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August 18th, 2024. It's a date that lives in infamy for Twins fans — the moment it all started falling apart for the team. Jorge Alcala imploded on the mound in Texas, blowing a four-run lead, and a collapse ensued for Minnesota that hasn't really stopped since.
You can also trace the downfall of Royce Lewis back to this date pretty much exactly. In that same 6-5 loss against the Rangers, he snapped a seven-game hitting streak (striking out in a pinch-hit appearance), and thus his own unceasing performance spiral began. Lewis entered play that day with a .970 OPS; he slashed .182/.224/.250 the rest of the way to finish with a .747 OPS.
Lewis homered 32 times in career 463 plate appearances prior to the 8/18/24 dividing line, an average of one home run per every 15 trips. Since then he has gone deep 14 times in 546 PA, or once every 39. At his best Lewis elevated the Twins as a team to new heights — their first playoff success in 20 years — and at his worst he's been one of the chief culprits in their collective descent.
Can the former top draft pick go back to being an asset instead of an anchor?
The Fear Factor
As Lewis found his footing in the major leagues, between injuries, he began to distinguish himself as a hitter who inspired fear in opposing pitchers. Make a mistake and that thing is going over the fence. The pressure on pitchers to tread carefully helped Lewis draw walks at a decent rate, despite the fact that he will never be confused with a patient hitter. In 2023 he walked at a respectable 8.4% clip, and in 2024 a nearly identical 8.6%.
What really tells the story of Lewis' drop-off, in my mind, is how much the fear factor has evaporated for opposing pitchers. By the end of the 2025 season, no one was remotely afraid to come into the zone against Royce.
After his last and only multi-walk game of the season on August 17th, Lewis drew three walks (against 40 strikeouts) in 146 plate appearances, including just one in the entire month of September. Whereas coming over the plate against Lewis used to be a death sentence, pitchers now felt confident that he'd whiff or put a weak swing on the ball, and their confidence was well warranted outside of one random Monday night in Anaheim.
Now it's Twins fans who are afraid — afraid that the aggregated impact of Lewis' string of serious injuries has taken a physical toll, fundamentally and permanently lowering his ability to produce. Fortunately, there were some promising signs in his late-season performance that serve to quell such concerns somewhat.
Healthy at Last ... With a Payoff Yet to Come?
You wouldn't know it from his stats or swing results, but by simply watching him on the field, it seemed quite evident that during the final stretch of 2025, Lewis was in as good of a place physically as he's been in a long time. The poor showing at the plate was offset by levels of sharpness in the field and speed on the bases that many thought were gone for good.
At third base, he was steady and made a handful of exceptional plays. He also stole 11 bags on 12 attempts in his final 34 games. The same guy who, not long ago, found himself jogging the bases out of desperation to keep injuries at bay was routinely cutting loose and swiping them at will. I don't know how you can look at the development and not feel encouraged.
It didn't translate to offensive production, for the most part. Lewis' plate approach and swing remained out of sorts right up through the end of the season. But a broken swing is much easier to fix than a broken body, and he finished on an unprecedented run of good health, appearing in all but two of Minnesota's 77 games after the start of July. This offseason he has the opportunity focus more on his game than physical maintenance.
Open Up the Swing, Unlock Results
I'm far from a hitting expert, but when I take a cursory dive deeper into Lewis' metrics, a couple of (possibly related) things stick out: he's getting dominated by fastballs and has become overly fixated on pulling the ball.
In 2023, Lewis batted .327 and slugged .800 against four-seam fastballs, whiffing at just 20%. In 2025, he batted .181 with a .333 slugging percentage and whiffed on 31.2% of four-seamers. Lewis had a .344 OBA this year against breaking balls compared to .267 against fastballs.
This matches the eye test. Lewis struggles to get around on velocity, and hopes for a hanging pitch he can turn on. Such examples accounted for a majority of his 2025 home runs, all of which landed left of center and most of which were straight-up yanked.
Pull power will always be Lewis' specialization when at his best, but he needs to recapture his ability to handle heaters and drive certain pitches the other way. It's a fairly straightforward mandate but undoubtedly a much more challenging and complex matter to execute.
There are a lot of uncertainties in play. Who will be his manager and hitting coach? Will he even be in a Twins uniform next year? Time will tell, but a little uncertainty and shaking things up could prove beneficial for Lewis as he looks to resurrect his wayward career at age 26, three years out from free agency.
Explore previous entries in the "Road to a Rebound" series: Brooks Lee







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