Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    3 Trades the Twins Must Make Today


    Jamie Cameron

    It's trade deadline day! The Twins have been quiet so far yet have plenty of holes to address on their roster. Here are three acquisitions they should prioritize to set them up for the postseason.

    Image courtesy of Gregory Fisher, USA Today Sports

    Twins Video

    Deadline day is upon us! The Guardians unfroze Noah Syndergaard from carbonite in time for him to inherit the standard portion of organizational good fortune prior to pitching against Houston. Despite this, Cleveland’s bullpen wilted against an offensive storm from the Astros, and the Twins entered deadline day with a slender half-game lead in the AL Central.

    Despite a five-game losing streak, other Central teams have or will trade away from their MLB rosters. The Twins have the fifth-easiest finish in baseball. The Guardians? Fifth hardest. It’s time to put up, and shut everyone up.

    The Twins have to buy in a measured way. Despite clanking almost every hurdle in their lane this season, they have a clear path to a division title. If you’ve been put off from the ill-fated 2022 deadline, good news, it shouldn’t be that hard to plug the gaps. Here are names I’d be prioritizing on deadline day. For the purposes of this exercise, I made the assumption that the Twins focus mostly on rentals.

    Acquire OF Adam Duvall from the Red Sox or OF Tommy Pham from the Mets
    The Twins need a right-handed bat. The Groundhog Day water cooler conversations around the bottleneck of left-handed outfielders must come to a close at some point, right? I think it’s likely Gallo is DFA’d in the near future as he’s essentially been a non-contributor for months, but the Twins remain horrendously inept against left-handed pitching.

    The Red Sox are still in contention for a wild card berth, but it’s possible they hedge and facilitate a soft sell at the deadline. Duvall checks most boxes you might want to see. He can play center field (passably). He’s a rental. He bats right-handed. So what’s the production like? A 128 wRC+ so far in 2023 carrying the best SLG (.542), and wOBA (.364) since he was in Atlanta in 2019. He’s not a lefty masher, but he fits the roster need well.

    Pham is another bat who fits the bill. Right-handed, rental, with some ancillary skills (like excellent baserunning) that the Twins don’t usually do well. Pham has a 1.7 fWAR and 127 wRC+ thus far in 2023. Crucially, he has a .871 OPS against left-handed pitching. There are plenty of other options here, including Teoscar Hernandez. The Twins have to come away with a right-handed hitting upgrade today.

    Acquire RHP Carlos Hernandez from the Royals or RHP Kyle Finnegan from the Nationals
    The injuries to Caleb Thielbar and Brock Stewart, combined with some severe regression of the erstwhile outstanding rotation, have left the Twins bullpen on thin ice, overworked and overleveraged. Even with Thielbar returning and Stewart soon to start a rehab assignment, a deep bullpen is critical in September as starts shorten.

    The price on Hernandez is probably too high, but I have to admit I’m intrigued. The Royals flamethrower isn’t a free agent until 2028. So why would the Royals sell? Well, they’re terrible, and they don’t have a single Top 100 prospect on Baseball America’s mid-season re-ranking. In 53 innings of relief thus far in 2023, Hernandez has a 30 K%, 7.1 BB%, 3.31 xERA, and he throws 100 mph. He’ll cost a ton, but I’m thinking about it.

    If Hernandez is the upper echelon of what you want to meaningfully bolster the bullpen, Kyle Finnegan is probably the bare minimum. A free agent in 2026, Finnegan has pitched in 44 innings in 2023. 23.5 K%, 7.8 BB%, and a 3.07 ERA (4.37 xERA) probably slots him somewhere at the bottom of the Thielbar and Stewart tier. The velocity is good (97 mph average fastball), though it’s possible the Twins look to true rental options such as Jose Cisnero or Keynan Middleton.

    Acquire LHP Brooks Raley from the Mets or LHP Brent Suter from the Rockies
    A few weeks ago, I convinced myself that this wasn’t a great need for the Twins. If Caleb Thielbar (activated for the Cardinals series), returns to good health and form, the need is certainly lessened. Having watched Jovani Moran walk just south of 5.0 BB/9 over 90 MLB innings, he just doesn’t feel like someone you can comfortably use in a playoff game. The Twins need to add a left-handed arm to the bullpen.

