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IaBeanCounter

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Everything posted by IaBeanCounter

  1. IaBeanCounter
    I'm not overly concerned about the offense with Gray pitching in the playoffs. The last 2 games he has had the "get-away" lineup behind him. I wonder how many of his other 30 starts have been with as many starters as possible being rested.
  2. IaBeanCounter
    These are the types of pitchers that the Twins score 2 runs or less over 5+innings.
  3. IaBeanCounter
    According to Statcast sprint speed (feet/sec) and Jump (reaction feet vs avg) Larnach 26.7 / -1.6 Wallner 28.0 / -3.6 Stevenson 29.3 / not listed Gallo 26.6 / .4 MLB average all positions 27.0. I was surprised by Gallo's speed or lack there of, but he does have an above average jump. Larnach is slower than Wallner, but he gets a better jump on the ball (not good but better than Wallner). I would go with the four named above, as I believe Stevenson's speed may become a factor.
  4. IaBeanCounter
    I agree! DK did a good job when Ryan and Ober needed time off. I don't believe he is the 8th or 9th best reliver for the Twins.
  5. IaBeanCounter
    Why hasn't Maeda pitched since the 19th?
  6. IaBeanCounter
    I don't believe that is "pure conjecture" as it based on the following assumptions: 1) Twins scoring results will not change based on whether Gray is pitching or "replacement player". To say otherwise is to believe that the Twins batters have a bias against Gray and don't want score runs when he pitches. 2) Any "replacement player" will have a worse ERA as evidenced by Gray leading the team starters in ERA. 3) Any "replacement player" will pitch fewer innings, putting more stress on the bullpen. Gray averaged 5.8 innings per start (second only to Lopez). In the 22 games not started by Lopez, Gray, Ryan, Maeda or Ober the pitchers average 4.95 innings per start, almost a full inning worse than Gray meaning that the bullpen will have to pick up an additional 26.4 innings over the 31 Gray starts. Based on the above, I do agree that the results "would have been completely different", in that the Twins would have had more losses. What assumptions do you have that the Twins would have had results better than Gray's with a "replacement player" pitching?
  7. IaBeanCounter
    My impression is that the Twins do well against top line pitchers but hit below average against new and soft tossing pitchers. I don't know a way to verify this, but I recall early in the year that the Twins beat former Cy Young pitchers on a regular basis.
  8. IaBeanCounter
    Hope Stewart gets the 9th
  9. IaBeanCounter
    The Twins said the they DFAd Floro to make room on the 40 man. I only have 39 on the 40 man. 28 active, 7 in minors (Balazovic, Headrick, Henniqez, Sands, Winder, SWR & Celestino) and 4 on 10 day IL (Correa, Lewis, Gallo & Buxton). The Twins roster has Alcala, Centerino, De Leon, Mahle, Moran, Gordon & Miranda on the 60 day IL. What am I missing?
  10. IaBeanCounter
    Of Gray's 31 starts the Twins scored 3 or less 17 times with a record of 6-11 a winning percentage of 35.3%. Of the 11 losses the bullpen had a BS in 5 of them. The BP has had 26 games with a BS (1 game had 2 BS), 10 of which Gray was the starter. Gray had a BS in 32.3% of his starts. There were 16 games with BS over the remaining 125 games, or 12.8% The Twins have a total of 64 games scoring 3 runs or less with a 15-49 record so the bats have been consistent with the other starters. In the 47 other games scoring 3 runs or less the record is 9-38, a winning percentage of 19.1% IMHO Gray gave the the Twins a greater chance to win when the bats weren't performing and had the bullpen let him down more often that the other starters. Therefore I believe he is the Twins 2023 MVP, as a replacement starter would have lost substantially more games than Gray.
  11. IaBeanCounter
    I would have Maeda as the game 3 starter. Maeda has been on the stage before and I don't believe he will be overamped (like Duran on Friday). Also homeruns are a big factor in the the playoffs and Maeda has given up .27 and .40 HRs/9, for the year and post AS. Ryan is .34 and .54, with Ober .47 and .72.
  12. IaBeanCounter
    Don't mean to complain, but why couldn't Krilloff do that in previous PA
  13. IaBeanCounter
    KC leading HOU 7-2 bottom of 6th.
  14. IaBeanCounter
    Pablo seems to have one bad inning in almost all of starts. Hopefully he won't do this in the postseason.
  15. IaBeanCounter
    Were strikes that Jeffers swung at as high as they looked on Gameday?
  16. IaBeanCounter
    What about a. reverse jins? This would mean we could only complain.
  17. IaBeanCounter
    Don't the Twins have an open slot on the 40 man, 28 on the active, 7 in the minors and 4 on the 10 day IL? Or am I missing something?
  18. IaBeanCounter
    When it was stated that Buxton had stolen 2nd and 3rd I thought Buxton's contribution to the team would be as PH/PR. Alas that wasn't the case and my mind tells me that if Buxton isn't better than when he went on IL, he shouldn't be on the roster. I expect the FO will make a place for him, even if its the 15th position player and my heart is OK with that.
  19. IaBeanCounter
    Just looked at the TD writeup and the box score. The writeup said Buxton was pinch ran for and the box score had no stolen bases.
  20. IaBeanCounter
    The 4 teams each have 68 losses are vying for 3 playoff spots. Toronto has the toughest schedule with 6 against TB and 3 vs NY. With that schedule I believe they will either be the 6 seed or they won't make the playoffs. The only team I don't want to face is the NYY. Their elimination number is 3. The worst opponent for the Twins is a team that is red hot over the next 10 days.
  21. IaBeanCounter
    If Buxton can't play the OF, I'm wondering if they aren't planning to use him as a PH/PR.
  22. IaBeanCounter
    I didn't realize Rowson is now the assistant batting coach for Detroit. I wish he was still with the Twins.
  23. IaBeanCounter
    I don't recall Buxton ever stealing third for the Twins.
  24. IaBeanCounter
    I don't have a preference of which team the Twins will play. How much experience playoff experience did the 1987 Twins have (previous playoff appearance I believe in 1970). All 4 of the teams are beatable and are capable of beating the Twins. I suspect it will come down to who has the best pitching during the series. The Twins seem to do well against established pitchers, but flail helplessly against unknown or new pitchers.
  25. IaBeanCounter
    Thanks.
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