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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    About those 80 pitches: 5 innings, 3 hits, 9K, 0BB I'm hoping Odorizzi has the 'stamina and length' to do that with 130 pitches.
  2. jkcarew
    Biggest difference maybe is how their managers use them. Sanchez missed almost 7 weeks this year with various IL stints...yet still ended up with almost 100 more PA than did Garver. Neither is anything more than endurable behind the plate, but I don't think it's possible to be worse than Sanchez back there. Yet, when healthy, Boone pencils him in there on a regular basis, doesn't 'rest' him other than maybe the day game following night scenarios.
  3. jkcarew
    I agree it was an easier play to screw up than it initially appeared. The ball did bounce oddly...and he was coming in on it in an overly-aggressive manner...making it more likely that the ball would get by him if it took a 'non-true' hop. It's tough to blame him for taking the super-aggressive path to the ball...he's thinking about preventing the tying run from scoring from 2nd with two out in the bottom of the eighth inning of a play-in game.
  4. jkcarew
    Nice piece. Interesting...always love to hear the stories behind the guys that didn't come from the CA/FL/Dominican hotbeds...(not that there aren't great stories there, as well.) The story makes me wonder about a couple of things... Given his background of playing multiple positions and being a good soccer goalie...kinda begs the question of why he couldn't play first base more this year. I get the rest thing for catchers...but Garver didn't appear in any capacity in 69 games this year. This remains a mystery. Given the pride factor regarding New Mexico kids on the UNM baseball team...so, how does Garver not then get a scholarship coming out of high school?
  5. jkcarew
    The way to ensure that Lewis is NOT as defensively flexible as he could be in the majors, would be to waste significant time developing him at 2nd, 3rd, and center field in the minors, to later find out you want/need him to play every-day SS in the majors. SS is by far (other than catcher) the most difficult position to play from a technical standpoint. The Twins will be smart to let that development run it's coarse before moving him around significantly.
  6. jkcarew
    I’d still get pitching...but, in this scenario, it wouldn’t be Cole. I’m not saying I don’t want Cole. But as you have called out and I agree: you’d need at least one or two more starters, even if you signed Cole. I just think Rendon is a perfect fit for the Twins...answers the longer-term future at 3rd and the immediate future at 1st. I probably have a bias toward position players vs pitchers when it comes to the huge/long contracts, as well. Still, I’d gladly take Cole. And I think you can argue that a 2019 version of Cole is more valuable for the modern playoff format than another stud position player.
  7. jkcarew
    Rendon.
  8. jkcarew
    Interesting...thanks for this! You really do have a bias for catchers ...you discount Sano as an MVP because he missed too many games...but give team MVP to Garver who played in significantly fewer games than did Sano. The top 3 MVP are Polanco, Cruz, and Kepler...almost any order, IMO. You’re pretty hard on Berrios. 200 innings pitched alone has to have him near the top. Sano belongs above Kepler in most improved. From .679 OPS in 299 PA to .923 in 439. He’s probably ahead of Polanco here, as well.
  9. jkcarew
    If Rocco’s willing to put Arraez in a major league lineup at a position he’s never played in his life, he won’t bat an eye at doing so with Lewis if the situation necessitated it...recognizing that Lewis, by all accounts, is in a completely different class athletically than is Arraez. But yes, I’m sure the Twins don’t really mind seeing him play a handful of games in the AFL at different positions.
  10. jkcarew
    Yeah...he won’t be there.
  11. jkcarew
    I think the primary factor in this narrative is not the 'biased' or 'unfair' media...it's the psychotic fan base. In this history, there is absolutely nothing at play other than the quality of the teams. If the team records were reversed this year...especially their records against winning teams...you'd see it reflected in the opinions of the national media and the Vegas odds. Truth is, the Yankees beat the Twins in past post-seasons because they were always the better team. Always. If they beat the Twins again this year, it'll be for the same reason. The good news is the gap may not be as large as it's been in the past...and the better team doesn't ALWAYS win a 5-game series.
  12. jkcarew
    Nope. Instead, they'll have to hope for something useful out of the likes of Giancarlo Stanton.
