twinstalker
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Everything posted by twinstalker
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Happy Carlos Correa Day!
twinstalker replied to Eric Blonigen's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Isn't Correa signed through 2028, so there are just three payments to be made? If the first is today, the third is in 2027. -
It seems like a good result to get a catcher for free, neither having to pay $150k the catcher signed for nor $100K, of course.
- 85 replies
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- daniel susac
- aaron rozek
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LOL. Why in the world would you think someone would take Kala'i Rosario? His hitting predictors are cr*p, he can't play defense, and he can't run. "While he's not quite ready for the majors..." This would seem a sarcastic not quite, as he almost certainly won't be ready for the majors, I'd say ever. The only time good minors hitting lines translate to the majors are when the actual hitting predictors are good. They're horrible for Rosario, as has been shown several times, and he won't be a factor. He's Yunior Severino. Only the Pirates might not get that totally, but they are savvy enough to know he can't be played. Rockies have DePodesta in charge now. It seems the Twins are back to being among the worst in data analytics.
- 48 replies
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- cj culpepper
- kyler fedko
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They don't know how. I should start trading stocks to make millions, too.
- 139 replies
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- joe ryan
- pablo lopez
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Why The Twins Shouldn’t Sign Rhys Hoskins
twinstalker replied to Jason Wang's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
No. This is wrong. If the Twins sign Hoskins, facts don't matter. He will hit lights out. And then I will b*tch about him when he doesn't and ask what happened because he was good that one season before I finally say something nasty about the Pohlads. -
From memory he got a chance to play ball at a small school, and I don't think even that lasted, as he just wasn't very good (pro-wise). And that's the first and most important thing I thought of: age matters. Whatever he did while being scouted means nothing. I highly doubt he's anything, and for a team crying poor, $500k is a ton to pay for a prima facie too old prospect that has no track record. The FCL is where you should play as an 18 yr old if you have any chance, and I doubt he's starting there. Most likely they start him in DOSL, and he struggles there, and it's a waste of money. Twins system has been reduced to gambling on longshots. All this with no successful hitting development in the system.
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Taking Stock of Minnesota Twins' 2024 Draft Class
twinstalker replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
LOL. Kyle DeBarge was a 1st rd pick. His stock is not remotely "up." After not impressing at all at low A, he got promoted to A+ in 2025. That's the level that college first rounders should start unless the idea is to get their feet wet with a few low A ABs. Like Culpepper did. DeBarge couldn't really handle low A, DeBarge also couldn't handle A+ in his age 21/22 season this past year, putting up the same poor hitting stats he did at low A after being drafted. This all fits with the scouting report the Twins should have read prior to drafting him: he couldn't hit major conference pitching in college. Overall his K rate is 22.6% in leagues where his age is a bit old for a top prospect. And that 22.6% is too high for his profile (and age and level). It was a bad pick, and it's turned out exactly as you'd expect. If/when he makes it to the majors, it won't be in any way impactful except in the negative. So, if you knew how bad the Twins drafting of him (and he was ranked much lower on the consensus draft board), you might be generous and say his stock is the same. But most people were okay with the pick, in which case his stock should be way down. It's one of the many disasters of this Twins drafting regime.- 22 replies
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- kaelen culpepper
- dasan hill
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The irony is twofold: 1. It's not youth, it's $$$. 2. There is a whole bunch of youth, but hardly any of it has a chance. Jenkins, Keaschall. Zebby, sort of. they have a good chance. Gabe G. and Culpepper have small chances. I can't think of any other hitters who could be good. I'm sure many people can, but they'd be wrong. The pitching pipeline seemed to break with injuries to nearly all of them and the Morris/Lewis collapse.
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Projecting the 2029 Minnesota Twins Lineup
twinstalker replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
LOL.- 13 replies
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- byron buxton
- walker jenkins
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There must be something wrong with Blaze Jordan. His slash, age, and K rate project well. He struggled at AAA after the trade, but he'd hit well AAA for Boston. He was 22 with a .928 ops and 11% K rate at AA and Bos AAA was .820 and 10.5%. His K rate after the trade AAA was 12% with a low BABIP. Nothing says star or anything, but he should be a legit player, unless... ...there are other issues we don't know about. It could be as simple as defense, it could be extracurricular stuff, I suppose. Pintar strikes out way too much for his age and level. Rumfield simply hasn't hit well enough for age/level in those Yankee bandboxes. Blaze is interesting but a Rule V has to start and end in the majors. He's not ready, so we'll see if the Twins have totally given in to the mockery of what they've become.
- 47 replies
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- andrew pintar
- blaze jordan
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Well, yeah to the title question. Where have you been?
- 6 replies
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- derek shelton
- derek falvey
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First sentence very true. After that, very false.
