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    Ripple Effects: Cities Disconnect


    Eric Blonigen

    While the baseball media landscape has been shifting over the past few seasons, the Twins’ response to this has been tone-deaf and ineffective. That's led to a downward spiral in the quality of the on-the-field product, and in fan interest. In short, the business side of the team is largely to blame for both fan morale and the Twins' elimination from playoff contention.

    Image courtesy of © Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images

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    This is the second in a series of articles about the factors that contributed to the Twins' devastating collapse at the end of this season, and how they interact with and influence each other.


    With fan interest comes attendance. With attendance comes added payroll flexibility. Both are the responsibility of the business side of the Twins organization. Dave St. Peter's organization failed the team, and fans. Let’s dig into some factors that illustrate the cause for this blame, starting with the TV situation.

    What to Do When the Bubble Pops
    Baseball broadcast rights have been a slow-moving trainwreck over the past few seasons. With Diamond Sports Group defaulting on their contracts with multiple teams (including the Twins) and then beginning bankruptcy proceedings, the writing has been on the wall for some time: owners' broadcast revenue was unavoidably shrinking. For many organizations, this has been a hang-up, but only a minor one. For the Twins, it's been a huge deal. Their business team seemed to be caught flat-footed, and made a series of questionable decisions that showed a lack of situational awareness or general savvy.

    Headed into the 2023-2024 offseason, the business group signaled an understanding that no broadcast partner would pay anywhere near the $60 million in annual fees that Diamond Sports Group had been paying. That factored into their offseason comments around “right-sizing” the payroll. For a moment, it seemed as though the Twins would prioritize the fan experience, while making the best of a bad situation. They telegraphed this to the point that new TV play-by-play announcer Cory Provus said the following in an interview:

    Quote

    “I’m confident that, if indeed the Twins are back on Bally for the 2024 season, the most significant change will be blackouts. If you wanted to watch the Twins and you did not have cable in, say, Iowa, trying to stream MLB TV without having cable, you were blacked out from viewing the Twins. That is going away.”

    Of course, fans know how that played out. Rather than following through with this promise, the team took the cynical approach of re-upping the same basic deal they had, but with a lower payout--and more importantly, without securing streaming rights that would actually allow more fans to watch the games regardless of location or cable subscription status. And, despite what amounted to a bailout reengagement, the team didn't reevaluate their payroll. Following the deal, St. Peter said:

    Quote

    “It’s a one-year deal for us. Some of it was in our control, much of it was out of our control. Some of it is a product of the bankruptcy system. And as we think about it from our perspective, it’s a balancing act. You balance economics, distribution and production quality, and local priorities versus national priorities.”

    An uncharitable (but perhaps accurate) read of this would be that the team chose the highest bidder, regardless of the implications for fans. St. Peter followed up by saying:

    Quote

    “The biggest thing is, we get it, we’re not tone-deaf. We understand the gap and feel horribly that we have, at least in the short term, been unable to address it.”

    Sure. Then, there was the carriage dispute preventing cable subscribers paying for Bally Sports North from watching games. Starting on May 1, Bally Sports North went dark for Comcast and Midco customers, and subscribers were unable to watch games for three full months.

    The Twins' statement on the matter?

    These factors combined to wither fan interest, right as the team was heating up after a rough start to the season.

    Fan Attendance
    The business side of the organization is also responsible for strategies to put butts in seats. The Twins hit their highwater mark in attendance in 2010, the year that Target Field opened, with 3.2 million fans visiting the ballpark. In 2023, attendance did not crack 2 million. Attendance typically lags behind performance, though. On the heels of breaking the playoff curse and the window of contention being wide-open, it would be reasonable to assume that attendance would increase, perhaps substantially. However, on the heels of the team's payroll reduction, apathy set in.

    With declining attendance, savvy business units might try creative strategies to entice fans to spend their time and money going to games. Knowing that many fans were unable to watch games, a deft team may have leaned into non-traditional media or giveaways to drive attendance. That didn’t happen. Instead, they featured such giveaways as the Twins Rubik’s Cube. Perhaps they wanted fans to puzzle out just why they went to the ballpark that day? The Twins did jump on the “Bark at the Park” bandwagon and held a fair number of typical promotions, but they didn’t get creative with flash sales, bundle discounts, actually intriguing giveaways, or attempts to draw in North Loop residents.

