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    5 Best Suitors in Byron Buxton Trade Rumors

    Byron Buxton wanted to be a Twin for life—until, half-suddenly, he wasn’t so sure. Who are the teams most likely to pursue his services this winter, and to whom the Twins would be wisest to deal him?

    Eric Blonigen
    Image courtesy of © Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images

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    ESPN’s Jeff Passan reported Tuesday that Byron Buxton is willing to waive his no-trade clause. He and Kiley McDaniel rank Buxton as being the fifth-best player likely to be moved, and figure he’s got about a one-in-three chance of heading to camp wearing a new uniform. This is, naturally, not great news for Twins fans despite the bread crumbs leading us here over the past couple of months. Obviously, the Twins trading their best hitter (by a wide margin) would send very clear signals about their intention to contend in the near future. However, such a move would be a way to further stock an already strong farm system and fully commit to a youth movement.

    Now, this list I’m about to reveal is not comprehensive. A player of Buxton’s caliber would make every team better. However, five teams seem like natural fits in terms of need and tradeable commodities. I’ll rank them in order of who I see as the best matches. Of course, none of this means a Buxton trade will happen. He can say no at any time, and if he does desire a trade, his landing spot might be his own choice, as much as the Twins'. Without further ado, let’s get into it.

    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Look, the Dodgers are seemingly always the odds-on favorites for any prestige free agent, so why not for a star slugger coming off a career year and down-ballot MVP votes?

    For a team as stacked as the two-time defending champions, the outfield is a rare opportunity to improve. World Series hero Andy Pages is legit at the plate and in center field, but corner outfielder Teoscar Hernández is coming off a down year, as is Tommy Edman. Both are on the wrong side of 30, so it’s entirely possible both are experiencing age-related decline. Edman is also better (defensively) on the dirt, but played about a quarter of his games in the grass out of necessity. Edman is also a question mark for 2026, as he’s coming off ankle surgery. Buxton would be an upgrade in the corners, and would make their lineup that much deadlier. He probably isn't ready to move out of center field yet, but he has the cachet to prompt them to move Pages to a corner instead, at least temporarily. Beyond that, let’s be honest with ourselves: is there a great player the Dodgers don’t swing hard for?

    Further, they also have a strong farm. MLB Pipeline has them ranked first overall, with no fewer than seven top-100 guys and good depth beyond that. Assuming Buxton would net two top-100 prospects in any deal, it would be easy to construct a package that could make sense.

    Philadelphia Phillies
    The Phillies need right-handed power badly, and the Phillies beat writer for The Athletic identified Buxton as a target. The fit is clear, and a lot of boxes are checked. The Twins have recent history with the Phillies as trade partners, and are certainly familiar with their farm system after dealing both Jhoan Duran and Harrison Bader to Philadelphia in July. Bader and old friend Max Kepler are both free agents, and the Phils could lose Kyle Schwarber, as well. Nick Castellanos, the Phillies’ everyday right fielder in 2025, was a brutal defender at the position. As it stands currently, top prospect Justin Crawford is set to crack the Opening Day lineup in the grass. Adding Buxton would allow the Phillies to give Crawford a ramp, rather than hoping he immediately hits. Buxton would fill key gaps for them, and would immediately improve their roster both offensively and defensively.

    Working against them: their prospect pool got shallower at the deadline, as the Twins took two of their best prospects. They still have three prospects in the top 100, and all are high-end, but the Phillies' front office may be loath to deal more from that pool.

    Cincinnati Reds
    In 2025, the Reds ranked 19th in baseball in OPS. Additionally, they don’t have a single outfielder who's much more than an average hitter, and all of their outfielders cost the Reds runs compared to average defenders. Noelvi Marte, while still young, has been replacement-level for his career. Austin Hays is a free agent, and TJ Friedl can hit a bit but isn’t special. Buxton would be a clear upgrade in center and would improve their offense by leaps and bounds.

    The Reds have the prospect capital to have build a trade package, with six players on Pipeline's Top-100 list—including a couple of strong shortstop prospects who are a few years out, likely aligning with the Twins' next true contention window. There is some fairly recent trade history between the two teams, as the Twins traded for both Sonny Gray and Tyler Mahle in 2022.