- 62 replies
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- trevor larnach
- ryan jeffers
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First, the distress about Larnach was only appropriate four years ago when it was obvious he wasn't more than replacement level going forward. Second, despite the above, he actually is much better than some guys at his position. Corollary: see salary. Third, why in the world are people arguing about what the Twins should do this coming season? They've given up. The fact they don't explicitly say they've given up shouldn't fool you. Gleeman, Bonnes, and the writers wouldn't help themselves by stating this any more than they already have, but it shouldn't be that big a leap for the semi-intelligent Twins fan. Until the Twins address their true issues, it's just not going to matter.
- 62 replies
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- trevor larnach
- ryan jeffers
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Coveted, yes, but they're not getting anything good for him. They could get someone who has a great slash line in the minors but has underlying statistical issues that many people here ignore. Kala'i Rosario is an extreme example of this, but it will probably be someone more like Owen Caissie or Dalton Rushing, guys whose similar issues are less obvious and covered up by some of the dunderheads who rate them highly. Teams (most of them, anyhow) know who their real future regulars/stars are, and the Twins aren't getting them by sending out Lopez' salary, as good as he's been. Ryan would get that. But here's a possible deal for Lopez that would be really good for the Twins: Lopez for Yankee's SS/OF Dax Kilby. Basically, the Yankees know he's far away, they can probably take on Lopez' salary, and Kilby has a real shot at being good. Straight out of high school, he was placed in the low A FSL (pitcher's league) and struck out only 14% of the time while putting one of the nicest slash lines in the entire draft class at age 18. If the Twins were smart, that would be their target for Lopez. Aiming too high or going for guys with high K rates (Caissie) or guys who were old for their leagues and played in systems with only bandboxes (Rushing) is probably more likely. I doubt the Twins have someone like Kilby at the top of their list for Lopez, and he should be. I doubt they get better.
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I know, let's take our only good player besides Buxton, one who has only six years of team control, and trade him! It would be the star on the tree, though. The tree of not knowing in the least what we're doing.
- 23 replies
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- byron buxton
- joe ryan
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If the Twins can get one okay not good prospect for Lopez, they do it, because the money is the main concern here, not future talent. Unfortunately. If the Twins prioritized rebuilding, they'd trade Ryan, but that's not where their heads are. The periods 1980-86, 1993-2000, and 2011-2016 were not just losing periods, but truly awful baseball. Pretty sure we started a new one in 2024 plagued by horrible ownership and some front office ineptitude (hitting, drafting). edit: I left out 1971-75, which had a mix of mostly veteran HoFers (Harmon, Tony O., Carew, Blyleven, and Kaat) transitioning into a new, fun class (Carew, Hisle, Bostock, Goltz, Campbell) that ended the period and went on to winning records 3 of the remaining four years of the '70s. The 1971-75 period only seemed really bad because of the great years before and the long playoff drought to 1987, Or maybe it was Darwin, Soderholm, Kusick, Thompson, Terrell, McKay, Mitterwald, Woodson, Eddie Bane, and Bluegill Hughes that made it seem bad., But they were .500 or better in three of the five years. Fun fact: while the 1970s was considered a down decade for the Twins, only three of those years did they finish below .500: 1971 (74 wins), 1974 (76 wins), and 1978 (73 wins).
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Just wondering in all seriousness: What's the point of something like this? When you have no chance of winning, what's the point of worrying about what scrapheap relievers the Twins get? This has zero snark behind it. It would seem there's nothing important but that which can truly improve things in the long run. I understand that the detrimental effect of becoming a laughingstock is important to avoid, and that's probably reason enough to write about whether Jason Foley is better than Michael Tonkin, but it just feels like a waste of time.
- 50 replies
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- dauri moreta
- jason foley
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When I was in grad school our department was, let's just say, very friendly with each other. A few years later, reunited the day after one's wedding, we were all playing volleyball with our beers near our feet. I reached for the closest one and asked "is this my beer?" The gal friend behind me slowly shook her head and said, "How could it possibly matter?" I've always found that incredibly amusing. I knew immediately what she was saying and that she was right, of course. Just like I know that would be the perfect answer to this article's title.
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Which makes them non-interesting. I didn't read as far as seeing what other hitters would have been considered, but I'd guess there were better candidates. I'd keep,Olivar and De Andrade over those two, though I doubt either would be taken. I think Culpepper gets taken unless teams have injury concerns.
- 50 replies
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- john klein
- andrew morris
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So many to drop, so little time. Twins are obviously, I hope, trying to trade them, thereby keeping them on the roster for the time being. But I do wonder how they could leave Culpepper off unless they know for sure they're adding him after dealing with these guys one way or another. I've claimed for a couple of years now that he needs TJS, so maybe that's playing a part, too. Very happy people seem to understand why Rosario isn't kept. I have yet to read page 2 of the comments, though.
- 50 replies
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- john klein
- andrew morris
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