    Other Decisions
    Beyond broadcast rights and ticket sales issues, you have questionable decisions such as raising the price of playoff ticket strips and including a non-refundable $60 fee. Yes, fans who bought strips for the chance to see playoff baseball are out $60, even though the Twins missed the playoffs. That is another business decision that is penny-wise and pound-foolish.

    On the penultimate game of the 2024 season, a fan brought an anti-Pohlad sign to the game. Yes, it was hostile and inflammatory. However, the reaction was perhaps disproportionate: that fan is allegedly banned from Target Field for a year.

    Finally, the Twins were one of just seven teams who chose not to sell advertising in the form of uniform patches. Don’t get me wrong; these patches can be perceived as tacky. I would personally prefer they didn’t exist. But, they are a source of revenue. The value of this advertising is not publicly available and varies pretty widely, but for a team crying poor, the decision to not take advantage of every possible stream doesn’t make much sense--especially when the team “didn’t have the money” for even a legitimate reliever at the trade deadline (sorry, Trevor Richards).

    Takeaways
    Because team revenues (driven by broadcast rights, advertising, and fan attendance) directly factor into team payroll allocations, it’s fair to say that the business side of the Twins is responsible for the quality of the product fans watched, listened to, or ignored down the stretch.

    At the end of the day, the result of all of this is that the team missed the playoffs (and the $10 million or more they would have gotten from the playoff bonus pool), and will likely lose untold additional revenue through an angry and apathetic fan base that will go to fewer games next season, buy less merchandise, and watch or listen less than they otherwise might.

    Between the broadcast situation (and the disparity between words and actions), the inability to understand fan motivation and to bring people to the ballpark, and tone-deaf business decisions, the overall message to fans is that the business side of the Twins leadership team thought that they could cut costs, pocket profits, and that fan goodwill would exist just because of the 2023 team advancing in the playoffs.

    Hopefully, this fall's hostility disabuses them of this belief, and hopefully, this will lead to a group that better seeks to improve the fan experience for their customers and true believers. This team can have an incredibly bright future, if only those in charge don’t get in the way of that.

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    Featured Comments

    3 hours ago, LastOnePicked said:

    I think the word "idiot" is often overused. Most people in positions of leadership are fairly smart, fairly capable of making decent decisions peppered with mistakes.

    But I'm not sure it would be overused in this case. How could Twins leadership not have a plan to build off of the Correa signing, to steer away from Bally's bankruptcy, to hook new fans on streaming packages, and to re-establish a window of contention in the process. Twins could have hooked a new generation of fans, all while reaping the immediate benefits of gate receipts, merchandise and playoff pool money. $50M spent this year is potentially hundreds of millions of added revenue by 2030.

    Thankfully, all those involved in this debacle have been fired. Wait, they haven't? No consequences for leadership at all? Those idiots.

    Fantastic post. 

    1 hour ago, Linus said:

    That takes care of the condescending part…..

    I guess I would have won the bet.  It's a bit ironic that someone complains about spending $120 to get an MLB package but expects the team to disregard profitability.  

    I thought this was a great piece.  Well written.  I think on top of accessibility,  growing apathy has been fueled by lack of star power, driven by injuries, performance, development, strategy.   I'm afraid the team probably has to make some smart trades to get some impact youth, and then pray for health, and then let them play baseball. 

    2 hours ago, Major League Ready said:

    No doubt that would have been ideal for customers who are unwilling to pay the current cost of coverage. 

    Good businesses follow where the customers want to go, not force customers to chase them.

    This team had the second best record in the AL in July.  They were playing a fun, high scoring brand of baseball.  What did Target Field look like?  Ghost town.

    The disconnect is deeper than wins and losses.  It's a culmination of decades of malfeasance on the part of the organization.  Their broadcasting plans have always been pure foolishness.  They thought partnering with a streaming service charging $25 a month was a viable platform.  They avoided opportunity after opportunity to put their product in front of their fans.

    They have systematically killed baseball loving culture in this town.  The on-field product hasn't helped (playoff streak, Yankee dominance, etc) but ownership has always been condescending, cheap, and idiotic.  

    They're reaping the rewards.

