLB is shaping the game going forward. I can only hope MLB does more to continue to reduce the impact of FO analytics which is making this game so sterile. Oh, and please find a bench coach that can get in Rocco's ear and maybe stop him from making some of these crazy bullpen and lineup decisions. -
Twins Facing a Shakeup Without Massive 2023
lake_guy replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Completely disagree with this Ted. A competent FO does not go with short hooks on the SP without a BP to back it up. An incredibly smart FO doesn't pitch Archer and Bundy back to back that chews up what little BP they have. A FO with very good ideas gets a fourth outfielder at the trade deadline knowing Buxton is really hurt. Unlike all of us on TD the FO actually has the inside information to make informed decisions.- 46 replies
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- rocco baldelli
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