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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    This is the first I’ve heard concerns about losing him. The Twins have never had luck fixing guys with this level of control issues, I think it would be a long shot the Twins would ever call him up. So if he does get picked, added to a MLB roster and paid a MLB wage, good for him.
  2. nicksaviking
    TBD if Oakland will open up the wallet once they get a new stadium. Pittsburgh already failed in that regard. Every other team saw a payroll boost with a new stadium, at least for a while. Pittsburgh generously only had the 13th lowest payroll when they opened up their new stadium. It's been pretty much bottom five for the 20 years since. This is undoubtedly the worst ownership in MLB in my view. The other owners should not put up with what Nutting has done, it's a flat out embarrassment for an original and classic franchise and everyone turning a blind eye to what's happening there should be out of a job.
  3. nicksaviking
    I’m all for giving him a shot to tear it up in the bullpen, but I don’t know that he “earned” anything. He was pretty terrible last year despite his stuff. Not entirely his fault, the Twins had zero business pushing him as a starter most of the year. It was clear from the get go that his only path to success was in the pen.
  4. nicksaviking
    Thankfully he won’t pitch in Cincinnati much. It’s significantly lower everywhere else.
  5. nicksaviking
    Well if his value is equal to, Lee, Duran and Arraez, that would suggest Toronto's back up catcher is better than anyone the Twins already have. Bold take you have there.
  6. nicksaviking
    For a guy who's only year as the starter saw him put up a .640 OPS? The value you seem to be putting on him would make him the Twins best player. The Blue Jays would ask for one of Lee or Duran, then hear a dial tone. Not that I really have interest in him anyway.
  7. nicksaviking
    I really like Joe Ryan, but I rarely like 33-year-old pitchers. Not dis-similar to the Kyle Gibson situation, but I think the Twins already have Ryan under contract for pretty much exactly as long as they want to have him under contract.
  8. nicksaviking
    Since when do the Twins give big contracts to free agent veteran pitchers? I like the contract structure listed above. The first four years are a huge commitment, but as the team clearly looks to be using low cost young players for at least the next couple of years, it won't be a problem until MAYBE year four. And ONLY year four. After that, the contract in comparison to the total spending won't be any different than Joe Mauer's, and Joe Mauer's was never once an issue.
  9. nicksaviking
    I don't want the White Sox to get useful players, but I had no interest. The Twins don't need to fill in the back of the rotation, I'd rather go with whomever is healthy among the Maeda/Mahle/Ober/Winder/Varland/SWR crowd than a guy like Clevinger. I'm sure they will sign some AAAA vet they can stick in St. Paul all summer in case of an emergency, but otherwise, they should only be looking at starters who can slot in above Gray and Ryan. From my estimation, there's only two or three of those such free agents this year.
  10. nicksaviking
    I'd be concerned about the dramatic drop in power last year, not to mention they already have multiple guys who likely need the 1B/DH spots. But I guess, if they miss on the shortstops and Rondon, they really have nowhere else to spend their money, so go for it. It would almost certainly be an overpay, but you don't get a trophy for allotting your payroll the most appropriately. The Twins have had quite a bit of success with these long-in-the-tooth legacy type hitters in the past.
  11. nicksaviking
    https://www.mlb.com/dodgers/news/dodgers-needs-in-2022-23-offseason The Dodgers too aren’t expected to go after the four shortstops. So far, the rumors this off season are working in the Twins favor.
  12. nicksaviking
    The fact that the Yankees have been tied to just about every top free agent EXCEPT for the four shortstops is a great sign. Seems likely they're all-systems-go with their prospects.
  13. nicksaviking
    Seems to me the rule of thumb is, that if I'd eagerly make the deal, it's way too good for the Twins. I'm not sure how much I'd actually want to give up for only two more years of control of a guy who's only year being the starting catcher was outright awful though.
  14. nicksaviking
    Boras won't be doing anything Correa doesn't want him to do. If Correa wants to squeeze every dime out of the highest bidder by signing late, Boras will help him do that. If Correa wants to go somewhere particular but get as much money as he can from that club, Boras will help him do that. If Correa's top priority is getting the best deal he can early in the off season so he doesn't have to think about it all winter, he'll help him do that too. When you pay an agent that much, he's more than happy to take the blame for any unpopular prerogative the player may have.
  15. nicksaviking
    Rod Carew was putting up an OPS over .900 in his prime. These aren't remotely similar players
  16. nicksaviking
    Mark Grace and Joh Olerud had career OPS's over .800, Olerud's was well above .800. Not to mention they were two great defensive first basemen. I'm really not trying to 'power shame' Arraez, his ceiling seems closer to Dave Magadan.
  17. nicksaviking
    Right, I don't really care to buy out free agent years. His natural arbitration schedule works for me, and with his lack of power, it will probably be pretty affordable so an extension seems unnecessary.
  18. nicksaviking
    I like Arraez, but I think it would be a bad move to tie up the DH position long term for a guy who couldn't even put up an .800 OPS in a career year. It tends to only take one down year for the welcome to wear thin for slap-hitters. Three more years sounds about right, unless they get a good offer for him.
  19. nicksaviking
    Corner OF is near the bottom of my offseason wish list.
  20. nicksaviking
    The Twins have multiple starters in similar boats. I'm just fine waiting for Maeda, Mahle, Ober and Winder to show their stuff and evaluate their velocity and stamina in spring training. Preferably this wait-and-see plan would also entail getting at least one more rotation lock via free agency to join Ryan and Gray. Two more would be nicer. Edit: Ok, it's been awhile since I looked, and outside of the three HOF starters who certainly won't come here, I don't know that there's more than two, maybe three free agent pitchers I'd want. Two of those four rostered pitchers better have their act together come April.
  21. nicksaviking
    Yeah, I was thinking if Marwin too. Whether it was Farmer or Urshela, I didn’t peg this player as a starter anyway. But dang, the Twins and Reds sharing an office these days? They do a lot of swapping.
  22. nicksaviking
    In a vacuum I don't like it, Urshela has value. But since we're not in a vacuum, there are plenty of signs that portend this is a great move. This team has so much available money to spend in free agency now. I mean, they have large-market kind of money to spend. Also, it should be noted that moving him all but hands the job to the young player who Carlos Correa appeared to adore the most. A player who he all but demanded not be traded at the deadline.
  23. nicksaviking
    Funny how if you do those rankings by USEFULLNESS, Urshela is probably 2nd only to Arraez. With that lens, I keep him, but only if he's willing and able to do the Eduardo Escobar/Marwin Gonzalez super utility bit, because I don't want him dedicated solely to 3B next year. Also, if the Twins absolutely won't get one of the top four shortstops, then there's no reason to clear payroll, and, he'd probably be my 5th choice to actually man the position. Way ahead of any of the other free agent shortstops anyway. He was capable of playing the position in New York.
  24. nicksaviking
    Maybe, but anyone interested in Kepler is probably interested in Hanigar themselves. Unless the Twins eat salary, the buyer's on the hook for 9.5M with Kepler while the hypothetical AAV of Hanigar was $13M, who I think is the significantly better player.
  25. nicksaviking
    Yeah, I really do like Hanigar, but he struggles to stay on the field. I could see the league cooling on him though because of that and perhaps he'll end up needing to do a 1-year make-good deal to rebuild his value.
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