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dbminn

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Everything posted by dbminn

  1. dbminn
    Gonsalves must've had an incredible day charting pitches
  2. dbminn
    I'd be fine with sending Sano down for a couple of weeks. He's pressing both at the plate and in the field.He doesn't look mentally prepared.Polanco, Dozier and Vargas have earned their starting positions for now.AAA is exactly the place to work on getting his rhythm back. Take a look at Rosario and Vargas. Both went to Rochester and significantly improved their plate discipline. (Rosario still isn't walking a lot but his swing and contact rates are way better).It's not the end of the world to work through a few issues away from big league stadiums.Sano, IMO, is going to have a great career. He just needs to get his act together.
  3. dbminn
    There is still a lot to like with the Twins MiLB prospects.
  4. dbminn
    I've said for the past year, the team will be good once the prospects figure it out. They're closer now and they're still young. There's depth at every position except C,SS and SP. If you don't want to enjoy the ups and downs with this team from here on out, it's your problem.
  5. dbminn
    True, spycake. Having Susac also gives the Brewers negotiating flexibility and leverage with any potential Lucroy trade partners right now. They don't look nearly as desperate, now that they have a mlb-ready C. They also don't need to get a C in return - should open up negotiations.
  6. dbminn
    Nice article, Thrylos. Pretty clear the Twins had drafts somewhere between bad and horrible in 2008, 2010 and 2011. (Rosario still has a chance to make the 2010 draft look a bit better). I don't think WAR is a good evaluator from 2012-present. By WAR, only 9% of the cumulative average value in Thrylos' chart has come from players drafted beginning in 2012. The Twins will soon have five players from the 2012 draft on their roster (Chargois being the last of the five). All have a chance to contribute in the coming years. We can't say either way at this point whether that draft was a failure.
  7. dbminn
    I was talking shutdowns to meltdowns (percentage), which does not depend on number of opportunities. My observation stands on that metric. Yes, WPA depends on opportunity and leverage. He still doesn't match up to Britton and others over the last two seasons. The original comment was meant to tweak folks about the myth of the closer. Chapman has great stuff and the Cubs need that to win this year. And he's a proven closer. I just had to respond to righteous indignance.
  8. dbminn
    Yeah, he strikes out a lot of people. He's up on the list but others have been more dominant. Britton, Jansen, Familia, Harris, Davis have all had better SD/MD ratios and WPA this year. Over the past two years, add Ziegler, Cody Allen and Kimbrel to the others. If you want to say all of these relievers are dominant, fine. He's currently at the end of the list. Even Hector Rondon of the Cubs ranks higher in these categories over the last two seasons. Chapman is more proven and will close. As for Chapman, I think he throws hard and he's an established closer. He also has shot more holes in the roof of his garage than any other reliever on this list.
  9. dbminn
    From the original list, Wheeler, Hildenberger and Palka would get some interest. It wouldn't be awful if the Twins kept these three since they are close to the majors. The Twins need pitching depth and Palka could compete for a 4th OF spot in the next year. I think a better way to look at minor league trade options is to consider those that are "off the table". IMO: BerriosChargoisGonsalvesI'd also be reluctant to trade: GordonL. WadeKirilloffThe first list includes those that will help the team currently being built. The other three are young and should only be traded if the Twins get controllable, major-league ready talent at positions of need (SS, C, SP). All of the others should be considered tradable, depending on what's offered. My lists are just off the top of my head. Feel free to add or subtract.
  10. dbminn
    Chapman could become one of the most dominating RP in the game. He hasn't yet, not by any metric either last year or this year: ERA, FIP, WAR, WPA, Shutdown/Meltdown %. As of now, he's a proven closer - not the most dominant.
  11. dbminn
    Seems the Cubs believe in the myth of a "proven closer".
  12. dbminn
    Ryan left some other parting gifts that have to be intriguing (I liked the earlier use of this word) to any prospective GM: A young, talented OF that's ready to stick in the majorsA bunch of power hittersSome veteran pieces to trade, more than a few still under controlA budget that will have increased flexibility each year moving forwardMinor league talent and depth, both for trades and developmentThe problem is, the Pohlads have been left to deliver the parting gifts. Otherwise, I think anyone in the potential GM pool would be excited to take the job.
  13. dbminn
    To me, tanking means dumping productive veterans to ensure draft picks. There is no reason to "tank'. I would only trade/DFA players that are unproductive and/or blocking prospects (Nolasco, Plouffe, Millone, D. Santana). There are only three players who could legitimately be on the Twins roster right now: Berrios, Chargois and Polanco. There's room for the pitchers without dumping productive players. Polanco can be called up in September. Be patient trading productive veterans and get good value for them (E. Santana, Dozier, Nunez/Escobar, Suzuki, Grossman). There is no catcher to replace Suzuki this year and Grossman is a better fit for part-time OF than any prospect. Dozier is the team leader, a productive player and he has a reasonable contract. All of these players require some value in return. They can remain at least until the offseason. Santana and Nunez are the best options for a meaningful deadline trade. The current starting OF averages 23 years old. Add Sano (23), Vargas (25) and Escobar (27) and you already have a really young lineup. Baseball is more craft than art. I'd rather see a few productive veterans on the club while these youngsters develop. Polanco, Palka, Hildenberger, Wheeler and Beresford can all get some MLB time in September.