    Raley is a solid option from the Mets. This season, he’s posted a 26.2 K% and 11 BB% in 28 innings of work. That’s underpinned by a solid 3.31 xERA. That’s all capped off by an affordable 2024 club option which raises the appeal, and the price. 

    Suter is a true rental after signing a one-year, $3 million deal with the Rockies for 2023. He’s put together a great season so far although he has even less velocity than Raley and he doesn’t generate a ton of strikeouts. In 48 1/3 innings, Suter has a 20.2 K% (not great), a 7.6 BB% (great), and a 2.59 xERA. I love Jovani Moran, and I believe in his stuff, but if you can’t throw strikes, you can’t be relied upon to pitch in the playoffs.

    On average through the last two seasons, there have been just south of 30 trades on deadline day (on average), so I expect today to be busy. It’s likely the Twins do something creative. Maybe they sell high on a pitcher, maybe they make another challenge trade. What’s evident, after more than half a season, is they have the talent to win the AL Central comfortably. They should maximize their chances with measured aggression on deadline day.

    Who do you want the Twins to target today? Join the discussion in the comments below.

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    7 minutes ago, TwinkieFan4life said:

    If the players are flash-in-the-pan types, old, just not that good, or all of the above, why trade for them?  Would they make the team contenders?  Why not turn to in-house options and cross your fingers they play better?

    I'd do a bit of both. I think making the playoffs, and breaking "the streak," has value to this franchise. I think getting that monkey off the organization's back would have value even if they don't go super deep. So I think improving on the margins (Finnegan to replace whoever you view as the bottom arm in the pen, or Pham over Gallo) has some value, and makes sense. If I can't replace a couple dime a dozen 45 FV prospects to bring them in I don't deserve to be running a major league team anyways.

    But I'd also turn to some of the younger in-house options and see if they can provide a second half spark. I'd buy and sell. My big splash would be trying to turn Wallner and Polanco into one of the young Seattle arms. That'd allow me to trade Gray or Maeda to back fill the prospect depth I traded for Finnegan and Pham. That'd be my "improve on the margins to win a playoff game in 2023 while also looking to the future and setting myself up nicely there" plan.

    It doesn't have to be buy or sell. It can be buy and sell.

    11 minutes ago, chpettit19 said:

    I'd do a bit of both. I think making the playoffs, and breaking "the streak," has value to this franchise. I think getting that monkey off the organization's back would have value even if they don't go super deep. So I think improving on the margins (Finnegan to replace whoever you view as the bottom arm in the pen, or Pham over Gallo) has some value, and makes sense. If I can't replace a couple dime a dozen 45 FV prospects to bring them in I don't deserve to be running a major league team anyways.

    But I'd also turn to some of the younger in-house options and see if they can provide a second half spark. I'd buy and sell. My big splash would be trying to turn Wallner and Polanco into one of the young Seattle arms. That'd allow me to trade Gray or Maeda to back fill the prospect depth I traded for Finnegan and Pham. That'd be my "improve on the margins to win a playoff game in 2023 while also looking to the future and setting myself up nicely there" plan.

    It doesn't have to be buy or sell. It can be buy and sell.

    I could get behind that plan.

    I look at Lewis - CC - Farmer - Solano & Jeffers for our IF………..Castro - Taylor - Kirilloff for our OF……Buxton at DH………...these guys v. LH pitching are a decent line-up. This adds Lewis & Jeffers to the team that started this past Sunday. Those two, displacing Vazquez & Wallner are a big upgrade over Sunday v. LH starter.

    Kyle Garlick is not my favorite guy but if we are going to roster a RH hitter for corner OF play, he isn’t much less output than the rentals discussed above. Teoscar has stats lower than Kepler & he LEADS the AL in strikeouts……..can’t imagine going after him! Only 25-30% of pitchers are LH.

    Please focus on Pen!

    LH Relief……… Raley/Suter/Hand…………maybe Headrick internally?

    RH Relief………who ??? maybe Varland internally?

    I know this sounds nuts but I like the idea of Maeda starting in playoffs and either Ryan or Gray in a relief role. They have good stuff but seems to be for shorter stints. Again, sounds nuts but starting Maeda or Kuechel for 3-4 innings and following them with Gray, that’s a big contrast in styles, and he gets us through the 8th. Ryan would be similar.

