Twins Video
Trevor Larnach made significant strides in 2024, particularly in his whiff rates and performance against non-fastballs. After slashing his strikeout rate to 22.3% last season, he’s striking out even less in 2025. He also has yet to barrel a single ball, and has contributed very little offensively. Could Larnach be leaning too far into his adjusted plate approach?
In 2024, we finally saw Larnach make good on his prospect pedigree. He posted career bests across the board, resulting in a 15-homer season with a .771 OPS despite playing through foot problems. He was 21% better than the league-average hitter, and looked to break through as a trustworthy piece of the Twins lineup while so many others struggled. He pulled the ball more, swung and missed less, and showed a balanced plate approach that should hold up consistently.
So far in 2025, Larnach has shown some concerning trends that have led to his struggles. Dropping his strikeout rate in 2024 was a welcome development. Dropping it even further in 2025 has led to some unintended consequences.
Larnach’s quality of contact has been extremely poor so far this season, and it’s easy to see why. While he’s still posting strong walk rates, his chase rate is above 30%, a mark he’s never come close to in his career. This hasn’t been reflected in his strikeout rate, because he’s making contact on these swings outside of the zone over half the time, but that's just leading to poor contact. It’s the same issue we saw from Jose Miranda before his demotion. The ability to make contact isn’t always valuable.
Despite Larnach’s suddenly free-swinging tendencies, he’s also become oddly passive in certain situations. He’s swung at just over 13% of first pitches in his at-bats, by far the lowest rate of his career. Perhaps on a related note, he’s swung at a career-low 60% of pitches in the heart of the plate. It makes sense, then, that he’s slashing just .143/.409/.214 when ahead in the count.
It’s impossible to succeed while swinging at so many pitches outside the zone and letting so many hittable pitches go by. When Larnach does make contact, he’s pulling the ball a career-low 34.9% of the time and using the opposite field a career-high 32.6% of the time. It’s tough to say what’s going through Larnach’s head when he’s at the plate, but it sure looks like he’s in survival mode, trying to fight off pitches and make sure he makes contact. He’s swinging and missing at a career-low rate so far, but it’s coming at the expense of any offensive production.
It’s possible that, after significantly reducing his strikeouts last season, Larnach is trying to take things a step further in 2025 and has taken his adjustments too far. Regardless of the reason, he’s entirely out of sorts at the plate, and the Twins are taking notice. He’s already been moved down in the order as the offense has continued to struggle, and top prospect Emmanuel Rodriguez could push for playing time at the MLB level sometime this season.
At 28 years old and in his fifth season at the MLB level, Larnach will have to show something relatively quickly, given his lack of track record. If the offense continues to struggle, the range of available options may widen in the Twins’ eyes as they look for any spark.
We’re watching the downside of avoiding strikeouts at all costs. After finding a winning formula last season, he hasn’t been able to repeat it in 2025. Can he adjust his plate approach before it’s too late?
Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis
- Patzky, nclahammer and thelanges5
-
3







Recommended Comments
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now