PECOTA was off on projecting the AL Central by an average of 13 games last season. Forgive me for not putting any value into their projections.
PECOTA 2024 AL Central:
MIN 88 wins, actual 82 wins
CLE 83 wins, actual 92 wins
DET 75 wins, actual 86 wins
KC 70 wins, actual 86 wins
CWS 66 wins, actual 41 wins