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    Minnesota Twins 2026 Opening Day Roster Projection, v. 1.0

    How would the Minnesota Twins' 2026 Opening Day roster shake out, if no more transactions were made this offseason?

    Cody Schoenmann
    Image courtesy of © Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images

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    The Minnesota Twins have been somewhat active early this offseason, protecting six prospects from Rule 5 Draft eligibility; trading pitching prospect Jacob Kisting to the Tampa Bay Rays for right-handed reliever Eric Orze; and swapping Triple-A utility player Payton Eeles for former Baltimore Orioles backup catcher Alex Jackson. More moves should occur this offseason. Still, it's vital to take note of where the club's 26-man roster currently stands. Which players could form Minnesota's 2026 Opening Day roster, if the season began tomorrow?

    Catchers (2): Ryan Jeffers, Alex Jackson
    Since 2023, catcher has been the easiest position to project for the Twins, with Jeffers and veteran backstop Christian Vàzquez fixed in a 50/50 split at the position. With Vázquez parting ways with the organization this offseason, team decision-makers elected to bring in a new veteran backstop to team with Jeffers.

    Expected to earn roughly $1.8 million in arbitration this offseason, Jackson is a much more cost-effective option than Vázquez, who was earning $10 million annually. At this stage of their respective careers, Jackson is a defensive upgrade from Vàzquez. He has more pop in his bat, though the utility of that power is limited by a catastrophic 40.7% career strikeout rate. Jeffers will be a bellcow behind the plate for the first time in his career. As the sturdy backstop enters his final season of team control, the front office would be wise to lock him up.

    Infielders (6): Kody Clemens, Luke Keaschall, Royce Lewis, Brooks Lee, Ryan Fitzgerald, Edouard Julien
    As things stand, Minnesota's primary infield configuration entering next season is clear-cut, with Clemens at first base, Keaschall at second, Lewis patrolling third, and Lee at shortstop. Team decision-makers could bring in a right-handed-hitting corner infielder like Miguel Andujar or Rhys Hoskins to pair with Clemens at first. Unless and until that happens, though, the club's primary starting infield group is set.

    Fitzgerald is penciled in as the backup shortstop and third baseman. Yet, the front office could elect to acquire a higher-upside option like Isiah Kiner-Falefa or Jordan Lawlar, pushing Fitzgerald back to the fringes of the 40-man roster. Julien could enter the season occasionally mixing in at first base, second base, and designated hitter. Still, given his poor performance at the plate and in the field the past two seasons, that spot on the roster is written in pencil, not pen.

    Julien is out of minor-league options, meaning the club would risk losing him on waivers if they elect not to award him a 26-man roster spot out of spring training. That risk shouldn't stop the front office from scouring the trade market and free agency for an infielder with a higher offensive and defensive floor.

    Outfielders (5): Austin Martin, Byron Buxton, Matt Wallner, Alan Roden, Trevor Larnach
    James Outman is a notable omission from this five-player corps. The left-handed-hitting outfielder struggled in his brief stint with Minnesota, generating an alarming 52 wRC+ and 43.3% strikeout rate over 104 plate appearances. Outman is a viable defender at all three outfield positions. Still, given his significant offensive struggles over the past two seasons, I project the 28-year-old to be the odd player out of the Twins' outfield crunch.

    Getting the nod over Outman, Roden could mix in at center (as Buxton's backup) and right field, while forming a platoon in left with Martin. Despite being listed as an outfielder, Larnach projects to be the club's primary designated hitter against right-handed starting pitching. The left-handed-hitting veteran could be moved this offseason. Strangely, though, Minnesota appeared to hitch its wagon to Larnach for at least one more season after tendering him a 2026 contract, which (despite popular sentiment) is a sound decision. The 28-year-old has been an above-average hitter (111 wRC+ over 967 plate appearances) the past two seasons.

    Wallner will enter the season as the club's primary right fielder, hoping to regain his well-above-average 2023 and 2024 form at the plate. The husky Minnesotan could also mix in at designated hitter with Larnach. Despite recent trade rumors, Buxton is expected to remain the Twins' center fielder, playing an integral role in their ability to (eventually) return to the postseason.

    Starting Rotation (5): Pablo López, Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober, Simeon Woods Richardson, Taj Bradley
    Trade speculation will continue to swirl around López and Ryan all winter. The two will form one of the AL's best frontline duos as long as they remain with the organization. Ober is penciled in as Minnesota's third starter, hoping to rebound from his second-least effective season as a major-league starting pitcher. This trio could give Minnesota one of baseball's best rotations in 2026. Yet, questions surrounding roster status (López and Ryan) and effectiveness (Ober) raise significant questions about whether that outcome will become a reality next season.