    Really need the one reliever to hedge against the Thielbar/Stewart unknown health. Two arms would be preferred! Need to get through August-September!

    No trade if it costs a top prospect. This team may win the division by default, but they aren’t going anywhere if Correa and Buxton keep bottoming out. Even then at best they might win a playoff series. The reality is they need to focus on the young players they want to keep for next year. I can understand if they trade Gray and/or Maeda because it is about planning for next year.

    1 hour ago, Twins_Fan_in_NJ said:

    If the Pohlad's haven't handcuffed the front office from making moves - and honestly, if they did, no one should be upset after last year - I expect them to make 2-3 trades. Their jobs depend on it. They don't win the division in 2023 and people are going to be or at least should be fired. 

    Not sure how the Pohlads have handcuffed Falvey and Levine, 11M to Gallo, 200M to Correa, 73M to Lopez, etc, etc.....this FO just does not know how to trade well or who to dish the money out to. Personally I  hope the 2023 season blows up, (repeat of 2022) signaling a need for a change in leadership, FO and on the field. 

     

    They should be selling some things off, IMO.

    This FO just never seems to make the right call.  They don’t have the stones to go after a premier player at the deadline when they should.  They don’t have the stones to sell off expiring guys like Gray, Maeda, etc when they should. 

    It’ll be another half-assed milquetoast deadline that won’t accomplish anything meaningful for the current or future years.  They may get some washed reliever with shoulder problems, or maybe some marginal RH bat.  The media will then praise the savvy and roll out the old faithful, “Lewis, Thielbar, etc. coming back later is like making a trade.”

    The deadline has been the same for Twins fans going back decades.  Aside from Shannon Stewart and maybe Orlando Cabrera, I can’t think of a meaningful, highly successful move as a buyer. It’s typically guys like Kevin Jepsen, Matt Capps, Tommy Milone, etc.    With the team looking dead in the water, there’s no point and trading controllable assets for something like that.

    45 minutes ago, JD-TWINS said:

    I look at Lewis - CC - Farmer - Solano & Jeffers for our IF………..Castro - Taylor - Kirilloff for our OF……Buxton at DH………...these guys v. LH pitching are a decent line-up. This adds Lewis & Jeffers to the team that started this past Sunday. Those two, displacing Vazquez & Wallner are a big upgrade over Sunday v. LH starter.

    Kyle Garlick is not my favorite guy but if we are going to roster a RH hitter for corner OF play, he isn’t much less output than the rentals discussed above. Teoscar has stats lower than Kepler & he LEADS the AL in strikeouts……..can’t imagine going after him! Only 25-30% of pitchers are LH.

    Please focus on Pen!

    LH Relief……… Raley/Suter/Hand…………maybe Headrick internally?

    RH Relief………who ??? maybe Varland internally?

    I know this sounds nuts but I like the idea of Maeda starting in playoffs and either Ryan or Gray in a relief role. They have good stuff but seems to be for shorter stints. Again, sounds nuts but starting Maeda or Kuechel for 3-4 innings and following them with Gray, that’s a big contrast in styles, and he gets us through the 8th. Ryan would be similar.

    Really need the one reliever to hedge against the Thielbar/Stewart unknown health. Two arms would be preferred! Need to get through August-September!

    In my opinion any lineup with Buxton as DH is non-competitive.

    "Here’s a list of prospects who have exited the organization in the past two years: Chase Petty, Cade Povich, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Spencer Steer, Steve Hajjar, Sawyer Gipson-Long and Casey Legumina (and Yennier Cano, if you want to count him as a prospect). Steer and Cano are already productive big leaguers, and Encarnacion-Strand was recently promoted by the Reds." -- Do-Hyoung Park

    I am in the sell mode.

    Falvey has traded 17-20 (?) prospects during his reign (IMSM) and it has resulted in a .500 team 27-35 record against other teams above .500. Don't delude yourself into thinking this team is going anywhere.

    Forget the buys, sell free agents and live with youth. Re-examine minor league development program and hitting philosophy and training program to strengthen them. Find one strong SP during next winter's FA window as well as BP.

