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Cap'n Piranha

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Everything posted by Cap'n Piranha

  1. Cap'n Piranha
    Thielbar actually made some excellent points (there is another post on this site that shows them). He pointed out that everyone was allowed into Canada last year, so long as they tested negative, and players who hadn't received the shot stayed in their rooms when not engaged in baseball activities. This year, Canada is completely unconcerned about whether or not people entering the country have Covid or not, as long as they have received a shot. While Max did not frame his opinion very well, his point is valid, as Thielbar demonstrated in his comments.
  2. Cap'n Piranha
    So you are fully in support of athletes potentially playing games with their long-term health, all for your entertainment? Says a lot about you, tbh.
  3. Cap'n Piranha
    Jose Berrios is a textbook example of how the Twins need to operate to maintain success year after year. Identify and acquire talent in the draft. Develop it in the minors and majors. Trade it for more talent when the amount needed to keep it becomes excessive.
  4. Cap'n Piranha
    Challenge time for Rodriguez, imo. Send him up to Iowa, and see how he does. If he's the prospect we hope, having him hold his own (say a .750 OPS or better) as a 19 year old would be massive in validating that.
  5. Cap'n Piranha
    Yeah, I agree with this. I've never understood why it would somehow be different to hit 1st v 3rd v 5th v 8th. You're still facing the pitcher, it's still 4 balls and 3 strikes. The only difference is that since the best hitters tend to be grouped in the first half of the lineup, hitting in the first half of the lineup means it's more likely there will be runners on base. That's literally the only difference. I do think there is something to be said for having a consistent defensive alignment, and letting players play more days in a row to get in a bit of a rhythm. I haven't done the analysis to see if that's happening or not, just a general thought.
  6. Cap'n Piranha
    Because Royce's future is at SS, not 3B or DH. In all likelihood, that future starts next year, and it makes no sense to take reps away from him when he's missed the last 2 seasons, and wasn't considered a lock to stick at short before that. Now, if the Saints are going to move him around, then yes, he may as well do that for the Twins, and start 1x at short, 2x at 3B, and 2x at DH a week. But in my opinion that is a disservice to both Royce and the future of the organization--Royce should be playing SS 6x a week, whether that's in MLB because Correa is out, or in AAA because Correa is in. Let's also stop assuming that just because Royce had a good first 40 PAs, he's now a guaranteed top half of the order hitter for an aspiring division champion team. It's still quite possible that Royce could take the Trevor Larnach 2021 path, and have a miserable couple of months before getting demoted for cause. That would be bad for the Twins, and potentially bad for Royce. So let the process play out, and prioritize years 2-6 of Royce's career, as opposed to year 1.
  7. Cap'n Piranha
    A few things for me here. If you're going to point out that Rocco was saddled with Colome, Happ, and Shoemaker last year, you certainly have to point out that he was given Gray, Paddack, Archer, Smith, and Duran (Falvine could quite easily have kept him as a starter in AAA) this year, to say nothing of Correa. How well would the pitching staff look with those 5 gone from the MLB roster (albeit Rogers added back)? We have no idea how Archer would have performed in a hypothetical 5th innning last night. Maybe the first 4 runners reach against him, it's a 3-run inning in total, and the Twins lose 4-3. Maybe Archer gets the side out on 11 pitches, and you can get the bullpen more rest. After all, the 3 batters due up in the 5th (Smith, Pache, Kemp) have OPS' of .523, .431, and .570--not SLG, OPS. The fact that the Twins pen is throwing a ton of innings is an issue, one that could haunt the team later in the year against much tougher competition than Oakland. Count me in the camp that is not thrilled with the handling of Buxton--not because he's not playing, but because he's playing too much while clearly hurt. If Buxton (or any player for that matter) is not healthy enough to play 5 out of every 6 games, then he needs to be on the IL. Buxton has already missed 12 games, 5 after the injury, and 1 from each of the 7 series that have happened since his return. If they had just put Buxton on the IL immediately after the Boston game, perhaps he would be fully healed, and able to play every day. If this injury is a chronic thing that would need months to fully heal, then why are we risking a long-term serious injury in a season we're long shots to win the WS anyways? I don 't think Rocco deserves all the blame he gets, and I think he's Ling's Palace as a manager (for fans of Brooklyn 99--he's fine. He's just fine), but nor do I think he's a great manager. I'm not advocating for his dismissal, but I would be not at all upset if we went in a different direction at the helm.
  8. Cap'n Piranha
    Are we saying that this is just at this point a chronic thing, and Buxton will always be injured, and never fully healthy? For a guy who gets a fair bit of his value from speed, that seems alarming. When you say you nursed your balky knees through 10 seasons, is it possible that had you taken a month off with full rest, they would have gotten better? Or did you just assume they would never get better, but mitigated them getting worse by reducing your activity?
  9. Cap'n Piranha
    The goal should absolutely not be 100 games for Buxton--I find acceptance of that concept asinine. If Buxton is healthy, he should certainly be able to play 5 out of every 6 games, at a bare minimum--that correlates to 135 games, which means he could have 3 stints on the 10 day IL, and still play 105 games (more if the 10 day stint comes during a 10 day stretch where the Twins have at least one day off--not exactly rare). As such, if the Twins are not willing to play Buxton at that rate, he should be on the IL getting nothing but rest and recovery, especially given the big step forward Celestino has taken this year, providing a legitimate option at CF if Buxton is not there. In fact, part of me wonders if perhaps Buxton should be moved to LF full time, with Celestino the everyday CF even if Buxton is healthy. When Larnach comes back, he can play 2-3 times a week in LF, and 2-3 times at DH.