    Woods Richardson impressed late last season, posting a 3.52 ERA, 3.95 FIP, and a 38-to-11 strikeout to walk ratio over 30 2/3 innings after the trade deadline. The 25-year-old has become a fixture in Minnesota's starting rotation, earning the fourth spot entering next season while potentially developing into one of the club's frontline arms if López or Ryan are traded.

    If Bradley wins the fifth and final spot in the club's rotation, David Festa, Zebby Matthews, and Mick Abel will likely enter 2026 as the club's primary Triple-A starting pitching depth options, alongside Andrew Morris and Kendry Rojas. Bradley could still blossom into a frontline major-league arm, but he'll need to refine his secondary pitches to reach that potential. 

    Bullpen (8): Cole Sands, Kody Funderburk, Justin Topa, Eric Orze, Connor Prielipp, Pierson Ohl, Marco Raya, John Klein
    Those who follow the Twins won't like hearing this, but the eight pitchers who form the club's 2026 Opening Day bullpen might already be in the organization. Sands, Funderburk, Topa, and Orze are all but guaranteed spots entering next season. This quartet will likely earn most of the early-season high-leverage situations, with Sands being the primary closer. They should be closers by committee, with all four earning save opportunities.

    The final four bullpen spots could be a smorgasbord of young, inexperienced arms. Derek Falvey named Prielipp and Raya as candidates to enter 2026 in the club's bullpen. Ohl and his near-elite changeup impressed in short relief opportunities last season, giving him an inside track to an Opening Day relief role. The one surprise in this collective is Klein earning the final spot over Travis Adams, but given Adams's significant struggles in the majors last season and Klein's superior stuff, Klein should have the inside track.

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    I highly doubt that Julien makes the roster. He may come to camp with a chance to earn one, but I think the chances of him playing well enough to do that are almost nil. In fact it will not be surprised if he clears waivers once he is DFA. 

    I continue to oppose the idea of Prielipp in the bullpen. There are no quotes from Falvey saying that he wants him in the pen. Drew McPhail says the Twins see him as a high end starter. Don't mess with his development with a detour to the pen. Those temporary changes become permanent with the Twins.

    15 hours ago, DocBauer said:

    Cody, I think your pretty close if the season started TOMORROW. But doesn't it also depend on whether Falvey continues to hold on to his precious "depth" MO instead of playing the best, and younger, talent on hand?

    Just my opinion:

    OF: Martin, Buxton, Rodriguez, and Wallner as the primary DH and backup corner OF. Larnach is moved, and Outman has a small chance, but more on him later. And this changes June/July 1st-ish when Jenkins is ready. (Gonzalez probably later in the season).

    INF: Lewis, Lee, Keaschall, and Fitzgerlad as utility/SS depth. Why not open up 1B to Roden and Fedko to compete and share 1B and ALSO be 4th OF if they both look like they can stick? Clemens then backs up 4 or 5 spots as a utility player. Outman has a chance to begin the season...ugh...as a backup OF if either Roden or Fedko don't stick. And do we really need to see more of Julien and just keep him because he's put of options? And we add another quality piece of the puzzle around July 1st when K-Pepper is ready.

    CATCHER: Jeffers and Jackson.

    ROTATION: Lopez, Ryan, Ober, SWR, and Bradley. But Bradley has a lot to prove to me still. And I believe he's got an option remaining. And there's depth and competition with Matthews, Abel, and Morris. 

    BULLPEN: Funderburk, Prielipp, Festa, Sands, Orze, Topa, Klein, and Ohl/Adams in a shootout. If they're serious about Prielipp moving to the pen, then they have to be serious about placing Festa there as well based on success 2 times through the rotation and his shoulder issues this past season. Klein has solid stuff and good K potential. 

    Just my opinion based on today's candidates and options.

    I would very much like Roden and Fedko to get a shot at first base.  They could both bomb there, but was is there to lose given the current roster?

    19 hours ago, Danchat said:

    There's a high chance Kreidler will get DFA'd sooner than later with intent of getting him back to play at AAA assuming he clears waivers. They've done this several times in past years with similar players.

    Kreidler is a plus glove at shortstop. He is younger, faster and has more ML experience than Fitzgerald. I think he wins a utility job over Fitzgerald if no others are added to the competition, especially since Fitzgerald has options and can be freely sent back and forth when injuries occur, as they always do.

