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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Zoll was promoted to the GM role in 2024. He was the director of MiLB ops in 2018-2019, promoted to assistant GM in 2020 and full GM in 2024. Falvey was told he was going to be fired in mid-January. Zoll would have known in mid-January he would take over as GM. That's 2.5 months to change directions. The Twins didn't have 40 guys with full no trade clauses or something. Need capacity? Trade Lopez. Need to enhance the MLB roster to be competitive, trade MiLB talent. Zoll did nothing. He had more than enough time to fix the bullpen.
  2. bean5302
    Tough to place faith in Acton based on his mediocre/poor results in AAA through age 27 and his whopping 13.1 innings pitched in MLB. Sands should be a solid relief pitcher when he returns, fingers crossed his velo looks okay.
  3. bean5302
    I consider Nance to be middle innings reliever. I wouldn't trust him pitching in higher leverage situations near the end of the game in a good bullpen, but he's kind of cleaned up his history of actual results being worse than expected the last couple years. Basically, I like him because he clearly belongs in MLB.
  4. bean5302
    I think he was promoted to AA because High-A hitters weren't providing the kind of feedback Quick needed; they weren't selective enough. He needs to know where he needs to improve.
  5. bean5302
    Maybe. I think it depends on how adamant the owners are about getting a hard salary cap. With a hard cap, making the wrong moves just before a CBA could be catastrophic like it was for the Minnesota Wild in the NHL. I can't gauge how resolute owners are on the hard cap.
  6. bean5302
    Probably in 15ft increments. 90 + 15 = 105, then 120 is probably the final length for long toss.
  7. bean5302
    This is Emma's third option year, not his second. He burned options in 2024, 2025 and now 2026. That said, I doubt he'll spend 90 days active this year so the Twins will likely get a 4th option year.
  8. bean5302
    Miller was at about +55 last year when he was traded. He's probably +40ish now. He'd be expensive, but he's not Paul Skenes expensive or something.
  9. bean5302
    I think that was Jeffers' ask last year. 3-4yrs at $12-15MM AAV. Something like that ballpark. I don't think he does that now on the heels of by far the best year of his career. He's not going to get much less than that, but he could explore potentially much more. Even if Jeffers tails off substantially, barring serious injury, what's the legit worst case scenario? 2-3 years at similar AAV.
  10. bean5302
    There are a ton of teams on the bubble, and plenty of guys who will be available. The Padres are apparently even open about Mason Miller.
  11. bean5302
    Elite college draft prospects typically show up in MLB in 1-2 years. There have been MLB prospects who make it to MLB in just a few weeks in recent years. Can't really compare Vahn to Mauer. Mauer was drafted out of high school. Nolan Schanuel didn't spend even a single full season in the minors. He was in MLB the same year he was drafted in 2024.
  12. bean5302
    1) Trade him. 2) Don't trade him. Those are the 2 legitimate deadline options the Twins have. The rest is just general planning unrelated to the deadline. If we need to expand out options to get to 4 items: 1) Trade him for MLB ready prospects in areas of immediate need. 2) Trade him for MLB players in a direct MLB/MLB swap from an area of surplus from a contender. 3) Trade him for high ceiling, high risk players. 4) Don't trade him. If we want to expand out to 4 unique options, and we've got to get silly here. 1) Trade him 2) Keep him on the 26 man roster. 3) Option him to AAA (yes, he'll decline the option, it was silly enough as-is...) 4) DFA him
  13. bean5302
    I was thinking he finally figured it out as recent as yesterday. I forgot to look at his splits. Larnach is being utterly shielded against lefties. He's exactly who he was a couple years ago, a platoon DH. As a platoon DH, his value maxes out in the 1.5 WAR range. He's over that atm with a lot of left field positional value (where he's... playable) and some luck floating him. Still a valuable player to somebody, but his 400 PA ceiling limits how much he can really do for us.
  14. bean5302
    I think it took Larnach a long time to make the adjustments he needed to hit breaking balls. I mean, he was a guaranteed out vs. changeups at one point. When he made the adjustments, he lost his elite fastball hitting, but it appears he's finally found the combo this year. Larnach is just hitting everything now. That said, Larnach was billed a plus hit tool guy. Tinney's swing is considered a tough one to cope with breaking balls. Brent Rooker is probably a better comp for Tinney at the plate. Right handed hitter with lots of power, willing to take walks, but with quite a bit swing and miss. Rooker adapted his swing in his final college year and it did improve his ability to get to breaking pitches. He also had a significant hiccup in AA. Speaking of Rooker, done for the year after he couldn't play effectively through a knee tear after starting the season with an oblique injury.
  15. bean5302
    If Tinney can't adjust to breaking stuff, he'll definitely stall by AA. Tough to say how well he'll do.