  10. Cap'n Piranha
    And according to Fangraphs, have now pulled even with the White Sox in odds to win the division (pending the result of the KC-CWS game, tied at 2 in the 10th as I type this).
  11. Cap'n Piranha
    One of the benefits of a 6 man staff (especially when you get an off day) is that it's fairly easy to extend to a 5 man rotation for an extra week to ensure everything is 100% ok for the injured player. My guess is that Gray will be back against Baltimore, either in Ober's place (next Tuesday), or on Monday if they want to keep Ryan on 5 days rest in between starts. If they want to keep everyone on 5 days rest, they can have Winder/Jax piggyback on Wednesday against the Orioles, while putting Ober on the IL as one of the two guys they cut to get to 26 players.
  12. Cap'n Piranha
    This team just doesn't seem to have any spark or fire to it. The performance of Morrison, Lynn, and Correa is making me question the wisdom of waiting out the market to sign bargain deals on FAs who hoped for a big payday. If what we're seeing right now is what the Twins are, there needs to be a major house-cleaning. Falvine gone, the entire coaching staff gone, and the current core (other than Buxton) blown up. If you get a can't-say-no offer for Buxton, you might have to do that too.
  13. Cap'n Piranha
    Problem is, the Dodgers were also swinging in 30 degree weather, and they scored 14 runs in two games.
  14. Cap'n Piranha
    Blue Fuzz Paw?
  15. Cap'n Piranha
    Color me concerned when it comes to this offense--17th in wRC+, 22nd in OBP, 7th worst in k-rate, 19th in bb rate, 11th worst in soft contact, 4th worst in going oppo, 3rd worst in called/swinging strike rate, 3rd worst in contact rate. There will be days like Sunday when it clicks, and the Twins will look like world-beaters. But too often the Twins are going to fail to make contact, not get on base, hit harmless grounders/flyouts, and go down meekly, like they did the last two days.
  16. Cap'n Piranha
    I don't think I would characterize a .335 OBP as "strong", seeing as how the league average for AAA East was .332. For a guy playing in the same position group as Buxton, Kepler, Celestino, Larnach, Kiriloff, and potentially Lewis and Martin, I'm not super convinced he ever gets more than some bench duty when someone else is hurt.
  17. Cap'n Piranha
    Agree, banning the shift won't actually result in more interesting baseball (unless your idea of exciting baseball is weak grounders dribbling 20 ft into the outfield), as lefties will continue to sell out for loft and power--there's even less disincentive to do that if the shift is banned. Further, banning the shift might not actually ban the shift. Teams might still play the 1B and 3B where they currently do with the shift legal, and have the 2B and SS motion into traditional shift positions as soon as the pitcher starts his windup--if the SS is positioned literally 1 inch to the left of second base, and the 2B is literally one inch off the outfield grass, they would still be "banned shift compliant". If MLB truly wants more baserunners, and more action on the bases, the only way that happens is if the HR is devalued--I would propose one of the three ways below; Each team has a max number of out-of-the-park HRs they can hit, whether in a game or in a season. After that, out-of-the-park HRs are outs. The number of runs scored on an out-of-the-park HR is always 1, but all bases are emptied all the same--that is, if the bases are loaded, and an out-of-the-park HR is hit, only one run is scored, and all runners are taken away. Every out-of-the-park HR creates the same number of outs as runs scored. This means that all grandslams and 3R HRs always end the half inning, 2R HRs end the inning unless there are no outs, and solo HRs create one out.
  18. Cap'n Piranha
    Berrios did indeed sign an extension. With Toronto. Perhaps that is not a salient detail. Or maybe it is the only salient detail; speculate all you want.
  19. Cap'n Piranha
    This suggests that you think Berrios' agent did not act in a way Berrios desired. I find that hard to believe.
  20. Cap'n Piranha
    Next time you're going to write something this long and detailed, let me know beforehand.
  21. Cap'n Piranha
    And you are basing this feeling on....what, exactly?
  22. Cap'n Piranha
    Almost twice as many people in the metro area, and a better climate. If Berrios wanted to live in a city, there really isn't a comparison between Toronto and MSP. Also, as the only remaining team in CA, TOR might provide some more endorsement opportunities as well. It makes no sense to say Buxton would have been traded if Falvine had their way--they are running the team, and it is therefore their way. Being wary of overspending on an oft-injured player about to turn 28 who was potentially having an outlier year while staring a potential rebuild in the face is hardly an unreasonable position to take.
  23. Cap'n Piranha
    The MLBPA could have easily gotten a salary floor had they wanted it, so long as they also agreed to a hard salary cap. They didn't, so they didn't.
  24. Cap'n Piranha
    I read it as if the player submits pre-draft physicals, you do indeed have to offer him a contract, and it has to be for at least 75% of the slot value--this is under the assumption that if you have a player's physicals, and still draft him, you can't then back out by claiming his physicals aren't good. If I'm right, this opens a potentially nasty can of worms (although the frequency of if happening would probably be pretty low), which is what happens if something non-physical related happens after the pick is made, but the contract is offered? Say a player is accused of a crime the day after the draft, for example; does the team still have to offer him a contract?
  25. Cap'n Piranha
    I mean, to be fair, a Miguel Cabrera comes along once every, what...10 to 15 years? No 16 year old should ever have that expectation put on him. Cabrera is Top 30 all time in HR, RBI (meaning he's been good for a long time--he'll definitely be top 30 in hits soone enough too), and top 60 in SLG, WAR, wRC+, and OPS. He's one of the handful of best hitters ever, and a surefire first-ballot HOF, with close to a unanimous vote. If that is the expectation for a 16 year old, the problem is not the kid, it's the expectation.
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