    Atlanta
    This could be Buxton’s preference, as he is from Baxley, Georgia, a small town three and a half hours away from Truist Park. His parents and extended family still live there, and he spends his offseason months there, as well. I would assume that this would be Buxton’s preferred digs, if he does decide he wants to go.

    From a baseball standpoint, Atlanta’s hitting was average-ish in 2025, ranking 13th by OPS. Michael Harris II is a good defender in center, but his bat hasn’t played in a couple of years. Jurickson Profar and Ronald Acuña Jr. man the corners right now, but both are subpar defenders in the grass. However, both hit well enough to spend a lot of time at DH on days when Drake Baldwin is catching, which could be most of the time with Sean Murphy recovering from hip surgery. Trading for Buxton would allow Atlanta to dramatically upgrade their outfield defense and their offense at the same time.

    Really, the biggest obstacle for Atlanta is the relative weakness of their farm system, ranked 28th in MLB.com's midseason ranking due to their lack of future impact at the top. With just two top-100 players (both pitchers), it could be tough to find a package that would fit, unless the Twins were able to find a match on a challenge trade. However, that doesn’t seem like it would fit their intentions, if they are trying to move Buxton at all. Maybe the Twins would take a couple of pre-arbitration guys and some lower-ranked prospects, but I don’t see the perfect fit. Atlanta does have good young pitchers, too, but many of them have run into injury problems.

    New York Mets
    The Mets traded their everyday left fielder, Brandon Nimmo, for Marcus Semien last week. They don’t have a clear internal option to replace him. Tyrone Taylor, their incumbent primary center fielder, has been a below-average hitter since 2022. He’s a fine defender, but you know who isn’t? Juan Soto, who logged 157 games in the grass in 2025. He should be a DH. Trading for Buxton could make that a reality for them, probably singlehandedly earning them an extra win or two on defense alone. Further, the Mets are unlikely to be big spenders in free agency, so a trade for a great player at an affordable price could be especially attractive to them.

    They have four top-50 prospects, a mix of pitchers, outfielders, and infielders, creating another scenario where the Twins would likely have options to choose from.

    Hopefully, a Buxton trade does not come to pass, for a host of reasons, including a lot of stuff like this.

    However, knowing that 2026 is seemingly not a competitive season and 2027 could be tough, too, if the Twins are able to at least gain significant value for their homegrown star, the next window could arrive sooner and be likelier to be successful.

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    4 hours ago, chpettit19 said:

    Because they've determined that they won't be competitive while he's here and it's more valuable to have assets that may be useful when the team is competitive again.

    That being the case to trade Buxton the Twins might as well get on with it and deal Jeffers, Ryan and Lopez as well. Which would make the team basically a quasi AAA team for a while as players grow into being MLB worthy.

    This is depressing stuff, but I tend to agree with @Mike Sixel's grading of the teams. Buxton isn't likely to give a blanket waiver, he'll want approval on the team, and teams as far away as the Twins from a title aren't likely to qualify.

    I don't agree at all with the thoughts that Buxton gets a new contract to waive the no-trade. I don't think the Twins actually want to trade him unless blown away by an offer; he is a cost-effective superstar, the main reason to watch the Twins, and this team needs revenue in both ticket sales and Twins.tv subscriptions; carrying Byron into the season boosts both of those big time. The only reason this is happening is that Byron MAY have signaled to the team he is ready to go, and that comes with zero leverage for new contract terms.

    My personal guess is that Lopez, Ryan, and Buxton are here into the season for several reasons. One the team needs revenue (bears repeating), two they probably get more in-season (think of the haul the Reds got for a gimpy shouldered SP, or what the Twins just got for a few good RPs and a batch of expiring contracts), and three it gives a few months peek at our own prospects so we can see what we actually need. Also as a personal thought, if I'm Derek Shelton there is no way I sign with the Twins without at least a chance to compete with a decent team (dude could have easily gotten a bench coach job, and waited for a less Pirate-like rerun).

    5 minutes ago, PatPfund said:

    This is depressing stuff, but I tend to agree with @Mike Sixel's grading of the teams. Buxton isn't likely to give a blanket waiver, he'll want approval on the team, and teams as far away as the Twins from a title aren't likely to qualify.