  16. bean5302
    I haven't written Tait off. I just think there's good reason to move him way down the prospect list. I don't normally care much about age, but he was in Cedar Rapids at age 18 after more than holding his own in Fort Myers at age 17. That is significant. There's reason to believe he needs to learn a harsh lesson about the limits of his talents and how good the guys are he's going up against, learn to take what he's given in terms of pitches and exercise patience. If he's just over aggressive, he can easily correct. April had a strong start. May was terrible. June showed a much improved K rate, but it came with almost no walks while July has looked like May again, only worse. The way his results have been up and down suggest he's trying to adapt, but he may not have the patience to stick through the adaptation struggles. Perhaps the biggest issue for him at Cedar Rapids is Tinney and Lackey. Both Lackey and Tinney are likely able to play in High-A this year. There's no space for all 3, and AA is probably a stretch for any of them. One of them needs to be in Fort Myers.
  17. bean5302
    Oh, is that what you took from my comment? The K rate alone? Tait's performance is nearly universally bad. He's overmatched. Quentin Young? I call him a non-prospect, close the book, he's done. Release him tomorrow if you like. he's Keoni Cavaco with more power. A complete flop.
  18. bean5302
    50% pop ups, 16% whiff, 30% K rate. wRC+ 73. He's over-matched in terms of results.
  19. bean5302
    Tait drops out of the top 10 for sure for me. He's no where near Tinney IMHO. Khadim Diaw isn't really a catcher, and Jimenez is a non-prospect. Age doesn't matter after a couple years in a system. Prospects get to the big show (if they make it) in the following time frames. Int'l/High school signings make it to the big show in 2-3 years at the top end, and 4-5 years at the back end. College signings make it to the big show in 1-2 years at the top end, and 3-4 years at the back end. There were high expectations for Tait coming into this season on he heels of a .251/.322/.436 wRC+ 107 with a 9.0% BB and 19.3% K rate at 18 years old, especially after the dramatic improvement in K rate vs. the year prior at the same level as only a 17 year old. Unfortunately, Tait wasn't ready for Cedar Rapids. His line dropped to .216/.280/.420 wRC+ 73 line with a 7.4% BB rate and a 25.4% K rate. The power is real, but he's going nowhere if he can't make a major change to his plate approach. Tait's contact is abysmal with a near 50% pop-up rate on fly balls and he's fanning 16% of the time vs. low minors pitching. He's also not catching the more savvy base runners at High-A which is a disappointing. Tait is very inexperienced at this level, and he's facing much better talent than in Ft Myers. There are plenty of examples of younger players who have good pitch recognition, but need to learn to take what they're given at the plate rather than thinking they're going to be successful forcing results against ever more talented opponents. Here's hoping Tait is just hyper aggressive, and not incapable of pitch identification.
  20. bean5302
    1st Ballot HoF Bust 17 fWAR career with a couple All Star caliber seasons Lackey Probable HoF'er 16 fWAR career with a couple All Star caliber seasons Pretty solid list
  21. bean5302
    BR has Twins at #4. Top 10 Prospects 1. OF Walker Jenkins (Tier 1) 2. C Vahn Lackey (Tier 1) 3. SS Kaelen Culpepper (Tier 2) 4. OF Emmanuel Rodríguez (Tier 3) 5. RHP Riley Quick (Tier 3) 6. C Eduardo Tait (Tier 4) 7. LHP Kendry Rojas (Tier 4) 8. SS Marek Houston (Tier 4) 9. LHP Dasan Hill 10. OF Hendry Mendez Prospect Spotlight: RHP Riley Quick With a durable 6'6", 255-pound frame and a standout fastball-slider combination, Quick has quickly emerged as the top pitcher in the Twins farm system after going No. 36 overall in the 2025 draft. He has a 3.47 ERA and 74 strikeouts in 49.1 innings between Single-A and High-A, and he is still building toward his ceiling after a college career that was interrupted by Tommy John surgery. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/25454559-updated-mlb-farm-system-rankings-after-2026-mlb-draft
  22. bean5302
    Welcome to my ignore list.
  23. bean5302
    1. Kaelen Culpepper 2. Walker Jenkins 3. Vahn Lackey I think Jenkins and Culpepper are neck and neck. Jenkins lack of home run balls and the fact he's probably a much better fit in right field than center offset his outstanding contact and plate discipline skills. Culpepper brings more home run power to the table and he looks like he can handle a super premium position at short stop, but he chases too much, and doesn't swing enough at pitches in the zone. Still, he's managed excellent contact rates as well. Tough to say if he'll be too passive at the plate looking for a pitch he thinks he can drive. They're both in AAA and either one could get a call up. I think most draft picks have too much hype behind them to begin with both Culpepper and Jenkins being first round picks themselves in the past couple years who've moved through the minors well and are producing at MLB's door. Lackey certainly looks the part of an elite prospect.
  24. bean5302
    Clearly like a better version of Mike Trout, if Mike Trout played SS. Bobby Witt, Jr. better win the MVP this year, it's probably his last chance.
  25. bean5302
    I think it's tough to say based on the potential of losing 2027 and with so many teams close to the wild card this year. Regarding Jeffer's value, his walk and K rates were doing a lot of lifting for his plate value. Not sure how teams will view him. It's likely his power will be back by October when it really counts.
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