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Minny505

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Everything posted by Minny505

  1. Minny505
    Harsh ? If he can become a lefty masher, he has a 4-5 year career ahead of him.
  2. Minny505
    Loved me some Shane Mack. One of the most underappreciated players in Twins history. I don't think his value was clearly understood in his day as a big part of his value was patient ABs and very good defensive play.
  3. Minny505
    Rooker is a perfectly serviceable COF. He's as fast as Kiriloff and runs better routes. A little quicker first step would do him wonders. But as a lefty-mashing, weak-side platoon COF, he's a great fit. Unless the brass give Miranda the LF gig out of ST, the Twins would benefit from having two RHB COF for platooning.
  4. Minny505
    If you consider Bailey Ober part of the youth movement in our pitching staff, then you really should consider Dobnak the same as he is only 6 months older. Let's not forget that, at close to the same age as Ober, Dobnak was holding his own thru his first two seasons of of 18 starts while Ober barely got himself past High A. The peripherals thru those first 2 seasons of 18 starts were similar, if not better, than those of Ober during his first MLB season, while being younger. I will not let recency bias with a young MLB pitcher who has had two split seasons of success, where hitters had an offseason to adjust and still struggled, dictate my view of Dobnak's future. It can inform, but not dictate.
  5. Minny505
    What part of the observation is wrong?
  6. Minny505
    On the flip side, Fangraphs has six Twins prospects on their Top 100 list, with four of them being SP. From their evaluation, you would likely say they have the best SP future of any team not nicknamed Marlins. FWIW, I've always found the MLB list the poorest of the Big 3, with Fangraphs being the most accurate as of late, overtaking Baseball America. Side Note: I think this is because Fangraphs (namely Eric Longenhagen) uses more of the available performance metrics in his grading, vs the others that more heavily weigh traditional scouting. As those metrics have become more accurate and proliferate, they have been able to really crush it over the past few years with their lists.
  7. Minny505
    The Littell decision still stumps me. He had to have had an ugly run-in with someone in a power position in the org that essentially got him DFA'd. Nothing else makes sense. Anderson, Baddoo, Wade...even though they hurt, I still understand the reasoning. Not Littell though. Anyone with any insight able to help me sleep better at night?
  8. Minny505
    It's certainly impressive to see the Twins with all this top-end SP in the high minors. They will likely have 4 SP in the BA Top 100. That's roughly 10% of the top SP prospects in MLB play for a Twins affiliate. Bullish.
  9. Minny505
    Adding a solid RP thru FA is fine, but 4-6 seems excessive. Deep, elite bullpens (sans mid-2010s Yankees) are built on failed, converted starters from within the org and trades, not FAs. It seems more often than not, that bullpens built on FAs are trainwrecks with the best being mediocre.
  10. Minny505
    As of this moment, a I expect a Garver/Donaldson/Sano rotation at DH...with a pinch of Arraez.
  11. Minny505
    Teams that are below the floor usually have rosters filled with pre-arb players. An easy solution to help get to the floor would be to raise the league minimum salary. Teams at the soft ceiling would be less impacted by this than teams under the floor.
  12. Minny505
    Signing Story, then trading Lewis for a stud SP, such as Zac Gallen or Luis Castillo, may be the best path forward for this team. If not him, I'd rather try to swing a trade for Paul DeJong (Cardinals), Ramon Urias (Orioles), or Taylor Walls (Rays), than sign a FA.
  13. Minny505
    Dallas Braden, who is about as much of an A's insider as you'll find in the media, mentioned on Starting 9 that the A's have strongly considered moving Champman to SS so they could add another bat at 3B. If he can handle it, I'm interested in him as a stopgap. I would guess he would be a league average SS on defense based on his 3B skills.
  14. Minny505
    I've rarely heard of a team refusing to sign a player to such an extremely team-friendly deal.
  15. Minny505
    A's do seem to value multiple B/C prospects over one A prospect. Probably has to with B/C prospects in volume turning into decent MLB players that do not get too expensive in arbitration. That bodes well for a team like the Twins who are literally bleeding C level prospects. This would be an excellent trade partner to get something in return for those B/C prospects, when holding onto them all results in us losing some thru DFA, low-level one-for-one swaps, and Rule 5, for nothing, due to roster crunch.
  16. Minny505
    I would love some Alex Wood on this team. He is a career "awesome or hurt" pitcher. We just saw Atlanta win a WS with a team riddled with high risk, high reward players. You have enough of them on your team and play those that are giving you that current high reward. Teams with high floor, low ceiling players, usually can't get over the hump. Recent Cardinals and Mets teams are a good example of this. Phillies too.
  17. Minny505
    I wish I could give out five likes for this quote. So awesome.
  18. Minny505
    There has to be a miscommunication somewhere with the source and the authors of the The Athletic article right? The holdup has to be $100mil total IN incentives...not $100mil total INCLUDING incentives. Right? Right?
  19. Minny505
    I wonder what the Twins offered. This contract seems extremely reasonable. It's definitely not the kind of contract I thought would keep him from testing FA.
  20. Minny505
    When it comes to acquiring mid and low tier SP, it looks like one commonality is that they have a higher success rate when they disregard the market's concern for quantity of IP and instead focus on quality. IP Concern: -Pineda -Maeda -Hill -Shoemaker No IP Concern: -Odorizzi -Lynn -Happ -Perez 75% success rate vs 25%. It's a small sample, but it's fairly consistent. Hopefully this FO is looking at the same track record and using it to identify this offseason's potential acquisitions and what to give up to get them.
  21. Minny505
    Right there with you Mark. It's unpopular, but I'm so down for rolling it back with Simmons. If you read outside Twins Land, he is considered a prime buy-low, bounce-back candidate. Plus, he's an incredible artist in the field. It makes watching Twins baseball more enjoyable. He's not my first pick, but if the team spends big on FA pitchers and can't swing a trade for a SS, Simmons is my first pick from the one-year-contract guys.
  22. Minny505
    Segura, is a stud, but his days of playing SS daily are behind him. It would not be any different than moving Polanco back there. If that's the level of defense we want, we might as well just move Polanco back to SS and make space for Miranda...not trade for Segura.
  23. Minny505
    I wonder if the low o-swing% has to do with pitching in Colorado. I have played baseball at both 6000ft (Albuquerque) and at 900ish ft (Minny & Phoenix) elevation. When at higher elevation, pitchers tended to try to beat me with gas. They filled the strike zone. Breaking pitches were thrown infrequently, and if in the zone, tended to get punished. Now I play at about 1000ft after five years at elevation. The adjustment to breaking pitches at lower elevation has taken longer than expected. Guys throw so much more junk here and nibble, constantly trying to get you chase. That was a new experience for me after so many years in ABQ. I would suspect Gray could find that skill getting out of Colorado. It's much easier to get guys to chase when you can throw a pitch with 10 inches of movement instead of 7...and you also don't risk throwing cement mixers as often.
  24. Minny505
    I did think that was strange. Just about any incentive ladder that maxes out around $30mil a season seems reasonable based on his performance when healthy. The holdup has to be the escalation of those incentives. The Twins of course would prefer something parabolic, while Buxton is going to want something logorithmic. The answer lies more towards the linear if fair compensation for both sides is to found.
  25. Minny505
    The ChiSox not offering a QO to Rodon is concerning. I'd tkae a flyer for one year around $15mil, but that likely won't be enough.
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