    On the pitching side, I think there definitely will be a trade of one of the Twins' established starters. Trading Ryan should get the most talent in return, trading Lopez would get salary relief plus talent. I'd rather see more talent returned, plus I like Pablo as the veteran leader of a young pitching staff. I've said on other threads that having the best arms in the majors and sorting out roles on the fly makes sense for this team, but I think there are at least eight guys who will be primarily starters on the 40-man roster so maybe Abel, Matthews and Festa spend some time in AAA and stay stretched out. If the Twins have six or seven guys who are legitimate big league starters and this is more reason to trade a high value piece to add talent where the Twins are currently lacking. 

    22 hours ago, MGX said:

    If the Twins do nothing, which seems improbable, then the opening day roster could look like what is suggested in the article.

    Plausible, but not particularly palatable, for sure.

    What worries me is they’ll go a third route and just stand pat (at least until the trade deadline), neither competing nor rebuilding.

    58 minutes ago, TJSweens said:

    I continue to oppose the idea of Prielipp in the bullpen. There are no quotes from Falvey saying that he wants him in the pen. Drew McPhail says the Twins see him as a high end starter. Don't mess with his development with a detour to the pen. Those temporary changes become permanent with the Twins.

    He didn't out-and-out say it, but strongly hinted at it. Per John Stevenson at Fan Recap: 

    Minnesota’s broader strategy: build a bullpen from within, using arms that might not have stuck as starters but could thrive in shorter bursts.

    President of Baseball Operations Derek Falvey hinted at this approach last week at the GM meetings in Las Vegas. He pointed to Prielipp and Marco Raya-another high-upside arm already on the 40-man-as potential bullpen contributors.

    “You see Connor Prielipp throw the way he can at times, you see Marco Raya throw the way he has,” Falvey said. “I’m excited about that group in aggregate.”

     

    10 hours ago, Fatbat said:

    Thats a very young group of guys on the roster. Prepare for speed bumps! 

    Not really. Keaschall will be the only hitter on the 26-man who will be under 25. Overall the roster is only the 10th youngest, and most of the Twins youth is pitching and most of that won't break camp with the big club.

    Between Outman, Gasper, Fitzgerald, McCusker, Kreidler, Clemens, Jackson and Pereda it looks like the Twins think they have found the next eight Justin Turners. Certainly a really solid use of roster space for a non-competitive rebuilding team.

    14 minutes ago, mnfireman said:

    He didn't out-and-out say it, but strongly hinted at it. Per John Stevenson at Fan Recap: 

    Minnesota’s broader strategy: build a bullpen from within, using arms that might not have stuck as starters but could thrive in shorter bursts.

    President of Baseball Operations Derek Falvey hinted at this approach last week at the GM meetings in Las Vegas. He pointed to Prielipp and Marco Raya-another high-upside arm already on the 40-man-as potential bullpen contributors.

    “You see Connor Prielipp throw the way he can at times, you see Marco Raya throw the way he has,” Falvey said. “I’m excited about that group in aggregate.”

     

    I think Stevenson is stretching the context of what Falvey is saying a bit. Falvey says he is excited about the potential of the group of pitchers. Not specifically in terms of the bullpen. Raya fits the definition of a failed starter with a big arm like Louie was. Prielipp doesn't. They may be considering it, but Falvey's comments are a long way from wanting it or even leaning that way.

    20 minutes ago, nicksaviking said:

    Not really. Keaschall will be the only hitter on the 26-man who will be under 25. Overall the roster is only the 10th youngest, and most of the Twins youth is pitching and most of that won't break camp with the big club.

    Between Outman, Gasper, Fitzgerald, McCusker, Kreidler, Clemens, Jackson and Pereda it looks like the Twins think they have found the next eight Justin Turners. Certainly a really solid use of roster space for a non-competitive rebuilding team.

    I think most of these names are just place holders until Jenkins, Rodriguez and Culpepper are ready and or are past the threat of super 2 status.

    Interesting article.  Looking at all the players you list is depressing.   Accurate but still depressing nonetheless.    As much as I like Ryan, Lopez, and Jeffers, heck Buxton too, now is probably time to trade them.  Why keep them if you don't care to compete?  They should be at their highest level for a good return.  Lopez at 21.5 mil is way over Twins budget.  Ryan could bring you a nice return.  Keep in mind that each of the past two seasons Ryan has looked gassed.  Jeffers could bring value too.  And Buxton?  After a great season management owes it to him to trade him to a serious contender.  Byron deserves that.

      

    16 minutes ago, TJSweens said:

    I think Stevenson is stretching the context of what Falvey is saying a bit. Falvey says he is excited about the potential of the group of pitchers. Not specifically in terms of the bullpen. Raya fits the definition of a failed starter with a big arm like Louie was. Prielipp doesn't. They may be considering it, but Falvey's comments are a long way from wanting it or even leaning that way.