    I don't agree at all with the thoughts that Buxton gets a new contract to waive the no-trade. I don't think the Twins actually want to trade him unless blown away by an offer; he is a cost-effective superstar, the main reason to watch the Twins, and this team needs revenue in both ticket sales and Twins.tv subscriptions; carrying Byron into the season boosts both of those big time. The only reason this is happening is that Byron MAY have signaled to the team he is ready to go, and that comes with zero leverage for new contract terms.

    My personal guess is that Lopez, Ryan, and Buxton are here into the season for several reasons. One the team needs revenue (bears repeating), two they probably get more in-season (think of the haul the Reds got for a gimpy shouldered SP, or what the Twins just got for a few good RPs and a batch of expiring contracts), and three it gives a few months peek at our own prospects so we can see what we actually need. Also as a personal thought, if I'm Derek Shelton there is no way I sign with the Twins without at least a chance to compete with a decent team (dude could have easily gotten a bench coach job, and waited for a less Pirate-like rerun).

    No way they get more for Ryan at the deadline. Just way less bidders, and 3 months less value. IMO, of course. But he's worth way more now, than later. Same with Buxton. Lopez? I think you could argue teams would want to see him pitch, but I doubt it. They do physicals, and can have him throw if needed. 

    I'm unsure on ticket sales. I think all three of these likely help, but how much, I just don't know. 

    2 hours ago, GNess said:

    That being the case to trade Buxton the Twins might as well get on with it and deal Jeffers, Ryan and Lopez as well. Which would make the team basically a quasi AAA team for a while as players grow into being MLB worthy.

    They should. My stance has always been that they should pick a lane and go all in. Either try to compete or do a true rebuild, not both. I don't think they have the financial resources to try to truly compete the next 2 years so I hope they blow it up and give themselves the best chance to compete in 3+ instead.

    We like to talk about top-100 prospects as though they are sure things, but they are not.  It's instructive to turn the Wayback Machine to 10 years ago and have a look at the MLB list from then:

    https://www.mlb.com/milb/prospects/2015/top100/

    Sure, the tippy-top prospects in that list mostly panned out very nicely.  But the ones in someone's top-20 are not the top-100 prospects who will be available for pretty much any price. 

    Will we be excited if we land somebody's #28?  The equivalent 2015 prospect was Alex Jackson, who we picked up just now for very little after he's had an un-illustrious career to date.  Right after him at #29 was Alex Meyer, who due to injury never really panned out for our Twins.  Right after Jose Berrios at #32 (hurrah!) we see Nick Gordon at #33 (meh).  Kohl Stewart at #36, anyone? Go all the way down and cast an eye at #99: Manuel Margot was an actual ballplayer for a couple of years, but I have to think hopes were higher.

    Of course, I'm cherry picking, for Twins fan entertainment.  There is also in that 2015 list some nobody called Aaron Judge who was ranked #68; Realmuto is found a couple of slots later.  Future stars are scattered in a top-100.  But I think it's still a point worth remembering.  Trading a good player for even a couple of top-100 prospects is no sure thing.

    Two top-100 prospects may be beyond what's attainable for Buxton.  At the same time, such return strikes me as too little for what he's really worth to his team, unless our front office suddenly becomes elite at player evaluation.

    13 hours ago, DJL44 said:

    I don't think Byron Buxton will return two top-100 prospects. He's making $15M a year. One top prospect and one lower ranked prospect is more likely.

    I think the Reds are the least likely of these teams. They need the prospects more than the other four teams.

    This is the exact reason the Twins could get a haul for Buxton. He also has incentives so he can earn more than 15M. 

    To be honest, the Twins would be foolish to listen to offers. He's over 30 and he finally played over 100 games for the third time in his career and there's nothing to think he will keep that up.

    Yes, fans will be upset with a trade but if they could get a good return it would be foolish not to deal him.

    Yes, Buxton should be traded this offseason. I’m all for Twins going the full rebuild route now. They have assets to trade now to get the rebuild underway. 
    There is a risk with young players that I haven’t seen noted here. Young players need to be developed properly and that is a big weakness of the Twins system. They’ll have to collect a volume of young guys and hope that despite their lousy development system that they get lucky anyway. 

