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Coming into this season the Minnesota Twins knew that playing Byron Buxton solely as their designated hitter wasn’t going to be an option. He struggled in that role offensively last season, and it didn’t ultimately help him to get healthy enough to play defense, which is where so much of his value is felt. This year we have seen him play 28 games, and the vast majority have come in center field.
Up until the latest injury, a bout of knee inflammation that revealed no structural damage, Rocco Baldelli was able to deploy his center fielder in virtually all scenarios. Buxton had started games for the Twins, remained in during extra innings, and had even been used as a defensive replacement. All of those outcomes speak positively as to how his body has been feeling.
In getting Buxton back from the injured list, that’s the exact kind of availability that Minnesota will continue to need. His offensive production has been muted, unable to catch up to fastballs or show a high level of plate discipline, but his defense hasn’t slumped. At a positive 3.4 defensive value per FanGraphs, Buxton ranks third among players with at least 50 innings in center field. It’s not surprising that he has posted a 0.7 fWAR in limited action, given his 4 defensive runs saved and 3 outs above average.
It's not so much about what Buxton adds as what gets subtracted when he's in center field. Defensive values for Manuel Margot (-0.1), Austin Martin (-1.9) and Willi Castro (-2.3) are all poor. The latter two rank 53rd and 55th among a 56-player pool with 50 or more innings in center field. Margot has been anything but the expected similar replacement for Michael A. Taylor, and Castro has been an adventure in center dating back to last season. His latest inexcusable mishap had him forgetting the number of outs, costing the Twins a run, and launching a third out ball from the stadium in frustration.
While Martin started out respectable on the offensive side of things, only Castro's bat warrants a regular place in the lineup among the trio filling in for Buxton. Even with his struggles at the dish, Buxton still owns a roughly average 98 OPS+ that he is returning to, and everyone is aware how quickly that number can rise if starts to click.
Through their 12-game winning streak, the Twins saw exceptional starting pitching performances and they played strong defense. The lineup is unquestionably going to go through ebbs and flows that force the team to remain competitive in other facets. Defense is a relatively straightforward place to show up every night, but it’s clear that Minnesota has significant limitations from their alternative center field options.
Buxton returning for the Twins in a key series with the Cleveland Guardians sets up a reality where Minnesota will look to establish divisional dominance. The recent rate of winning wasn’t going to sustain for the duration of the year, but it helped to bring Minnesota back in the race. Now they have three-quarters of the season to continue producing, and the more Buxton can be a part of that the better.
Given his lack of availability was due to inflammation, it stands to reason that this sort of thing could be a circumstance that presents itself again throughout the year. Buxton quickly said his goal was to miss near a minimum amount of time while listening to his body and not trying to play through what was holding him back. On the wrong side of 30 years old, that level of thinking must be utilized more often than not the rest of his career, and all sides will be better for more availability at peak performance.
There’s no denying the Twins are better with Byron Buxton available to them, and it is now beyond clear the overall effectiveness of their outfield relies on it.
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