  13. jkcarew
    Good chance that the only thing anyone remembers is which team out-homers the other in the post season...so, not sure I really care at this point much. Still, it was fun watching the Twins at the front of the league in any key offensive measure, watching all those balls leave the yard, and feeling like the club was almost never out of a game.
  14. jkcarew
    To their credit, the Twins are in a position to 'have' to play a good-defending veteran with 133 career HR's and a 2019 OPS+ of 103. I'd rather have Arraez. His OBP is a great fit in this lineup. But it could be way worse...and the Yankess will have their issues, as well.
  15. jkcarew
    Great debut, to say the least. Best comp for 2019 Arraez that probably exists....Pete Rose. Really. Go look at Pete Rose's number in 1973, it's basically the same exact player that Arraez was this year. Neither hit the ball hard, but put the ball in play and sprayed it all around the place to achieve good BABiP/BA...neither could run much...neither was particularly good at any one position, but decent at several. Not saying Arraez will be Rose (first, nobody will ever come close to getting those PA numbers; also an .838 OPS was more valuable in 1973 than 2019). But, fwiw...1973 was Rose's 6th-best in terms of OPS. On average, Rose was able to add more extra-base/slg that what Arraez has shown so far, and that will be what determines Arraez's future value. Rose had an identical BABiP in 1973 (.355) as Arraez had this year...but it was one of the highest in his career. That will probably regress for Arraez, as well.
  16. jkcarew
    I’ll take “what does every major leaguer who hit less than 29 home runs this season not want to hear” for $100, Alex.
  17. jkcarew
    Or...K% is meaningless when you lead the league in HR/PA. But I agree. It’s an opportunity. What would the OPS/wRC+ look like if he could bring the K% down 5%? 10%?
  18. jkcarew
    I think I agree with this....the first-round part, anyway. Twins probably aren't any bigger underdogs against the 2019 Yankees than they were against the 1987 Tigers. Because of how dangerous the Twins 2019 offense is. And they only have to beat the Yankees three times vs the four they had to beat the Tigers. But, mathematically, almost every post-season team...and certainly this Twins team...has a smaller probability of advancing to the WS than the Twins teams of '87/'91...simply because of the addition in 1994 of additional round/teams/games.
  19. jkcarew
    Magic number for an AL pennant is Glenn Borgmann.
  20. jkcarew
    Number of runs scored for Twins post-season opponents.. 1991 Blue Jays- 684 1991 Braves- 749 1987 Tigers- 896 1987 Cardinals- 798 2019 Yankees- 941 (projected) 2019 Astros- 922 Looking for two series like the Tigers series in 1987. We simply bludgeon the opposition into submission. (No, while near the top of the league, Detroit's pitching wasn't nearly as dominant as Houston's has been this year. So, bludgeon the Yankees, and get lucky against the Astros!...or luckier yet, and not face the Astros.)
  21. jkcarew
    I like it. But I'm not willing to say the 2019 club is in better position...or even as 'good' position...pitching wise than either the '87 or '91 clubs were. Those clubs, in that era, didn't need depth. The needed a stud or two on the front and a stud on the back. They had that. And the studs didn't have to sustain long...if you managed to win 4 games before you lost 4, you were in the WS. The 2019 team is looking at thin starting pitching (even by 2019 standards)...and the need to patch together 7 wins...the 'depth guys' will need to come through repeatedly. Of course, it's not like the '87 or '91 teams were favorites. And, it just means that if it happens in 2019, it will just be that much even more fun and even more amazing.
  22. jkcarew
    Only team in a bigger hurry then Twins/Dodgers/Astros/Yankees/Braves to get the regular season over... The Tigers.
  23. jkcarew
    Finally!...a lineup that can generate some offense in the front half of games!
  24. jkcarew
    Nice list. Fun. 1B is Diaz over Wiel, about any way you could possibly measure it...except 'current organization'.
  25. jkcarew
    You develop him at short. Shortstop is the most difficult position from a technical standpoint. For superior athletes like Lewis it’s easy to transition to another position from SS if/when that time comes. Not so, in reverse. That’s the point. And that’s why he’ll stay there until the bat is ready and they have a specific spot open on the big club...at that point, the transition would happen fast, and he’d be here.
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