    4 hours ago, Mike Sixel said:

    Zero chance Cincy gets Buxton. So, that leaves 4.....but Atl doesn't have the prospects, so 3....

    I am really on the fence on this, as i think he has 4 years of being good left, so he can be part of a good team. OTOH, he's hurt a lot, and he is older, and he isn't free (which is what they want). 

    I'm guessing Mets or Dodgers at this point, because ATL doesn't have the assets.

    Agreed, ATL just doesn’t have the capital to make that trade.  I listened to a couple of Braves podcasts today and they are speculating a package of Hurston Waldrep, JR Ritchie, and Nacho Alvarez seal the deal.  Waldrep had a good 2025 and would be a nice addition, but we need bats and Nacho Alvarez isn’t it.

    I wonder if we could get Rushing from LAD for Buxton?  He was a top 20 prospect heading into 2025, but didn’t have a very nice intro to MLB, and he is blocked by Will Smith and Freddie Freeman.

    But I don’t like even suggesting any of this because I really don’t want to see Buck go anywhere.  

    Yes now us the time to trade Buxton when his value is relatively higher.  But I'm not expecting much in return.  He was great in 2025 but his injury history will limit his return.  But I'd trade him while you can.  The team has another reason to trade him:  15 million of them.  They are looking to dump salary so that " saves" them payroll.  He's been somewhat good for the Twins.  Played 2 'full" seasons out of 10.  This past year was awesome.  But the Twins have been good to him over the years as well.  I mean really they paid him 100 million dollars as essentially a part time player.  That's a lot of money to pay for someone who can play great but is also not someone you can count on.  Byron deserves to be traded to a team of his choosing.  He's earned that.

    9 hours ago, Chembry said:

    Agreed, ATL just doesn’t have the capital to make that trade.  I listened to a couple of Braves podcasts today and they are speculating a package of Hurston Waldrep, JR Ritchie, and Nacho Alvarez seal the deal.  Waldrep had a good 2025 and would be a nice addition, but we need bats and Nacho Alvarez isn’t it.

    I wonder if we could get Rushing from LAD for Buxton?  He was a top 20 prospect heading into 2025, but didn’t have a very nice intro to MLB, and he is blocked by Will Smith and Freddie Freeman.

    But I don’t like even suggesting any of this because I really don’t want to see Buck go anywhere.  

    Dalton Rushing, River Ryan, Hyesong Kim, Justin Wrobleski, Bobby Miller - several interesting players who aren't on prospect lists anymore.

    I love Byron Buxton as a player. He is one who can, and does, impress in so many different ways. That being said, I believe now is the time to make a trade. It may be that he will follow the Paul Molitor path and be healthier as he gets older. But odds are that is not the case. Give him a shot at a ring somewhere else and recover something for him now. The only way the Twins will contend in the next couple of years is if their next wave of young players are really good, really fast.

    I am also fascinated by trade debates and discussions. I think the involvement of the top 100 list in the debate is really an example of our desire to quantify and measure everything. The reality is that evaluating prospects is probably more accurately represented by the crusty old “baseball guys” in Money Ball and Trouble with the Curve than by analytics.  The question of how many top 100 picks you can get is really pretty meaningless. It seems to imply that number 99 on that list more similar to number 9 that he is to number 101. Or that getting numbers 45, 60 and 90 (3 top 100 picks) is better than getting number 1 alone, or number 3 and 50 (only 2 top 100’s)

    Prospect lists are constantly changing from year to year, and even within the year.  They also vary drastically from site to site, especially after you get beyond the top 5 per team.

    It was interesting to look back at the Nelson Cruz trade. I think that Ryan and Stoltman were #10 and #17 in the TB system at the time. Ryan was #76 overall and Stoltman was not on the top 100. Although that didn’t sound like much at the time, it worked out OK. Interestingly, the second most valuable piece in that trade long term was a forgotten throw-in. Calvin Faucher never broke into the Twins top 30, much less the MLB top 100. He reached the mid 20’s in TB’s system before finally blossoming for Miami. Right now he would look pretty good in the Twins bullpen.