  14. dbminn
    Some of the younger hitters are putting up nice stats. Lamonte Wade looks really good at the plate from the video I've seen of him. Kirilloff and Jaylin Davis seem to be taking to pro ball. And what's the word on Arraez? Is he a serious prospect?
  15. dbminn
    Great article, Seth. "It's Time!" is a fitting title for both the minor league prospects and also for the young players settling in with the Twins. Amidst all the woulda/coulda/shoulda of the past and speculation about the future, there are some good things happening right now. The Twins hit rock bottom on June 25th at 23-51. Since then, they've managed a reasonable 12-8 record. They're winning with better pitching as well as hot hitting by Suzuki and Dozier. But the best thing happening is the performance of the youngsters. Since returning to the bigs: Vargas .344/.462/.813 (recalled July 4th) Kepler .232/.306/.483 (recalled June 1st) Rosario .357/.364/.571 (recalled July 3rd) Sano .268/.359/.482 (returned from DL July 1st) Small sample size, but it looks like it's time for them to get established. I've really enjoyed watching them develop since their return. I'm ready for Berrios and Chargois to join them in the very near future.
  16. dbminn
    Giolito is 47 days younger than Berrios. Berrios had an ERA north of 10 after four starts. He wasn't ready to take a spot.
  17. dbminn
    Radke as a development model ended 3-4 years ago. Twins have plenty of strikeout pitchers moving through the system, both as relievers and starters. Berrios, Jay and Gonzalez are all younger than the average starter in their respective leagues. Each has given up plenty of walks along the way. Duffey is in the rotation while learning how to control his fastball. He keeps his spot because he has a bona fide strikeout pitch. I believe he will improve but there will be some more ugly starts before he settles in. Meyer has been stuck in AAA because his control has been awful. There is a point where control has to be the focus. He was much better in limited time this year at AAA. Too bad he's injured again. Berrios and Chargois got a cup of coffee with the Twins. They looked like deer in headlights. They're getting a bit more seasoning in AAA but both will be back in the near future. The Twins have some pitchers who still look like Radke. All MiLB organizations have them. They are not the top prospects because the Twins have moved their philosophy out of the stone age.
  18. dbminn
    Supposedly, the Mets are in the market for Lucroy. If the Mets are successful, package some combination of Santana and/or Nunez and/or prospect(s) for D'Arnaud. The Mets have lost Harvey, and Syndergaard and Matz have bone spurs. They need SP depth. The Mets aren't hitting a lick either. Nunez could help them.
  19. dbminn
    IMO, there are only three prospects that need MLB playing time this year: Chargois, Berrios and Polanco. Others can get some time as September call-ups. Trade Millone and/or Nolasco, even for a PTBNL. Berrios takes the spot in the rotation.Hopefully, Plouffe heals before the end of August. Trade him for a young, low-level prospect.Trade Abad for a decent return. Promote Rogers to back-end LHRP. Recall Chargois.Offer Nunez and Dozier for trade. Need to get a very good offer for either of these players - they are under control and are proven professionals. Recall Polanco if a trade is made.Listen to offers for Suzuki. It's okay if he stays if the offers are weak. Let Murphy compete in 2017.Put Santana up for trade but only for an excellent offer. I'd rather see the prospects compete in as many close games as possible this year. That means having a decent rotation.Keep May in the bullpen for the rest of 2016.I would focus on the Mets as a trade partner for Santana and/or Nunez. Syndergaard and Matz have bone spurs. Harvey is gone for the season. Santana could help them. Wright is gone for the season and the team doesn't hit for average. They could use a sparkplug like Nunez. I'd try to put together a package and get D'Arnaud.
  20. dbminn
    Keep May in the bullpen this year and prepare him to start in 2017.
  21. dbminn
    Congratulations, Eduardo! Since the beginning of 2015: 519 PA and .303/.333/.462 (.798 OPS)
  22. dbminn
    Nice article. I would replace Clay with Palka. Let's see how he manages the off-speed stuff from AAAA-type pitchers.
  23. dbminn
    The Twins will have no problem trading Santana. It's only a matter of what they want for him. His contract is not out of line when compared to other pitchers in his price category. Several contenders have rotation problems and few competent veterans are available. As others have said, the FO might also want to keep him until the pitching prospects fully develop. There is room for Berrios - he can take over Millone's spot in the rotation. Given TR's inability to pull off trades and the need for an innings eater this year, I expect Santana to stay in a Twins uniform.
  24. dbminn
    Bernadino tweets that the Orioles, Blue Jays, Mets, Marlins and A's have all had scouts at Target Field. https://twitter.com/MikeBerardino
  25. dbminn
    The Braves also got $6 million is salary relief by including Dian Toscano in the trade. He's a 27 year old Cuban signee who is having an awful year at AA.
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