    5 minutes ago, TheLeviathan said:

    This team had the second best record in the AL in July.  They were playing a fun, high scoring brand of baseball.  What did Target Field look like?  Ghost town.

    The disconnect is deeper than wins and losses.  It's a culmination of decades of malfeasance on the part of the organization.  Their broadcasting plans have always been pure foolishness.  They thought partnering with a streaming service charging $25 a month was a viable platform.  They avoided opportunity after opportunity to put their product in front of their fans.

    They have systematically killed baseball loving culture in this town.  The on-field product hasn't helped (playoff streak, Yankee dominance, etc) but ownership has always been condescending, cheap, and idiotic.  

    They're reaping the rewards.

    The advertising was also abominable. They kept running these ads about exciting baseball featuring Correa and Buxton, when of course neither was to be found on the field. Some flexibility and adaptation to what’s really going on would have helped. They had good players like Lopez, Ober, Jax, Wallner and even Santana they might have pimped better.

    16 hours ago, Craig Arko said:

    The advertising was also abominable. They kept running these ads about exciting baseball featuring Correa and Buxton, when of course neither was to be found on the field. Some flexibility and adaptation to what’s really going on would have helped. They had good players like Lopez, Ober, Jax, Wallner and even Santana they might have pimped better.

    I listened to those ads and was thinking the same thing as you. They can't update their advertising package to fit the context of the day?

    Voiceover talent should be on the ready and production should be on retainer, distribution should be already in place so that new ad produced Friday Night after the July 5 game can be all over the ****ing place on Saturday Morning. The Ad should go something like this.

    It's rare to see something that only comes around every 70 years. Something that only comes around every 70 years is special. Today you can tell everybody that you were there to see it. Jose Miranda has 10 straight hits. That's hard to do. The All-Time baseball record of 12 was set back in 1952. Can Jose do it two more times... can he do it three more times... when will the Jose Miranda hit streak come to stop. Come see for yourself. Come to Target Field today at 1:10 and watch Jose Miranda go for history. 

    Can't do that because they set it and forget it with ads produced back in March. 

     

     

     

    2 hours ago, Brock Beauchamp said:

    Good businesses follow where the customers want to go, not force customers to chase them.

    Are people who are unwilling to pay for coverage "customers".  $120 will get you coverage of 81 games.  There are people here who elect to go without coverage for 75 cents a game and then complain about what the team is spending.  

    7 hours ago, Vanimal46 said:

    If Dave St Peter worked in a marketing/demand generation role at any other company with these results, he would have been fired years ago. Unfortunately he has a lifetime pass to the Twins Country Club. 

    I’m very concerned that he is leading the TV contract negotiations. He is so far behind the times it’s crazy. 

    Well said...lifetime membership for certain!  Would be interesting to shadow him for a day.  See what he does for his big $$$.

    29 minutes ago, Major League Ready said:

    Are people who are unwilling to pay for coverage "customers".  $120 will get you coverage of 81 games.  There are people here who elect to go without coverage for 75 cents a game and then complain about what the team is spending.  

    What service gets you coverage of exactly half the games?

    5 hours ago, Major League Ready said:

    No doubt that would have been ideal for customers who are unwilling to pay the current cost of coverage.  Let's keep in mind that going away from Bally's would have meant that every customer currently paving for a Bally's provider would have been forced to pay an additional fee for streaming.  There are no perfect fixes to and changing market such as this one and it does not change the fact the poster could have gotten coverage and elected not to do so. 

    If you give consumers the two options of:

    A: $20/month to be able to stream Twins games, or 

    B: $100+/month to have whatever cable package carries Bally's to watch Twins games...

    I can guarantee you're going to have more people paying for that streaming option than the full cable package when the product in question is only Twins games. 

    The major issue on this is Option A didn't even get put on the table. 

    As Riverbrian has pointed out, Cable TV as a product is rolling it's death saving throws at this point, at disadvantage because of it's user's demographics. Just put it out of it's misery already. Certainly don't blame the consumer base that is rejecting them for obvious reasons like you are here.

    11 minutes ago, Major League Ready said:

    MLB.TV

    Yeah, next time you want to be this condescending and blame customers for clearly poor business plans maybe at least know what you're talking about.

