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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    They don't really know why he's still having wrist pain after more than a year. I think it's fair to consider that a failure of the Twins medical/training staff to get a good diagnosis.
  2. bean5302
    I can admit I was horribly off the mark on Duran. It's clear his control issues have been addressed and the guy's stuff is just filthy as originally advertised. My biggest question on him right now is... will the Twins look to stretch him back out to a starter? He's made it clear he prefers to start and the potential upside of seeing Duran pitch 162+ innings in a season is really enticing. I'd think the Twins could make him an starter next year and limit him the same way they've limited Bundy and Archer this year.
  3. bean5302
    I think I wrote him off at the time of the trade. Strotman is still handing out free passes, but at least he's not giving up so many hits. His season BABIP is a very high .353 and that's been lower over the past two weeks, but the question is why. Is it because he was unlucky before or is it because he struggles with control and hitters can sit on pitches and make Strotman hittable? In other words, should Strotman have a high BABIP by nature or has he been really unlucky in AAA this year? My money is on the former. In regard to multiple inning outings, the former starter has 3 in the last 10 games. Two blowouts and a double-header. Last 10 games 10 G, 13.2 IP, 11.20 K/9 (28.3%), 5.27 BB/9 (13.3% BB), 1.24 WHIP, .281 BABIP (estimate) Bottom line for me is a 5.27 BB/9 in AAA doesn't translate to MLB well and control has always been the issue for Strotman.
  4. bean5302
    I hear the Orioles have a history of correcting wrist issues in a week the Twins trainers and medical staff take years to figure out. i.e. JJ Hardy. I think it's time for outside opinions on Kirilloff.
  5. bean5302
    Sanchez's inability to control the position defensively? As he throws out yet another base runner tonight (something defensive wizard Jeffers could only dream of)... btw, Sanchez is better than average with catcher framing this year. What is with the writers on this site. Did Sanchez steal all your girlfriends/boyfriends or something? Maybe he made a career of slapping your mom's in the face?
  6. bean5302
    It was announced. Sano is done for the year, which also means Sano is done with the Twins and likely he's done being in MLB. The last of the slider, down and away = strike 3 Sano has been seen.
  7. bean5302

    Soto trade fallout

    bean5302 commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    It's hard for me to respect Hosmer as a player or person at this point. He's been nothing but a boat anchor to the Padres since he signed. The least he could have done is taken one for the team, declined his player options and hit free agency next year fairly. I honestly would have loved to see San Diego DFA him on September 1st, just after he became ineligible for the playoffs since they're going to pay for him anyway. I suppose it's just the same as when teams screw over their prospects with service time manipulation, etc. I think I'm just a fair is fair, 8hrs work for 8hrs pay kind of person.
  8. bean5302
    Honestly, these moves feel like they signal a do or die situation for the front office. Hopefully, Mahle is the exceedingly rare starter who can manage to outperform the league HR/FB rate long term, though, honestly, I think the front office's hands were a bit tied after the collapse of top prospects this year. It's hard to imagine the Twins' farm system ranking out of the basement of MLB if a couple of the top guys don't take big steps forward to end the season. The loss of Povich, Steer, Hajjar and Encarnation-Strand hurt, but they weren't going to change the status of the farm to above average. The Twins were going to have a well below average farm system no matter what at this point. These moves just gut what would have been the middle rank depth for good farm systems; however, that pushes an already weak system into the abyss. This is exactly the situation Falvey was hired to prevent. The only thing which should save his job at this point is a deep playoff run.
  9. bean5302
    That's a nice solid bullpen, IMHO. Having two guys both worth closer duty and a couple solid middle relievers goes a long, long ways. Jax adding 2.5mph to his already improved fastball from last year has really let his slider play better and it's seemingly turned Jax into a solid reliever. Jax has exceeded my expectations and I think he may have achieved his ceiling. Really great for him and the Twins. I couldn't be happier for all involved.
  10. bean5302
    ...and it seems like the financial concept of "Net Present Value" gets overlooked a lot. i.e. having a good player with surplus value now provides more investment value than it would in the future. I look at it as we're getting a guy who looks like a great relief pitcher with a ton of surplus value (cheap for WAR) when the Twins have a huge need for that player in a season where the Twins are in a position for a potential playoff run. Even if Cade Povich turns into a good starter, we weren't going to see him for at least 2 more years, when the Twins might be struggling so even if he was a 3.0 WAR pitcher, his contributions to the team might not have moved the needle much in terms of true value to the club.
  11. bean5302
    Lopez owns a .229 BABIP this year, but the launch angle against him is absurd at -0.7*. Makes sense as Lopez has generated a crazy high 60% ground ball rate. Walk rate is a bit high, but the K rate is elite. It's interesting because Lopez doesn't generate a huge number of swinging strikes. It makes sense as he's a sinkerball pitcher. It looks like Lopez has entirely given up on his 4 seamer this year. It'll be interesting to see if his stuff continues to play at the elite level of whether or not MLB hitters will adapt, but for right now, he looks like the real deal.