    Maybe, maybe not. The truth of the matter, whether we as fans like it or not, is that Prielipp is going to be on an innings limit this year and probably next. I would rather he get those innings at Target Field instead of CHS Field. If that means he has to pitch out of the 'pen, then so be it. He won't be the first young SP to get his MLB service time started there.

    The OF and Starting Rotation is actually pretty solid.  The areas of concern are the IF and bullpen.  
     

    for the pen, I can see the Twins signing a reliever to a major league contract and signing two or three to a minor league deal for depth and competition.  
     

     

    In the IF the concerns are mostly SS and 1B.  The Twins can sign a low cost 1B like Hoskins or bring in an OF like Larnarch or Wallner as the OF will go through a youth movement due to the skill level of their three prospects in AAA ERod, Gonzales and Jenkins.  Larnarch and Wallner will start the season with the Twins,  I can see them trading Larnarch especially if they sign Hoskins.  
     

    On the IF the Twins are giving Lewis a last shot to reclaim his future at 3B and Lee as an IF as well.  Culpepper will be ready at some point next season.  Or atleast we hope.  
     

    I hope the Twins keep both starting pitchers but with a strong enough offer, I can see the a trade.  
     

    2026 is a rebuilding year with a likely goal of .500 and a small chance of competing if enough goes right.  Most likely a 70-75 win team is my expectation as the Twins set up to be competitive in 2027.  

    When the discussion turns to just trading everything not nailed down. 

    There is something in the CBA... that states that you must spend 1.5 the amount received in your revenue sharing allotment or the players association will file a grievance. 

    I don't know what the Twins will receive in revenue sharing dollars. 

    I read last year that the A's did a payroll push to avoid this potential grievance.  

    5 hours ago, mnfireman said:

    Maybe, maybe not. The truth of the matter, whether we as fans like it or not, is that Prielipp is going to be on an innings limit this year and probably next. I would rather he get those innings at Target Field instead of CHS Field. If that means he has to pitch out of the 'pen, then so be it. He won't be the first young SP to get his MLB service time started there.

    I understand your rationale. It's is not without merit. Personally, if the guy has the upside as a starter that they claim, I would rather they go through the tedious process of stretching him out even if it is in the minors. Prielipp won't be able to build up to starter innings in the pen. As I said before, when the Twins move a starter to the pen, it tends to be permanent. To me that is a waste when a pitcher has top of the rotation potential.

    It's almost impossible to do this exercise, given that none of us have any idea what the Twins FO is actually planning.  Complicating things is the news that Buxton would waive his no-trade clause.  That could indicate a massive selloff.  

    I'd like to believe that the Twins could ride Ryan and Lopez and show some improved offense from Lewis, Wallner, Lee and Jeffers, and get healthy years and production out of Buxton and Keaschall.  See Festa emerge as a closer and Jenkins/Em-Rod join the roster and shine.  And trade Ober for someone like Jordan Lawler who realizes his potential and steps in at SS.

    Unfortunately I know that is probably not probably going to happen.  We have nobody who can reliably close out a game.  We are talking about Cody Clemens as our 1B.  We have lumbering RF and LF who strike out...A LOT.  

    I agree whole heartedly that the Twins, as an organization, need to choose a lane.  Either go all in on competing in 2026, or go all in on the rebuild.  

    Maybe this Winter meetings will be quiet for the Twins.  But I see the handwriting on the wall.  Buxton is willing to be traded to a team of his choice.  As only the Twins could do, they see Lopez as over-paid, a salary to be cut, money to be saved. 

    With Scott Boras as the agent for Jeffers does anyone really think Jeffers is signing an extension with the Twins?  NO WAY.  Boras gets his clients to free agency and then he relishes "selling" his client to the highest bidder.  With Jeffers becoming a FA in 2027 the Twins need to trade him.  Joe Ryan will only get more expensive.  With a lockout/strike expected in 2027 the Twins really should trade Ryan.  

    Wallner and Larnach have had their chance.  Auction them off for useful pieces and prepare the way for Jenkins, Em-Rod and Gabe Gonzalez.  Let the rebuild begin with hope pointing toward 2028.  

    On 12/2/2025 at 9:30 AM, nicksaviking said:

    Not really. Keaschall will be the only hitter on the 26-man who will be under 25. Overall the roster is only the 10th youngest, and most of the Twins youth is pitching and most of that won't break camp with the big club.

    Between Outman, Gasper, Fitzgerald, McCusker, Kreidler, Clemens, Jackson and Pereda it looks like the Twins think they have found the next eight Justin Turners. Certainly a really solid use of roster space for a non-competitive rebuilding team.

    8 guys that have little track record of MLB success at the plate. Oh boy 👀




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