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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    It would seem to me that Flexen's extremely poor strikeout numbers are more likely than not an omen of a quick decline in performance. I'm all for trading Kepler, but assuming this guy is then by default given a rotation spot over Ober, Varland or SWR, count me out. If they'd plan on putting him in the pen, then, sure, I guess they can give it a shot, though I suspect trading Kepler for a middle reliever would probably draw heavy criticism from many corners.
  2. nicksaviking
    The pitcher demands are crazy, and neither are attractive to me, but Bassitt is nearly four years older than Rodon. Six or seven years of the superior pitcher sounds better than four of the aging guy with a declining strike out rate. Pass on both, but I mean it wouldn’t NOT be exciting to sign Rodon initially.
  3. nicksaviking
    *****Moderator Note***** Knock it off with the political propaganda.
  4. nicksaviking
    After seeing the contracts average players like Taijuan Walker, Jameson Taillon and Brandon Nimmo got, I think the baseball community just has to accept the new reality and adjust their mindsets about free agency. These players are not going to get easier to sign. Do it now, it might be much pricier even next year.
  5. nicksaviking
    Last I was aware winning the lowly AL Central doesn’t win a WS trophy, so I have no idea why they’d measure themselves against their division mates. And they have no one to blame but themselves for their TV deal. They tried that misguided Twins TV or whatever it was with no marketable content other than the baseball games and no broadcast commitments from the most needed providers in their market. Then they were forced to crawl back to FSN and beg for scraps. They better have learned from that. Learned A LOT.
  6. nicksaviking
    I think I’d only want Swanson if he does a short deal, maybe just to hit the market again next year. The guy is on the verge of contending for the league strikeout crown. I think his bat will age poorly.
  7. nicksaviking
    I think five years from now we’ll look at a $30M contract for a star player as a bargain. Maybe even an be year from now.
  8. nicksaviking
    Inflation or not, the prices won’t be going down. As usual the owners will past the cost down to us, the consumer. And if that makes you NOT want to sign big time free agents, too bad, because the owners all want to compete financially against each other. So when other teams sign these players and mark up prices for consumers, the Twins will too, just to keep pace on that end of the business.
  9. nicksaviking
    Would he really come back if he was going to pitch in St. Paul? He’d be 9th in my starting pitching pecking order bringing up the rear after Varland, SWR and Winder.
  10. nicksaviking
    For the most part, the young players on the team played well when they got a chance, and young players tend to improve. I think it's more about getting the vets who no longer contribute off of the team. Addition by subtraction. Goodbye Archer, Bundy, Sanchez and Sano (maybe Kepler and Polanco too).
  11. nicksaviking
    Catchers tend to bore me, but if they want to sign one who isn't a blackhole in the lineup, that's more than fine with me.
  12. nicksaviking
    Yeah, that seems about right. I can't see it working with the Padres since they have a 3B who thinks he should be the shortstop and a SS who agreed to a mega pre-arb deal after the Padres told him he could move back to short instead of playing the outfield. Makes sense they'd have more interest in Turner who was assumed to play another position soon. The Giants are the scary team; they'll be motivated. But man, looking at their roster, I'm not sure Correa would want to go there if he's looking to compete soon. They got one young stud starter and no one else of note in the rotation, and the lineup is made up mostly of grey-beards and uninspiring journeymen. I get it, no one's happy with the Twins recent performances, but an objective outsider looking at the two rosters would almost certainly give the edge to the Twins.
  13. nicksaviking
    I'm all for getting the best player available at #5, but if they go with a bat, it kind of feels like a year they'd lean toward a prep bat, based on where the Twins current offensive prospects are sitting in the system.
  14. nicksaviking
    Outside of Verlander, has any pitcher signed that you can feel confident about giving you 120 good innings? There's just not that type of pitcher available this year. Quintana, Taillon and Walker have been average to terrible the years leading up to 2022. Few things are as frustrating as seeing a veteran pitcher have one bounce back year and the league assumes that's the new normal. It's not; history shows they're much more likely to be average to terrible again. I'd be more than happy if the Twins never gave out a multi year deal to one of those kinds of pitchers ever again.
  15. nicksaviking
    Well the good news regarding the Judge and Turner signings, is that both players turned down significantly contracts to go to their preferred location. If Correa does truly want to stay with the Twins, that could be a good omen.
  16. nicksaviking
    I don't know. Rafael Montero is getting 11.5M per year, and mind-blowingly, Jamison Taillon and Taijuan Walker are getting 17M and 18M per year. I think Hendricks salary is probably below market rate right now.
  17. nicksaviking
    How did the Twins, Mariners and Tigers get in the Comp A pool? I know the picks are minorly determined by winning percentage so that MIGHT explain why they're ahead of the Guardians, but how did those teams sneak ahead of the Pirates, Royals and Orioles?
  18. nicksaviking
    With Judge off the board, Correa could go today. If he doesn't, I think we need to presume Correa's camp is going to drag it out. If that's the case, the Twins should instead make Bogaerts the best offer he's ever going to get.
  19. nicksaviking
    They were never getting deGrom or Verlander. Rodon wants a six year deal. None of the other starting pitchers who've signed are better than Gray and Ryan. No interest in guys like Taillon or Walker.
  20. nicksaviking
    As if anyone needed any other reason to cheer against the Yankees; here's hoping Judge picks the Giants.
  21. nicksaviking
    Might be some disconnect, but I never use WAR to advocate for a player, I purposefully stick to offensive stats and let people's defensive opinions lay as they will. And I have no inclination to hand Max Kepler a job as his bat has fallen off of a cliff.
  22. nicksaviking
    I kind of agree that it is. oWAR seems more reliable to me. Defensive stats need to get their act together. Torii Hunter went from being the worst RF in the league in Detroit to putting up a 3.5 UZR as a 39-year-old at Target Field, meanwhile, Max Kepler's playing the exact same position in the same ballpark and had a -1.1 UZR last year. Does not compute. Then if you look at DRS, it has them the complete opposite. DRS says Jose Miranda is a poor First baseman and a league average Third baseman, while UZR says he's a good First baseman and a terrible Third baseman. And both URZ and DRS vary way more than they should year-to-year. At this point, I don't think we're anywhere near to being close to accurately labeling defense with numerical values.
  23. nicksaviking
    Well if he's actually there, then I have to think there's a decent chance he wants to get this over with sooner rather than later.
  24. nicksaviking
    Even if his numbers catch up to his batted ball data, it's not going to help him put the ball over the fence more. The guy's lost almost all of his power since 2019. His slugging percentage is so poor recently, that the removal of the shift and any other changes that may benefit him are going to need to somehow push is on base percentage well above .400 just to achieve and OPS of .800, which really should be what you're looking for in a corner outfielder. He's a slap hitter, who barely hits. The only regular player who had fewer XBH than Kepler last year, was Gilberto Celestino.
  25. nicksaviking
    I doubt Correa is there. But I'll bet Boras would pick up the tab for an extra opt-out and bill Correa for it later.
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