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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    Polanco, Cruz, or Rogers...how’s that for narrowing it down?
  2. jkcarew
    Was Larnach as good as Diaz in the Southern League? Or the Florida State League?
  3. jkcarew
    Worried about a 1.5 game lead, and Twins end day with a 5.5 game lead, instead. Fun day to be Twins fan, to say the least!
  4. jkcarew
    Oh. Never mind, then.
  5. jkcarew
    How will the Twins manage the DH? I don't want to come across like I think I'm way smarter than everyone else around here. But to me, this isn't very hard... As long as he's healthy, you continue to pencil Cruz in, and you don't look back.
  6. jkcarew
    Kind of Symmetrical. Very early in the season before everyone caught fire (it seemed like everyone), it was Polanco who carried us. Now, at the very end...again?
  7. jkcarew
    Let's not rip Ted for leaving the two best hitting season in the organization (even Larnach wasn't that close) completely off his ballot. Let's instead rip Ted for his first two choices: 65 games worth of Rooker...and Wiel, who ranked 9th on his own team in OPS (players with at least 100 PA). 3rd on his own team if you want the threshold to be 300PA...but that would easily eliminate Rooker
  8. jkcarew
    I would suggest that cause and affect might be confused here. I think others have stated it... Eddie doesn't "choose" to swing. He swings. Pitchers have adjusted to throw fewer pitches in the strike zone to him...because he and the new ball were exacting a heavy price for that...and because they've learned (or been reminded) that he'll swing at any pitch. If you (or anyone with the numbers) told me that Eddie was seeing/taking materially more pitches per PA early in the season than he is now...I'd feel more encouraged that he could make a quick adjustment to get back to that.
  9. jkcarew
    Maybe...but my sense is, he's been resting folks for the post-season. That his analytics department says (like Fangraphs)...don't worry, the math says 97% you're in. If he's been resting them for this series, he's done it in a highly questionable manner. He would (or should) have had Sano/Kepler, etc. getting reps leading up to this series. If they go in now, they go in cold. It's not like they've played a few games at the end of a spring training or have been on rehab assignments in the minors.
  10. jkcarew
    Hard to come to the conclusion that in-game management is a strength of Rocco's...so far. Last night, was one of the more bizarre examples of that (although, I doubt it impacted the outcome).
  11. jkcarew
    Then you should have left when he was writing out the lineup.
  12. jkcarew
    “The Twins are as good as the Yankees in 2019 and establishing that during the ALDS would go a long way for the sake of momentum.” No, they aren’t. Not by any even modestly objective measure. I do agree they match up better against the Yankees and could pull off the upset...if they get healthy...and if they get there.
  13. jkcarew
    True...but the other relevant competitors (Tampa Bay and Oakland) would probably both be ahead...or at least much more likely to finish ahead of both the Twins and Cleveland, if not for the ultra-weak division and the unbalanced schedule.
  14. jkcarew
    It's really relevant and meaningful perspective. The schedule has been historically weak. I'd venture that it's unprecedented for a team to win 100 (or almost 100) games...and have a losing record against +.500 teams. And that's were the Twins were headed as recently as a week ago. Just so many games played against bad and REALLY bad teams...and so few against solid and really good. Even when the Twins were healthy and 'hot', they've been less than break even against teams better than .500. The only playoff contender with as bad a record against +.500 teams is...predictably...Cleveland. The Twins were never in a position to look particularly 'good' in the post-season. But, looked like they had a punchers chance, once there. Now, not so much. Two weeks from now it could look different again...for better or for worse. It's baseball.
  15. jkcarew
    Well deserved!
  16. jkcarew
    I’d have to look at the Tampa/Oakland schedules. Twins have a 4-game lead on Cleveland, have a difficult matchup tomorrow, then 3 games against Cleveland (to whom they’re lost 5 of the last 7)...and are very clearly limping to the finish line both in terms of health and performance. Meanwhile, Chicago, at least, has proven capable of winning a series against the Twins. And that was when the Twins were much healthier than they are now.
  17. jkcarew
    Cruz walked twice. Obviously not going to get anything to hit with nobody hitting behind him. Sadly, Rosario qualifies as nobody since about June...then Astudillo and Adrianza. No reason to do anything with Cruz other than to see if he’ll chase.
  18. jkcarew
    Unlikely that the Twins miss the playoffs, but not nearly that unlikely. Those probabilities don’t account for the lineups the Twins are currently trotting out there.
  19. jkcarew
    Actually, it’s non-zero...but if I have to explain, the magic doesn’t work.
  20. jkcarew
    This lineup, and with Perez starting, has exactly ZERO chance of beating the Nationals and Strasburg tonight! (Nobody can say I didn't try to do my part. )
  21. jkcarew
    I'm with you...mostly. I agree with the sentiment that the numbers can't be interpreted in terms of where they would fit historically. About every record related to HRs is falling...most overall, most by a team, most in a month, most by a rookie in his first X games, most by a player before his 21st birthday...ad nauseam. Still, I don't expect the 2019 team number to have much permanence. Two reasons. One, I don't think it's JUST the ball. Two, I think MLB very much wants the HRs. I think they see it as "well, if batting averages are going to be low, and strike-outs are going to be high, we need lots of home runs". And since the BA and K trends don't seem to be easing up any time soon, I'm not expecting MLB to be in any kind of a hurry to inhibit the HR trend...including materially 'correcting' the baseball.
  22. jkcarew
    'Raided' implies a scenario where another company/organization comes in and 'steals' the employee by overpaying to have that person perform the same job/responsibilities for the raiding organization. I think what is meant in the article...and what is more realistic in the real world...is that these people would receive new opportunities with added responsibilities...promotions...in new organizations. I see that in the case of the first two. But, what is the scenario for Rowson leaving? For a hitting coach to MLB manager promotion? I guess maybe a team could offer him an 'assistant manager - hitting' title with a hefty raise? Unlikely. I think hitting coach is a position you leave if you choose to change the direction of your career...or, more often, when you're fired.
  23. jkcarew
    Bingo. Molitor provided offense that easily justified being used as corner guy and/or a DH. It's possible, but certainly questionable, that Buxton would attain/sustain a sufficient level of offensive performance to keep him in the league (or at least make him valuable) in that scenario. The best bet for him is to 'simply' play as many games as a center-fielder as he can in the next handful of years. And therein lies the dilemma.
  24. jkcarew
    I think it's very meaningful that the Twins finally have fielded a team that can hit HR's at a rate at/near the top of the league. It's an important part of being able to consistently win games. Especially in this era, where opponents WILL hit HR's. Do I care about the record? Not in the least. Between the evolving approaches to hitting, and complicit acts of MLB (balls, new parks, etc.), the record was always destined to last about a day and a half.
  25. jkcarew
    Well, that was encouraging! And important, given the matchups aren't too friendly the next two games. I think I'd rather have rain than Strasburg and Corbin against this Twins lineup at this particular point in time. We'll see.
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