    Your belief is that Ballys signed an exclusive distribution rights deal with the Twins that barred the Twins from streaming home games only? You can't stream any game that the Twins are playing in if you live in their home market. Whether they're playing at Target Field or in Antarctica. That's what "exclusive" means. 

    1 hour ago, Major League Ready said:

    Are people who are unwilling to pay for coverage "customers".  $120 will get you coverage of 81 games.  There are people here who elect to go without coverage for 75 cents a game and then complain about what the team is spending.  

    the simpsons adult GIF

    3 hours ago, TheLeviathan said:

    This team had the second best record in the AL in July.  They were playing a fun, high scoring brand of baseball.  What did Target Field look like?  Ghost town.

    The disconnect is deeper than wins and losses.  It's a culmination of decades of malfeasance on the part of the organization.  Their broadcasting plans have always been pure foolishness.  They thought partnering with a streaming service charging $25 a month was a viable platform.  They avoided opportunity after opportunity to put their product in front of their fans.

    They have systematically killed baseball loving culture in this town.  The on-field product hasn't helped (playoff streak, Yankee dominance, etc) but ownership has always been condescending, cheap, and idiotic.  

    They're reaping the rewards.

    Exactly, Winning team for most of the year. Attendance didn't seem to reflect that.  

    If your marketing team isn't pumping the second best record in July. People won't know that they had the 2nd best record in July. They won't know that something is happening in July. 

    If it's not selling the Jose Miranda hit streak as it happens, you don't sell seats you could have sold on July 6th. If it's not selling the Royce Lewis Grand Slams after one occurs, the arrival of Brooks Lee and David Festa, Matt Wallner exit velocities over 1 million miles an hour.

    Your Marketing team isn't pumping out positives. 

    If you don't pump out positives what is going to fill the void? 

    Negatives will fill the void. The Pohlads are cheap, the Twins don't care about winning, Rocco Baldelli is a terrible manager becomes the narrative. 

    If you don't market your team, sell your team... others will do it for you and the others... you clearly don't want them marketing your team.

    Because it'll start looking like a Twinsdaily game thread.     

    7 hours ago, TheLeviathan said:

    This team had the second best record in the AL in July.  They were playing a fun, high scoring brand of baseball.  What did Target Field look like?  Ghost town.

    ?

    The Twins were 12-11 in July, good for 7th best in the AL (13th in MLB.) They did go 6-5 at TF in July.

    Both the Tigers and Royals had better July records than the Twins.

    BTW, the Twins averaged over 29,000 fans per game in July, by my quick, back of the napkin math. They drew over 320,000. 

    I'm guessing you weren't among those of us who actually made it there, since you're obviously unaware of what actually took place.

    2 hours ago, Riverbrian said:

    Exactly, Winning team for most of the year. Attendance didn't seem to reflect that.  

    If your marketing team isn't pumping the second best record in July. People won't know that they had the 2nd best record in July. They won't know that something is happening in July. 

    If it's not selling the Jose Miranda hit streak as it happens, you don't sell seats you could have sold on July 6th. If it's not selling the Royce Lewis Grand Slams after one occurs, the arrival of Brooks Lee and David Festa, Matt Wallner exit velocities over 1 million miles an hour.

    Your Marketing team isn't pumping out positives. 

    If you don't pump out positives what is going to fill the void? 

    Negatives will fill the void. The Pohlads are cheap, the Twins don't care about winning, Rocco Baldelli is a terrible manager becomes the narrative. 

    If you don't market your team, sell your team... others will do it for you and the others... you clearly don't want them marketing your team.

    Because it'll start looking like a Twinsdaily game thread.     

    I guessing those in the game threads would have called BS on the marketing staff if they claimed "2nd best record in the AL in July."

    I'll cut you some slack since you've told us you didn't pay much attention with the cable TV fiasco.

     

    46 minutes ago, USAFChief said:

    I guessing those in the game threads would have called BS on the marketing staff if they claimed "2nd best record in the AL in July."

    I'll cut you some slack since you've told us you didn't pay much attention with the cable TV fiasco.

     

    I suppose you also tell me that Wallner exit velo's are nowhere near a million miles an hour. 

     

    6 hours ago, Riverbrian said:

    Exactly, Winning team for most of the year. Attendance didn't seem to reflect that.  

    If your marketing team isn't pumping the second best record in July. People won't know that they had the 2nd best record in July. They won't know that something is happening in July. 