    When Cleveland traded Civale they essentially conceded the division to the Twins.  I would be sellers much the way Cleveland is.  They gave up a solid #3 starter and got a heck of a hitter back who is very close a full time spot in the majors.  I'd deal Sonny Gray for the biggest haul I could get.  Would the Reds part with a young OF??  I'd move Maeda if the deal was right.  I'd get Varland back up and in the rotation.  

    Anyone from the major league roster Polanco, Kepler, Gallo, Taylor, Gordon and including Larnach and Miranda I'd listen on,  Start the revamping of this roster NOW.

    If you can get Tommy Pham or Adam Duval for Joey Gallo or Max Kepler, then do it.

    If you can bring back Luke Raley for the leftover of Gallo or Kepler, do that.

    Activate Dallas Keuchel and go to a six man rotation. Caleb Thielbar is already back, and Brock Stewart will be soon.

    If you can get a boatload of prospects for Sonny Gray, do ahead and do that and Dallas Keuchel cn go into a five man rotation. 

    3 hours ago, USAFChief said:

    No, it most certainly cannot and will not be addressed internally. 

    Cannot is absolutely correct. Will not is questionable. I believe come 6:00 PM EST. Falvey will tell everyone that all is well. No need to panic. Reinforcements are on the way. 

    59 minutes ago, Sjoski said:

    Not sure how the Pohlads have handcuffed Falvey and Levine, 11M to Gallo, 200M to Correa, 73M to Lopez, etc, etc.....this FO just does not know how to trade well or who to dish the money out to. Personally I  hope the 2023 season blows up, (repeat of 2022) signaling a need for a change in leadership, FO and on the field. 

     

    I meant in regards to trades. The Pohlad's aren't the issue. At all. I was referring to last year's trade deadline. Was it enough for them to tell the front office to stand down and keep the status quo?

    Every other team in cental is dumping players and conceeding. And yet the Twins still look they cannot hold on and win this pathetic division.   Clap for Falvey and his wonderful team he constructed.   Barley .500 in the worst , sinking division in all of baseball.   This isn't Falveys 1st try....How many more years does he get??????  He took the top spot after 2016......MORE than enough time to construct more than this.  Bomba squad was a fluke , everything else has been bad.  He's had his time.   Time to fire him and fire Rocco as well.........Castros out at 3b the other day was as bad as anything even airhead Eddie Rosario ever did , yet no benching.    I gave up on Rocco long ago and he's not proven me wrong since.

    Unless Falvey can trade Pagan and Gallo for Ohtani and Ocuna he needs to go.

    6 hours ago, Linus said:

    Gray is not getting traded because a team would have to give us something better than the comp pick. That won’t happen for ten starts of Gray. 

    I looked up all the #31 to #39 (the most likely spot for a comp pick for Gray to be) draft picks from 2010 to 2020.  That's 99 selections over 11 years.  About 15% of these guys made any impact in the major leagues.  Personally, I don't like those odds.  I would much rather take a chance on a known player (AAA and ready to move up or a young, controllable ML player) than roll the dice at 8.5 to 1 odds.

    3 hours ago, Sjoski said:

    "Here’s a list of prospects who have exited the organization in the past two years: Chase Petty, Cade Povich, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Spencer Steer, Steve Hajjar, Sawyer Gipson-Long and Casey Legumina (and Yennier Cano, if you want to count him as a prospect). Steer and Cano are already productive big leaguers, and Encarnacion-Strand was recently promoted by the Reds." -- Do-Hyoung Park

    So what?

    No one has the magic dice that say who will sink and who will sail, such is life in sports.

    FWIW--is Cano becoming Pagan? He came on to preserve a 2-1 Orioles win against Philly last week (Bautista had the night off) He blew the save and the game. Sunday he came on in the 9th of a game the O's led 9-3...no pressure, struck out the side. Last night he came on in the 8th of a 4-1 O's lead. Immediately gave up a HR and then walked 2 of the next 3 hitters, forcing Hyde to bring in Bautista for a 5 out save.

    Lately, when it matters, Cano has flamed out. Inability to throw strikes besides right down the middle has really hurt Cano. He is no longer a reliable late set up man in close games. Twins hardly need anymore pitchers like that.




    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...