    The truth is that, for better or worse, it all comes down to the judgement of Falvey and his team of evaluators. “Will Buxton remain healthy and productive, and happy, in Minnesota”?  “Should you trade Buxton and Ryan individually or should they be bundled to ensure receiving the top prospect package from another team”? “What is the best return available for each individually or as a package”?

    As with the deadline moves, time will tell.

    19 minutes ago, Elliot said:

    I love Byron Buxton as a player. He is one who can, and does, impress in so many different ways. That being said, I believe now is the time to make a trade. It may be that he will follow the Paul Molitor path and be healthier as he gets older. But odds are that is not the case. Give him a shot at a ring somewhere else and recover something for him now. The only way the Twins will contend in the next couple of years is if their next wave of young players are really good, really fast.

    I am also fascinated by trade debates and discussions. I think the involvement of the top 100 list in the debate is really an example of our desire to quantify and measure everything. The reality is that evaluating prospects is probably more accurately represented by the crusty old “baseball guys” in Money Ball and Trouble with the Curve than by analytics.  The question of how many top 100 picks you can get is really pretty meaningless. It seems to imply that number 99 on that list more similar to number 9 that he is to number 101. Or that getting numbers 45, 60 and 90 (3 top 100 picks) is better than getting number 1 alone, or number 3 and 50 (only 2 top 100’s)

    Prospect lists are constantly changing from year to year, and even within the year.  They also vary drastically from site to site, especially after you get beyond the top 5 per team.

    It was interesting to look back at the Nelson Cruz trade. I think that Ryan and Stoltman were #10 and #17 in the TB system at the time. Ryan was #76 overall and Stoltman was not on the top 100. Although that didn’t sound like much at the time, it worked out OK. Interestingly, the second most valuable piece in that trade long term was a forgotten throw-in. Calvin Faucher never broke into the Twins top 30, much less the MLB top 100. He reached the mid 20’s in TB’s system before finally blossoming for Miami. Right now he would look pretty good in the Twins bullpen.

    The truth is that, for better or worse, it all comes down to the judgement of Falvey and his team of evaluators. “Will Buxton remain healthy and productive, and happy, in Minnesota”?  “Should you trade Buxton and Ryan individually or should they be bundled to ensure receiving the top prospect package from another team”? “What is the best return available for each individually or as a package”?

    As with the deadline moves, time will tell.

    Great Post. I agree with much of it. 

    It's just the trading Buxton part that I disagree with. 

    I agree that we probably get the most value out of a Buxton deal right now IF... IF... if his contract simply follows him without adjustment to it.

    However... I don't believe it will. I'd guess that the contract negotiation that is sure to come to waive his no-trade will minimize the return to the point that the trade may no longer be worth it. If Buxton doesn't demand a renegotiation in order to waive it would be a critical mistake on his part.    

    Let Buxton play out his current contract. Let him lead this group of young ball players forward. We are hoping these players turn into a Buxton anyway... so let Buxton be Buxton... trading him would just be an unnecessary step back that we don't have to take. Let's see how he is doing at age 35 and then work on a new deal to keep him in a Twins uniform after that providing his career hasn't fallen off a cliff in that time. 

     

    Retiring a Twin would make him a rare player in this day and age. Buxton would belong with a group of people like Cal Ripken, Kirby Puckett, Kent Hrbek. George Brett.      

    On 12/3/2025 at 11:02 AM, Bigfork Twins Guy said:

    Of the candidates listed, I suggest that the Dodgers are the best fit for four reasons.

    1. Because they are always in the playoffs and I suspect Buck would believe that it would be his absolute best chance at a ring.

    2. Because the Dodgers have a wealth of MiLB talent and could afford to give up a few top prospects for a player that would immediately add value their MLB team.

    3. The Dodgers have money so they could easily extend Buck if that is his wish.

    4. The FO has a history of trading with the Dodgers.

    The downside is that they seem to get the upper-hand with Falvey (see Outman).

    I have been wavering on whether to trade Buck, but after reading more I think his value, given last season and his age, will NEVER be higher.  That, and I'd like to see him get to the playoffs and I doubt that we will get there before his career ends.

    Outman was a lottery ticket as Stewart is always hurt.  Nothing ventured, nothing gained.  And this one looks like a nothing burger. 




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