    Because it'll start looking like a Twinsdaily game thread.     

    No one needs reminders about that toxicity.  But I should be clear because I conflated two ideas in my head and misspoke, the Twins had the best record in baseball from May-mid August and were in the top 4 of the AL.  Fans weren't showing up in droves.

    It's no longer strictly about winning, not in this market.

    7 hours ago, Steve Lein said:

    If you give consumers the two options of:

    A: $20/month to be able to stream Twins games, or 

    B: $100+/month to have whatever cable package carries Bally's to watch Twins games...

    I can guarantee you're going to have more people paying for that streaming option than the full cable package when the product in question is only Twins games. 

    The major issue on this is Option A didn't even get put on the table. 

    As Riverbrian has pointed out, Cable TV as a product is rolling it's death saving throws at this point, at disadvantage because of it's user's demographics. Just put it out of it's misery already. Certainly don't blame the consumer base that is rejecting them for obvious reasons like you are here.

    I'm here to tell you that Option A is a bad one too.  Sure, to hardcore baseball fans it seems great, but I guarantee you it's as good as dead at that price point.  Casual fans are not going to spent $20 a month for nothing but baseball.

    Part of the dilemma here is that they waited too long for a viable long term solution.  They kept hitching their wagon to the death throws as long as they could milk a few bucks in the short term.

    1 hour ago, TheLeviathan said:

    I'm here to tell you that Option A is a bad one too.  Sure, to hardcore baseball fans it seems great, but I guarantee you it's as good as dead at that price point.  Casual fans are not going to spent $20 a month for nothing but baseball.

    Part of the dilemma here is that they waited too long for a viable long term solution.  They kept hitching their wagon to the death throws as long as they could milk a few bucks in the short term.

    $20/mo is the price for MLB.TV, single team.

    $22/mo for all teams.

    It won't be cheaper than that.

    Of course, that's if the Twins actually allow streaming.

    You and Majorleagueready should maybe brush up before commenting. 

     

    7 hours ago, TheLeviathan said:

    I'm here to tell you that Option A is a bad one too.  Sure, to hardcore baseball fans it seems great, but I guarantee you it's as good as dead at that price point.  Casual fans are not going to spent $20 a month for nothing but baseball.

    Part of the dilemma here is that they waited too long for a viable long term solution.  They kept hitching their wagon to the death throws as long as they could milk a few bucks in the short term.

    Fans of 3 teams already are paying $20/month for nothing but baseball.

    6 hours ago, TheLeviathan said:

    No one needs reminders about that toxicity.  But I should be clear because I conflated two ideas in my head and misspoke, the Twins had the best record in baseball from May-mid August and were in the top 4 of the AL.  Fans weren't showing up in droves.

    It's no longer strictly about winning, not in this market.

    I knew what you meant.

    Chief knew what you meant.

    Chief knew what I meant by a million miles an hour. 

    On August 17th... The Twins were 72-53. Just 2 games behind Cleveland. 2.5 games behind the Yankees. 

    I believe you are right. It's not just about winning. 

     

    3 hours ago, chpettit19 said:

    Fans of 3 teams already are paying $20/month for nothing but baseball.

    Do we have any numbers on how viable that is long term?  Padres and Diamondbacks went to this as a patch (the Twins should have as well) but they are making substantially less money this way in all likelihood.  And maybe that's just the pill they have to swallow going forward.

    Padres are making 4.5M off of it.  Yeah - good as dead.  That isn't a viable strategy.  It might've made fans happy to have it on air temporarily but it's not a solution.

    On 10/2/2024 at 11:20 PM, TheLeviathan said:

    I'm here to tell you that Option A is a bad one too.  Sure, to hardcore baseball fans it seems great, but I guarantee you it's as good as dead at that price point.  Casual fans are not going to spent $20 a month for nothing but baseball.

    Part of the dilemma here is that they waited too long for a viable long term solution.  They kept hitching their wagon to the death throws as long as they could milk a few bucks in the short term.

    Oh, I agree 100%. But we know that's the minimum pricing structure anything will be. It will get more eyes on the games than now, and you are correct, the idea of bringing more "casual" fans has been baseball's problem for quite a while now, and this won't address that.

    Edited by Steve Lein



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