  12. bean5302
    Takes balls for a fan of the worst team in baseball from 2011-2016 who also finished dead last in the weakest division in baseball last year to make that statement. The Orioles are 2.5 GB from the Twins right now. Oh, and they were in the American League Championship series in 2014, meaning they won a few playoff games in the last decade.
  13. bean5302
    I don't think anybody is asking these questions if Carlos Correa didn't somehow fall into the Twins' laps, and I'm very sure the Twins didn't plan on that happening. It changed the entire season plan right then and there. The Twins were dealt a situation where they were suddenly, maybe, competitive in what promised to be a much tougher division. I think it sent them scrambling to be creative when so much of the free agent market was already wrapped up. Basically, I don't think the Twins were prepared for this scenario.
  14. bean5302
    The good news is the Twins have literally 0 elite healthy prospects so it helps them make decisions on their potential trade targets... offf
  15. bean5302
    It's been largely the same pitching, just with different results. xFIPs have barely moved since June 30th.
  16. bean5302
    Can you link to that rule? It allowed Palacios to be moved off the 40 man without exposing him to waivers. I didn't find the part which also nullified using the option. The COVID protocols are a mess and really should be kicked to the curb.
  17. bean5302
    This is really the worst case scenario for a trade deadline position for the Twins. Somewhere in a gray area in regard to whether or not they're really a playoff contender. There aren't just a couple problems, there are a host of them and no way to reasonably address all of them or even most of them. Quite the mess with tons of injuries.
  18. bean5302
    It's 50/50 in my opinion. There's not really a great reason to DFA him, but the Twins' attitude has definitely shifted on Sano.
  19. bean5302
    Transactions history show him added to the 40 man and optioned to AAA.
  20. bean5302
    After a knee surgery, it's not unusual to have an inflammation flare up on a very heavy frame like Sano's, I wouldn't think. It's a tough spot at the moment as Sano won't be eligible to return until after the deadline and I can't see any team having remote interest in him. We'll have to see who the Twins trade away, if anybody, and what impact that has on the depth. Unfortunately, the Twins got almost no look at Sano at all. I'll be the first to admit that while his actual production was poor, it's enticing how baseballs simply rocket off his bat. I could see the front office being suckered in again by the metrics. I really don't know what to think. There's a 0% chance anybody picks up Sano's option and there's a 0% chance to trade him now that he's on the IL. No team will pick Sano's contract up so he'll absolutely pass through waivers if he's DFA'd. At that point, Sano will almost certainly refuse the assignment as there's just no time to make it back to the roster before 8/31 when his playoff eligibility expires. He's free to negotiate an MLB minimum contract across 29 other teams if he declines the assignment. It's just too risky for him to accept an assignment even though he's played so poorly. What do the Twins gain? A roster spot. What do the Twins lose? The potential Sano's bat could be valuable in September and potentially the playoffs. There's really nothing else at stake here.
  21. bean5302
    Sabato's walk rate was down to 10.2% in July with a corresponding drop off in his K rate to 28.8%. His power is the real deal, but with so much swing and miss in his game and no defensive value, I don't know. It's hard to get back on the bandwagon. Based on his comments and previous walk and strike out numbers, it feels like he's feasting on mistake pitches, and those mistakes get less and less frequent as the levels pick up.
  22. bean5302
    Woods-Richardson gave up 2 hits and 3 walks rather than 4 hits. He had 4 strike outs. That said 5 batters put on base in 2.2 innings 1.87 WHIP isn't a smooth start. Good news Woods-Richardson was apparently able to consistently work out of trouble and make pitches when he needed to, though.
  23. bean5302
    Palacios is no longer a pure glove shortstop. He carried an OPS north of .800 almost every month last year in AA. Also, the fielding reports and stats reflect Palacios as a potentially acceptable shortstop, not a stud there anymore. In any case, I'd like to see him get extended playing time considering he's playing on his 2nd year of MiLB free agency and the Twins burned one of his options this year. It'd sure be nice to find out whether or not Palacios is a serviceable MLB shortstop.
  24. bean5302
    There was a discussion on what's worse. A team which has rebuilds, but is very good in between or a team which is forever mediocre. Kansas City fans can point back to 2 World Series appearances and 1 victory in the past 10 years. Kansas City can point to payrolls which exceed the Twins' maximum (achieved this year). Those recent World Series' hold fans' interest for a while.
  25. bean5302
    That does make sense. If the deals were always lopsided in favor of the team getting prospects or the team getting the elite player, the deals would change. It just about what the teams are risking for the reward. I think it's pretty rare teams acquire an elite player and that player does not help the team at all in the current year. Playoffs don't grow on trees historically in baseball, but the owners seem intent on changing that, but that's a different topic. The risk is next year is totally unknown. Who knows what will happen? That's the case for any team. If you're on the track to the playoffs this year, a single World Series win is worth any player in baseball whether the player's name is Mike Trout or Juan Soto.
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